路透：消息人士称，大韩航空预计将于周一宣布订购约100架波音飞机。消息人士称，这笔订单是韩国航空公司历史上最大的一笔订单，预计将包括787、777和737等机型。🗒️韩国总统李在明周一访问美国，但韩方表示美国与韩国首脑会谈几乎没能达成共识。这也意味着韩美贸易协议将维持原状。 ...

Core Insights - Analysts project Boeing (BA) will report a quarterly loss of -$1.47 per share, a 49.3% increase year over year, with revenues expected to reach $21.86 billion, up 29.6% from the same quarter last year [1] Earnings Estimates - Over the past 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been adjusted downward by 1.7%, indicating a reassessment by covering analysts [1][2] - Changes in earnings estimates are crucial for predicting investor reactions to the stock, with empirical studies showing a strong relationship between earnings estimate revisions and short-term price performance [2] Revenue Projections - Analysts estimate 'Revenues - Global Services' will reach $5.16 billion, reflecting a 5.6% increase from the prior-year quarter [4] - 'Revenues - Defense, Space & Security' are projected at $6.40 billion, indicating a year-over-year change of +6.3% [4] - 'Revenues - Commercial Airplanes' are expected to be $9.95 billion, suggesting a significant change of +65.7% year over year [4] Deliveries Forecast - The average prediction for 'Deliveries - Total' is set at 130, compared to 120 in the same quarter last year [5] - 'Deliveries - Commercial Airplanes - 737' are forecasted to reach 94, up from 70 a year ago [5] - 'Deliveries - Commercial Airplanes - 787' are expected to be 20, compared to 9 in the same quarter last year [5] Operational Earnings - Analysts predict 'Earnings/(loss) from operations - Global Services' will reach $941.96 million, contrasting with the year-ago figure of $870.00 million [6] Stock Performance - Over the past month, Boeing shares have returned +17.6%, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +5.7% change [7] - Boeing currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), suggesting its performance may align with the overall market in the near future [7]

Group 1 - Boeing is experiencing strong momentum in its commercial airplane business, with 150 deliveries in Q2 2025, a 63% increase from the same quarter last year, primarily driven by higher 737 shipments [1][7] - Compared to Q1 2025, Boeing's deliveries increased from 130 aircraft, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 56.6%, largely due to a rise in wide-body jet shipments [2] - The increase in aircraft deliveries is expected to enhance Boeing Commercial Airplane's revenues and profit margins, contributing to positive operating cash flow and strengthening financial recovery [3][7] Group 2 - Boeing's delivery growth in the first half of 2025 faces competition from Airbus, which delivered 306 aircraft compared to Boeing's 280 during the same period [4] - Embraer also reported solid delivery figures, with 30 aircraft delivered in Q1 2025, up from 25 in Q1 2024 [5] - Boeing's stock has risen 18.9% over the past year, outperforming the Zacks aerospace-defense industry's growth of 17.7% [6] Group 3 - Boeing is currently trading at a forward 12-month sales multiple of 1.82X, which is approximately an 18% discount compared to the industry average of 2.22X [8] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Boeing's earnings per share for 2025 has improved over the past 60 days, while the estimate for 2026 has declined [9]

Core Insights - Boeing announced significant program deliveries for both commercial and defense operations in the second quarter of 2025, with detailed financial results to be released on July 29 [1]. Commercial Airplanes Programs - In the second quarter of 2025, Boeing delivered a total of 150 commercial airplanes, with the breakdown as follows: - 737: 104 deliveries - 767: 9 deliveries - 777: 13 deliveries - 787: 24 deliveries - Year-to-date, total commercial airplane deliveries reached 280 [1]. Defense, Space & Security Programs - Boeing delivered a total of 36 defense, space, and security programs in the second quarter of 2025, with the following details: - AH-64 Apache (New): 2 deliveries - AH-64 Apache (Remanufactured): 10 deliveries - CH-47 Chinook (Renewed): 5 deliveries - F-15 Models: 3 deliveries - F/A-18 Models: 4 deliveries - KC-46 Tanker: 5 deliveries - MH-139: 4 deliveries - P-8 Models: 1 delivery - Commercial and Civil Satellites: 2 deliveries - Year-to-date, total defense program deliveries reached 62 [1].

Group 1: Airbus A330-900 Order - Airbus SE secured a firm order from Malaysia Aviation Group for 20 A330-900 widebody commercial aircraft, enhancing its commercial aircraft backlog and future revenue prospects [1][8] - The A330-900, powered by Rolls-Royce Trent 7000 engines, can fly up to 7,350 nautical miles (13,334 km) and is designed to reduce fuel consumption and CO2 emissions by 25% compared to previous generation aircraft [2][8] Group 2: Market Demand and Growth - Rising air passenger traffic and demand for fuel-efficient aircraft are driving growth in the commercial aviation market [3] - Airbus expects the global passenger fleet to nearly double from 2025 to 2044, with a demand for 43,420 new commercial jets, translating into significant revenue growth [4][8] - In Q1 2025, Airbus' commercial aircraft activities generated a 4% year-over-year revenue growth, with a Zacks Consensus Estimate suggesting a 12.9% annual improvement in 2025 revenues [4][5] Group 3: Competitors and Industry Outlook - Other aerospace companies like Boeing, Embraer, and Textron are also expected to benefit from rising jet demand, with Boeing's long-term earnings growth rate at 18.1% and a 25.6% improvement in 2025 sales [6][7][9] - Embraer, the third-largest commercial aircraft manufacturer, has a 15.4% improvement forecast for 2025 sales, while Textron has a long-term earnings growth rate of 10% [7][9] Group 4: Stock Performance - Over the past six months, Airbus shares have increased by 26.8%, outperforming the industry's growth of 21.4% [10]

Core Insights - Airbus SE secured a firm order from Riyadh Air for 25 A350-1000 aircraft, with the potential for an additional 25, enhancing its global position in the A350 market and expected to boost future revenues once deliveries commence [1][9] Group 1: Airbus A350 Features and Demand - The A350 family offers the longest-range capability among commercial airliners, achieving at least 20% fuel savings and reducing CO2 emissions, with a goal of operating on 100% Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) by 2030 [2][9] - The A350 has received over 1,390 firm orders from more than 60 customers globally, with 657 aircraft currently in service as of May [3] Group 2: Market Growth and Revenue Projections - Rising air passenger traffic and demand for fuel-efficient aircraft are driving growth in the commercial aviation market, with Airbus forecasting a demand for 43,420 new aircraft deliveries over the next 20 years [4][5] - In 2024, Airbus reported a 6% year-over-year revenue growth from commercial aircraft activities, supported by a 4.2% increase in deliveries [5][6] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate predicts a 10.4% annual revenue improvement for Airbus in 2025 and 2026, indicating continued growth [6] Group 3: Competitor Insights - Boeing, a major competitor, has a long-term earnings growth rate of 18.1% and is expected to see a 25.6% improvement in 2025 sales [7][8] - Embraer, the third-largest commercial aircraft manufacturer, has an average earnings surprise of 150.60% over the last four quarters, with a projected 15.9% sales improvement in 2025 [8] - Textron, known for business jets, has a long-term earnings growth rate of 10% and a 6.6% sales improvement forecast for 2025 [10] Group 4: Stock Performance - Over the past year, Airbus shares have increased by 16.1%, outperforming the industry growth of 14.5% [11]

Core Viewpoint - Boeing's reliance on imported components for aircraft manufacturing is under scrutiny due to potential tariffs, which could negatively impact its profitability and the overall U.S. trade surplus in the aviation sector [1][2]. Group 1: Trade and Tariffs - The U.S. government has initiated an investigation into the import of aircraft and components, considering tariffs that could affect Boeing's business model of importing low-cost parts and exporting high-priced aircraft [1]. - In 2024, the U.S. is projected to import $62.1 billion worth of aircraft while exporting $123.6 billion, highlighting a significant trade surplus in the aviation industry [2]. - The investigation will assess the dependency on foreign suppliers and potential subsidies from foreign governments, with a focus on national security implications [1]. Group 2: Boeing's Financial Challenges - Boeing has reported a net loss for 11 consecutive quarters, and increased costs from tariffs on imported components could further strain its financial performance [2][3]. - The CEO of Boeing, Kelly Ortberg, mentioned the possibility of seeking tariff refunds, indicating the company's concern over rising import costs [2]. Group 3: Supply Chain and Production Issues - The global aircraft industry has established an international division of labor, with significant contributions from Japanese manufacturers, which could be disrupted by potential tariffs [2][3]. - Boeing's production has been hampered by quality issues, leading to a backlog of 5,648 unfulfilled orders, which could take 6 to 7 years to clear [3]. - The average monthly delivery of components for the 787 aircraft has dropped to about 5 units, only one-third of pre-pandemic levels, indicating severe supply chain disruptions [3].

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for Boeing but suggests limited impact from the delivery halt and potential for reallocation of aircraft [8][9]. Core Insights - The Chinese market's contribution to Boeing's annual aircraft deliveries has significantly declined from an average of 24% (2010-2019) to approximately 6% for 2025 planned deliveries, with a long-term projection of about 4% by 2030 [9][10]. - The estimated revenue impact from the 29 aircraft affected by the delivery halt is approximately USD 35.3 billion, which is a relatively small proportion of Boeing's total annual revenue [9][10]. - Boeing's ability to reallocate affected aircraft to other markets, particularly in regions with strong demand like India and Southeast Asia, is crucial for mitigating risks associated with the delivery halt [10][11]. Summary by Sections Event Overview - China has halted the delivery of Boeing aircraft and related parts as a response to ongoing trade tensions, but the financial impact is expected to be limited and manageable [7][8]. Impact Quantification - The contribution of the Chinese market to Boeing's deliveries has decreased significantly, with current estimates showing it accounts for about 6% of the 2025 planned deliveries [9]. - The revenue impact from the halted deliveries is estimated at USD 35.3 billion, which is not expected to significantly affect Boeing's overall revenue [9][10]. Aircraft Reallocation Feasibility - Boeing's capacity to reallocate affected aircraft to other customers is seen as a key factor in managing risks, with strong demand in markets like India providing alternative sales channels [10][11]. Supply Chain Considerations - Boeing's supply chain is more diversified compared to competitors, but there are still potential risks related to lower-tier components sourced from Chinese suppliers amid ongoing trade tensions [11].

Core Insights - Boeing reported significant year-over-year growth in both commercial and defense deliveries for Q1 2025, with increases of 56.6% and 85.7% respectively, totaling 156 units compared to 97 in the previous year [1] Commercial Deliveries - Boeing's commercial deliveries reached 130 airplanes in Q1 2025, up from 83 in the same period last year, driven primarily by higher 737 deliveries [2] - 737 shipments totaled 105, an increase from 67 in the prior year, while deliveries of 787 models remained stable at 13 [2] - Additionally, Boeing delivered five 767 jets, up from three in the previous year, and seven 777 jets, compared to none in the prior-year quarter [2][3] Defense Deliveries - Boeing's defense deliveries increased to 26 airplanes in Q1 2025, up from 14 in the same quarter of 2024 [4] - The company delivered 11 remanufactured AH-64 Apache helicopters, an increase from six, and four new AH-64 Apache helicopters [4] - Shipments of F/A-18 models rose to five from one, while no KC-46 tankers were delivered compared to three in the prior-year quarter [4] Competitive Landscape - In a comparison with Airbus, Boeing's commercial aircraft deliveries lagged, with Airbus delivering 136 aircraft in Q1 2025 compared to Boeing's 130 [5] - Brazilian manufacturer Embraer delivered 30 commercial aircraft in Q1 2025, reflecting a 20% year-over-year growth [6] - Textron delivered 151 jets in 2024, a decrease from 168 in 2023, but reported a long-term earnings growth rate of 10% [7] Stock Performance - Boeing shares have increased by 4.4% over the past month, contrasting with a 0.2% decline in the industry [10]