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在数字技术蓬勃发展的今天，农村电商正成为连接田间地头与城市餐桌的重要桥梁。这种新兴商业模式不仅改变了传统农产品 的流通方式，更让许多深藏乡村的特色农产品走向了更广阔的市场。 农村电商的核心价值在于打破了地域限制。过去，许多优质农产品因交通不便、信息闭塞而"养在深闺人未识"。如今，通过电 商平台，消费者可以直接从产地购买新鲜农产品，减少了中间环节，既保证了品质，又降低了成本。例如，云南的普洱茶、陕 西的苹果、新疆的大枣等特色产品，都通过电商渠道实现了销量的大幅增长。 这种模式对农民收入的提升尤为显著。传统销售模式下，农民往往处于价值链的底端，利润微薄。而通过电商直销，农民可以 直接面对消费者，获得更合理的价格回报。同时，电商平台的大数据分析功能，还能帮助农民根据市场需求调整种植结构，实 现精准生产。 农村电商还带动了乡村产业的转型升级。许多地方开始注重农产品品牌建设，通过标准化生产、包装设计和营销推广，提升产 品附加值。一些地区还结合当地文化特色，开发出具有故事性的农产品，增强了市场竞争力。这种从"卖产品"到"卖品牌"的转 变，正在重塑乡村经济生态。 物流体系的完善是农村电商发展的重要支撑。近年来，国家大力推进 ...

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Report Summary 1. Investment Rating The provided content does not mention the industry investment rating. 2. Core Views - **Soft Commodity Sector** - **Sugar**: Affected by the gasoline price cut in Brazil, the international sugar price dropped, dragging down the Zhengzhou sugar futures. However, after the release of negative sentiment, marginal positive factors supported the sugar price, and the price rebounded slightly after an over - decline. It is recommended to operate within a range, focusing on the battle at the 5400 level [3]. - **Pulp**: In the third quarter, the domestic economic growth slowed down, dragging down the demand for finished paper. The supply of wood pulp remained high, and the demand for finished paper increased in the peak season, but the price increase was weak. It is recommended to operate with a short - bias on rebounds [4]. - **Offset Paper**: The improvement in demand for finished paper is limited, and the supply pressure may increase. Although the cost provides some support, the price increase is limited. It is recommended to short on rebounds [5][6]. - **Cotton**: Internationally, there are concerns about consumption. Domestically, the new cotton production increase is slightly lower than expected, and the Sino - US trade attitude has eased. However, the continuous positive factors are still insufficient, and it is recommended to reduce short positions [7]. - **Fresh Produce and Fruit Sector** - **Apples**: The new - season apples have smaller fruit sizes and a lower high - quality fruit rate, which supports the far - month contract. It is recommended to consider reverse spreads between the 1 - 5 contracts or hold long positions in the May contract cautiously [8]. - **Red Dates**: The futures price of red dates fluctuated. The inventory removal speed slowed down in October, and the terminal replenishment enthusiasm improved. It is recommended that aggressive investors short the 2601 contract at high levels, and cautious investors hold a reverse spread strategy of short 01 and long 05 [9][10]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 First Part: Sector Strategy Recommendations - **Fresh Produce and Fruit Futures** - **Apple 2605**: Adopt a bullish approach, with a support range of 7900 - 8000 and a pressure range of 9500 - 9600, due to the support from smaller fruit sizes and a lower high - quality fruit rate [18]. - **Red Dates 2601**: Short at high levels, with a support range of 10500 - 11000 and a pressure range of 11500 - 12000, considering the overall market sentiment and the weather impact during the production - forming period [18]. - **Soft Commodity Futures** - **Sugar 2601**: Operate within a range, with a support range of 5350 - 5370 and a pressure range of 5470 - 5500, as the spot price is stable, but there are still bearish drivers [18]. - **Pulp 2601**: Short within the range, with a support range of 4900 - 4900 and a pressure range of 5200 - 5300, because of high supply pressure and weak domestic finished paper prices [18]. - **Offset Paper 2601**: Short on rebounds, with a support range of 4100 - 4200 and a pressure range of 4400 - 4500, as the price increase is limited by high supply elasticity during the peak season [18]. - **Cotton 2601**: Hold short positions cautiously, with a support range of 12800 - 13000 and a pressure range of 13600 - 13700, due to insufficient continuous positive factors [18]. 3.2 Second Part: Market News Changes - **Apple Market** - **Fundamentals**: In September 2025, the export volume of fresh apples was about 70,800 tons, a month - on - month increase of 3.50% and a year - on - year decrease of 6.32% [19]. - **Spot Market**: In Shandong, the price of late - maturing bagged Fuji apples was stable, with high - quality goods in short supply. In Shaanxi, the mainstream ordering price was stable, and high - quality goods were mostly pre - ordered. In the sales areas, the arrival volume was low, the sales speed was stable, and the price was stable [19][20]. - **Red Date Market**: The physical inventory of 36 sample points was 9167 tons, a month - on - month decrease of 0.39% and a year - on - year increase of 93.89%. Attention should be paid to the circulation of old - season goods and price changes before the new - season harvest [21]. - **Sugar Market**: On October 22, the settlement price of the ICE raw sugar main contract dropped by 3.05%. Brazil's sugar export volume in the third week of October decreased by 2.68% year - on - year. The domestic spot price of sugar decreased slightly [23]. - **Pulp Market**: Chinese traders counter - offered the price of imported NBSK to $650 per ton, but the sellers refused. The price of broad - leaf pulp increased, and the price of coniferous pulp remained stable and weak. The supply of wood pulp was still high [4][27]. - **Offset Paper Market**: In Shandong, Guangdong, Beijing, and Tianjin, the price of offset paper was stable. The supply increased, and the demand improvement was limited [28][29]. - **Cotton Market**: As of October 20, 2025, the cotton picking progress in Xinjiang was about 67.9%. In August, India's cotton import volume increased by 8.4% month - on - month and 33.9% year - on - year [30]. 3.3 Third Part: Market Review - **Futures Market Review** - **Apple 2601**: The closing price was 8794, a decrease of 0.63% [30][31]. - **Red Dates 2601**: The closing price was 11265, a decrease of 1.01% [30][31]. - **Sugar 2601**: The closing price was 5426, a decrease of 0.22% [31]. - **Pulp 2511**: The closing price was 4854, unchanged [31]. - **Cotton 2601**: The closing price was 13535, a decrease of 0.04% [31]. - **Spot Market Review** - **Apple**: The spot price was 3.75 yuan per catty, unchanged month - on - month and an increase of 0.55 yuan year - on - year [37]. - **Red Dates**: The spot price was 9.40 yuan per kilogram, a month - on - month decrease of 0.10 yuan and a year - on - year decrease of 5.30 yuan [37]. - **Sugar**: The spot price was 5750 yuan per ton, a month - on - month decrease of 20 yuan and a year - on - year decrease of 790 yuan [37]. - **Pulp**: The spot price of Shandong Yinxing pulp was 5550 yuan per ton, unchanged month - on - month and a year - on - year decrease of 700 yuan [37]. - **Offset Paper**: The spot price of Taiyang Tianyang offset paper in Tianjin was 4450 yuan per ton, unchanged month - on - month and a year - on - year decrease of 450 yuan [37]. - **Cotton**: The spot price was 14772 yuan per ton, a month - on - month increase of 44 yuan and a year - on - year decrease of 671 yuan [37]. 3.4 Fourth Part: Basis Situation The content mainly presents relevant basis charts, but no specific text summary information is provided. 3.5 Fifth Part: Inter - month Spread Situation - **Apple**: The 1 - 5 spread was - 513, with a month - on - month decrease of 54 and a year - on - year decrease of 123. It is expected to fluctuate and decline, and it is recommended to short at high levels [56]. - **Red Dates**: The 9 - 1 spread was 125, with a month - on - month increase of 150 and a year - on - year decrease of 240. It is expected to fluctuate within a range, and it is recommended to wait and see [56]. - **Sugar**: The 1 - 5 spread was 43, with a month - on - month increase of 1 and a year - on - year increase of 27. It is expected to fluctuate, and it is recommended to wait and see [56]. - **Cotton**: The 1 - 5 spread was - 40, with a month - on - month increase of 20 and a year - on - year increase of 30. It is expected to fluctuate within a range, and it is recommended to short at high levels [56]. 3.6 Sixth Part: Futures Positioning Situation The content mainly presents relevant positioning charts, but no specific text summary information is provided. 3.7 Seventh Part: Futures Warehouse Receipt Situation - **Apple**: The number of warehouse receipts was 0, unchanged month - on - month and year - on - year [89]. - **Red Dates**: The number of warehouse receipts was 0, unchanged month - on - month and year - on - year [89]. - **Sugar**: The number of warehouse receipts was 8313, a month - on - month decrease of 63 and a year - on - year decrease of 1344 [89]. - **Pulp**: The number of warehouse receipts was 226269, a month - on - month decrease of 141 and a year - on - year decrease of 164017 [89]. - **Cotton**: The number of warehouse receipts was 2565, a month - on - month decrease of 14 and a year - on - year decrease of 1109 [89]. 3.8 Eighth Part: Option - related Data The content mainly presents relevant option charts, but no specific text summary information is provided.

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