2025 年 08 月 25 日 江波龙 (301308) ——25Q2 营收 59 亿元创历史新高，毛利率 14.8%环比 显著提升 报告原因：有业绩公布需要点评 投资要点： 财务数据及盈利预测 | | 2024 | 2025H1 | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 17,464 | 10,196 | 20,311 | 23,440 | 25,025 | | 同比增长率（%） | 72.5 | 12.8 | 16.3 | 15.4 | 6.8 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 499 | 15 | 615 | 785 | 1,120 | | 同比增长率（%） | - | -97.5 | 23.4 | 27.6 | 42.8 | | 每股收益（元/股） | 1.20 | 0.04 | 1.47 | 1.87 | 2.67 | | 毛利率（%） | 19.0 | 13.0 | 17.0 | 16.7 | 16.8 | | ROE（%） | 7.7 | 0.2 | 8.7 | 10.1 | 1 ...

Core Viewpoint - Jiangbolong (301308) reported a stable revenue of 4.256 billion yuan in Q1 2025, with a net loss of 152 million yuan, indicating an improvement trend in profitability despite slow terminal recovery and inventory digestion [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company achieved a revenue of 4.256 billion yuan in Q1 2025, with a net loss of 152 million yuan and a non-recurring net loss of 202 million yuan [1] - The net loss margin significantly narrowed, showing signs of profitability improvement [1] - Revenue from enterprise-level storage (eSSD and RDIMM) reached 319 million yuan, growing over 200% year-on-year [2] Group 2: Product Development and Market Position - Jiangbolong has made significant progress in self-developed main control chips, successfully mass-producing UFS4.1 chips and applying over 30 million self-developed chips [3] - The company has launched new products to meet the urgent demand for high-capacity SSDs and DRAM, enhancing its offerings in mobile and smart wearable markets [3] - Jiangbolong has established deep cooperation with major automotive manufacturers, covering over 10 types of in-vehicle applications, leveraging its early entry into the automotive storage sector [2] Group 3: Brand and Market Expansion - Jiangbolong is the second-largest independent storage company globally and the largest in China, with significant brand presence in both B2B and B2C markets [4] - The Lexar brand achieved a 21% year-on-year revenue growth in Q1 2025, continuing its expansion in the global consumer market [4] - The acquisition of Zilia, a leading storage manufacturer in Brazil, has enhanced Jiangbolong's product offerings and supply chain efficiency [4] Group 4: Strategic Outlook - The company is well-positioned for future growth due to its strategic focus on high-end storage, technological breakthroughs, and effective market expansion [5] - The ongoing demand for AI hardware and high-performance computing is expected to create further opportunities for Jiangbolong's high-end business [1]

Core Viewpoint - Jiangbolong aims to establish Lexar as a top three brand in the global consumer storage market, reflecting the company's ambition for globalization and brand recognition [5][6]. Group 1: Company Strategy - Jiangbolong has submitted an application for listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, aiming for a dual listing ("A+H") to enhance its financing capabilities and reduce domestic uncertainties [2][3]. - The company previously planned to issue convertible bonds to raise nearly 3 billion yuan for acquiring 81% of SMART Brazil but canceled the issuance due to external environment changes and strategic factors [4]. - The chairman, Cai Huabo, emphasizes the importance of building a global brand and has expressed a desire to differentiate products to combat the cyclical nature of the storage industry [5][6]. Group 2: Market Positioning - The decision to list in Hong Kong is driven by financial needs and the desire to expand overseas, as it allows for raising funds in Hong Kong dollars to alleviate cash flow pressures [3]. - Jiangbolong's strategy includes enhancing brand recognition and transparency in operations, which is expected to facilitate international customer expansion [3][5]. - The company believes that the differentiation in global market demands can mitigate cyclical risks and lead to higher profit margins compared to the domestic market [6]. Group 3: Leadership and Vision - Cai Huabo holds a significant 38.96% stake in Jiangbolong, with a personal net worth of approximately 15.016 billion yuan based on the company's market value of 38.865 billion yuan [7]. - Industry experts recognize Cai Huabo's strategic vision and successful transition from various roles in the electronics industry, positioning him as a potential leader in the domestic electronic sector [7].