离型膜进展顺利，复合集流体+载体铜箔弹性巨大 洁美科技(002859) | 投资评级:增持(维持) | | --- | 证券研究报告 其他电子Ⅱ / 公司点评 / 2025.08.12 | 基本数据 | 2025-08-11 | | --- | --- | | 收盘价(元) | 26.66 | | 流通股本(亿股) | 4.06 | | 每股净资产(元) | 6.72 | | 总股本(亿股) | 4.31 | 最近 12 月市场表现 -13% 7% 27% 47% 67% 87% 洁美科技 沪深300 上证指数 其他电子Ⅱ 分析师 张益敏 SAC 证书编号：S0160522070002 zhangym02@ctsec.com 分析师 黄梦龙 SAC 证书编号：S0160525070014 huangml@ctsec.com 相关报告 1. 《收入增长利润承压，离型膜进展顺利》 2025-04-30 2. 《新品研发挤压利润，离型膜进入业绩贡 献期》 2025-04-16 3. 《载带业务软复苏 膜材料产品高端化进 行中》 2024-09-04 核心观点 盈利预测 [币种Table_FinchinaSimple ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company is a pioneer in the domestic substitution of optical OCA glue, with revenue expected to continue growing significantly. In 2024, the company's electronic-grade adhesive materials are projected to generate 1.43 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 66%, primarily driven by OCA optical glue [9] - The company is accelerating vertical integration to build a comprehensive supply chain, achieving over 70% self-sufficiency in key materials for OCA optical glue. This integrated approach is expected to enhance profitability as the scale effect materializes [9] - Profitability is currently under pressure due to prior investments, but profits are anticipated to grow rapidly after the peak of depreciation costs passes [9] Financial Forecasts and Investment Recommendations - The company is forecasted to achieve net profits attributable to the parent company of 141 million yuan, 275 million yuan, and 439 million yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, respectively. This is an adjustment from previous forecasts due to a downward revision in gross margin and an upward revision in revenue [3][10] - The target price is set at 19.52 yuan based on a comparable company PE of 32 times for 2026 [3][10] - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: 1,969 million yuan in 2023, 2,691 million yuan in 2024, 3,535 million yuan in 2025, 4,431 million yuan in 2026, and 5,345 million yuan in 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 20.6% from 2025 to 2027 [5][11]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights that despite facing significant challenges, the company is demonstrating strategic resilience and a commitment to innovation in the BOPET industry, as evidenced by its reduced net loss forecast for the first half of 2025 [1][2][4] - The company anticipates a net loss of 140 to 155 million yuan for the first half of 2025, which represents a year-on-year reduction in losses by 6.64% to 15.67% [1] - The BOPET industry is experiencing collective difficulties, with a significant increase in production capacity leading to supply-demand imbalances and price fluctuations [2][4] Group 2 - In the first half of 2025, the BOPET industry added 246,000 tons of new capacity, bringing total capacity to 7.1956 million tons, a 3.54% increase from the end of 2024 [2] - The company reported a revenue of 5.908 billion yuan in 2024, marking an 11.70% year-on-year increase, with new materials business volume growing by 16.58% [3] - The company is focusing on technological innovation and product development, aiming to enhance quality, diversify products, and optimize structure to improve operational efficiency [4]

Group 1: Company Overview and Market Position - Jiangsu Sidike New Materials Technology Co., Ltd. focuses on electronic-grade adhesive materials and functional film materials, targeting optical display, new energy, and microelectronics sectors [2][3] - The company has a significant opportunity for domestic suppliers due to the large market share held by American and Japanese manufacturers, indicating a broad space for import substitution [2][3] Group 2: Production and Supply Chain - The company has an adhesive synthesis capacity of 185,000 tons, with a self-sufficiency rate of approximately 90% for adhesives and nearly complete self-sufficiency for release films [4] - The production lines for imported PET optical films and release films are operational, with plans to increase the self-sufficiency rate of high-end PET base films [4] Group 3: Financial Performance and Growth - The company reported a sales revenue growth of approximately 37% in 2024, with total sales reaching around 20 billion yuan [13] - The top five customers contributed 759,021,019.62 yuan, accounting for 28.21% of the annual sales total [8] Group 4: Research and Development Focus - Key R&D investments are concentrated in optical display materials, new energy battery materials, microelectronics materials, and PET optical films [5] Group 5: Market Expansion and Strategy - The company has established subsidiaries in the USA, Japan, South Korea, and Vietnam, achieving breakthroughs in overseas markets with core products reaching mass production [9] - Future goals include becoming an internationally leading provider of functional coating composite materials and solutions, aiming for advanced levels in technology and scale [9] Group 6: Production Capacity and Utilization - The overall machine utilization rate is above 80%, with plans for structural adjustments to improve investment returns [12] - The company is currently focusing on high-value orders while also accepting lower-value orders to cover fixed costs and enhance operational efficiency [12]

Core Viewpoint - The company is facing significant challenges due to a decline in stock price and industry competition, but it remains committed to long-term growth and innovation despite short-term fluctuations [2][3][23]. Group 1: Company Performance - The company reported a main revenue of 1.382 billion yuan in Q1 2025, a slight increase of 0.07% year-on-year [25]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was -42.7699 million yuan, an improvement of 51.09% year-on-year [25]. - The gross margin for Q1 2025 was 3.86%, indicating a modest increase in profitability [25]. Group 2: Stock and Investment Strategies - The company has been exploring stock repurchase and shareholding increase strategies but has not yet implemented significant actions [2][3][4]. - The stock price has fallen significantly, currently trading far below net asset value, raising concerns among investors [2][3][13]. - The company is considering the impact of national policies on stock repurchase and is studying further actions [2][4][18]. Group 3: Industry Context - The BOPET industry is experiencing a concentrated release of production capacity, with an annual growth rate of over 20% in capacity release over the past three years [23]. - Despite the competitive landscape, the overall market demand in the industry is still growing at a rate of over 10% annually [23]. - The company is positioned as a leading player in the BOPET industry, focusing on innovation and market expansion to maintain its competitive edge [23]. Group 4: Product Development and Market Strategy - The company is actively developing new products, with 32 new product development and technology projects planned for the year [19][25]. - The MLCC release film is expected to reach a production capacity of 500 million square meters, contributing significantly to revenue [24]. - The company is also exploring strategic partnerships with leading battery manufacturers to enhance its market position [19][23].

Group 1: Company Performance and Stock Issues - The company's stock price has significantly declined, currently far below its net asset value, raising concerns about its investment value and the lack of action from major shareholders regarding buybacks and increases [1][2][29]. - The company has conducted multiple buybacks and is considering further actions, but specific plans are still under research [1][2][29]. - The company reported a gross margin of only 3.86% in Q1 2025, despite stable product prices, indicating challenges in profitability [2][3]. Group 2: Industry Competition and Market Dynamics - The BOPET industry is experiencing intense competition, with some new entrants engaging in price wars despite a self-regulatory declaration aimed at reducing internal competition [2][3]. - The company is positioned as a leading player in the BOPET market, with a comprehensive product range, but is currently facing short-term fluctuations due to industry capacity releases [2][3][4]. - The market demand for BOPET products is expected to grow at over 10% annually, driven by domestic replacements of imports and expanding applications [4][10]. Group 3: Product Development and Future Outlook - The company aims to achieve a production capacity of 500 million square meters for MLCC release films within the year, with a projected market value based on product structure [4][10]. - There are ongoing efforts to develop new products, with 32 new product and technology development projects planned for the year [8][10]. - The company is exploring strategic collaborations with leading battery manufacturers to enhance its market position [6][10]. Group 4: Financial Health and Management Responses - The company's asset-liability ratio was reported at 32.12% at the end of Q1 2025, indicating a healthy financial status despite recent challenges [10]. - Management emphasizes the need for maintaining operational stability and innovation to navigate the current market environment [10]. - The company is committed to improving investor relations and enhancing communication with stakeholders to rebuild confidence [5][10].

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a revenue of 1.817 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 15.57%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 20.91% to 202 million yuan, primarily due to increased R&D investments for new product testing and ramp-up [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company's revenue for 2024 reached 1.817 billion yuan, reflecting a 15.57% year-on-year growth [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 202 million yuan, down 20.91% year-on-year [1] - The non-recurring net profit was 199 million yuan, a decline of 21.94% compared to the previous year [1] Group 2: Market Demand and Orders - The company experienced a steady recovery in order volume, driven by the growth of industries such as new energy, smart manufacturing, 5G commercial technology, and AI terminal applications [1] - Sales volume for 2024 reached 9.3898 million rolls, an increase of 19.39% year-on-year, with electronic-grade film materials sales volume growing by 45.9% [1] - Inventory levels decreased by 50.2% year-on-year [1] Group 3: Product Development and Expansion - The electronic-grade film materials generated revenue of 176 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 35.38% [2] - The company has established stable mass supply to major clients in the MLCC sector and is entering the mass supply phase for Japanese and Korean clients [2] - The first phase of the Zhaoqing base for release films has begun production, and the Tianjin production base is progressing to the main construction phase [2] - The second phase of the BOPET film project has completed equipment installation and is expected to begin trial production in Q2 2025, with capacity expected to more than double upon completion [2] Group 4: Strategic Acquisitions - The company acquired a 56.83% stake in Youzhen Technology for 30 million yuan, enhancing its supply chain in the field of composite materials for new energy battery electrodes [3] - Youzhen Technology's products include composite aluminum foil and copper foil, which are essential for the performance of BOPET films [3] Group 5: Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company has adjusted its profit forecast for 2025-2026, lowering the net profit estimates to 290 million yuan and 400 million yuan, respectively, while introducing a new forecast of 510 million yuan for 2027 [3] - The current stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of 26, 19, and 15 for 2025-2027, which is relatively low compared to historical valuation levels [3]