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570亿营收也救不了股价,机构正在疯狂抛售英伟达
3 6 Ke· 2025-11-24 08:32
Core Viewpoint - Nvidia's latest earnings report for Q3 FY2026 showcased remarkable growth, with revenue reaching $57 billion, a 62% year-over-year increase, and adjusted net income of $31.9 billion, up 65% year-over-year, significantly surpassing Wall Street expectations [1][2][14]. Financial Performance - Revenue: $57,006 million, up 62% year-over-year and 22% quarter-over-quarter [2] - Gross Margin: 73.4%, a slight decrease of 1.2 percentage points year-over-year [2] - Operating Expenses: $5,839 million, up 36% year-over-year [2] - Operating Income: $36,010 million, up 65% year-over-year [2] - Net Income: $31,910 million, up 65% year-over-year [2] - Diluted Earnings Per Share: $1.30, a 67% increase year-over-year [2] Market Reaction - Despite strong earnings, Nvidia's stock price fell over 3% after initially rising 5%, reflecting market skepticism about future growth sustainability [1][5]. Business Segments Performance - Data Center Revenue: $51.2 billion, up 66% year-over-year, accounting for nearly 90% of total revenue [8][10]. - Gaming Revenue: $4.265 billion, up 30% year-over-year [12]. - Professional Visualization Revenue: $760 million, up 56% year-over-year [12]. - Automotive and Robotics Revenue: $592 million, up 32% year-over-year [12]. Strategic Challenges - Market Repositioning: Nvidia is being viewed as a cyclical hardware supplier, raising concerns about the sustainability of cloud spending [7]. - Customer Concentration: Major clients like Microsoft and Google are developing their own chips, threatening Nvidia's market position [7][21]. - Geopolitical Risks: Ongoing export restrictions to China are limiting growth opportunities in a previously lucrative market [7][22]. Future Outlook - Nvidia anticipates Q4 revenue of $65 billion, exceeding analyst expectations [14]. - The company is focusing on rapid technology iterations and expanding its ecosystem through software platforms [27][30]. - Concerns about potential market saturation and competition from self-developed chips by major clients persist [20][21]. Investment Sentiment - Institutional investors are showing caution, with significant sell-offs from major funds, reflecting a shift towards risk management [33][35]. - The debate over whether AI stocks are in a bubble continues, with contrasting views on Nvidia's long-term growth potential [37].
570亿营收也救不了股价!机构正在疯狂抛售英伟达
首席商业评论· 2025-11-24 04:10
Core Viewpoint - Nvidia's recent earnings report for Q3 FY2026 showcased impressive revenue growth, with a 62% year-over-year increase to $57 billion and a 65% rise in adjusted net profit to $31.9 billion, significantly surpassing Wall Street expectations, thus countering the "AI bubble" narrative [3][4][10]. Financial Performance - Revenue reached $57.006 billion, up 62% year-over-year and 22% quarter-over-quarter [4]. - Gross margin stood at 73.4%, slightly down from 74.6% year-over-year [4]. - Operating expenses increased by 36% year-over-year to $5.839 billion [4]. - Operating income was $36.01 billion, reflecting a 65% year-over-year growth [4]. - Diluted earnings per share rose to $1.30, a 67% increase compared to the previous year [4]. Market Reaction - Despite strong earnings, Nvidia's stock fell over 3% after initially rising 5%, indicating market skepticism about future growth sustainability [4][21]. - The stock closed at $178.88, with a market capitalization of $4.35 trillion [4]. Business Segments Performance - Data center revenue was the highlight, contributing $51.2 billion, a 66% year-over-year increase, accounting for nearly 90% of total revenue [10][18]. - Gaming revenue reached $4.265 billion, up 30% year-over-year, driven by RTX 40/50 series sales [16]. - Professional visualization revenue grew by 56% to $760 million, serving clients like Pixar and Disney [16]. - Automotive and robotics revenue increased by 32% to $592 million, with clients including BYD and Xiaomi [16]. Structural Challenges - Nvidia faces three major structural challenges: 1. Changing valuation logic as the market repositions it as a cyclical hardware supplier [11]. 2. Core customers like Microsoft and Google developing their own chips, threatening Nvidia's competitive edge [11]. 3. Geopolitical issues, particularly export restrictions to China, limiting growth opportunities [11][27]. Future Outlook - Nvidia is focusing on rapid technology iteration with the upcoming Rubin platform and promoting its CUDA software platform to deepen developer engagement [33]. - The company is expanding into new areas such as robotics and healthcare, aiming to extend AI applications beyond data centers [34]. - Concerns about the sustainability of capital expenditures and potential market corrections are prevalent among investors [40][42]. Market Sentiment - A significant portion of institutional investors is reducing their holdings in Nvidia, reflecting a shift towards risk management amid concerns of an AI bubble [36][42]. - The debate centers on whether AI represents a transformative opportunity or if current valuations are unsustainable, with implications for Nvidia's future growth trajectory [42].