Core Insights - Mondelez International, Inc. is expected to report a significant decline in adjusted profit for Q3, with an anticipated EPS of $0.73, down 26.3% year-over-year from $0.99 [2] - The company has a mixed earnings surprise history, having surpassed bottom-line estimates three times in the past four quarters but missing once [2] - For the full fiscal year 2025, adjusted EPS is projected to be $3.02, a decrease of 10.1% from $3.36 in 2024, with a rebound expected in fiscal 2026 to $3.31, reflecting a 9.6% year-over-year increase [3] Stock Performance - Mondelez's stock has declined 14.3% over the past 52 weeks, underperforming compared to the Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund's 4.6% decline and the S&P 500 Index's 13.5% gain [4] - Following the release of better-than-expected Q2 results, Mondelez's stock dropped 6.6% in the subsequent trading session and continued to show negative momentum for five more sessions [5] Revenue and Market Performance - The company reported a notable 7.7% year-over-year revenue growth, reaching nearly $9 billion, which was 1.2% above market expectations, driven by strong performance in Europe, Asia, the Middle East, and Africa [5] - However, sales in North American and Latin American markets have been on a downward trend [5] Cost Pressures - Rising raw material costs have contributed to a 12% year-over-year drop in adjusted EPS to $0.73, although this figure exceeded consensus estimates by 7.4% [6] - The company's outlook remains dim due to pressures from increasing cocoa prices, despite solid performance in Q2 [6]

Summary of Treehouse Foods Conference Call Company Overview - Treehouse Foods is a leading private brand food manufacturer in North America, involved in a wide range of product categories from opening price point to national brand equivalents [2][12] - The company has undergone a transformation focusing on portfolio optimization, stronger operating capabilities, and improved balance sheet, aiming for dependable profit growth by 2025 [2] Industry Insights - The food industry is currently experiencing flat growth, particularly in the top quartile, but Treehouse sees this as a unique opportunity for growth [4] - Private label products have shown consistent growth over the past few decades, particularly in snacking and beverage categories [4][5][6] - The COVID-19 pandemic temporarily disrupted growth, but the private label segment rebounded quickly post-stimulus [5][6] Market Dynamics - Private label penetration is increasing across various demographics, especially among Gen Z and Millennials [7] - Retail partners are leveraging private label to build customer loyalty, with Walmart being a significant player in this space [9][10] - Retailers like Aldi and Costco are expanding their private label offerings, indicating a growing trend [10] Financial Performance and Projections - For 2025, Treehouse expects adjusted net sales between $3.34 billion and $3.4 billion, reflecting a slight decline in volume mix but offset by pricing strategies [45] - EBITDA is projected to be between $345 million and $375 million, showing year-over-year improvement driven by supply chain savings and margin management [47] Strategic Initiatives - The company is focusing on supply chain improvements, including the implementation of the Treehouse Management Operating System (TMOS) to enhance operational efficiency [26][27] - Procurement cost savings have been a significant driver of margin improvement, leveraging scale to negotiate better pricing on ingredients and packaging [29] - Treehouse is streamlining its logistics network to reduce distribution points and improve service to customers [30] Margin Management - The company aims to maximize plant utilization and eliminate complexity in its operations to enhance margins [32][33] - Recent organizational changes have been made to improve customer focus and decision-making speed [34] Capital Allocation - Treehouse prioritizes investing in the business for risk-adjusted returns, with a focus on organic growth through capital expenditures and potential bolt-on acquisitions [38][39] - The acquisition of Harris Tea is highlighted as a strategic move to enhance capabilities in the tea category [42] Conclusion - Treehouse Foods is positioned to capitalize on the growing private label market, with a focus on operational efficiency and margin management to drive profitability [48][49] - The company is confident in its ability to navigate the current economic environment and deliver solid financial performance moving forward [49][56]