以下文章来源于刘知趣 ，作者刘知趣 刘知趣 . 虎嗅、澎湃新闻认证作者，十年互联网市场搬砖女工。曾任职于百度、知乎，现关注新青年一代如何更好地生活。 本文来自微信公众号： 刘知趣 ，作者：刘知趣，头图来自：视觉中国 2020年，社会学家项飙在《把自己作为方法》中表达过这样一个观点： 在东亚社会，人们最大的恐惧不是当下的贫困，而是相对地位的下滑——哪怕你仍在上升，只要别人升得更快，你就觉得自己在坠落。 这句话在今天听来尤为刺耳，因为这种"掉队焦虑"，正以一种高度仪式化的方式在中产阶级间蔓延。家长宁愿卖掉一百多平的大房子换一个五六十平的好 学区、职场人倾尽储蓄也要报天价的MBA或私董会、年轻人则是熬夜直播剪短视频试图"打造个人IP"……表面上看，这些行为都是理性的"长远规 划"和"自我投资"，实际里面暗藏着另一种集体性的自我欺骗——人们正在为"不确定性"支付着高昂的溢价。 过去的十几年里，中产的生活方式常常被简单地归结为"符号性消费"：Lululemon的瑜伽裤、始祖鸟的冲锋衣、北海道的滑雪之旅、莫干山的精品民 宿……然而在凡勃伦的经典理论框架下，这些至多属于是"炫耀性消费"，算不得真正的陷阱。因为它们提供了即时 ...

Core Insights - The current global landscape is characterized by unprecedented uncertainty, which is influenced by geopolitical shifts, economic volatility, rapid technological changes, restructuring of global supply chains, and severe climate challenges [3][4]. Group 1: Geopolitical and Economic Context - Geopolitical tensions are evolving, with the IMF estimating a potential 7% reduction in global economic output if significant disruptions occur in the global order [3]. - High inflation and debt continue to loom over the global economy, with the IMF predicting a decline in global GDP growth to 3.1% over the next five years, down from an average of 3.8% five years ago [3]. - Climate-related disasters are estimated to cause economic losses of up to $520 billion annually, according to the World Bank [3]. Group 2: China-Europe Cooperation - China and Europe, as major global powers, can provide more certainty in the current uncertain times, with bilateral trade reaching nearly $780 billion, a growth of over 300 times since diplomatic relations began [3]. - The economic cooperation between China and France has expanded across multiple sectors, including healthcare, consumer goods, energy, and technology, signaling a commitment to multilateralism and free trade [4]. - The China Europe International Business School (CEIBS), established by the Chinese government and the EU, serves as a model for educational cooperation and has achieved significant international recognition, with its Global EMBA program ranked first globally [5].