Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The total revenue for the full year approached EUR 37 billion, up 11% year-on-year [33] - Cloud revenue grew 26% year-on-year, primarily driven by the strong performance of the Cloud ERP Suite, which increased by 32% [32][33] - The current cloud backlog reached EUR 21 billion, up 25%, while the total cloud backlog grew 30% to a record EUR 77 billion [31][32] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Cloud ERP Suite accounted for 86% of total cloud revenue for the year, highlighting its significance as a growth engine [33] - Software licenses revenue decreased by 27%, indicating a shift in focus towards cloud offerings [33] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The U.S. public sector was one of the best-performing businesses in Q4, showing resilience despite geopolitical tensions [41] - The company noted that customers are increasingly exploring sovereign software-as-a-service solutions due to geopolitical factors [31] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company emphasized its transformation strategy, "RISE and GROW with SAP," as core pillars for large-scale enterprises and mid-sized companies [30] - AI and the Business Data Cloud are becoming significant contributors to customer decisions and deal activity, with large cloud transactions contributing a record 71% to cloud order entry in Q4 [30] - The company plans to further develop its SAP Sovereign Cloud Infrastructure to meet growing demand for sovereignty and resilience in software solutions [39] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's outlook for 2026, despite challenges faced in 2025 due to geopolitical tensions [28][30] - The company anticipates total revenue growth to accelerate, supported by the foundation built in previous years [37] - Management highlighted the importance of reskilling employees to adapt to the changing landscape influenced by AI [24] Other Important Information - The company announced a new two-year share repurchase program of up to EUR 10 billion, reflecting confidence in sustainable business strengths [36] - Free cash flow for the full year was EUR 8.2 billion, at the high end of the revised outlook range, indicating strong cash management [35] Q&A Session Summary Question: Are there hurdles in the U.S. due to geopolitical tensions? - Management noted that the U.S. public sector performed well in Q4, and customers are less concerned about the origin of the software as long as it meets regulatory standards [41] Question: Are solutions intended to replace non-European providers? - Management clarified that the focus is on competitiveness and delivering stronger AI solutions rather than replacing specific providers [43] Question: How do U.S. tariffs affect the business? - Management stated there are no direct tariffs on software or services, and the company hopes this remains the case [58] Question: Why is the company starting a share buyback program instead of investing in future revenue? - Management explained that share buybacks are part of a strategy to return capital to shareholders while maintaining flexibility for future investments in technology [59][60]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total revenue for the full year approached EUR 37 billion, up 11% year-on-year [33] - Cloud revenue grew 26% year-on-year, primarily driven by the strong performance of Cloud ERP Suite, which increased by 32% [32][33] - Non-IFRS basic earnings per share increased by 36% to €6.15 [37] - Free cash flow for the full year was EUR 8.2 billion, at the high end of the revised outlook range [36] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Cloud ERP Suite accounted for 86% of total cloud revenue for the year, highlighting its importance as a growth engine [33] - Software licenses revenue decreased by 27%, indicating a shift in focus towards cloud solutions [33] - The current cloud backlog reached EUR 21 billion, up 25%, while total cloud backlog grew 30% to a record EUR 77 billion [31][32] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The public cloud business grew five times faster than the private cloud business, showcasing a significant shift in customer preferences [5] - The company reported its best bookings result in Q4, contributing to a strong finish for the year [3][10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company emphasizes AI and the Business Data Cloud as core components of its transformation strategy, aiming to enhance customer decision-making and deal activity [30] - The strategy includes a focus on large-scale enterprises and high-growth mid-sized companies undergoing complex transformations [30] - The company plans to further develop its SAP Sovereign Cloud Infrastructure to meet growing demand for sovereign software solutions [40] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to navigate geopolitical tensions and emphasized the importance of operational discipline [29][39] - The outlook for 2026 includes expectations for total revenue growth to accelerate, supported by the foundation built in 2025 [38] - Management acknowledged the challenges faced in 2025 but highlighted the resilience demonstrated in cloud revenue performance [51] Other Important Information - The company announced a new two-year share repurchase program of up to EUR 10 billion, reflecting confidence in sustainable business strengths [36][37] - The company is committed to reskilling its workforce to adapt to the changing landscape influenced by AI [25] Q&A Session Questions and Answers Question: Are there hurdles in the U.S. due to growing tensions between countries? - Management noted that the U.S. public sector performed well in Q4, with customers less concerned about the origin of the software as long as regulatory standards are met [42][43] Question: Are solutions intended to diversify or replace offerings from non-European providers? - Management clarified that the focus is on competitiveness rather than replacing non-European offerings, emphasizing the need for stronger AI capabilities [44] Question: How do geopolitical tensions impact the business outlook? - Management indicated that the 2025 environment is considered the new normal, with resilience shown despite geopolitical challenges [51][52] Question: What is the rationale behind the share buyback program? - Management explained that share buybacks are part of a balanced approach to capital returns, alongside potential future M&A for technological advancements [60][62]

In the fourth quarter, Klein said SAP delivered its best bookings result of the year, with lower churn than expected and stable discounting. He also highlighted the company’s multi-year transformation around RISE and GROW with SAP, describing it as a shift from “lift and shift” migrations toward helping customers transform their businesses.CEO Christian Klein said SAP achieved its outlook for cloud and software in 2025 despite what he described as a “rough start” in the first half, citing geopolitical tensi ...

Summary of SAP 2025 Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: SAP (NYSE: SAP) - **Event**: 2025 Conference Call - **Date**: December 03, 2025 Key Industry Insights - **AI Integration**: SAP emphasizes the importance of integrating application data and AI to create a seamless experience for customers, enhancing productivity and efficiency across various business functions [4][6][10] - **Business Transformation**: The company is focused on transforming business applications with AI, aiming to improve user efficiency and enable autonomous execution of tasks [12][13][15] - **Competitive Landscape**: SAP believes that best-of-breed players will struggle in the future as customers prefer integrated solutions that provide comprehensive end-to-end business processes [23][43] Core Company Strategies - **Application Data and AI Flywheel**: SAP's strategy revolves around creating a harmonized application data and AI layer that maximizes value for customers by eliminating silos [4][6][24] - **AI Assistant and Autonomous Execution**: The introduction of AI assistants aims to enhance user productivity, leading to autonomous execution of tasks as trust in AI grows [12][13][15] - **Business Technology Platform**: SAP's Business Technology Platform allows integration with non-SAP applications and the development of custom solutions, enhancing flexibility for customers [9][10] Financial Metrics and Growth - **Cloud Customer Base**: SAP has over 34,000 cloud customers utilizing SAP Business AI, with 400 premium AI use cases and 40 Joule agents deployed [30][31] - **Revenue Potential**: The peak support revenue was EUR 11.9 billion in 2022, with a significant runway for ERP cloud conversion expected to generate additional revenue [49][50] Product Development and Innovation - **Business Data Cloud**: Launched for general availability in April, this product has seen strong traction and is positioned as a SaaS service that simplifies data management and governance [52][56] - **Agent Builder**: This tool allows customers to create their own agents, enhancing customization and adaptability in their operations [33] Customer Engagement and Business Model - **Outcome-Based Licensing**: SAP is shifting towards an outcome-based business model, which resonates well with customers as it focuses on value realization rather than user count [25][26][28] - **Upsell Opportunities**: The transition to cloud ERP is expected to lead to significant upsell opportunities in related products like Business Technology Platform and Business Data Cloud [60][61] Competitive Positioning - **Differentiation from Competitors**: SAP differentiates itself from competitors like Oracle by focusing on end-to-end cloud applications and business processes rather than infrastructure [41][42] - **Partnerships and Collaborations**: Strategic partnerships with companies like Databricks and Snowflake enhance SAP's data capabilities and provide customers with more options [54][68] Conclusion - SAP is strategically positioned to leverage AI and integrated solutions to enhance customer value, streamline operations, and maintain a competitive edge in the evolving software landscape. The focus on outcome-based models and comprehensive product offerings is expected to drive future growth and customer satisfaction [24][25][28][60]

Core Insights - SAP SE reported third-quarter 2025 non-IFRS earnings of €1.59 ($1.86) per share, a 29% increase year-over-year, although below the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.69 [1] - Total revenues on a non-IFRS basis reached €9.08 billion ($10.6 billion), marking a 7% year-over-year increase (11% at constant currency), slightly above the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $10.56 billion [1][2] Revenue Growth and Cloud Strategy - The cloud backlog surged 23% (27% at constant currency) to €18.8 billion, indicating strong market demand [3] - The Cloud and software segment, which constitutes 88.3% of total revenues, generated €8.02 billion, an 8% year-over-year increase (12% at constant currency) [3] - Cloud revenues reached €5.29 billion, up 22% year-over-year (27% at constant currency), driven by a 26% growth in Cloud ERP Suite revenues [4] Client Adoption and Market Expansion - The "RISE with SAP" program saw significant adoption among global organizations, including notable clients like Alphabet and Nestlé [5][6] - Major customer wins included engagements from brands such as BMW, Volkswagen Mexico, and Panasonic, showcasing SAP's expanding clientele [7] Financial Performance and Margins - Non-IFRS gross profit increased 7% year-over-year to €6.7 billion, with cloud gross profit rising 24% to €3.97 billion [10] - Non-IFRS operating profit rose 14% to €2.57 billion, with an operating margin of 28.3% [10] Cash Flow and Share Repurchase - As of September 30, 2025, SAP's cash and cash equivalents stood at €9.9 billion, up from €7.94 billion in June [11] - The company generated operating cash of €1.5 billion, a 7% increase year-over-year, and free cash flow rose 5% to €1.27 billion [11][12] Updated Financial Outlook - SAP revised its full-year 2025 guidance, expecting cloud revenue to be near the low end of €21.6–€21.9 billion, reflecting a 26–28% increase from 2024 [14] - The company anticipates non-IFRS operating profit near the high end of €10.3–€10.6 billion, up 26–30% from 2024 [15]

Core Viewpoint - SAP's third-quarter financial results showed overall stability, but cloud business revenue fell short of market expectations, leading to a post-market stock drop of approximately 4% [1][3]. Financial Performance - Operating profit increased by 12% to €2.49 billion, with an operating margin rising by 1.3 percentage points to 27.4%. Non-IFRS operating profit grew by 14% to €2.57 billion, with a constant currency growth of 19% [4]. - Basic earnings per share (EPS) rose by 37% to €1.72 under IFRS, and by 29% to €1.59 under non-IFRS, exceeding analyst expectations of €1.49 [5]. - Operating cash flow grew by 7% to €1.5 billion, while free cash flow increased by 5% to €1.27 billion [5]. Cloud Business Insights - Cloud business backlog orders grew by 23% to €18.84 billion, with a constant currency growth of 27% [5]. - Cloud revenue increased by 22% to €5.29 billion, but fell short of analyst expectations of €5.33 billion; cloud ERP suite revenue grew by 26% to €4.59 billion, with a constant currency growth of 31% [5]. - Cloud business gross profit rose by 24% to €3.95 billion under IFRS, and by 24% to €3.97 billion under non-IFRS, with a constant currency growth of 28% [9]. Revenue Breakdown - Total revenue from cloud and software grew by 8% to €8.02 billion, with a constant currency growth of 12% [7]. - Service revenue increased by 2% to €1.06 billion, with a constant currency growth of 6%. Overall revenue grew by 7% to €9.08 billion, with a constant currency growth of 11% [8]. - Software licensing revenue declined by 43% to €160 million, with a constant currency decline of 42% [6]. Future Outlook - For 2025, SAP expects cloud revenue to be at the lower end of the guidance range, between €21.6 billion and €21.9 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 26% to 28% [11]. - Non-IFRS operating profit is projected to be at the upper end of the guidance range, between €10.3 billion and €10.6 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 26% to 30% [12]. - Free cash flow is anticipated to be between €8 billion and €8.2 billion [13]. Market Context - SAP's stock has declined approximately 9% over the past three months, and the company was previously seen as a potential challenger to the U.S. tech giants [14][16]. - The CEO highlighted strong cloud revenue growth of 27% and expressed confidence in achieving faster overall revenue growth by 2026 [17]. - Analysts noted that trade disputes and economic weakness have impacted sales, particularly from manufacturing clients [18][19].

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q3 2025, cloud revenue rose by 27%, marking five consecutive quarters of growth exceeding 25% [5][20] - Total revenue increased by 11% to €9.1 billion, with a share of predictable revenue rising to 87% [21][24] - Current cloud backlog exceeded €18.8 billion, up 27% [20] - Free cash flow increased by 5% to €1.3 billion, while operating profit rose by 19% to €2.6 billion [24] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The cloud ERP suite delivered 31% growth in Q3, representing 87% of cloud revenues [20] - Software licenses revenue decreased by 42% in Q3, indicating a shift towards cloud solutions [21] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Cloud revenue performance was particularly strong in APJ and EMEA regions, with Brazil, France, Germany, India, Italy, and South Korea showing outstanding performance [22] - The U.S. public sector is showing early signs of improvement, with SAP NS2 awarded a major framework contract [10][21] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to accelerate total revenue growth through 2027, leveraging AI as a key enabler [4][18] - SAP's strategy focuses on providing software and cloud solutions without building infrastructure, partnering with cloud infrastructure providers instead [10][60] - The company is enhancing its AI capabilities, integrating AI into business processes to create high-value use cases [11][62] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the Q4 pipeline, noting that many deals are returning, particularly in the U.S. public sector and manufacturing [30][33] - The company anticipates reaching the lower end of its cloud revenue outlook for fiscal year 2025 due to delayed bookings but expects to exceed its operating profit target [25][24] Other Important Information - The acquisition of SmartRecruiters was completed, strengthening SAP's capabilities in talent acquisition [20] - The company is focusing on high-quality data and AI integration to enhance customer value [48][62] Q&A Session Summary Question: Update on demand backdrop in U.S. public sector and manufacturing - Management noted positive early signs in the U.S. public sector and a strong Q4 pipeline, indicating a return of stalled deals [30][33] Question: Insights on backlog and cloud revenue expectations - Management expressed confidence in achieving a good Q4 and maintaining a strong pipeline for cloud revenue growth [35][52] Question: Uptake of SAP ERP transition option - Management indicated positive momentum in the pipeline, with high interest in the transition option helping to accelerate cloud adoption [39][41] Question: Competitive position versus Oracle - Management emphasized that SAP's strategy remains effective, focusing on software and cloud rather than infrastructure [60][62] Question: Free cash flow guidance and expectations - Management highlighted that Q4 cash flow may be impacted by tax payments and working capital fluctuations, but overall cash conversion remains strong [56][57]

Core Thesis - SAP SE is positioned as a leading enterprise software company that has successfully transitioned to a cloud-first model, enhancing its growth potential and market visibility [2][5]. Financial Performance - As of October 10th, SAP's share price was $265.53, with trailing and forward P/E ratios of 41.67 and 33.11 respectively [1]. - Cloud revenue increased by 26% year-over-year, while cloud ERP grew by 33% year-over-year, indicating strong demand for its services [4]. - The cloud backlog has risen nearly 30% to €18 billion, providing visibility for future growth [4]. - Free cash flow is expected to rebound to €8 billion in FY2025, supported by expanding margins and a solid net cash position [4]. Customer Retention and Market Position - Over 85% of new bookings are cloud-based, with a customer retention rate exceeding 98%, which creates significant switching costs and a durable competitive advantage [3][4]. - SAP's systems are deeply integrated into corporate workflows, reinforcing its position in the market [3]. Growth Strategy - The company aims for long-term double-digit growth through the migration of over 300,000 customers to cloud subscriptions, expansion of AI features, and entry into new verticals and SMEs [5]. - Investment cycles are winding down, and operational efficiency is expected to improve as cloud operations scale [5]. Market Perception - Despite being undervalued in U.S. markets due to its operational complexity and European roots, SAP is recognized for its scale, resilience, and potential for compounding growth [5][6]. - The stock has depreciated approximately 9.23% since previous bullish coverage, but the long-term growth thesis remains intact [7].

Core Insights - SAP reported Q3 earnings of $1.85 per share, exceeding analyst expectations of $1.69, while quarterly revenue was $10.54 billion, slightly below the estimate of $10.57 billion [2][4]. Financial Performance - Cloud revenue grew by 22%, and 27% when adjusted for constant currencies [5]. - Cloud ERP Suite revenue increased by 26%, and 31% at constant currencies [5]. - Total revenue rose by 7%, and 11% at constant currencies [5]. - IFRS operating profit increased by 12%, while non-IFRS operating profit rose by 14%, and 19% at constant currencies [5]. Market Position and Outlook - CEO Christian Klein highlighted strong cloud revenue growth of 27% and emphasized gaining market share as customers adopt solutions across the Business Suite [4]. - The current cloud backlog stands at $21.8 billion, reflecting a 23% increase, and a 27% increase at constant currencies [5]. - The company expressed confidence in its revenue growth ambitions for 2026, supported by a strong pipeline for Q4 [4].