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电力设备及新能源行业双周报(2025、11、28-2025、12、11):中央经济工作会议定调深入整治“内卷式”竞争-20251212
Dongguan Securities· 2025-12-12 08:40
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the power equipment and new energy industry [2][48]. Core Viewpoints - The Central Economic Work Conference emphasized the need to deepen the rectification of "involution" competition, particularly in the photovoltaic industry, which is expected to accelerate the exit of backward production capacity and promote the recovery of industry profit margins [4][43]. - The report suggests focusing on leading new energy companies that excel in technology and scale [4][43]. Market Review - As of December 11, 2025, the Shenwan Power Equipment industry rose by 1.32% over the past two weeks, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.51 percentage points, ranking 12th among 31 industries [11]. - Year-to-date, the Shenwan Power Equipment sector has increased by 40.05%, surpassing the CSI 300 index by 24.36 percentage points, ranking 5th among 31 industries [11]. - The wind power equipment sector increased by 5.79%, while the photovoltaic equipment sector decreased by 0.82% in the last two weeks [16]. Valuation and Industry Data - As of December 11, 2025, the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio for the power equipment sector is 32.90 times [24]. - The PE ratios for sub-sectors are as follows: Electric Motor II at 56.45 times, Other Power Equipment II at 51.83 times, Photovoltaic Equipment at 30.06 times, Wind Power Equipment at 33.63 times, Battery at 32.83 times, and Grid Equipment at 28.49 times [24]. Company Announcements - The report highlights significant projects and developments, including the approval of the Zhejiang UHV AC Ring Network Project with a total investment of 29.3 billion yuan, which is the highest for a single UHV AC project in China [38][39]. - The report also notes various company announcements regarding share repurchases and changes in control, indicating active corporate governance within the sector [42][43]. Weekly Perspective - The report reiterates the importance of adhering to the "dual carbon" goals and promoting a comprehensive green transition, with a focus on energy efficiency and carbon reduction in key industries [4][43]. - It emphasizes the need for technological innovation and quality improvement in the photovoltaic sector, moving away from mere scale expansion [4][43].
隆基绿能(601012):盈利水平持续承压,全力布局BC技术
Ping An Securities· 2025-05-01 14:53
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Recommended" [1] Core Views - The company is facing continuous pressure on profitability and is fully committed to the development of BC technology to create a differentiated competitive advantage [7][8] - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 825.82 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 36.23%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of -86.18 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 180.15% [4] - The company plans to optimize its production capacity structure and focus resources on the replacement and upgrade of advanced HPBC 2.0 capacity, expecting to reach a capacity of 50GW by the end of 2025 [8] Financial Summary - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 82.58 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 36.2%, and a net profit of -8.62 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 180.2% [6][9] - The gross margin for 2024 is projected to be 7.4%, with a net margin of -10.4% [6] - The company’s total assets are estimated at 152.85 billion yuan in 2024, with a debt ratio of 59.8% [9] Industry Context - The photovoltaic industry is experiencing a downward cycle, with intensified competition leading to significant declines in gross margins and substantial impairment provisions becoming common [7] - The company’s silicon wafer shipment volume is expected to decline by approximately 15% in 2024, with revenue from silicon wafer business dropping by 66.53% [7]