JD.com, Inc. | Asia Pacific 2Q25 Preview - Most Affected by the Food Delivery War | What's Changed | | | | --- | --- | --- | | JD.com, Inc. (JD.O) | From | To | | Price Target | US$39.00 | US$28.00 | We expect JD to have invested over Rmb10bn in food delivery in 2Q25, leading to a 63% YoY decline in non-GAAP NP. However, we see no signs of cross-selling or other synergies from such an investment to the core EC business, given no meaningful JDR revenue growth acceleration QoQ or margin improvement. 2Q25 prev ...

Core Viewpoint - DoorDash is increasing service fees for deliveries in Seattle due to new city regulations affecting app-based worker pay and account deactivations, which the company claims are leading to higher operational costs [1][2][5]. Group 1: Service Fee Increase - The specific amount of the fee increase has not been disclosed, but it will take effect later this month, impacting customers already facing high delivery costs [2]. - This is not the first price hike; DoorDash previously implemented a flat $5 service fee following a 2022 law guaranteeing minimum wage for app-based workers in Seattle [7]. Group 2: Impact of Regulations - Seattle's law mandates that delivery workers earn nearly $30 an hour before tips and mileage, which is significantly above the minimum wage [5]. - The company has reported a substantial decline in business due to these regulations, with Dashers receiving half as many delivery offers and experiencing three times longer wait times for potential deliveries [8]. Group 3: Financial Performance - DoorDash reported operating at a loss in Seattle in 2024, despite generating $10.7 billion in revenue nationwide [10]. - Local businesses in Seattle experienced a 2% drop in revenue, contrasting with a 10% increase in cities like Denver, Portland, and San Francisco, where service fees are lower [10].

Group 1 - DoorDash has seen a significant performance increase of over 120% over the last year, approaching all-time highs, indicating strong market interest and potential growth [1] - The company is viewed as a compelling platform business with a long runway for growth, suggesting that there are still opportunities for expansion and profitability [1] - The author has a background in equity and real estate markets, emphasizing a focus on identifying long-only investment opportunities that provide safe and growing dividends [1] Group 2 - The author has extensive experience in real estate investment, having sourced over $100 million in commercial real estate investments, which adds credibility to the analysis of DoorDash [1] - The emphasis on correlation across asset classes and sectors, along with a background in economics, supports the analysis of market trends and investment strategies [1] - The article aims to provide timely analyses and strategies for investors looking to enhance their portfolios, reflecting a commitment to sharing insights on market opportunities [1]

Core Insights - DoorDash Inc. (DASH) experienced a significant trading signal known as Power Inflow, indicating a potential uptrend in its stock price at $216.06, which is crucial for traders following institutional movements [2][6] - The Power Inflow is interpreted as a bullish signal by active traders, suggesting a favorable market condition for DoorDash [3][4] Trading Signal Analysis - The Power Inflow occurred within the first two hours of market open, which typically helps gauge the stock's overall direction for the remainder of the trading day, driven by institutional activity [4] - Following the Power Inflow, DoorDash's stock reached a high price of $221.31 and a close price of $220.59, resulting in returns of 2.4% and 2.1% respectively, highlighting the importance of a structured trading plan [8] Order Flow Analytics - Order flow analytics, which involves analyzing the flow of buy and sell orders, provides insights into market conditions and helps traders identify potential trading opportunities [3][5] - Incorporating order flow analytics into trading strategies can enhance trading performance, although effective risk management remains essential for capital protection [5]

JD.com (JD) shares have plunged 18.5% in the trailing three months, underperforming the Zacks Internet - Commerce industry’s growth of 8% and the Zacks Retail-Wholesale sector’s return of 7%. JD’s underperformance in its shares is driven by a mix of structural and operational challenges that continue to weigh on investor sentiment. While revenue growth remains solid, which increased 16% year over year in the first quarter of 2025, the company is grappling with thinning margins across its core and emerging b ...

Ronald Keung, CFA China Internet & Restaurants: Food delivery expert session takeaways: Focusing on evolving competitive landscape and implications to unit 12 June 2025 | 2:01AM HKT As part of the expert channel-check calls arranged alongside China Consumer team's APAC Consumer & Leisure Corporate Day, we hosted an expert session on food delivery with investors on June 11, where we invited Mr. Shi, CEO & Founder at Yuzhibo Information Technology. Key topics discussed include 1) Enlarged on-demand consumptio ...

Tesla (TSLA 5.66%) is one of the leaders of the electric vehicle (EV) industry, but investors are more focused on its autonomous full self-driving software (FSD), which CEO Elon Musk believes could help it become the most valuable company in the world. But Tesla might be falling behind in the autonomous driving race, at least in terms of commercialization. Uber Technologies (UBER -0.79%) operates the world's biggest ride-hailing network, and it partnered with 18 developers of autonomous vehicles, some of wh ...

Core Insights - Uber Technologies is thriving due to the increasing costs and hassles associated with car ownership, while Carvana offers an affordable alternative for owning a vehicle [1][2] - Despite both companies showing growth, Uber is positioned to benefit from a long-term trend away from car ownership, while Carvana's growth may be more cyclical [10][18] Company Comparisons - Uber controls approximately 75% of the U.S. ride-hailing market and reported $44 billion in revenue for the last year, with an 18% year-over-year growth [3][4] - Carvana reported $13.7 billion in revenue for 2024, reflecting a 27% year-over-year increase, and achieved a net income of $404 million [5][6] - Uber's revenue growth is expected to continue, while Carvana's performance may be influenced by cyclical trends in the used car market [8][18] Market Trends - A Deloitte survey indicates that 44% of U.S. residents under 35 are considering giving up car ownership, highlighting a shift in consumer behavior [10] - The global ride-hailing market is projected to grow at an average annual rate of over 11% through 2033, benefiting Uber [11] - The food delivery industry is also expected to grow at an annualized pace of 17%, presenting additional opportunities for Uber [12] Financial Performance - Carvana's stock has increased by over 200% in the past year, while Uber's shares have not shown significant progress since March of the previous year [7] - Carvana's shares are currently trading 14% above analysts' consensus price, whereas Uber's stock is 16% below the average price target of $97.39 [19] Challenges and Opportunities - Carvana faces challenges due to a lack of inventory in the used car market, which may impact its ability to meet consumer demand [15] - Uber benefits from urban congestion and high car prices, which are likely to sustain demand for ride-hailing services [18] - Carvana's growth potential is limited as it currently accounts for only about 1% of the used car market [16]

In this articleDASHTony Xu, co-founder and CEO of DoorDash Inc., smiles during the Wall Street Journal Tech Live conference in Laguna Beach, California, on Oct. 22, 2019.Martina Albertazzi | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesDuring the depths of the Covid pandemic, with restaurants around the country facing an existential crisis, DoorDash CEO Tony Xu had an unconventional proposal. He wanted to cut commissions.Chief Business Officer Keith Yandell worried that such a move would result in a massive hit to profits ahead ...

JD.com JD.OQ JD US EQUITY: MEDIA & INTERNET Aspires to cultivate a new growth driver from FD JD Retail business remains solid; maintain Buy with a lower TP of USD52 Stronger-than-expected 1Q results; full-year revenue guidance raised JD reported stronger-than-expected 1Q25 results. Its non-GAAP EPS increased 49% y- y, 25%/15% above Bloomberg consensus/our forecasts; and revenue grew 16% y-y, 4% above the consensus estimate of 12% growth. The company also raised the FY25E revenue guidance from "high-single-d ...