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陆家嘴财经早餐2025年9月6日星期六
Wind万得· 2025-09-05 23:31
Group 1 - The third phase of public fund fee reform has been implemented, with the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) proposing to reasonably reduce subscription fees, purchase fees, and sales service fees, resulting in an estimated annual benefit of approximately 30 billion yuan for investors [2] - Shenzhen has further relaxed housing purchase restrictions, allowing eligible families to buy unlimited properties in certain districts, while foreign residents are limited to two properties without proof of one year of social security or tax payments [2] - The People's Bank of China and eight departments have solicited opinions on special anti-money laundering preventive measures, specifying three categories of entities that require such measures [6] Group 2 - The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that non-farm employment in August increased by only 22,000, significantly below the market expectation of 75,000, with the unemployment rate rising to 4.3%, the highest since 2021 [3] - The U.S. Federal Reserve's interest rate cut expectations have increased, with an 88.2% probability of a 25 basis point cut in September [3] - The Chinese Ministry of Commerce reported that from January to July, the total service trade import and export amounted to 45,781.6 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.2% [5] Group 3 - The Hong Kong stock market has seen a significant increase in new stock issuance, with total financing reaching 137.5 billion HKD by the end of August, a nearly sixfold increase year-on-year [7] - The Shanghai Stock Exchange has monitored abnormal stock fluctuations and reported five suspected illegal cases to the CSRC [8] - Goldman Sachs maintains an "overweight" recommendation for Chinese offshore stocks and A-shares, predicting a 10% increase in the MSCI China Index over the next 12 months [8] Group 4 - The Ministry of Finance has released interim regulations for the accounting treatment of local government special bonds, aiming to enhance the management of repayment funds and project asset management [22] - The U.S. Treasury Secretary has raised concerns about the independence of the Federal Reserve amid weak employment data, which has led to increased investor interest in safe-haven assets [24] - The OPEC+ members are set to hold a video meeting to discuss the management of a suspended supply of 1.66 million barrels per day [24]
三大股指期货涨跌不一 博通(AVGO.US)盘前走高 非农今夜重磅来袭
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-09-05 11:34
Market Movements - As of the report, U.S. stock index futures showed mixed results with Dow futures down 0.05%, S&P 500 futures up 0.22%, and Nasdaq futures up 0.53% [1] - European indices also showed positive movement, with Germany's DAX up 0.11%, UK's FTSE 100 up 0.29%, France's CAC 40 up 0.12%, and the Euro Stoxx 50 up 0.21% [2][3] Oil Prices - WTI crude oil fell by 0.76% to $63.00 per barrel, while Brent crude oil decreased by 0.63% to $66.57 per barrel [3][4] Employment Market Insights - The upcoming non-farm payroll report is expected to show a weak job growth of only 75,000 jobs added in August, marking the fourth consecutive month below 100,000 [5] - The unemployment rate is projected to rise to 4.3%, the highest level since 2021, indicating a cooling labor market [5] - A significant downward revision of up to 800,000 jobs is anticipated in the employment levels due to the quarterly employment and wage survey data [5] Federal Reserve Outlook - New York Fed President Williams indicated that tariffs have not significantly impacted overall inflation trends, easing potential resistance to a rate cut in September [6] - The labor market is showing signs of cooling, which may prompt the Federal Reserve to intervene [6] Construction Industry Indicators - The voluntary turnover rate in the U.S. construction industry has dropped to 0.9%, the lowest since the 2008 financial crisis, signaling a lack of confidence among workers regarding job prospects [7] Company-Specific News - Broadcom (AVGO.US) reported a strong Q2 with revenues of $15.95 billion, a 22% year-over-year increase, and AI business revenue up 63% to $2 billion [8] - Lululemon Athletica (LULU.US) lowered its full-year guidance for the second time, projecting revenues between $10.85 billion and $11 billion, below previous estimates [9] - Apple (AAPL.US) achieved record sales in India, nearing $9 billion, driven by strong demand for its flagship products [10] - Texas Instruments (TXN.US) CFO warned that semiconductor demand recovery is slower than expected, particularly in the automotive sector [10] - Starbucks (SBUX.US) is in discussions for a potential sale of its China business, with bids reaching $5 billion, making it one of the highest-value divestitures in recent years [10]