华福证券 ADC 药物迎来快速发展期，市场规模广阔 团队成员 投资要点： 政策红利加速释放：国家密集出台多项抗体偶联药物专项政策，推动 ADC 药物研发标准化。同时，2024 年医保目录新增 5 款 ADC 药物，国产 药物借政策东风抢占市场先机。 百亿蓝海爆发在即：全球 ADC 市场已突破 140 亿美元，有望在 2030 年突破 660 亿美元（CAGR 30.3%），中国市场发展同样极为迅猛，作为 全球 ADC 市场核心增长极，有望在 2030 年突破 600 亿元人民币。 临床需求刚性凸显：乳腺癌、淋巴瘤等核心适应症全球年新增病例超 240 万，ADC 药物凭借"抗体靶向+毒素杀伤"的特性替代传统化疗趋势 明确，Enhertu® 2024 年销售额达 37.5 亿美元印证临床价值。 风险提示 产业链价值逐渐凸显：中国国内已形成完整 ADC 产业链，上中游企 业受益最为显著。 分析师： 赵月(S0210524050016) zy30563@hfzq.com.cn 相关报告 技术研发不及预期；宏观需求变化；医疗事件风险 华福证券 华福证券 策略点评 正文目录 | 1 | 政策指导促进 ADC 药物发展，多 ...

晨 会 纪 要 [2025]第 154 号 王文瑞 张智珑 郭怡萍 何超 李育文 李正威 别璐莎 邢维洁 孙菲 马丽明 贺钰偲 汪炜 聂孟依 顾华昊 整理记录：汪炜 研究所今日晨会要点如下: 一、行业公司 1、公用事业行业（孙菲） 行情回顾：本周公用事业(申万)下跌 0.55%，跑输沪深 300 指数 2.92pct 根据 wind，截至 8 月 15 日，本周沪深 300 上涨 2.37%，公用事业(申万)下跌 0.55%，跑 输沪深 300 指数 2.92pct，在申万一级行业中排名第 27 位。子板块中，燃气上涨 0.47%，热力 服务上涨 0.32%，光伏发电下跌 0.09%，风电下跌 0.92%，水电下跌 1.02%，电能综合服务下 跌 1.14%，火电下跌 2.66%。 重点数据跟踪 本周现货煤价周环比小幅上升，库存回升： 国内现货：根据 wind，截至 8 月 14 日，秦皇岛动力煤(Q5500,山西产)平仓价 695 元/吨， 周环比+17 元/吨，增幅 2.51%；截至 8 月 15 日，秦皇岛煤炭库存量 567 万吨，周环比+20 万 吨，增幅 3.66%。 进口端：根据 wind，截至 ...

Summary of the Conference Call for WuXi AppTec Company Overview - **Company**: WuXi AppTec - **Industry**: Contract Research, Development, and Manufacturing Organization (CRDMO) focusing on Antibody-Drug Conjugates (ADC) Key Points Industry and Market Trends - The financing environment for innovative drugs in China improved significantly in 2025, with positive policy signals from the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) [2][4] - The establishment of a growth tier on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board and the revival of IPOs for unprofitable companies in Hong Kong provide more financing opportunities for innovative drug companies, benefiting the CXO industry [2][5] - The ADC market is expected to reach $14.2 billion in 2024, growing nearly 25% year-over-year, with a projected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 30% by 2030 [4][13] - The global bioconjugate drug industry is entering a new golden development cycle, with market size expected to exceed $11 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 28.4% [4][15] Company Performance and Financials - WuXi AppTec's revenue for 2024 is projected to reach 4.05 billion yuan, a 91% increase year-over-year, with a net profit of 1.07 billion yuan, up 277% [2][9] - The company’s backlog of unfulfilled orders is close to $1 billion, representing a 71% year-over-year increase, expected to convert into revenue within 1 to 5 years [20] - The company’s revenue structure is shifting, with post-IND service revenue nearing 60% and overseas business accounting for 74%, with North American clients making up 50% [11][20] Competitive Advantages - WuXi AppTec is a leader in the ADC CRDMO space, benefiting from the technological and talent support of WuXi Biologics and WuXi AppTec [3][9] - The company has a comprehensive one-stop service platform, capable of shortening the development timeline from concept to clinical candidate to as little as 8-10 months [17] - The integration of CMC strategies has allowed the company to reduce supply chain complexity and accelerate ADC drug development, achieving IND submissions in just 15 months [18] ADC Development and Trends - ADCs are gaining traction as a promising cancer treatment strategy, combining chemotherapy with targeted antibody delivery, potentially replacing traditional chemotherapy [6][12] - Current trends in ADC development include advancements in frontline treatments, combination therapies with immunotherapy, and innovations in new targets and mechanisms [14] - The company is positioned to capitalize on the growing ADC market, with a strong pipeline of projects and a significant number of clinical candidates [8][21] Future Outlook - The company’s commercial order potential is robust, with a focus on high-quality clients in the biotech and multinational sectors, many of which are pioneers in the ADC/XDC fields [21] - The company maintains a high client retention rate, having collaborated with nearly all clients advancing candidates to development stages since its inception [20] - Profitability forecasts are based on assumptions of rapid growth in post-IND service revenue and improving gross margins over the next few years [22] Conclusion - WuXi AppTec is well-positioned in the ADC market with strong growth prospects, supported by favorable industry trends, a solid financial outlook, and a competitive edge in technology and service offerings [2][9][22]

Summary of Conference Call on ADC Payload Characteristics and PD-1/VEGF Competitive Landscape Industry and Company Overview - The conference call focuses on the ADC (Antibody-Drug Conjugate) industry and the competitive landscape of PD-1/VEGF dual antibodies, particularly highlighting the advancements and strategies of companies like 康方生物 (Kangfang Biopharma), 三生制药 (3SBio), and 科利斯 (Kolis). Key Points and Arguments 1. **Impact of Payload Types on Efficacy and Adverse Reactions** Different ADC payload types significantly affect their efficacy and adverse reactions across various cancer types. Topoisomerase inhibitors perform well in breast, ovarian, and non-small cell lung cancers, while microtubule inhibitors (e.g., MAEIL) may have advantages in colorectal cancer [1][2][3]. 2. **Dual Antibody Product Classification** Dual antibody products are categorized into three types: TCE (T-cell engagers), PD-1 combined with other targets, and various dual-target combinations. TCEs are primarily used for hematological diseases, while PD-1 combinations aim to replace PD-1 monoclonal antibodies to address low response rates in cold tumors and resistance issues [4]. 3. **Leading Position of 康方生物's AK122** 康方生物's AK122 is leading in the PD-1/VEGF dual antibody field, with its clinical progress being crucial for market positioning. Other companies like 三生制药 and 科利斯 are enhancing VEGF affinity through structural modifications of Bevacizumab [1][2][5]. 4. **Clinical Trial Focus** 康方生物 is conducting clinical trials targeting late-stage lung cancer patients and gradually shifting towards first-line non-squamous non-small cell lung cancer indications. 科利斯 focuses on multi-class combination therapies involving PD-1 and VEGF [2][8]. 5. **Adverse Reaction Correlation with Payload Types** Specific adverse reactions are associated with different payload types, such as oral mucositis linked to topoisomerase inhibitors and interstitial pneumonia related to linker metabolism. Eye toxicity is primarily associated with hydrophilic microtubule inhibitors [3]. 6. **Market Activity and Innovation** The dual antibody market is highly active, with companies like 三生制药 licensing products to Pfizer. However, only a few companies, including AstraZeneca and Merck, have made significant investments in PD-1 x assets, which have shown suboptimal data performance in recent years [4][5]. 7. **Improvements by 益芯科 and 华海制药** 益芯科 and 华海制药 have made significant improvements in their VEGF-targeting products by binding VGFR1 and D2 structures, enhancing VEGF affinity, and using IgG1 structures to boost ADCC effects, potentially increasing efficacy in cold tumors [6]. 8. **AK122's Overseas Authorization and Pricing Uncertainty** AK122 is viewed as a promising product, but there is considerable uncertainty regarding its pricing and overseas authorization. The upcoming initial clinical data release on June 1 is highly anticipated to assess its potential for replicating domestic success [10]. 9. **Key Performance Indicators for Evaluation** For PD-1 inhibitors and immunotherapies, key indicators to focus on include DOR (Duration of Response) and OS (Overall Survival). For ADC chemotherapy products, ORR (Objective Response Rate) and PFS (Progression-Free Survival) trends are critical [11][12]. Additional Important Insights - The design of multi-toxin ADC products aims to enhance efficacy and increase sensitivity to another toxin, indicating a trend towards more complex therapeutic strategies [3]. - The competitive landscape is characterized by ongoing innovations and adaptations by various companies to improve therapeutic outcomes and address market needs [5][6].