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大行评级丨招银国际:看好鸿腾精密AI服务器业务高速发展,目标价升至7.33港元
Ge Long Hui· 2026-02-27 06:31
招银国际发表研报指,展望2026年,看好鸿腾精密AI服务器业务高速发展,认为公司今年将充分受益 于GB300/VR200服务器的架构升级,看好公司在互连、电源、液冷和CPO领域拥有的强大产品线。该行 预料,鸿腾精密AI相关业务收入在2025至2027年将以95%复合增长率增长,到2027年占收入的18%(相 对于去2025年的6%)。 该行预料,2025年第四季收入和净利润分别按年增长6%和21%,相对于第三季按年各增长13%及9%。 由于AI收入结构改善,该行预计鸿腾精密去年第四季毛利率和净利率将按年恢复至20.2%和5%。该行将 其目标价由6.77港元上调至7.33港元,重申"买入"评级,并指公司今年业务前景强劲,AI互联、电源及 散热升级成关键增长动力。 ...
招银国际每日投资策略-20260226
Zhao Yin Guo Ji· 2026-02-26 02:28
Company Analysis - Yancoal Australia (3668 HK) is expected to see a 64% decline in net profit to AUD 440 million in 2025, which is 15% lower than market expectations but 20% higher than internal forecasts due to high sensitivity to profit per unit assumptions [2] - The company announced a final dividend of AUD 0.122 per share, along with an interim dividend of AUD 0.062 per share, resulting in a total payout ratio of 55%, in line with its dividend policy [2] - For 2026, Yancoal's equity sales volume is projected to grow by 3%, but unit cash costs are expected to rise by approximately 1% due to ongoing raw material cost inflation [2] - Coal price expectations for 2026 and 2027 have been raised by 8% and 7% respectively, reflecting signs of stabilization in shipping coal prices [2] - The target price for Yancoal has been increased from HKD 31 to HKD 38, based on an updated long-term thermal coal price assumption of AUD 140 per ton [2] Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index closed at 26,766, up 0.66% for the day and 4.43% year-to-date [3] - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.72% to close at 4,147, with a year-to-date increase of 4.49% [3] - The US stock market saw all major indices rebound, with the Nasdaq gaining 1.26% [5] - European markets continued their upward trend, with the Stoxx 600 index rising by 0.69% to reach a historical high [5] - The offshore RMB exchange rate against the US dollar approached 6.85, marking a nearly three-year high [5] Industry Insights - The AI server business is expected to experience rapid growth, with a projected compound annual growth rate of 95% from FY25 to FY27, leading to AI-related revenue constituting 18% of total revenue by FY27 [6] - The company anticipates a recovery in gross and net profit margins in Q4 FY25, with gross margin expected to return to 20.2% and net margin to 5.0% [6] - The target price for Hongteng Precision has been raised to HKD 7.33, based on a 21x FY26E price-to-earnings ratio, maintaining a "buy" rating [6]