Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for NetEase, with a target price increase to USD 130 from USD 120, implying a 21.4% upside from the current share price of USD 107.11 [6][11][100] Core Insights - NetEase's recent earnings report showed a 25% beat in earnings, a 5% beat in game revenue, and an 11% beat in deferred revenue, leading to a revision of EPS growth to +18% year-on-year in 2025 [2][11] - The strong deferred revenue growth of 19% year-on-year indicates potential for accelerating game revenue growth in the upcoming quarters [2][97] - Upcoming game launches, including Marvel Mystic Mayhem and Destiny Rising, are anticipated to be key focus areas following the annual product launch event [2][11] Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, NetEase reported total revenue of RMB 28,829 million, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 7% [91] - Online game revenue grew by 15% year-on-year, driven by strong performances from titles such as Identity V, Where Winds Meet, and Marvel Rivals [94] - The gross profit margin (GPM) for games and related value-added services (VAS) was reported at 67%, with a non-GAAP operating profit of RMB 11,393 million, representing a 34% year-on-year increase [91][94] Game Highlights - Mobile game revenue only fell by 4% year-on-year, outperforming consensus expectations of a 6% decline, thanks to strong performances from Identity V and Where Winds Meet [3][94] - PC game revenue saw an impressive growth of 85% year-on-year, significantly above the consensus estimate of 67%, driven by contributions from WWM PC and Blizzard titles [3][94] - The launch of Once Human mobile resulted in 6 million new users in its first week, boosting the PC version's revenue by 500% [3][94] Margin Discussions - The report notes an increase in games and related VAS gross profit margin quarter-on-quarter, attributed to a reduced focus on non-game businesses and a shift towards profitability [4][94] - The report anticipates that it will take a few quarters for sales and marketing expenses as a percentage of revenue to normalize [4] Valuation Metrics - The report provides estimates for future financial performance, projecting revenue of RMB 116,721 million for 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 11% [98] - The estimated price-to-earnings (PE) ratio for 2025 is 12.6, indicating a favorable valuation compared to historical averages [7][14] Pipeline and Future Outlook - The report highlights key upcoming titles such as Ananta, expected to launch in 2026, which could significantly contribute to future revenue streams [2][90] - The successful return of Overwatch in China has set new records for peak concurrent users, indicating strong market demand for NetEase's offerings [94]

16 May 2025 | 2:24AM HKT NetEase Inc. (NTES) Buy Earnings Review: 1Q clean beat and rising growth visibility for 2025; Raise TP, Buy | NTES | 12m Price Target: $140.00 | Price: $107.11 | Upside: 30.7% | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 9999.HK | 12m Price Target: HK$219.00 | Price: HK$168.10 | Upside: 30.3% | NetEase delivered a clean beat across revenue/GP/OP line in 1Q25, with Game revenue up 15% and OP up 34% yoy. We believe this set of results should ease investors' concern over its legacy/mobile games weakn ...

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网易 20250515 摘要 • NetEase's Q1 2025 shows a 7% YoY revenue increase, driven by new game successes and flagship titles, boosting gaming and value-added services revenue by 12% YoY to RMB 24.0 billion. This growth is fueled by global expansion and diversification of its game portfolio. • "Marvel Rivals" has sustained strong global player engagement, reclaiming the top spot on Steam's Global Top Seller chart after Season 2's launch in April, which introduced new maps, heroes, and themes. This demonstrates NetEa ...

Core Viewpoint - NetEase, Inc. reported strong financial results for the first quarter of 2025, driven by robust performance in its gaming segment and ongoing innovation across its business lines [1][5][10]. Financial Highlights - Net revenues for Q1 2025 were RMB 28.8 billion (US$ 4.0 billion), a 7.4% increase year-over-year [7][10]. - Net revenues from games and related value-added services reached RMB 24.0 billion (US$ 3.3 billion), marking a 12.1% increase compared to the same quarter of 2024 [8][10]. - Gross profit for the quarter was RMB 18.5 billion (US$ 2.5 billion), an increase of 8.6% year-over-year [13][10]. - Net income attributable to shareholders was RMB 10.3 billion (US$ 1.4 billion), up from RMB 7.6 billion in Q1 2024 [17][10]. - Non-GAAP net income attributable to shareholders was RMB 11.2 billion (US$ 1.5 billion), reflecting a significant increase from RMB 8.5 billion in the same quarter of the previous year [18][10]. Operational Highlights - The company launched several successful titles, including "Marvel Rivals" and "Where Winds Meet," which contributed to increased engagement and revenue [10][8]. - Youdao's net revenues were RMB 1.3 billion (US$ 178.9 million), consistent with the previous quarter but down 6.7% year-over-year due to a focus on core services [9][10]. - NetEase Cloud Music reported revenues of RMB 1.9 billion (US$ 256.1 million), a decrease of 8.4% compared to the same quarter of 2024 [11][10]. - Innovative businesses and others generated RMB 1.6 billion (US$ 223.8 million), down 17.6% year-over-year, primarily due to reduced revenues from advertising services [12][10]. Cash Flow and Dividend - As of March 31, 2025, the company's net cash totaled RMB 137.0 billion (US$ 18.9 billion), an increase from RMB 131.5 billion at the end of 2024 [20][10]. - The board approved a dividend of US$ 0.1350 per share for Q1 2025, payable in June 2025 [21][10]. Share Repurchase Program - The company has repurchased approximately 21.6 million ADSs for a total cost of US$ 1.9 billion under its ongoing share repurchase program [24][10].