齐鲁晚报.齐鲁壹点闫丽君 对符合汽车报废更新或汽车置换更新补贴政策购买新车的个人消费者，分别给予报废更新最高2万元或 1.5万元补贴、置换更新最高1.5万元或1.3万元补贴；对购买符合政策标准的Ⅰ级能效或水效标准的冰 箱、洗衣机、电视、空调、热水器、电脑六类家电产品的个人消费者，给予最高1500元补贴；对购买单 件销售价格不超过6000元的手机、平板、智能手表(手环)、智能眼镜四类数码和智能产品的个人消费 者，给予最高500元补贴。 上述措施自印发之日起施行，有效期至2026年2月28日。 2月8日，烟台市出台《2026年春节期间暖心惠民稳工稳产十条措施》。其中明确提出，春节期间烟台要 接续实施消费品以旧换新相关举措。 ...

2月4日，广州举行"广货行天下 年味最广州"第二场新闻发布会。会上，相关部门负责人介绍，春节期 间广州加力推进消费品以旧换新和广东优品购活动，覆盖18类产品，最高补贴比例达15%；分批次发放 5000万元餐饮消费券。今年，广州传统花街活动将走进北京。 "行花街"是老广们过年不可或缺的过年仪式感，今年传统花街活动将被引入北京。会上，广州市林业园 林局副局长陈迅介绍，今年3月3日至10日，广州传统花街活动将走进北京，在北京北海公园举行，让广 州花卉产业走进北方市场。 "做好民生商品保供稳价，保障全体市民和来穗游客度过一个消费畅旺、欢乐祥和的春节假期。" 广州 市商务局副局长吴伟华在会上介绍了广州在今年春节期间的促消费和保供应工作的部署工作。 吴伟华表示，广州线下商圈活动"年味纷呈"，各大商圈对接"羊城消费新八景"的"行花街"主题，推出特 色新春消费场景，融合岭南民俗与国际潮流，打造沉浸式消费体验。本土老字号同步焕新出圈，让老广 年味记忆借助广货走向千家万户。同时，1月31日至3月13日，与白云机场携手在T3航站楼打造老字号 嘉年华机场专场市集，让机场旅客近距离接触广货老字号、感受岭南年味。此外，广州以APEC高官 ...

Group 1 - The Chongqing government will launch a comprehensive subsidy policy for vehicle scrapping and replacement, as well as for home appliances and digital products starting January 1, 2026 [2] - The first batch of subsidies for 2026 includes 210 million yuan for vehicle scrapping, 555 million yuan for vehicle replacement, 450 million yuan for home appliances, and 301 million yuan for digital and smart products [2] Group 2 - Consumers can receive a one-time subsidy of up to 20,000 yuan for scrapping eligible gasoline and diesel vehicles registered before specific dates and purchasing qualifying new energy or low-displacement fuel vehicles [3] - The subsidy for scrapping eligible fuel vehicles and purchasing new energy vehicles is set at 12% of the new vehicle sales price, while the subsidy for low-displacement fuel vehicles is 10%, with maximum amounts of 20,000 yuan and 15,000 yuan respectively [3][4] Group 3 - For vehicle replacement, consumers can receive a one-time subsidy of up to 15,000 yuan for purchasing qualifying new energy vehicles and up to 13,000 yuan for low-displacement fuel vehicles [5] - The subsidy for new energy vehicles is 8% of the new vehicle sales price, while for low-displacement fuel vehicles, it is 6% [5] Group 4 - Consumers can receive a 15% subsidy on the sales price of energy-efficient home appliances, with a maximum of 1,500 yuan per item, and can claim one subsidy per category [6] - For digital products like smartphones and tablets, a 15% subsidy is also available, capped at 500 yuan per item, with a limit of one subsidy per category [6] Group 5 - The subsidy policy will be effective from January 1, 2026, to December 31, 2026, and will operate on a "total amount control, balanced use, and first-come, first-served" basis [6]

Core Viewpoint - The new round of "National Subsidy" has officially begun, with a total of 625 billion yuan allocated for 2026, focusing on consumer goods replacement and increased support for equipment updates [1]. Group 1: Digital and Smart Products - Digital and smart products will continue to receive a 15% subsidy, with a maximum of 500 yuan per item, maintaining the same standards as in 2025. The product categories have been expanded to include smart glasses alongside existing items like smartphones and smart home products [1][2]. Group 2: Home Appliances - Subsidies for home appliances will focus solely on products that meet 1st-level energy efficiency or water efficiency standards. Categories eligible for subsidies include refrigerators, washing machines, televisions, air conditioners, computers, and water heaters, with a maximum subsidy of 1500 yuan per item [3][5]. Group 3: Automotive Subsidies - The automotive subsidy program has been adjusted to provide a fixed percentage of the new car sales price as a subsidy, with a maximum of 20,000 yuan for eligible vehicles. The criteria for old vehicle registration dates have been clarified to expand the support range [5][6][7]. Group 4: Equipment Updates - The support for equipment updates will generally continue the scope established in 2025, with additional focus on areas such as old community elevator installations, equipment updates for elderly care institutions, and safety equipment [8][12]. Group 5: Application Process - Consumers can apply for subsidies through designated platforms for different product categories, including automotive and home appliances, ensuring a streamlined process for accessing the benefits [10][13]. Group 6: Fraud Prevention - The implementation of the 2026 "National Subsidy" policy will include measures to combat fraud and ensure that the subsidy benefits reach a broad consumer base, enhancing the effectiveness of the program [15].

Core Viewpoint - Hebei Province will implement a large-scale consumer goods trade-in policy in 2026 to enhance the quality of life for residents and stimulate consumption [1] Group 1: Policy Implementation - The trade-in program will officially start on January 1, 2026, and end on December 31, 2026 [1] - The program aims to meet the high-quality living needs of the public as per national directives [1] Group 2: Scope of Policy - **Automobile Scrapping and Replacement**: - Subsidies will be provided for scrapping gasoline vehicles registered before June 30, 2013, diesel vehicles before June 30, 2015, and new energy vehicles before December 31, 2019 [2] - A subsidy of 12% of the new car price (up to 20,000 yuan) for scrapping eligible old cars and purchasing new energy vehicles, and 10% (up to 15,000 yuan) for fuel vehicles with an engine size of 2.0 liters or less [2] - **Automobile Trade-in**: - Subsidies for selling personal vehicles and purchasing new energy or fuel-efficient vehicles [3] - 8% subsidy (up to 15,000 yuan) for new energy vehicles and 6% (up to 13,000 yuan) for fuel vehicles [3] - **Home Appliances Trade-in**: - Consumers purchasing energy-efficient home appliances will receive a 15% subsidy on the final sales price, capped at 1,500 yuan per item [4] - **Digital and Smart Products**: - A 15% subsidy on the final sales price for purchasing eligible digital products, capped at 500 yuan per item [4] Group 3: Funding Rules - The subsidy funds will be controlled by annual total amounts and allocated monthly, with a "first come, first served" mechanism for each month [6] Group 4: Additional Information - The specific implementation plan will be released later, and any discrepancies with national guidelines will defer to the national documents [7] - A unified consultation service platform will be established for consumer inquiries regarding the trade-in policy [8]

Core Points - The Jiangsu province will launch a "trade-in" subsidy program for consumer goods starting January 1, 2026, aimed at encouraging residents to upgrade their vehicles, home appliances, and digital products [4][18] Group 1: Vehicle Subsidies - The program offers a maximum subsidy of 20,000 yuan for trading in old vehicles for new ones, applicable to both new energy and fuel vehicles [4][7] - For scrapping old gasoline vehicles registered before June 30, 2013, or diesel vehicles registered before June 30, 2015, a subsidy of 12% of the new vehicle price is available, capped at 20,000 yuan [7] - For trading in old vehicles, a subsidy of 8% of the new vehicle price is available for new energy vehicles, with a maximum of 15,000 yuan, and 6% for fuel vehicles with a maximum of 13,000 yuan [10] Group 2: Home Appliance Subsidies - A subsidy of 15% of the final price, capped at 1,500 yuan, is available for upgrading home appliances such as refrigerators, washing machines, televisions, air conditioners, water heaters, and computers, provided they meet energy efficiency standards [14] Group 3: Digital Product Subsidies - For digital products like smartphones, tablets, smartwatches, and smart glasses, a subsidy of 15% of the final price is available, with a maximum of 500 yuan per item, applicable to items priced under 6,000 yuan [17] Group 4: Participation Requirements - To qualify for vehicle subsidies, both the old and new vehicles must be registered under the same individual's name, and the new vehicle's invoice and registration must be issued in Jiangsu [17] - For home appliances and digital products, the applicant, payer, and recipient must be the same person, and their information must match [17] Group 5: Implementation and Information Access - The "Jiangsu Consumption Trade-in Platform" will provide comprehensive support for the subsidy application process, and participating merchants will be listed by local business authorities [17][18] - Residents are encouraged to stay updated on specific implementation details and participating merchants through local official notifications [17]

Summary of Conference Call Notes on China Industrials Industry Overview - The conference call discusses the **China Industrials** sector, focusing on the implications of the **2026 Consumption Subsidy Scheme** announced by the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) [1] Key Points Consumption Subsidy Scheme - The **2026 subsidy program** has a budget of **US$8.9 billion**, significantly lower than the **Rmb300 billion (approx. US$41.8 billion)** allocated for 2025 [1] - The expected positive impact on corporate earnings for 2026 is anticipated to be less than in 2025 due to the reduced budget [1] - Major sectors covered include **home appliances, auto, digital consumer products, and upgrading equipment** [1] Specific Subsidy Details - **Digital and smart products** will be included in the 2026 scheme, offering a **15% rebate** on items like smartphones and smartwatches, capped at **Rmb 500** each [2] - For home appliances, a **15% subsidy** is available for six categories, capped at **Rmb 1,500** per item [2] - In the auto sector, scrapping old cars can yield subsidies of **12%** of the purchase price for new energy vehicles (NEVs), capped at **Rmb 20,000** [2] Equipment Upgrade Program - The equipment-upgrade program will expand to include sectors such as **elevators in old residential blocks, elderly-care facilities, and fire-and-rescue systems** [3] Company Insights Preferred Companies - **Shengyi Tech**, **Han's CNC**, **Shennan Circuit**, and **KB Laminate** are highlighted for their sales exposure and AI-related business opportunities [1] - **Hengli Hydraulic** is favored in the automation space due to potential re-rating linked to humanoid robots [1] Company Valuations and Risks - **Han's CNC**: Target price of **Rmb 140** based on a **50x 2026E P/E**, with a **98% earnings CAGR** expected for 2025-26E [7] - Risks include weaker AI PCB equipment demand and rising component costs [8] - **Hengli Hydraulic**: Target price of **Rmb 135** based on a **52x 2026E P/E** [9] - Risks include weaker demand for components and lower-than-expected gross profit margins [10] - **Kingboard Laminates Holdings**: Target price of **HK$20.5** based on a **19-20x P/E** for 2026E, reflecting potential earnings upgrades [11] - Risks include slower customer certification and macroeconomic conditions [12] - **Shengyi Technology**: Target price of **Rmb 83** based on a **44x 2026E P/E**, with a strong growth outlook due to AI-CCL revenue [13] - Risks include lower-than-expected demand for AI-CCL orders and subdued consumption [14] - **Shennan Circuit**: Target price of **Rmb 281** based on a **48x forward 2026E P/E**, with significant exposure to AI and auto segments [16] - Risks include slower-than-expected demand in the AI server market and higher laminate cost inflation [17] Additional Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of the **2026 subsidy program** in shaping the earnings outlook for various companies within the industrial sector [1][2][3] - The anticipated lower budget for the subsidy program may lead to a more cautious investment environment compared to 2025 [1] - Companies with strong positions in AI and digital products are expected to benefit more from the subsidy scheme [1][2]

Core Viewpoint - The 2026 "Two New" policy aims to enhance equipment updates and consumer goods replacement, addressing public concerns and promoting high-quality development through targeted subsidies and support measures [1][2]. Group 1: Policy Changes - The 2026 "Two New" policy expands support to include the installation of elevators in old residential areas, equipment updates in elderly care institutions, and updates for commercial facilities like shopping centers and supermarkets [2][4]. - The policy continues to support the replacement of old vehicles and household appliances, including cars, washing machines, and refrigerators, while also expanding subsidies for digital and smart products [2][3]. Group 2: Subsidy Standards - The subsidy standards for equipment updates have been optimized, with differentiated subsidies based on the number of floors for old elevators, potentially easing financial burdens for high-rise residential buildings [4][5]. - For automotive subsidies, the policy shifts from fixed amounts to percentage-based subsidies, with support for new energy vehicles at 12% of the vehicle price (up to 20,000 yuan) and for fuel vehicles at 10% (up to 15,000 yuan) [5][6]. Group 3: Implementation Mechanism - The policy introduces an optimized project application and review process, lowering investment thresholds and increasing support for small and medium-sized enterprises [7]. - A unified subsidy standard will be implemented nationwide for vehicle replacements and household appliances, addressing regional disparities in subsidy amounts [7].

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese government is launching a substantial subsidy program for 2026, aimed at promoting the replacement and upgrading of consumer goods, including vehicles and home appliances, with a total of 625 billion yuan allocated for the first phase of subsidies [1]. Group 1: Automotive Subsidies - Two main directions for automotive subsidies: scrapping old vehicles for new ones or trading in old vehicles for new purchases [2]. - For scrapping, buyers of new energy vehicles can receive a subsidy of 12% of the vehicle price, up to 20,000 yuan, while buyers of fuel vehicles with an engine size of 2.0 liters or less can receive a subsidy of 10%, up to 15,000 yuan [2]. - For trade-ins, new energy vehicles receive an 8% subsidy, capped at 15,000 yuan, and fuel vehicles receive a 6% subsidy, capped at 13,000 yuan [2]. Group 2: Home Appliance and Digital Product Subsidies - The subsidy program focuses on six major home appliances: refrigerators, washing machines, televisions, air conditioners, computers, and water heaters, with a 15% subsidy on the purchase price, capped at 1,500 yuan per item [3]. - Digital products such as smartphones, tablets, smartwatches, and smart glasses are eligible for a 15% subsidy, with a maximum of 500 yuan per item, provided the price does not exceed 6,000 yuan [3]. - The program emphasizes high energy efficiency, green technology, and smart products, aiming to encourage consumer upgrades and industry advancements [3]. Group 3: Broader Policy Implications - The policy also extends to the upgrading of facilities in old residential areas, nursing homes, and fire rescue equipment, with lowered investment thresholds for project applications, allowing more small and medium-sized enterprises to benefit from the subsidies [3]. - The overall message encourages consumers to take advantage of the subsidies for significant purchases and upgrades, focusing on energy-efficient and smart products [3].

分组1: Retailer Performance - Costco is perceived positively by consumers, often described as a "themed park for adults," indicating strong brand loyalty and customer satisfaction [2][3] - BJ's faces operational challenges, particularly with technology and delivery services, but remains popular for its discounts and coupon offerings [3][4] 分组2: Consumer Trends - Initial reports from Black Friday indicate strong consumer spending, with high interest in high-value items such as gold, diamonds, and refrigerators [5][6][8] - The Kirkland brand is viewed as a trusted choice among Costco shoppers, contributing to consumer enthusiasm during sales events [7][8] 分组3: Gen Z Shopping Behavior - Gen Z shoppers differ significantly from traditional consumers, primarily engaging with brands through social media platforms like TikTok rather than traditional advertising methods [10][11] - Retailers need to adapt their marketing strategies to effectively reach Gen Z, who are less responsive to conventional advertising [11][12] 分组4: Costco Financials - Costco's October sales increased by 6.6%, with expectations for November sales to provide further insights into performance [13] - The stock has seen a decline of approximately 15% from its all-time highs in February, despite steady growth in sales and a recent increase in membership fees [13][14] 分组5: Investment Strategy - A conservative investment strategy is being considered for Costco, utilizing a neutral to bullish short put vertical option to capitalize on the upcoming earnings report [15][16] - The strategy involves selling a put option at the $880 strike price, with a probability of success exceeding 65% based on historical support levels [17][18]