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内存市场:年初涨超50%,2026年Q2预计再涨20%
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-09 02:20
Group 1 - The storage market is experiencing a significant surge, with memory prices increasing by at least 50% since the beginning of the year, marking the onset of a "super bull market" that surpasses the 2018 peak [1] - The demand for AI and server capacity is driving this price increase, leading to suppliers having the highest bargaining power in history [1] - Forecasts indicate that memory prices will rise by 40%-50% in Q4 2025, another 40%-50% in Q1 2026, and approximately 20% in Q2 2026 [1] Group 2 - The price of 64GB RDIMM memory is expected to increase from $255 in Q3 2025 to $450 in Q4 2025, with projections of reaching $700 by March 2026 [1] - There is a possibility that memory prices could reach $1,000 within this year, nearly double the 2018 peak [1] - Samsung has previously indicated that the shortage of memory chips will elevate prices across the electronics industry, including its own consumer products [1]
集成电路ETF(159546)领涨超3%,机构:内存市场已进入“超级牛市”阶段
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2026-01-08 02:41
Core Insights - The memory market has entered a "super bull market" phase, surpassing historical highs from 2018, driven by increasing demand from AI and server capacity [1] - Supplier bargaining power has reached an all-time high, with significant price increases expected in the coming years [1] Market Trends - According to Counterpoint Research, memory prices are projected to rise by 40%-50% in Q4 2025 and again by 40%-50% in Q1 2026, with an additional increase of approximately 20% expected in Q2 2026 [1] - The price of 64GB RDIMM memory has surged from $255 in Q3 2025 to $450 in Q4 2025, with expectations to reach $700 by March 2026 [1] ETF Performance - The integrated circuit ETF (159546) has seen a rise of over 3%, reflecting the strong performance of the semiconductor industry [1] - The ETF tracks the integrated circuit index (932087), which includes publicly traded companies involved in design, manufacturing, packaging, testing, and related materials and equipment [1]
Counterpoint Research:内存市场已进入“超级牛市”,一季度将再涨40%-50%
Jin Rong Jie· 2026-01-07 13:19
Core Insights - The memory market has entered a "super bull market" phase, surpassing the historical highs of 2018 [1] - The surge in demand driven by AI and server capacity has led to suppliers achieving the highest bargaining power in history [1] - Memory prices are expected to rise significantly, with a forecasted increase of 40%-50% in Q4 2025, followed by another 40%-50% increase in Q1 2026, and an additional approximate 20% rise in Q2 2026 [1] Price Trends - The price of 64GB RDIMM memory has increased dramatically from $255 in Q3 2025 to $450 in Q4 2025, with expectations to reach $700 by March 2026 [1]
机构:内存市场进入“超级牛市” 一季度将再涨40%-50%
Ju Chao Zi Xun· 2026-01-07 12:41
Core Viewpoint - The memory market has entered a "super bull market" phase, surpassing the historical highs of 2018, driven by surging demand from AI and server capacity [1] Group 1: Market Dynamics - Supplier bargaining power has reached an all-time high due to increased demand [1] - Memory prices are expected to rise significantly, with a forecasted increase of 40%-50% in Q4 2025 and another 40%-50% in Q1 2026, followed by an approximate 20% increase in Q2 2026 [1] Group 2: Price Trends - The price of 64GB RDIMM memory has surged from $255 in Q3 2025 to $450 in Q4 2025, with expectations to further climb to $700 by March 2026 [1] Group 3: Industry Impact - Samsung Electronics anticipates that the shortage of memory chips will drive up prices across the entire electronics industry, including its own consumer products [1]
Counterpoint:内存一季度将再涨价40%-50%
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-07 12:25
Core Insights - The storage chip prices are expected to continue rising in 2023, driven by the demand for AI infrastructure and the booming storage semiconductor market [1][3] Group 1: Price Trends - In Q4 of last year, storage chip prices surged by 40% to 50%, with expectations of a further increase of 40% to 50% in Q1 of this year and a 20% rise in Q2 [3] - The price of 64GB RDIMM memory has increased significantly from $255 in Q3 2025 to $450 in Q4 2025, with projections to reach $700 by March 2026 [3] Group 2: Market Dynamics - The storage chip market has entered a "super bull market" phase, surpassing the historical highs of 2018 [3] - The bargaining power of suppliers has reached an all-time high due to the ongoing demand for AI and server computing power [3] Group 3: Supply Constraints - A shortage in storage chip supply is expected to persist in the short term, as leading companies like Samsung and SK Hynix shift production capacity towards higher-margin server DDR5 chips, leading to a rapid decline in the supply of traditional products [3] - Although DRAM production is projected to grow by 24% year-on-year this year, it will take time to meet actual market demand [3]