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FSD神话褪色:当“老司机”遇上中国马路
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-09 03:50
炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报,权威,专业,及时,全面,助您挖掘潜力主题机会! 来源:杰哥科技眼 2026年2月,特斯拉FSD自动辅助驾驶套件在中国已推送近一年,舆论却两极撕裂:一边是"遥遥领 先"的拥趸,称其"像真人开车";另一边是车主晒出的罚单合集——压线、闯红灯、误入非机动车 道,"驾照分不够扣"。 FSD到底被神化了吗?它是中国路况的最佳解吗? 一、FSD的"人味",是优势也是软肋 必须承认,FSD有其惊艳之处。 纯视觉方案下,它能在无车道线的路口靠右行驶,能丝滑变道、预判加塞,红灯前缓缓刹停如老司机 ——这种"拟人感",远超多数依赖高精地图+激光雷达的国产智驾。 其底层逻辑也足够先进:端到端神经网络+世界模型,让AI通过观看数百万小时人类驾驶视频"自学成 才",而非执行预设规则。这使其在开放道路具备强泛化能力,甚至能模仿大货车路线试探前行,展现 出某种"思考感"。 但问题恰恰出在这里:太像人,也会犯人的错。 在美国空旷高速上,FSD可零接管穿越4397公里;但在中国,它会在实线前"效率优先"强行变道,在左 转专用车道直行,在斑马线前因行人犹豫而长时间停滞。更危险的是,它对"中国特有元素"几近失明: 外卖骑 ...
汽车行业周报:小米SU7 Ultra上市,关注产业链机会
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the automotive industry [2] Core Viewpoints - The launch of Xiaomi SU7 Ultra at a significantly reduced price of 529,900 RMB, down from the pre-sale price of 814,900 RMB, is expected to drive substantial growth in the supply chain [5][11] - The SU7 Ultra has received over 15,000 pre-orders within a day, indicating strong market demand and a projected delivery volume that will exceed the initial estimate of 10,000 units for 2025 [5][11] - The report highlights advancements in intelligent driving technology, with notable updates from Tesla and Chery, indicating a competitive landscape in the smart driving segment [12][13] Industry Dynamics - **Industry News**: Significant progress in FSD (Full Self-Driving) technology in China, with software updates starting from February 25 [12] - **New Models**: The report lists several new vehicle launches, including the Xiaomi SU7 Ultra, which is a fully electric sedan [31] - **Company Announcements**: Changan Automobile's subsidiary Avita Technology has completed a significant equity purchase from Huawei, indicating strategic partnerships in the industry [33] Market Performance - The automotive sector underperformed the broader market, with a decline of 2.72% from February 24 to February 28, 2025, compared to a 2.22% drop in the CSI 300 index [34][41] - The report notes a decrease in the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio for the automotive sector, which stood at 28.1 times as of February 28, 2025 [41] Data Tracking - **Monthly Data**: In January 2025, retail sales of passenger vehicles reached 1.794 million units, a year-on-year decrease of 12.01% [44][52] - **New Energy Vehicles**: Retail sales of new energy passenger vehicles were 744,000 units in January, with a penetration rate of 41.5%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 8.73 percentage points [52][57] - **Intelligent Driving Penetration**: The penetration rate for vehicles equipped with L2.5 and above intelligent driving systems reached a historical high of 14.39% in December 2024 [59]