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兴森科技(002436):战略投入拖累当期盈利,聚焦技术提升静候需求导入
Bank of China Securities· 2025-04-28 03:08
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [1][4] Core Views - The company's profits are under pressure due to strategic investments and market conditions, but it continues to focus on technological improvements and market expansion in its semiconductor business [3][4][7] - The company is expected to achieve revenues of RMB 76.21 billion, RMB 92.79 billion, and RMB 109.86 billion for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding net profits of RMB 1.08 billion, RMB 3.04 billion, and RMB 4.26 billion [4][6] Financial Summary - The company reported a revenue of RMB 58.17 billion in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 8.53%, but a net loss of RMB 1.98 billion [7] - For Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of RMB 15.80 billion, a year-on-year increase of 13.77%, but a net profit of RMB 0.09 billion, down 62.24% year-on-year [7] - The company's PCB business generated revenue of RMB 43.00 billion in 2024, with a gross margin of 26.96%, down 1.76 percentage points year-on-year [7] - The semiconductor business generated revenue of RMB 12.85 billion in 2024, with a gross margin of -33.16%, down 28.60 percentage points year-on-year [7] Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company is projected to have a revenue growth rate of 31.0% in 2025, followed by 21.7% in 2026 and 18.4% in 2027 [6][21] - The projected net profit for 2025 is RMB 108 million, with significant growth expected in subsequent years [6][21] Valuation Metrics - The company is expected to have a PE ratio of 177.6 in 2025, decreasing to 63.3 in 2026 and 45.1 in 2027 [4][6] - The projected EBITDA for 2025 is RMB 732 million, with a significant increase in the following years [6][21]
迅捷兴20250321
2025-04-15 14:30
Summary of Conference Call Records Company and Industry Overview - The company operates in the PCB (Printed Circuit Board) industry, focusing on rapid prototyping and small to large batch production. The company has a significant client base, including major players in the robotics sector such as 汇川 (Huichuan) and 爱斯顿 (Aston) [1][4][43]. Key Points and Arguments 1. **Production Capacity Planning**: The company has developed a comprehensive capacity plan, transitioning from small batch production to large scale manufacturing, with projected revenues exceeding 20 billion in the future [1]. 2. **Robotics Market Potential**: The domestic robotics market is expected to grow significantly, potentially matching Tesla's scale within three years. The company anticipates substantial growth in PCB production for robotics applications [2]. 3. **Factory Developments**: The company has established a new factory (珠海) aimed at rapid prototyping, with an initial production capacity of 720,000 square meters, potentially generating 1 billion in revenue when fully operational [23][24]. 4. **High-Margin Products**: The company specializes in high-value rapid prototypes, which have a diverse customer base and high profit margins, with an average gross margin of around 40% [21][24]. 5. **Client Relationships**: The company has long-standing relationships with key clients, such as 一博 (Yibo), which contributes significantly to its revenue with a gross margin exceeding 50% due to specialized high-difficulty orders [10][11]. 6. **Future Revenue Projections**: The company expects to achieve revenues of approximately 3.5 million this year from its robotics segment, with potential growth to 30 million in the coming years [12]. 7. **Market Demand Dynamics**: The demand for small batch and rapid prototyping services is driven by clients' R&D needs, with a focus on flexibility and quick turnaround times [31][32]. 8. **Expansion Plans**: The company plans to launch an online marketplace to capture orders from global electronic manufacturers and small enterprises, enhancing its market reach [6][26]. Additional Important Insights - **Technological Capabilities**: The company emphasizes its comprehensive technical capabilities in producing complex PCBs, including high-layer count and HDI (High-Density Interconnect) boards, which are essential for advanced robotics applications [17][19]. - **Competitive Landscape**: The company positions itself as a key supplier for high-difficulty PCB needs, which larger manufacturers may not be able to fulfill due to their focus on mass production [35][37]. - **Long-Term Profitability Goals**: The company aims for a long-term profit target of 4 to 6 billion, leveraging its unique position in the market and expanding production capabilities [42][45]. This summary encapsulates the essential points discussed in the conference call, highlighting the company's strategic direction, market opportunities, and operational insights.