Creative Cloud Pro
Search documents
Adobe Drops 36% in a Year: Can AI Push Help the Stock Recover?
ZACKS· 2025-11-20 17:05
Core Insights - Adobe's shares have declined 36.3% over the past year, underperforming the Zacks Computer and Technology sector's return of 23.9% and the Zacks Computer – Software industry's appreciation of 9.5% [1][8] - The underperformance is attributed to modest growth prospects due to intense competition in the AI and generative AI sectors from companies like Microsoft, Alphabet, Salesforce, and others [1][15] Financial Performance - Adobe's annual recurring revenues (ARR) influenced by AI surpassed $5 billion, with new AI-first products generating over $250 million in ARR [6][8] - The company raised its fiscal 2025 revenue guidance to between $23.65 billion and $23.7 billion, up from the previous range of $23.5-$23.6 billion [11] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2025 revenues is pegged at $23.67 billion, indicating a 10.1% growth from 2024 [12] AI Business Growth - Strong demand for AI-powered products like Creative Cloud Pro and Acrobat is driving growth, with monthly active users of Acrobat and Express growing approximately 25% year over year [7][8] - The Creative Professionals segment is benefiting from increased usage of AI in applications like Photoshop and Premiere Pro [8][9] - The integrated GenStudio solution and other AI services now exceed $1 billion in ARR, growing more than 25% year over year [10] Competitive Landscape - Adobe's AI business remains small compared to competitors like Microsoft and Alphabet, which are seeing significant growth in their AI services [15] - Microsoft and Alphabet have reported returns of 17.3% and 68.3%, respectively, while Salesforce has seen a decline of 30% [2][15] Valuation Concerns - Adobe's Value Score is C, indicating a stretched valuation, trading at 11.31X price/book compared to the sector's 10.13X and competitors like Microsoft and Alphabet [16] - The stock is currently trading below the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, suggesting a bearish trend [21]
Adobe Drops 10% in a Month: Buy, Sell or Hold ADBE Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-10-17 17:31
Core Insights - Adobe's shares have declined 10.4% in the past month, underperforming the Zacks Computer and Technology sector's return of 1.3% and the Zacks Computer – Software industry's appreciation of 0.1% [1][7] - The underperformance is attributed to modest growth prospects due to stiff competition in the AI and generative AI space from major players like Microsoft, Alphabet, and Salesforce [1][19] Stock Performance - Adobe shares have underperformed compared to Microsoft, Alphabet, and Salesforce in the past 30 days, with Microsoft and Salesforce returning 0.6% and 0.7%, respectively, while Alphabet declined by 0.2% [2] - Currently, Adobe shares are trading below the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, indicating a bearish trend [9] Valuation Metrics - Adobe has a Value Score of C, indicating a stretched valuation, trading at a Price/Book ratio of 11.71X compared to the broader sector's 11.28X, Microsoft's 11.07X, Alphabet's 8.38X, and Salesforce's 3.82X [5] AI Business Growth - Adobe's AI-driven annual recurring revenues (ARR) surpassed $5 billion, with new AI-first products reaching a milestone of over $250 million [7][13] - The Digital Media ARR increased by 11.7% year over year at constant currency, driven by strong demand for AI-powered Creative Cloud Pro and Acrobat [14] - The Creative Professionals business benefited from increased demand for AI in Photoshop, Premiere Pro, and Illustrator, while the Marketing professionals business saw ARR growth of over 40% year over year [15][16] Financial Guidance - Adobe raised its fiscal 2025 revenue guidance to between $23.65 billion and $23.7 billion, up from the previous range of $23.5-$23.6 billion, and expects non-GAAP earnings between $20.80 and $20.85 per share [17] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2025 revenues is pegged at $23.67 billion, indicating a 10.1% growth from fiscal 2024 [18] Competitive Landscape - Adobe's AI business is significantly smaller compared to competitors like Microsoft and Alphabet, which reported revenue growth of 18.1% and 13.8% year-over-year, respectively, compared to Adobe's 10.7% [19][20] - Adobe's net income margin contracted by 150 basis points, while Microsoft and Alphabet saw expansions of 160 and 140 basis points, respectively [20]
Adobe:接住这把掉落的刀
美股研究社· 2025-09-16 12:48
Core Viewpoint - Adobe reported strong quarterly performance with revenue growth of 11% year-over-year, reaching $5.99 billion, exceeding Wall Street expectations by $80 million [1] - Non-GAAP EPS increased by 14% to $5.31, surpassing analyst estimates by $0.13 [1] - Free cash flow was $2.126 billion, an 8% year-over-year increase [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The total number of outstanding shares decreased by approximately 5% year-over-year due to active stock buybacks, resulting in a 14% increase in free cash flow per share [2] - Operating cash flow reached $2.2 billion, marking a record high for the third quarter [2] - Digital media segment revenue rose to $4.46 billion, accounting for 74% of total revenue, driven by strong demand for AI products like Creative Cloud Pro and Acrobat [4] Group 2: AI Integration and Product Development - Adobe continues to integrate AI into products such as Photoshop, Premiere Pro, and Illustrator, enhancing features in the Firefly application [5] - Firefly's monthly active users grew by 30%, with millions of downloads since its launch, and a 20% increase in users subscribing through Firefly [7] - The company is leveraging third-party AI models to enhance its offerings, allowing users to select suitable models within Adobe applications [5] Group 3: Market Position and Future Outlook - Digital experience business revenue reached a record high of $1.48 billion, with subscription revenue hitting $1.37 billion, an 11% year-over-year increase [10] - Management's initial forecast for AI product annual recurring revenue (ARR) of $25 million for FY 2025 was exceeded in Q3 2025 [14] - Adobe's current valuation is considered low, with a forward P/E ratio of approximately 15 and a free cash flow yield of about 6.5% [14] Group 4: Competitive Landscape and Strategic Partnerships - Adobe has not faced significant market share loss or major issues in AI commercialization, indicating a strong competitive position [11] - The company is expanding partnerships with firms like Accenture, IBM, and Infosys, with a 60% year-over-year increase in cross-cloud transactions [15] - Over 40% of the top 50 enterprise accounts have doubled their ARR spending since the start of FY 2023 [15]
ADBE's AI Push Gains Traction: Buy or Hold the Stock Post Q3 Earnings?
ZACKS· 2025-09-15 17:20
Core Insights - Adobe's strategy of integrating AI into its product offerings is significantly contributing to its growth, as evidenced by the third-quarter fiscal 2025 results, with annual recurring revenues (ARR) surpassing $5 billion [1][7] - The company has raised its fiscal 2025 revenue guidance to between $23.65 billion and $23.7 billion, reflecting strong performance driven by AI initiatives [5][7] Financial Performance - Adobe's Digital Media ARR increased by 11.7% year over year at constant currency, fueled by demand for AI-powered products like Creative Cloud Pro and Acrobat [2][3] - The monthly active users of Acrobat and Express grew approximately 25% year over year in the Business Professionals and Consumers segment [2] - ARR from new AI-first products, including Firefly and Acrobat AI Assistant, reached over $250 million, meeting the company's end-of-year target [1][7] Product and Market Dynamics - The Creative Professionals segment benefited from increased demand for AI features in Photoshop, Premiere Pro, and Illustrator, contributing to the growth of the Creative Cloud Pro offering [3] - The Marketing Professionals segment saw ARR growth of over 40% year over year, driven by strong demand for Adobe Experience Platform and its native applications [3] - Integrated solutions like Workfront, Frame, AEM Assets, Firefly Services, and GenStudio for performance marketing now exceed $1 billion in ARR, growing more than 25% year over year [4] Competitive Landscape - Adobe's shares have declined 21.5% year to date, underperforming the broader Zacks Computer and Technology sector and the Computer – Software industry [7][11] - Compared to competitors like Microsoft and Alphabet, which reported higher revenue growth rates of 18.1% and 13.8% respectively, Adobe's revenue growth of 10.7% in the recent quarter is lagging [10] - Adobe's AI business remains small compared to major players like Microsoft and Salesforce, which are experiencing significant growth in their AI offerings [9] Valuation and Market Sentiment - Adobe's current valuation is considered stretched, with a Price/Book ratio of 12.59, higher than the sector average and competitors [14] - The stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, indicating a bearish trend in the market [17]
全球科技业绩快报:AdobeFY3Q25
Haitong Securities International· 2025-09-15 03:40
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for Adobe, but it indicates a positive outlook based on performance exceeding market expectations and a stock price increase of over 3% after earnings release [1][5]. Core Insights - Adobe's FY3Q25 total revenue reached $5.99 billion, a 10% year-over-year increase, slightly surpassing market expectations of $5.95 billion. Non-GAAP earnings per share were $5.31, a 14% increase year-over-year, also above the expected $5.25 [1][5]. - The growth in the third quarter was primarily driven by AI innovation and increased demand for enterprise-level automation, with Digital Media revenue at $4.46 billion (up 11% YoY) and Digital Experience revenue at $1.48 billion (up 9% YoY) [2][6]. - AI-related Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) surpassed $5 billion for the first time, marking a growth of over 43% from $3.5 billion at the end of 2024, with new ARR from AI-first products exceeding $250 million in the quarter [4][8]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Adobe's total revenue for FY3Q25 was $5.99 billion, a 10% increase YoY, and non-GAAP EPS was $5.31, a 14% increase YoY. RPO was $20.44 billion, up 13% YoY, with cRPO growing by 10% [1][5]. Business Segments - Digital Media business revenue was $4.46 billion, up 11% YoY, driven by Creative Cloud Pro and Firefly Services. Digital Experience revenue was $1.48 billion, up 9% YoY, with significant contributions from the Adobe Experience Platform [2][6][7]. AI Strategy - Adobe is focusing on a dual-track strategy of "AI-infused" and "AI-first" to enhance its market leadership. The company aims to improve ARPU and operational efficiency through various AI-driven products and services [10][11]. Guidance and Outlook - The company raised its Q4 revenue guidance to $6.075 - $6.125 billion and increased the full-year revenue range to $23.65 - $23.70 billion, reflecting management's cautious optimism about macro and industry uncertainties [3][11].