Core Viewpoint - The domestic oilseed market experienced a mixed performance on August 26, with palm oil futures declining over 1% while peanut futures saw a slight increase of 0.31% [1] Price Movements - As of August 26, the main futures prices are as follows: - Palm oil down 1.14% at 9504.00 CNY/ton - Soybean meal down 0.64% at 3090.00 CNY/ton - Rapeseed meal down 0.39% at 2549.00 CNY/ton - Peanut up 0.31% at 7802.00 CNY/ton [1][2] Warehouse Receipt Data - As of August 25, warehouse receipt data indicates: - Soybean oil futures unchanged at 15760 contracts - Palm oil futures unchanged at 0 contracts - Rapeseed oil futures unchanged at 3987 contracts - Soybean meal futures unchanged at 10925 contracts - Rapeseed meal futures decreased by 187 contracts to 8101 contracts - Soybean futures decreased by 115 contracts to 12082 contracts [3] Basis and Basis Rate - The basis and basis rates for various commodities are as follows: - Rapeseed oil: Basis 116, Basis Rate 1.16% - Rapeseed meal: Basis 61, Basis Rate 2.33% - Palm oil: Basis 24, Basis Rate 0.25% - Soybean: Basis 302, Basis Rate 7.02% - Soybean meal: Basis 10, Basis Rate 0.32% - Soybean oil: Basis 96, Basis Rate 1.12% [4]

Core Viewpoint - The ongoing drought and high temperatures pose a significant threat to autumn grain production, which accounts for approximately 75% of the annual grain output in the province, necessitating urgent and coordinated responses to mitigate the impact on agriculture and ensure food security [1][2]. Group 1: Drought Impact on Agriculture - The drought has severely affected key grain-producing areas, with some regions experiencing over 30 days without effective rainfall, highlighting the critical need for timely irrigation [1][2]. - The province's autumn crops, primarily corn and peanuts, require substantial water during crucial growth stages such as flowering and ear formation [1]. Group 2: Government Response and Measures - Provincial leaders have emphasized the importance of early and thorough irrigation efforts, with directives to maximize water usage to alleviate drought effects [1][2]. - A total of 9.49 billion cubic meters of water has been transferred from reservoirs to support agricultural needs, alongside the establishment of 12,900 emergency wells to address water shortages [2]. Group 3: Importance of Infrastructure and Funding - The drought has underscored the significance of high-standard farmland construction, which has proven effective in mitigating drought impacts due to adequate irrigation facilities [2]. - The government has allocated 20 million yuan in drought relief funding, with an additional 50 million yuan from central authorities and 100 million yuan for "one spray multiple promotions" initiatives to support key areas [2]. Group 4: Community Support and Risk Management - Local organizations are urged to assist vulnerable populations, particularly the elderly and those with limited labor capacity, in managing their agricultural needs during the drought [3]. - Despite forecasts of potential rain, the uneven distribution raises concerns about its effectiveness in alleviating drought conditions, necessitating proactive measures in irrigation and crop management [3].

Core Viewpoint - The domestic oilseed market shows mixed performance, with canola meal futures rising while other oil futures decline as of June 30, indicating volatility in the sector [1]. Price Movements - Canola meal futures increased by 1.14% to 2572.00 CNY/ton - Canola oil futures decreased by 0.43% to 9421.00 CNY/ton - Palm oil futures fell by 0.69% to 8308.00 CNY/ton - Soybean oil futures dropped by 0.32% to 7976.00 CNY/ton [1][2]. Futures Market Data - Soybean oil opened at 7994.00 CNY, closing at 8002.00 CNY - Palm oil opened at 8366.00 CNY, closing at 8366.00 CNY - Canola oil opened and closed at 9466.00 CNY - Soybean meal opened at 2942.00 CNY, closing at 2938.00 CNY - Canola meal opened at 2558.00 CNY, closing at 2543.00 CNY [2]. Warehouse Receipt Data - Soybean oil warehouse receipts remained stable at 18882 lots - Palm oil warehouse receipts increased by 470 lots to 470 lots - Canola oil warehouse receipts remained stable at 300 lots - Soybean meal warehouse receipts rose by 9610 lots to 35561 lots - Canola meal warehouse receipts decreased by 1141 lots to 21544 lots [3]. Basis and Spot Prices - Canola meal spot price is 2475 CNY, with a futures price of 2509 CNY, resulting in a basis of -68 CNY and a basis rate of -2.75% - Palm oil spot price is 8586 CNY, with a futures price of 8366 CNY, resulting in a basis of 220 CNY and a basis rate of 2.56% - Soybean one spot price is 4295 CNY, with a futures price of 4144 CNY, resulting in a basis of 151 CNY and a basis rate of 3.52% - Soybean meal spot price is 2906 CNY, with a futures price of 2938 CNY, resulting in a basis of -32 CNY and a basis rate of -1.10% - Soybean oil spot price is 8254 CNY, with a futures price of 8002 CNY, resulting in a basis of 252 CNY and a basis rate of 3.05% [4].

Core Insights - The domestic futures market for oilseeds showed a mixed performance on June 13, with palm oil futures rising over 2% [1] - As of the latest data, palm oil futures increased by 2.12% to 8178.00 CNY/ton, while canola oil and soybean oil also saw gains of 1.80% and 1.40%, respectively [1] Price Movements - The opening and closing prices for various oilseed futures on June 13 are as follows: - Soybean oil: Opened at 7720.00 CNY, closed at 7810.00 CNY - Palm oil: Opened at 8032.00 CNY, closed at 8178.00 CNY - Canola oil: Opened at 9205.00 CNY, closed at 9339.00 CNY - Peanut: Opened at 8208.00 CNY, closed at 8212.00 CNY [2] Warehouse Receipt Data - As of June 12, the warehouse receipt data indicated: - Soybean oil futures receipts decreased by 100 contracts to 17552 contracts - Palm oil futures receipts increased by 80 contracts to 540 contracts - Canola oil futures receipts increased by 100 contracts to 1185 contracts - Other oilseed futures such as soybean meal and canola meal saw slight decreases in receipts [3] Basis and Spot Prices - The basis and spot prices for various oilseed products are as follows: - Canola oil: Spot price at 9333.33 CNY, basis at 159 CNY, basis rate at 1.70% - Palm oil: Spot price at 8424 CNY, basis at 416 CNY, basis rate at 4.94% - Soybean oil: Spot price at 7954 CNY, basis at 252 CNY, basis rate at 3.17% - Notably, several contracts, including canola oil and palm oil, exhibited a 'backwardation' phenomenon where spot prices exceeded futures prices [4]