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全球半导体股猛涨,中美谈判、AI需求受期待
3 6 Ke· 2025-06-12 04:29
Group 1 - Positive factors attracting investors to semiconductor stocks include U.S.-China trade discussions, with U.S. Commerce Secretary indicating potential easing of semiconductor export controls [1] - TSMC reported a 40% year-on-year increase in sales for May 2025, marking a historical high for that month, driven by strong demand for advanced semiconductors in generative AI [1] - The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) rose over 2% on June 10, reaching a new high since February, with a 50% increase compared to the year-to-date low in April [2] Group 2 - The Nikkei Semiconductor Index saw a 43% increase compared to its year-to-date low in April, marking seven consecutive days of gains [3] - Broadcom's market capitalization has surpassed Tesla, breaking the dominance of the "Magnificent 7" tech stocks, which has drawn investor attention [3] - The expected price-to-earnings ratio (PER) for Advantest has risen above 34, returning to levels seen before a sharp decline in early April, indicating potential slowing in future price increases [3]
全球半导体股猛涨,中美谈判、AI需求受期待
日经中文网· 2025-06-12 03:05
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the positive factors attracting investors to semiconductor stocks, including easing export controls and strong sales driven by generative AI [1][2] - The U.S. and China held ministerial-level trade talks on June 10, with indications that the U.S. may relax semiconductor export controls, which is expected to benefit the semiconductor sector [1][2] - TSMC reported a 40% year-on-year increase in sales for May 2025, marking a historical high for that month, indicating robust demand for advanced semiconductors [1] Group 2 - The Evercore ISI index for U.S. high-tech companies reached 57.5 in early June, the highest level in two years, reflecting positive sales and order trends [2] - DeepSeek's advancements in AI models are intensifying competition between U.S. and Chinese companies, which could expand the application range of AI and benefit related manufacturing equipment [2] - The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) rose over 2% on June 10, achieving a new high since February, with a 50% increase compared to the low in April [2] Group 3 - The Nikkei Semiconductor Index in Japan saw a 43% increase since its low in early April, reflecting strong performance in the semiconductor sector [3] - Broadcom's market capitalization has surpassed Tesla, breaking the dominance of the "Magnificent 7" tech stocks, which has drawn investor attention [3] - However, there are concerns about overvaluation in Japanese semiconductor stocks, with Advantest's expected price-to-earnings ratio (PER) rising above 34, suggesting potential slowing in future price increases [3]
限制芯片出口未能奏效,白宫AI主管:中国模型仅落后美国不到半年
Huan Qiu Shi Bao· 2025-06-11 22:40
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the U.S. risks losing its leadership in AI to China if it imposes excessive regulations on the AI industry, as China is only 3 to 6 months behind the U.S. in AI model development [1] - The U.S. government has implemented different strategies to curb China's chip manufacturing capabilities, with Biden's administration introducing "AI diffusion rules" and Trump's administration reversing them [3][4] - The U.S. Department of Commerce has issued warnings regarding the legal consequences for global companies that allow American chips to be used for training Chinese AI models, indicating a strong stance against China's advancements [3] Group 2 - The statements made by U.S. officials highlight a significant concern regarding the international competitiveness of the U.S. AI industry, as efforts to "weaponize" AI may inadvertently harm its global collaboration [5] - There is a growing sentiment in the tech community that U.S. export controls could lead to a loss of competitive advantage, as companies like NVIDIA acknowledge that China will continue to advance regardless of U.S. chip availability [4] - The discussion around the potential smuggling of AI chips is downplayed, with assertions that the physical size and weight of these chips make them difficult to hide, suggesting a focus on legitimate market expansion instead [4]
台积法说前夕 半导体接连爆雷…英伟达出口大陆管制加严
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-04-16 23:31
根据英伟达15日提交给美国监管机关文件,美国政府已通知英伟达,其为大陆市场设计的降规版AI芯 片H20须先取得许可才能出口,而且这项规定"没有期限"。 英伟达警告,1月底至4月底的本年度第1季将提列55亿美元费用,这笔费用与H20系列的"库存、采购承 诺及相关准备"有关。 H20和MI308都是为了符合先前规定、为中国大陆市场打造的"降规版"。H20算力参数只有常规版H100 的14%左右,连网速度和频宽也较慢,但仍是英伟达在中国大陆销售的最先进产品。根据估计,2024年 H20芯片贡献英伟达约120亿至150亿美元营收。 台积电原本预期,今年AI加速器营收贡献将翻倍成长,法人以此估计,台积电2025年AI相关营收将至 少达8,600多亿元。随着英伟达、AMD降规版AI芯片销陆再度受限,法人聚焦今天台积电法说会是否调 整AI订单展望。 业界分析,美国收紧H20和MI308销陆管制,很可能与"DeepSeek事件"及超级电脑相关。大陆AI新创 DeepSeek今年初推出号称"CP值高"又具有竞争力的AI模型R1,震撼业界,其研究就采用H20芯片。路 透2月报导,由于DeepSeek带动对低成本AI模型的需求激增 ...