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ServiceNow Stock To Less Than $450?
Forbes· 2025-08-26 12:15
Core Insights - ServiceNow has experienced significant revenue growth, increasing from approximately $5.9 billion in 2021 to nearly $11 billion in 2024, with net income reaching $1.66 billion and gross margins of almost 79% [3][12] - Despite this growth, ServiceNow's stock has only appreciated by about 6.8% over the past year and is down nearly 17% year-to-date, raising concerns about its high valuation compared to competitors [3][4] - The company's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio has decreased from over 170x to around 110x, yet it remains significantly higher than competitors like Microsoft and Oracle [4][12] Revenue and Profit Growth - ServiceNow's revenue has grown by nearly $5 billion over the past four years, with trailing twelve-month earnings reaching $1.66 billion and free cash flow of $3.85 billion [3][12] - The company reported $3.22 billion in revenue for Q2 2025, reflecting a 21% year-over-year increase, surpassing expectations [7] Competitive Landscape - ServiceNow's growth is beginning to slow, with subscription revenue growth tempered compared to competitors like Microsoft Azure (39% growth) and Google Cloud (32% growth) [7] - The company's AI strategy, including "Now Assist" tools, faces competition from Microsoft and Salesforce, which are integrating AI into their platforms in more user-friendly ways [8] Economic and Market Challenges - Broader economic pressures, including inflation and stricter corporate budgets, pose risks to enterprise IT spending, which could impact ServiceNow's subscription model [9][12] - Historical performance indicates that ServiceNow's stock has been volatile during economic downturns, with a notable 51% decline in 2022 [11][13] Valuation Concerns - The current valuation of ServiceNow at almost 110x trailing earnings raises questions about sustainability, especially as growth rates may be challenging to maintain amid increasing competition and macroeconomic risks [12][14] - Even slight disappointments in areas such as AI adoption or subscription renewals could lead to significant stock declines [12]
Can ServiceNow's Expanding AI-Powered Platform Drive the Stock Higher?
ZACKS· 2025-08-18 17:06
Core Viewpoint - ServiceNow's stock has declined 18.2% year to date, attributed to macroeconomic pressures and tightening budgets, while the broader Computer & Technology sector has appreciated 13.8% during the same period [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - ServiceNow's subscription revenue rose 22.5% year over year to $3.11 billion in Q2 2025, driven by its AI-driven platform [5][8]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Q3 2025 earnings is $4.22 per share, indicating a 13.44% increase over 2024, with revenues expected to grow 19.88% to $3.35 billion [12]. Group 2: AI Strategy and Partnerships - ServiceNow has developed a broad AI ecosystem anchored by its AI Control Tower, enhancing its enterprise AI capabilities [5]. - The partnership with NVIDIA on the Nemotron large language model expands reasoning capabilities and has resulted in significant deals, including a $20 million Now Assist agreement [6][7]. - Acquisitions like data.world and Logik.ai bolster ServiceNow's data governance and configure-price-quote capabilities, respectively, positioning the company as a central platform for enterprise AI operations [7][9]. Group 3: Market Dynamics and Competition - ServiceNow is facing tighter budgets and longer procurement cycles, which are slowing deal closures and creating execution risks [13][15]. - The federal segment is under pressure due to budget constraints, impacting near-term growth visibility despite new customer additions [14]. - Competition is intensifying, particularly from Salesforce and Microsoft, necessitating ServiceNow to demonstrate differentiation in its AI offerings [15][18]. Group 4: Customer Metrics - ServiceNow ended Q2 with 528 customers generating over $5 million in annual contract value, with a 98% renewal rate indicating strong customer satisfaction [11].
AI产品推进迅速,切入CRM打开增长空间
Guoxin Securities· 2025-08-04 14:47
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for ServiceNow (NOW.N) [6][4]. Core Insights - ServiceNow's subscription revenue for Q2 2025 reached $3.113 billion, reflecting a 21.5% year-over-year growth, exceeding guidance by 2 percentage points [1][9]. - The company has seen a significant increase in large clients, with 528 customers contributing over $5 million in Annual Contract Value (ACV) [1]. - The integration of AI products, particularly in CRM, is expected to drive long-term growth opportunities [4]. Revenue and Profitability - For Q2 2025, ServiceNow achieved total revenue of $3.215 billion, a 22.38% increase year-over-year, with subscription revenue contributing $3.113 billion [9]. - The company reported a non-GAAP operating margin of 29.5%, surpassing guidance by 2.5 percentage points, and a free cash flow margin of 16.5%, up 3 percentage points year-over-year [1][17]. - The current remaining performance obligations (cRPO) reached $10.92 billion, reflecting a 21.5% year-over-year growth, also exceeding guidance [19]. Market Demand and Order Growth - The demand for AI solutions is robust, with net new ACV for ITAM Now Assist increasing nearly sixfold quarter-over-quarter [2]. - The transportation and logistics sectors showed exceptional performance, with net new ACV growth exceeding 100% year-over-year [2]. - The company achieved a 98% renewal rate, indicating strong customer retention [2]. Financial Forecasts - The report projects subscription revenue for 2025 to be between $12.775 billion and $12.795 billion, up from previous estimates of $12.64 billion to $12.68 billion [3][19]. - Expected revenue growth rates for 2025-2027 are 21%, 21.5%, and 21.7%, respectively, with net profits projected at $2.007 billion, $2.911 billion, and $4.013 billion for the same period [4][30]. - The report anticipates a subscription gross margin of 83.5% and an operating margin of 30.5% for 2025 [3]. Valuation Metrics - The current stock price corresponds to price-to-sales (P/S) ratios of 15, 12, and 10 for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [4]. - The report indicates a projected price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 100.4 for 2025, decreasing to 50.2 by 2027 [30].
As AI Momentum Grows, Should Investors Buy ServiceNow Stock?
The Motley Fool· 2025-08-02 08:25
The company looks poised to be an agentic AI winner.Share prices of ServiceNow (NOW -3.10%)jumped after the software company reported strong revenue growth and yet again raised its guidance due to strong artificial intelligence (AI) adoption. That said, the stock has struggled to gain traction this year, with its shares down about 7% as of this writing.Despite the stock's underperformance in 2025, it is still one of the best-performing stocks of the past decade, with its shares up nearly 1,200% during that ...
Why Is ServiceNow Stock Surging?
Forbes· 2025-07-25 13:55
Core Insights - ServiceNow is experiencing significant growth, with its stock increasing by 25% over the last year [1] - The latest earnings report showed revenue exceeding $3.2 billion, with earnings surpassing forecasts, leading to a surge in stock price [2] - The company has raised its revenue outlook for the full year, indicating strong future performance [2] Company Performance - The "Now Assist" platform utilizes generative AI to automate workflows across various sectors, leading to a surge in deal volume for AI-powered products [3] - ServiceNow secured nearly 90 agreements worth over $1 million each in the last quarter, with over 500 customers spending more than $5 million annually [3] - The demand for ServiceNow's offerings suggests significant longevity for the stock [3] Market Opportunities - ServiceNow is making strides in the public sector, assisting government agencies with modernization efforts, which presents a vast growth opportunity [4] - The ongoing digital upgrades in local and federal agencies provide a consistent source of recurring revenue [4] Future Outlook - If ServiceNow continues to capitalize on the AI trend and secures major enterprise contracts, the momentum may persist [5] - The company's central role in digital workflows and enterprise AI indicates potential for further expansion, especially if the broader tech rally continues [5]
AI算力需求狂飙! 谷歌云平台斩获ServiceNow(NOW.US)12亿美元大单
智通财经网· 2025-07-25 03:40
Group 1 - Google has signed a significant partnership agreement with ServiceNow worth over $1 billion, providing cloud AI training and inference computing resources, marking a major victory for Google Cloud in attracting large enterprise clients [1] - ServiceNow has committed to spending approximately $1.2 billion over five years, indicating a strong investment in cloud services [1] - Google Cloud's revenue surged by 32% year-over-year in Q2, reaching $13.6 billion, benefiting from substantial investments in AI technology [2][6] Group 2 - ServiceNow is focusing on enhancing its cloud computing platform to help enterprises optimize digital workflows, with a commitment of around $4.8 billion for cloud services by 2030 [3] - The company is integrating generative AI features into its products, which has led to strong growth and increased stock prices since 2024 [4] - ServiceNow's Generative AI Controller allows developers to easily implement generative AI functionalities, similar to offerings from Microsoft Azure and Amazon AWS [4] Group 3 - The demand for AI computing power is rapidly expanding, with Google positioned as one of the biggest beneficiaries of this trend [5] - Google's AI ecosystem, including the Gemini application, has over 450 million monthly active users, with a significant increase in daily request volume [6] - The AI infrastructure market is expected to experience exponential growth, driven by the increasing demand for AI capabilities in various sectors [6]
ServiceNow(NOW) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-07-23 22:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Subscription revenue for Q2 was $3,113 million, growing 21.5% year-over-year in constant currency, exceeding guidance by 200 basis points [26] - Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO) ended at approximately $23,900 million, representing 25.5% year-over-year constant currency growth [26] - Current RPO was $10,920 million, reflecting 21.5% year-over-year constant currency growth, also a 200 basis point beat versus guidance [26] - Operating margin was 29.5%, over 250 basis points above guidance, while free cash flow margin was 16.5%, up 300 basis points year-over-year [31] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Technology workflows had 40 deals over $1 million, including four over $5 million [7] - CRM and industry workflows showed strong momentum with 17 of the top 20 deals over $1 million [7] - ITAM Now Assist net new ACV surged nearly six times quarter-over-quarter, with average deal sizes more than tripling [29] - ITSM Plus and CSM Plus deal volume quadrupled year-over-year, while ITOM Plus tripled and HRSD Plus doubled [30] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Transportation and logistics delivered over 100% year-over-year net new ACV growth [26] - Technology, media, and telecom sectors grew over 70% year-over-year, while retail and hospitality, and energy and utilities each grew over 50% year-over-year [27] - The company achieved a robust 98% renewal rate, showcasing its strategic importance as an AI platform for business transformation [27] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on AI, data, and workflows as key growth drivers, with a strong emphasis on integrating AI across all business functions [8][10] - The CRM opportunity is viewed as massive, with a shift towards autonomous front-end agents expected to render traditional CRM obsolete [14] - The acquisition of Logic AI is aimed at reimagining CRM and delivering a fully integrated AI-powered front office [15] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that the global environment is rapidly changing, with AI transformation being a top priority for enterprises [9] - The company remains confident in its guidance for Q3 and the remainder of 2025, despite challenges in the U.S. federal sector [33][49] - The outlook for 2025 has been raised, with subscription revenue expected to be between $12,775 million and $12,795 million, representing 20% year-over-year growth [34] Other Important Information - The company closed 89 deals greater than $1 million in net new ACV during the quarter, with 11 deals over $5 million [28] - The company ended Q2 with approximately $10,800 million in cash and investments, and bought back approximately 381,000 shares as part of its share repurchase program [31] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is driving the better-than-expected execution? - Management attributed the success to a strong culture and the transformative impact of AI on business models, leading to larger business cases across industries [40][42] Question: How is the federal sector performing? - Despite challenges, the federal team executed well, closing six new logos in Q2, and management is building prudence into their assumptions for the U.S. federal sector [48][49] Question: What are the immediate opportunities in front office workflows? - The CRM opportunity is significant, with a focus on sales and order management, and the company is addressing pain points in the market with its integrated solutions [62][64] Question: How is the demand environment changing? - Management indicated that the demand environment remains open for AI innovation, with companies needing an agentic AI layer to adapt to changing market conditions [85][88] Question: What is the outlook for operating margins? - Management is maintaining a conservative outlook for operating margins while investing in growth to meet demand for AI transformation [102][103]
ServiceNow(NOW) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-07-23 22:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Subscription revenues for Q2 reached $3,113 million, growing 21.5% year over year in constant currency, exceeding guidance by 200 basis points [27] - Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO) ended at approximately $23,900 million, representing 25.5% year over year constant currency growth [27] - Current RPO was $10,920 million, reflecting 21.5% year over year constant currency growth, also a 200 basis point beat versus guidance [27] - Operating margin was reported at 29.5%, over 250 basis points above guidance, while free cash flow margin was 16.5%, up 300 basis points year over year [26][32] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Technology workflows had 40 deals over $1 million, including four over $5 million, while ITSM, ITOM, ITAM, Security, and Risk were involved in at least 15 of the top 20 deals [7] - CRM and industry workflows maintained strong momentum with 17 of the top 20 deals exceeding $1 million [7] - The Now Assist product line saw significant growth, with net new ACV for ITAM surging nearly six times quarter over quarter [30] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Transportation and logistics delivered over 100% year over year growth in net new ACV, while technology, media, and telecom grew over 70% year over year [28] - Retail and hospitality, as well as energy and utilities, also showed strength, each growing over 50% year over year [28] - The company achieved a robust 98% renewal rate, highlighting its strategic importance as an AI platform for business transformation [28] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on integrating AI into its workflows, emphasizing the importance of cross-functional work in AI applications [9][45] - The acquisition of Logic AI is aimed at reimagining CRM, with a strong push into the front office and significant growth in CPQ [15][30] - The company is positioning itself as a leader in enterprise AI, with a vision of embedding AI agents into everyday tools rather than traditional CRM screens [14][67] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that the global environment is rapidly changing, with AI transformation being a top priority for enterprises across all industries [8][9] - The company remains confident in its guidance for Q3 and the remainder of 2025, despite navigating challenges in the U.S. federal sector [34][53] - The outlook for 2025 has been raised, with subscription revenue expected to reach between $12,775 million and $12,795 million, representing 20% year over year growth [34] Other Important Information - The company ended Q2 with approximately $10,800 million in cash and investments, and bought back approximately 381,000 shares as part of its share repurchase program [32] - The company is investing in AI talent and technical selling to meet the growing demand for AI transformation [110] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is driving the better-than-expected execution? - Management attributed the success to a strong culture and the transformative impact of AI, which has led to larger business cases across all industries [41][44] Question: How is the pipeline for federal activity? - Management indicated that despite uncertainties, the federal team executed well, closing six new logos in Q2, and they are building prudence into their assumptions for the U.S. federal sector [51][53] Question: Are customers using AI Control Tower as a central control plane? - Management confirmed that the AI Control Tower is designed to manage all agents, including third-party agents, and is expected to enhance collaboration across business processes [55][60] Question: What are the immediate opportunities in front office workflows? - Management highlighted significant opportunities in sales and order management, particularly in public sector entities looking to replace fragmented legacy CRM systems [66][69] Question: What drove the robust upside in revenue guidance? - Management noted strong net new ACV performance and better-than-expected on-prem performance, largely due to early renewals [120]
Expanding Clientele Aids Snowflake's Prospects: What's the Path Ahead?
ZACKS· 2025-07-22 16:35
Core Insights - Snowflake (SNOW) is enhancing its position in enterprise data infrastructure, driven by increasing demand for AI-led analytics and scalable computing solutions [1] - The company's usage-based model allows for flexible expansion across various workloads, with long-term performance reliant on sustained customer commitments and multi-year contracts [1] Customer Growth - As of the end of the first quarter, Snowflake had 11,578 total customers, with 606 generating over $1 million in trailing 12-month product revenue [2] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for customers in the second quarter is projected at 634, reflecting a 24% year-on-year increase, indicating strong traction among large enterprise accounts [2] Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO) - RPO increased by 34% year-on-year to $6.7 billion in the first quarter of fiscal 2026, serving as a key indicator of future revenue visibility [3] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for second-quarter RPO is $6.84 billion, representing a 31% increase from the previous year [3] Product Development and Strategic Partnerships - Snowflake is expanding its product suite and strategic integrations, including AI-native capabilities through various new products and partnerships [4] - The acquisition of Crunchy Data enhances its Postgres offerings, while the partnership with Acxiom is expected to scale AI-driven marketing use cases [4] - The company is gaining traction with large enterprise clients such as Siemens, AstraZeneca, and Samsung Ads, which is anticipated to deepen platform adoption over time [4] Competitive Landscape - Snowflake faces increasing competition from Microsoft and ServiceNow, both of which are expanding their enterprise-grade AI workflows [6] - Microsoft is enhancing its Azure Synapse and Fabric offerings, integrating OpenAI, which positions it as a strong competitor in data-driven AI deployments [6] - ServiceNow is embedding generative AI into various workflows, which may challenge Snowflake's market position [7] Stock Performance and Valuation - Snowflake's shares have risen by 36.9% year-to-date, outperforming the broader Zacks Computer & Technology sector's return of 9.5% and the Zacks Internet Software industry's increase of 15.9% [8] - The stock is trading at a premium, with a forward 12-month Price/Sales ratio of 14.43X compared to the industry's 5.79X [11] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for SNOW's fiscal 2026 earnings is $1.06 per share, indicating a year-on-year increase of 27.71% [14]
Salesforce Bets Big on Agentforce: Can AI Agents Power Growth?
ZACKS· 2025-07-17 13:30
Core Insights - Salesforce, Inc. is focusing on Agentforce, its AI agent platform, as a key growth driver, offering AI-powered software to automate business tasks and enhance productivity [1] Group 1: Agentforce Performance - Within two quarters of its launch, Agentforce has secured over 4,000 paid deals and achieved more than $100 million in annual recurring revenues, indicating strong early adoption and customer value recognition [2][9] - In the first quarter of fiscal 2026, nearly one-third of Agentforce bookings were from customers expanding their usage, showcasing the platform's integration into existing workflows [3][9] Group 2: Strategic Initiatives - To accelerate Agentforce adoption, Salesforce has introduced new usage-based pricing models, industry-specific templates, and enhanced the AgentExchange marketplace, while also hiring additional sales staff [4][9] - The platform utilizes real-time data from Salesforce's Data Cloud to automate work, improve decision-making, and reduce manual effort [3] Group 3: Financial Outlook - If executed successfully, Agentforce could significantly contribute to Salesforce's revenue growth and customer retention, with Zacks Consensus Estimates indicating year-over-year revenue growth of 8.6% for fiscal 2026 and 9.2% for fiscal 2027 [5] - Salesforce's shares have declined 22.8% year-to-date, contrasting with the Zacks Computer – Software industry's growth of 17.5% [8] - The forward price-to-earnings ratio for Salesforce is 21.7, notably lower than the industry average of 34.48, suggesting potential undervaluation [10] Group 4: Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Salesforce's fiscal 2026 and 2027 earnings suggests year-over-year increases of approximately 10.8% and 11.5%, respectively, with upward revisions in estimates over the past 30 days [11]