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The Zacks Analyst Blog Broadcom, Oracle, Mastercard, Geospace and Gencor
ZACKS· 2026-01-28 09:25
Core Insights - The Zacks Equity Research team has highlighted several stocks, including Broadcom Inc., Oracle Corp., Mastercard Inc., Geospace Technologies Corp., and Gencor Industries, Inc., in their Analyst Blog [1][2] Group 1: Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) - Broadcom's shares have outperformed the Zacks Electronics - Semiconductors industry over the past year, with a growth of +62.1% compared to the industry’s +49.5% [4] - The company anticipates first-quarter fiscal 2026 AI revenues to double to $8.2 billion, driven by strong demand for networking products and custom AI accelerators [5] - The acquisition of VMware has positively impacted its infrastructure software solutions, although gross margin is expected to contract sequentially due to high debt levels [6] Group 2: Oracle Corp. (ORCL) - Oracle's shares have outperformed the Zacks Computer - Software industry over the past year, with a growth of +16.4% compared to the industry’s +2.7% [7] - The cloud infrastructure business is experiencing accelerating revenue growth, supported by strategic partnerships and competitive pricing [8] - However, competition from hyperscalers and the transition from license revenue to subscription models may pressure margins and create near-term earnings volatility [9] Group 3: Mastercard Inc. (MA) - Mastercard's shares have declined -3.1% over the past year, while the Zacks Financial Transaction Services industry has seen a decline of -16.4% [10] - The company expects adjusted operating expenses to grow at the high end of mid-teens YoY in 2025, driven by increased investments [10] - Despite challenges, acquisitions and collaborations are expanding addressable markets, with net revenues rising 16% YoY in the first nine months of 2025 [11] Group 4: Geospace Technologies Corp. (GEOS) - Geospace Technologies has outperformed the Zacks Electronics - Measuring Instruments industry over the past year, with a growth of +82.7% compared to the industry’s +32.5% [13] - The Smart Water segment is a core growth driver, achieving 10.4% revenue growth in fiscal 2025 due to rising adoption of Hydroconn and Aquana [14] - However, the company faces near-term execution and margin risks, particularly in its Energy Solutions segment [15] Group 5: Gencor Industries, Inc. (GENC) - Gencor Industries' shares have declined -13.6% over the past year, while the Zacks Manufacturing - Thermal Products industry has declined -39% [16] - The company has experienced a sharp backlog decline, reducing near-term visibility, and faces challenges with obsolete inventory reserves and lower R&D spending [16] - Despite these risks, Gencor has a strong balance sheet with $136.3 million in cash and no debt, providing flexibility for future investments [17]
At 15.93 P/S, Broadcom Is Overvalued: Buy, Sell or Hold the Stock?
ZACKS· 2026-01-16 17:07
Core Viewpoint - Broadcom (AVGO) shares are considered overvalued with a Value Score of D, trading at a forward 12-month price/sales (P/S) ratio of 15.93X, which is higher than the sector median of 17.69X and significantly above the broader Zacks Computer and Technology sector's 7.39X [1][3] Financial Performance - In fiscal 2025, Broadcom's AI revenues surged 65% to $20 billion, with expectations for first-quarter fiscal 2026 AI revenues to double year over year to $8.2 billion [4][8] - The consolidated backlog reached $162 billion in fiscal 2025, including $73 billion in AI orders due in the next 18 months [8][12] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2026 earnings is $9.93 per share, indicating a 45.6% growth from fiscal 2025, while revenues are expected to reach $94.03 billion, suggesting a 47.2% growth [14] Competitive Landscape - Broadcom faces stiff competition from NVIDIA and Marvell Technology, with NVIDIA benefiting from strong demand for its architectures and Marvell gaining from custom XPU silicon demand [11] - Broadcom's expanding clientele, including Anthropic, has been a key growth driver, with significant orders received from major customers [5][6] Product Development - Broadcom has launched the industry's first Wi-Fi 8 silicon solutions, expanding its Wireless Device Connectivity solutions portfolio [13] - The company’s networking portfolio is gaining traction due to strong demand for its Tomahawk 6 products and Jericho 4 Ethernet fabric router [12] Market Outlook - Despite strong growth prospects, Broadcom's stock is trading at a premium, and the company faces margin pressure due to a higher AI revenue mix [8][10] - The company’s soft gross margin guidance for fiscal 2026 is expected to impact share price performance, alongside a challenging macroeconomic environment [10][17]
Broadcom's Semiconductor Growth Picks Up: A Sign of More Upside?
ZACKS· 2025-12-24 17:05
Core Insights - Broadcom's semiconductor revenues are significantly boosted by the rising demand for XPUs, essential for training Generative AI models, with AI revenues increasing 74% year over year to $6.5 billion in Q4 FY25 [1][9] - The company has secured substantial orders from Alphabet's Anthropic, totaling $21 billion, which is expected to drive AI revenues to $8.2 billion in Q1 FY26, doubling year over year [2][9] - Broadcom's networking products, particularly the Tomahawk 6 switch and Jericho 4 router, are experiencing strong demand, contributing to anticipated semiconductor revenues of $12.3 billion in Q1 FY26, reflecting a 50% year-over-year growth [3] Company Performance - Broadcom's share price has appreciated by 45.7% over the past year, outperforming the broader Zacks Computer and Technology sector, which returned 21.6% [7][8] - The company's forward 12-month price/earnings ratio stands at 33.89X, higher than the sector's 27.78X, indicating a premium valuation [11] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2026 earnings is projected at $9.69 per share, suggesting a 42.1% growth from fiscal 2025's reported figures [14] Competitive Landscape - Broadcom faces intense competition in the semiconductor market from NVIDIA and Marvell Technology, both of which are capitalizing on the growing demand for AI and data center solutions [4][5][6] - NVIDIA's data center revenues surged 66% year over year, while Marvell Technology's data center revenues increased by 39% year over year, highlighting the competitive pressures Broadcom is encountering [5][6] Customer Base Expansion - Broadcom's expanding clientele now includes major players like Anthropic, which has contributed to a significant order backlog exceeding $10 billion for AI switches [2][9] - The company has established partnerships with notable firms such as OpenAI, Walmart, and Meta Platforms, enhancing its market position [3]
AVGO Stock Drops 20% From 52-Week High: Should You Buy on the Dip?
ZACKS· 2025-12-18 18:46
Core Viewpoint - Broadcom's shares have declined significantly due to soft gross margin guidance for fiscal 2026, primarily influenced by a higher AI revenue mix and increased tax rates, raising questions about potential buying opportunities [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Broadcom's shares closed at $326.02, down 19.7% from a 52-week high of $414.61 [1] - AI revenues surged 74% year-over-year in Q4 fiscal 2025, reaching $6.5 billion, driven by a $21 billion order from Alphabet [6] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2026 earnings is $9.88 per share, indicating 44.9% growth from fiscal 2025 [12] - The consensus for fiscal 2026 revenues is $92.51 billion, suggesting 44.8% growth from fiscal 2025 [12] Group 2: AI Revenue Growth - Broadcom is experiencing strong demand for XPUs, essential for training Generative AI models, with AI revenues increasing 65% to $20 billion in fiscal 2025 [2] - The current order backlog for AI switches exceeds $10 billion, with the Tomahawk 6 switch gaining traction [2] - Broadcom expects first-quarter fiscal 2026 AI revenues to double year-over-year to $8.2 billion [3] Group 3: Product Portfolio and Partnerships - Broadcom's consolidated backlog reached $162 billion in fiscal 2025, including $73 billion in AI backlog to be delivered over the next 18 months [8] - The company launched the industry's first Wi-Fi 8 silicon solutions and the third-generation Co-Packaged Optics Ethernet switch, Tomahawk 6 [9][10] - Broadcom has a diverse partner base, including major companies like OpenAI, Walmart, and Meta Platforms, which supports its growth strategy [11] Group 4: Market Position and Valuation - Broadcom's shares have appreciated 49.3% over the past year, outperforming the broader technology sector [4] - The stock is currently trading at a premium with a forward price/sales ratio of 17.26X, higher than the sector average of 6.37X [14] - Despite the premium valuation, the company's expanding AI portfolio and strong partner base suggest solid growth potential, justifying the investment [17]
Will Higher Semiconductor Revenues Help AVGO Stock Beat Q4 Earnings?
ZACKS· 2025-12-10 15:42
Core Insights - Broadcom's fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 results are expected to show significant growth driven by expanding AI offerings, particularly in custom AI accelerators (XPUs) [2][4] - AI revenues are projected to increase by 66% year over year to $6.2 billion, with XPUs contributing 65% of AI revenues [3][11] - The Infrastructure Software segment is anticipated to grow by 15% year over year, supported by VMware's increasing adoption and the launch of VCF 9.0 [6][8] Semiconductor Segment - Semiconductor revenues are expected to rise by 30% year over year to $10.7 billion in the fourth quarter, with a Zacks Consensus Estimate of $10.774 billion indicating a 31% increase from the previous year [4][10] - The strong demand for networking products, particularly Tomahawk 5 and 6, is contributing to this growth [3] AI Revenue Growth - AI revenues surged by 63% year over year to $5.2 billion in the third quarter of fiscal 2025, with XPUs being a major driver [3] - The anticipated growth in AI revenues reflects the increasing demand for application-specific integrated circuits necessary for training Generative AI models [2] Infrastructure Software Segment - Infrastructure Software revenue is expected to reach approximately $6.7 billion, marking a 15% year-over-year increase, with a Zacks Consensus Estimate of $6.733 billion [8] - The shift to a subscription-based model for VMware products and the adoption of VMware Cloud Foundation (VCF) are key factors in this growth [6][7] Gross Margin Impact - Despite the revenue growth from XPUs, these lower-margin products are expected to negatively impact Broadcom's gross margin, which is forecasted to decline by 70 basis points sequentially [9] - The adjusted EBITDA margin is expected to be 67%, indicating a 10-basis point decline on a sequential basis [9]
Broadcom Q4 Earnings Loom: Buy, or Hold the Stock Ahead of Results?
ZACKS· 2025-12-08 15:45
Core Insights - Broadcom (AVGO) is expected to report its fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 results on December 11, with projected revenues of $17.4 billion, indicating a 24.5% year-over-year growth [1] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings remains at $1.87 per share, reflecting a 31.7% increase from the previous year's quarter [1] Revenue and Earnings Estimates - For the current quarter (October 2025), earnings per share are estimated at $1.87, with a slight increase to $1.96 for the next quarter [2] - Current year earnings are projected at $6.72, while next year’s earnings are expected to rise to $9.20 [2] Performance Trends - Broadcom has consistently exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate in the last four quarters, with an average earnings surprise of 2.82% [4] - The company anticipates a significant boost in AI revenues, projected to grow 66% year-over-year to $6.2 billion, driven by demand for custom AI accelerators [6][9] Product Developments - Broadcom has launched the first Wi-Fi 8 silicon solutions and the third-generation Co-Packaged Optics Ethernet switch, designed for AI networking, capable of 102.4 terabits per second [7][8] - The Jericho 4 Ethernet fabric router and Thor Ultra AI Ethernet Network Interface Card have also been introduced, enhancing the company's AI infrastructure capabilities [8] Market Position and Growth Drivers - Broadcom's semiconductor revenues are expected to increase by 24% year-over-year to $17.4 billion, with infrastructure software revenues projected to grow 15% to $6.7 billion [10] - The company has a strong partner base, including major firms like OpenAI, Walmart, and NVIDIA, which is expected to drive top-line growth [10] Margin and Valuation Insights - A sequential decline in gross margin of 70 basis points is anticipated due to a higher mix of lower-margin XPUs [11] - Broadcom's stock is currently trading at a forward P/E of 41.23X, indicating a stretched valuation compared to industry peers [15] Long-Term Prospects - The demand for AI infrastructure is expected to benefit Broadcom's long-term growth, particularly with the deployment of XPUs by hyperscalers [18] - VMware's momentum is also contributing to the growth of Infrastructure Software revenues, with the launch of VMware Cloud Foundation 9.0 [19] Conclusion - Broadcom's strong portfolio and expanding partner base suggest solid long-term growth potential, although declining gross margins and high valuation present risks [20]
Will CRDO's Expanding Hyperscaler Base Accelerate Growth Momentum?
ZACKS· 2025-12-03 14:21
Core Insights - Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd. (CRDO) reported strong second-quarter fiscal 2026 results, driven by the rapid growth of its Active Electrical Cable (AEC) business and increasing traction with major hyperscale customers [1][2] Financial Performance - In the fiscal second quarter, CRDO achieved revenues of $268 million, reflecting a 20% sequential increase and a remarkable 272% year-over-year growth [2][11] - The company anticipates a 27% sequential revenue increase for the fiscal third quarter and projects fiscal 2026 revenues to grow over 170% year over year [6][11] Customer Base and Market Dynamics - Four hyperscalers contributed more than 10% each to total revenues, with a fifth hyperscaler beginning to generate initial revenues, indicating strong adoption of CRDO's AEC solutions [3][11] - The emergence of a fifth hyperscaler and strengthened customer forecasts mark a significant inflection point for the company [3][6] Product and Technology Advancements - AECs have become the standard for inter-rack connectivity, replacing optical connections up to 7 meters, offering up to 1,000 times more reliability and 50% lower power consumption compared to optical solutions [4] - CRDO's architecture is designed to meet the critical demands of AI clusters, focusing on reliability, signal integrity, latency, power efficiency, and total cost of ownership [5] Competitive Landscape - Broadcom and Marvell Technology are also making significant strides in the AI space, with Broadcom securing over $10 billion in orders for AI racks and Marvell reporting a 37% year-over-year revenue increase [8][10] - Marvell's acquisition of Celestial AI, which specializes in Photonic Fabric technology, is expected to enhance its capabilities in optical interconnects [10][12] Valuation and Market Performance - CRDO is currently trading at a forward 12-month Price/Sales ratio of 28.87, significantly higher than the Electronic-Semiconductors sector's multiple of 7.9 [13] - The company's shares have increased by 40.6% in the past month, outperforming the Electronics-Semiconductors industry's growth of 25.4% [14]
Broadcom Rises 106% in a Year: Buy, Sell or Hold the AVGO Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-11-14 15:01
Core Insights - Broadcom (AVGO) shares have increased by 106.3% over the past 12 months, significantly outperforming the Zacks Electronics – Semiconductors industry's return of 71.4% and the broader Zacks Computer and Technology sector's growth of 30.7% [1][2] - The company is experiencing strong demand for XPUs, which are essential for training Generative AI models, leading to a substantial increase in AI revenues [1][6] Company Performance - In Q3 of fiscal 2025, Broadcom's AI revenues rose by 63% year over year to $5.2 billion, with XPUs contributing 65% of total AI revenues [6][10] - The consolidated backlog reached $110 billion, and the company secured over $10 billion in orders for AI racks driven by XPU demand [6][10] - Broadcom anticipates Q4 semiconductor sales to increase by 30% year over year, with software revenues expected to rise by 15% [7][10] Product Development - Broadcom launched the first Wi-Fi 8 silicon solutions for the broadband wireless edge ecosystem and began shipping the Tomahawk 6 - Davisson Ethernet switch, designed for AI networking demands [7][9] - The Jericho 4 Ethernet fabric router can interconnect over one million XPUs across multiple data centers, and the Thor Ultra is the first 800G AI Ethernet Network Interface Card [9][10] Market Position - Broadcom's partner base includes major companies like OpenAI, Walmart, and Meta Platforms, which is expected to drive top-line growth [10] - The company is outperforming competitors such as NVIDIA, Marvell Technology, and AMD in terms of stock performance [2][10] Financial Outlook - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2025 earnings is $6.72 per share, indicating a 38% growth from fiscal 2024, with revenues projected at $63.36 billion, suggesting a 22.9% increase [13] - However, a higher mix of lower-margin XPUs is expected to pressure gross margins, with a forecasted decline of 70 basis points sequentially [11][12] Valuation Concerns - Broadcom's stock is considered overvalued, trading at a forward price/sales ratio of 18.72X, significantly higher than the sector average of 6.85X and competitors like NVIDIA and AMD [14][17] - Despite strong growth potential, the declining gross margin and challenging macroeconomic conditions raise concerns about the premium valuation [17][18]
AVGO vs. CSCO: Which AI Infrastructure Stock is a Buy Right Now?
ZACKS· 2025-10-28 17:40
Core Insights - Broadcom (AVGO) and Cisco Systems (CSCO) are experiencing strong demand due to the growth of AI infrastructure, data center expansions, and increasing cybersecurity threats [1][2][3] - Both companies are well-positioned to benefit from projected AI spending, which is expected to reach $1.48 trillion in 2025 and $2.02 trillion in 2026, compared to $987 billion in 2024 [3] Company Performance - Broadcom's AI revenues are projected to increase by 66% year-over-year to $6.2 billion in Q4 fiscal 2025, driven by demand for XPUs and Ethernet products [7][8] - Cisco's AI infrastructure orders reached $2 billion in fiscal 2025, doubling previous expectations, indicating strong market demand [11][12] Product and Technology Developments - Broadcom's XPUs, which are essential for training Generative AI models, accounted for 65% of its AI revenues in Q3 fiscal 2025, with a consolidated backlog of $110 billion [7][10] - Cisco is expanding its AI portfolio with new solutions such as the Unified Nexus Dashboard and 400G bidirectional optics, enhancing its data center capabilities [11][12] Strategic Partnerships - Cisco's partnership with NVIDIA aims to create AI-ready data center networks, integrating Cisco Nexus switches with NVIDIA's Spectrum-X architecture for improved performance [12][13] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Broadcom's fiscal 2025 earnings is $6.72 per share, reflecting a 38% increase over fiscal 2024 [14] - Cisco's fiscal 2026 earnings estimate has increased to $4.04 per share, suggesting a 6% growth over fiscal 2025 [15] Valuation Insights - Both companies are considered overvalued, with Broadcom trading at a forward price/sales ratio of 20.18X, significantly higher than Cisco's 4.69X [17] Future Outlook - Cisco's aggressive AI initiatives and expanding portfolio are expected to drive top-line growth, while Broadcom's partnerships and AI portfolio expansion are key catalysts for future performance [20]
Broadcom Rises 10% Post OpenAI Deal: Buy, Sell or Hold the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-10-14 16:47
Core Insights - Broadcom's shares increased by 9.88% to $356.70 following the announcement of a partnership with OpenAI to develop 10 gigawatts of custom AI accelerators [1][9]. Partnership and Collaboration - Under the agreement, OpenAI will design the AI accelerators and systems, while Broadcom will handle their development and manufacturing for deployment across OpenAI's facilities and partner data centers [2]. - Broadcom and OpenAI have a history of collaboration in co-developing and supplying AI accelerators, now formalized with a term sheet for integrating OpenAI's custom chips with Broadcom's networking technologies [2]. Market Position and Performance - Broadcom has a diverse partner network, including major companies like Walmart, NVIDIA, and Meta Platforms, which supports its expanding portfolio and revenue growth [3]. - Year-to-date, Broadcom shares have risen by 23.9%, outperforming the broader technology sector and competitors like NVIDIA and Qualcomm [4]. Financial Performance - In Q3 of fiscal 2025, AI revenues surged by 63% year-over-year to $5.2 billion, with XPUs accounting for 65% of these revenues [11]. - The consolidated backlog reached $110 billion, with over $10 billion in orders for AI racks driven by XPU demand [11]. - Broadcom anticipates Q4 fiscal 2025 semiconductor revenues of $10.7 billion, indicating a 30% year-over-year growth [13]. Product Development - Broadcom launched the first Wi-Fi 8 silicon solutions for broadband wireless applications, and its Tomahawk 6 Ethernet switch is designed for AI networking demands, offering 102.4 terabits per second switching capacity [12]. Financial Health - As of August 3, 2025, Broadcom reported cash and cash equivalents of $10.72 billion, with a cash flow from operations of $7.17 billion and free cash flow of $7.02 billion, representing 44% of revenues [14]. - The company paid $2.8 billion in cash dividends in Q4 of fiscal 2025, supported by its strong balance sheet [15]. Challenges and Outlook - Broadcom's Q4 guidance indicates a 70 basis point decline in gross margin due to a higher mix of lower-margin XPUs, which may pressure margins throughout fiscal 2025 [16]. - The company expects non-AI semiconductor revenues to grow in the low double digits sequentially, while a sluggish non-AI business remains a headwind [17]. Valuation Metrics - Broadcom's stock is trading at a premium, with a forward price/sales ratio of 20.08X, significantly higher than the sector average of 6.9X and competitors like Qualcomm [19][20]. Conclusion - Broadcom's expanding AI portfolio and strong partner base indicate solid growth potential, but declining gross margins and macroeconomic challenges raise concerns about its premium valuation [23].