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国信证券晨会纪要-20250707
Guoxin Securities· 2025-07-07 01:57
Macro and Strategy - The high-tech manufacturing macro report indicates a slight recovery in the National Securities weekly high-tech manufacturing diffusion index, with Index A at 0.2 and Index B at 50.8, showing improvement from the previous period [3][9] - The macroeconomic report highlights a seasonal increase in high-frequency indicators, with the National Securities high-frequency macro diffusion index A turning positive and index B showing a rebound, indicating improved domestic economic growth momentum [8][10] Industry and Company - The electric power equipment and new energy industry report notes that the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology held a meeting with photovoltaic companies to discuss competition governance and the exit of backward production capacity [20] - The report on the overseas market for the Hong Kong Stock Connect technology ETF (159262) emphasizes the investment value of the technology sector amid the AI innovation wave, predicting significant returns for the next 3-4 years [21][22] - The analysis of the banking industry highlights the operational landscape of 64 asset management companies (AMCs), revealing an overall diluted ROE of 3.4% for the AMC industry, indicating general profitability concerns [31] - The communication industry report mentions the deployment of NVIDIA's GB300 AI systems, reflecting high demand for AI computing infrastructure, with the global server market expected to reach $366 billion, growing by 44.6% year-on-year [32][33]
通信行业周报:英伟达首批GB300开始部署,高速铜缆产业化进程加速-20250706
Guoxin Securities· 2025-07-06 13:38
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the communication industry [5] Core Insights - The global computing infrastructure remains highly prosperous, with a continued positive outlook on computing directions. The global server market is expected to reach $366 billion in 2025, growing by 44.6% year-on-year. The market for GPU-equipped servers is projected to grow by 46.7%, nearly accounting for half of the overall market [12][19][22] - The deployment of NVIDIA's GB300 AI systems has begun, indicating sustained growth in the global AI landscape. CoreWeave and Dell Technologies announced the launch of the first batch of GB300 NVL72 AI systems, which are equipped with advanced GPUs and CPUs to meet increasing AI computing demands [23][24] - China Mobile's procurement of AI servers worth 3.2 billion yuan marks a significant acceleration in AI inference computing infrastructure development, highlighting the urgency for operators to enhance AI application capabilities [35][40] Summary by Sections Industry News Tracking - The global computing infrastructure is expected to maintain high prosperity, with a focus on computing directions. The global server market is projected to reach $366 billion in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 44.6% [12][19] - The Chinese GenAI IaaS market is anticipated to grow by 165% year-on-year in the second half of 2024, reaching 8.74 billion yuan, marking a significant share in the overall AI IaaS market [16][22] Market Performance Review - The communication index fell by 0.10% this week, while the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index rose by 1.54%, resulting in a relative return of -1.64%, ranking 26th among primary industries [3][48] Investment Recommendations - Focus on AI computing infrastructure across various segments, particularly in optical devices and copper connection industries, which are expected to benefit from the global AI development [4][55] - Long-term investment in the three major telecom operators is recommended due to their stable operations and increasing dividend ratios, with a cumulative revenue of 748.8 billion yuan in the first five months of the year, reflecting a 1.4% year-on-year growth [4][55]