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盛科通信(688702):单季度扭亏,中国交换,箭在弦上
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-11-09 05:25
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company achieved a turnaround in profitability, reporting a net profit of 33.06 million yuan in Q3 2025, marking a new high since its listing [1] - The revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 reached 830 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.98% [1] - The company is positioned as a leading manufacturer of high-end switching chips in China, with its flagship chips entering the market promotion phase [1][2] Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company reported revenue of 324 million yuan, a year-on-year growth of 17.55% [1] - The projected revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 1.26 billion yuan, 1.87 billion yuan, and 2.32 billion yuan respectively, with net profits expected to be 15 million yuan, 44 million yuan, and 156 million yuan [3][4] - The company’s gross margin is expected to improve, reflecting an optimized product structure and enhanced operational efficiency [1] Product Development - The company’s high-end flagship chips, designed for 12.8Tbps and 25.6Tbps, are now in the market promotion and initial application stages, featuring high performance and security [1] - The company is actively participating in the OISA ecosystem, supporting up to 1024 AI chips interconnection, which enhances its competitive position in the AI computing market [2] Market Outlook - The company is expected to enter a stable profit cycle starting in 2026, driven by increasing domestic demand for high-end switching chips as the localization rate of computing clusters rises [3] - The demand for Scale-up dedicated switching chips is anticipated to accelerate, providing new market opportunities for the company [3]
盛科通信(688702):业绩超预期,有望受益于国产生态与高端产品布局
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a strong growth potential and favorable market conditions [6]. Core Insights - The company reported a significant improvement in its Q3 performance, with revenue reaching 324 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 18% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 14%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 33 million yuan, a substantial recovery from previous losses [6]. - The gross margin for Q3 was 52.99%, up 11.17 percentage points from the previous year, attributed to supply chain optimization and changes in sales structure [6]. - The company is positioned to benefit from the acceleration of domestic production processes, with its high-end Ethernet switching chips entering the market and being adopted by major domestic switch manufacturers [6]. - The company maintains a high level of R&D investment, with a R&D expense ratio of 42.25% for the first three quarters of 2025, which is expected to enhance product development and core technology breakthroughs [6]. - The company is involved in the OISA ecological collaboration, which aims to enhance GPU interconnect bandwidth, supporting large-scale AI training and inference in China [6]. Financial Data and Earnings Forecast - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 832 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.0%. The projected revenue for 2025 is 1.34 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 23.9% [5]. - The net profit forecast for 2025 is 12 million yuan, with significant growth expected in subsequent years, reaching 133 million yuan by 2027 [5]. - The gross margin is projected to remain strong, with estimates of 46.1% for 2025 and around 45.8% for 2027 [5].