Group 1: AI Applications - The report is optimistic about AI applications in cloud services and entertainment sectors, predicting significant productivity releases in 2026. Key areas of focus include programming, search, and office productivity, with a notable increase in token consumption across these fields [3][17][21] - Major obstacles to the large-scale deployment of AI agents include reliability issues, severe product homogeneity, and unresolved cost problems. The report emphasizes that the reliability of AI agents is crucial, especially in high-stakes environments like customer service [22][23][24] - The competition among major cloud service providers is expected to intensify, with cloud vendors being the most certain beneficiaries of the AI market growth. Vertical agents focusing on specific industries are likely to establish more viable business models compared to general-purpose agents [30][25] Group 2: Gaming Industry - The gaming industry is entering a cycle of gameplay innovation, with a long-term potential for female-oriented gaming segments. The report highlights the transition from simple romance simulations to more complex narratives incorporating elements like strategy and science fiction [4][62] - The report notes that the gaming market is stabilizing, with a slight decline in revenue year-on-year but a recovery in the quarter-on-quarter performance due to new game launches and the sustained operation of mature products [58][62] - AI is expected to enhance gaming experiences by introducing new interaction forms and personalizing gameplay based on player preferences, which could significantly improve player engagement and satisfaction [46][44] Group 3: Hong Kong Internet Sector - The report indicates that Hong Kong's leading internet companies are currently undervalued, with adjusted profit valuation multiples ranging from 15 to 20 times for major players. E-commerce platforms like JD and Pinduoduo are valued around 10 times, while social and content platforms like Tencent and Bilibili are valued around 20 times [5][30] - The report recommends several companies in the Hong Kong internet sector, including Tencent Holdings, Xiaomi Group, and Meituan-W, citing their potential for growth driven by AI-driven advertising and stable gaming revenues [5][30]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Kuaishou-W (01024.HK) [1] Core Insights - The company's Q3 performance exceeded expectations, with total revenue reaching 35.554 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 14.2%. Adjusted net profit was 4.986 billion RMB, up 26.3% year-on-year, with an adjusted net profit margin of 14.0%, an increase of 1.3 percentage points year-on-year [8] - The application of AI models, particularly the OneRec model, is beginning to enhance monetization efficiency across Kuaishou's ecosystem, contributing to a 4%-5% increase in online marketing service revenue in Q3 [8] - The report anticipates continued robust growth in the company's core business, driven by AI capabilities and the integration of content and e-commerce [8] Financial Projections - Total revenue projections for Kuaishou are as follows: - 2023: 113.47 billion RMB - 2024: 126.90 billion RMB - 2025: 142.12 billion RMB - 2026: 155.05 billion RMB - 2027: 167.07 billion RMB [1] - Adjusted net profit projections are: - 2023: 6.396 billion RMB - 2024: 15.335 billion RMB - 2025: 18.052 billion RMB - 2026: 20.015 billion RMB - 2027: 22.099 billion RMB [1] - The report adjusts the non-IFRS net profit forecast for 2025-2027 to 20.6 billion RMB, 22.9 billion RMB, and 25.2 billion RMB respectively, corresponding to a non-IFRS P/E ratio of 12x, 11x, and 10x [8] Market Data - The closing price of Kuaishou is 64.00 HKD, with a market capitalization of approximately 210.21 billion HKD [5] - The stock has a price-to-book ratio of 3.37 and a one-year price range of 38.15 to 92.60 HKD [5][6]