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沪电股份(002463):25Q1业绩高增 深度受益AI大趋势
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-04-29 06:44
事件概述: 受益于高速运算服务器、人工智能等市场对PCB 的结构需求旺盛,叠加公司持续通过技改扩充产能, 公司一季度营收/归母净利润再度实现高增,预计后续随800G 交换机/AI 服务器等高端产品出货占比进 一步提升,公司利润率有望持续改善。 公司发布25 年一季报,公司25Q1 营收40.38 亿元,yoy+56.25%,qoq-6.77%,归母净利润7.62 亿元, yoy+48.11%,qoq+3.2%,扣非归母净利润7.45 亿元,yoy+50.07%,qoq+0.71%,毛利率32.75%,yoy- 1.11pct,qoq+0.95pct,净利率18.82%,yoy-0.84pct,qoq+1.82pct。 25Q1 营收/利润再度实现高增 我们预计公司2025/2026/2027 年净利润35.59/45.89/55.99 亿元,按照2025/4/25 收盘价,PE 为 15.8/12.2/10 倍,维持"买入"评级。 风险提示 原材料价格波动风险,贸易摩擦风险、汇率波动风险、外围环境波动风险、研报使用的信息更新不及时 风险。 数通领域PCB 要求持续提升,积极研发后续动能强1)AI 和高速网络基 ...
沪电股份(002463)2025年一季报点评:业绩符合预期 AI有望推动业绩持续上行
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-04-29 02:43
Core Viewpoint - The company achieved record high performance in Q1 2025, driven by structural demand from emerging computing scenarios such as AI and high-performance servers, despite a slight decline in revenue due to reduced production days during the Spring Festival [2] Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 4.038 billion yuan, representing a year-over-year increase of 56.25% and a quarter-over-quarter decrease of 6.77% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 762 million yuan, showing a year-over-year increase of 48.11% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 3.2% [1] - The non-recurring net profit was 745 million yuan, with a year-over-year increase of 50.07% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 0.71% [1] - The gross margin was 32.75%, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 1.11 percentage points and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 0.95 percentage points [1] Market and Product Insights - The company benefits from low direct exposure to the U.S. market, with less than 5% of revenue coming from direct exports to the U.S., primarily exporting to Southeast Asia [3] - The company is well-positioned to withstand potential tariff risks due to its technological and production capacity advantages in the PCB industry [3] - The company has ramped up investments in key processes and bottleneck processes, with fixed assets showing rapid growth since Q4 2024, and expects significant capacity improvements in H2 2025 [3] - The Thai production base has entered trial production, aiming for scalable mass production capabilities, which will strengthen the company's position with North American clients [3] Future Outlook - The company plans to invest 4.3 billion yuan to expand capacity to meet the long-term demand for high-end PCBs in the AI industry, reflecting confidence in AI sector growth [3] - The ongoing product iterations are expected to enhance average selling prices (ASP) and profitability, with monthly profits anticipated to continue breaking new highs [4] - The company maintains a profit forecast of 3.645 billion yuan, 4.201 billion yuan, and 4.559 billion yuan for 2025-2027, respectively, with a target valuation of 38 yuan for 2025 based on a 20X target multiple [4]
【招商电子】沪电股份:AI需求驱动公司继续高速增长,国内外新增产能释放望驱动业绩向上
招商电子· 2025-04-27 12:51
点击招商研究小程序查看PDF报告原文 事件:公司公告25年一季报,Q1收入 40.38亿同比+56.25%环比-6.77%,归母净利 7.62亿同比+48.11% 环比+3.20%,扣非归母净利 7.45 亿同比+50.07%环比+0.71%,毛利率32.75%同比-1.11pct 环比 +0.96pct,净利率18.82%同比-0.84pct环比+1.82pct。我们点评如下: AI算力需求驱动公司业绩保持高速增长。 Q1收入端同比继续提速增长趋势,显示下游AI高算力计 算场景对PCB的结构性需求持续旺盛,环比小幅下滑主因春节因素以及产能方面有一定的瓶颈限 制。利润端增速低于收入增速,盈利能力同比下滑主因:1)股权激励费用同比增加约 6,000 万; 2)汇兑收益同比减少约 4,900 万;3)公司泰国工厂仍处于爬坡期有一定的折旧拖累,亏损约 5,100 万;4)国内加速产能的扩充,期间费用同比有增加。 展望Q2:预计高阶交换机及AI服务器相关产品保持放量态势,驱动业务结构优化带动毛利率向上,且 国内外新增产能持续爬坡带来经营层面的改善。 尽管市场担忧关税对于算力方面需求将产生负面影 响,但据我们对产业链的 ...