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XIAOMI CORP(1810.HK)3Q25 RESULTS:EV BREAKEVEN OFFSET TRADITIONAL BUSINESS PRESSURE
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-21 03:44
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a strong performance in 3Q25, with adjusted net income exceeding expectations due to smart EV breakeven, investment disposal gains, and other income, while traditional business faces challenges from rising memory prices and IoT competition [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - 3Q25 revenue reached RMB113 billion, representing a 22% year-over-year increase, with gross profit margin (GPM) at 22.9%, up 0.4 percentage points quarter-over-quarter [1] - Adjusted net income for 3Q25 was RMB11.3 billion, beating expectations by 8-13%, primarily driven by investment disposal gains and other income [1] - The smart EV segment achieved its first profitable quarter with an operational profit of RMB0.7 billion and profit per vehicle exceeding RMB6,000 [2] Group 2: Business Segments - Smart EV revenue surged by 36.4% quarter-over-quarter to RMB29 billion, driven by the YU7 SUV, although GPM slightly declined to 25.5% due to initial ramp-up costs [2] - Smartphone revenue decreased by 3% year-over-year to RMB46 billion, with an average selling price (ASP) decline of 4% year-over-year [3] - IoT revenue declined by 29% quarter-over-quarter, primarily due to a 64.8% drop in smart large home appliance sales, but GPM improved to 23.9% [4] - Internet services revenue grew by 11% year-over-year to RMB9.4 billion, driven by a 17% increase in advertising revenue, with GPM at 76.9% [5] Group 3: Future Outlook - The company has adjusted its 2025 smartphone shipment target from 170 million-180 million to 160 million-170 million due to memory price pressures [3] - The company expects internet services revenue to reach RMB37 billion in 2025, reflecting a 10% year-over-year growth [5] - The new target price for the company remains at HK$71.14, with a reiteration of the BUY rating [6]
华尔街点评小米财报:Q3业绩整体超预期,内存涨价将压制手机毛利率,关键变量在于汽车交付和新车型进展
美股IPO· 2025-11-19 12:52
小米Q3净利润113亿元创历史新高,整体业绩超过华尔街投行们的预期。华尔街三大投行维持"买入"评级,但目标 价出现分化。分析师普遍认为,小米面临智能手机内存成本上涨与2026年电动车购置税退出的双重利润压力,汽车 交付与新车型进展成为影响未来股价的关键变量。 小米最新财报显示,公司Q3调整后净利润达113亿元人民币创历史新高,同比增81%,整体业绩超出华尔街预期。 值得注意的是, 小米智能电动汽车及AI等创新业务分部实现经营收益7亿元人民币,这是该业务首次录得盈利 。 然而,亮眼的财报数据并未能提振市场情绪,财报发布次日,小米股价跌近5%。 三家投行对小米智能手机业务的现状有着清晰共识: 由AI需求驱动的存储芯片涨价是一个长期结构性挑战,将持 续压制行业整体利润。 在此背景下,小米管理层"优先保份额、牺牲短期毛利"的战略获得了分析师普遍认可。 为应对这一局面,小米已采取措施:一方面锁定2026年内存供应,与国内外主要供应商保持稳定合作;另一方面 明确将提升平均售价(ASP)与扩大市场份额作为战略重点,并重申2030年实现3000万台高端机型出货的目标。 通过产品高端化与价格调整,公司期望部分抵消成本上涨压力, ...
小米集团-SU7 Pro_Max 交付周期缩短,或为潜在改款车型打开窗口;受高基数及旗舰车型提前发布影响,双十一 GMV 同比 - 9%;评级 “买入”
2025-11-12 02:20
Summary of Xiaomi Corp. (1810.HK) Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Xiaomi Corp. (1810.HK) - **Market Cap**: HK$1.1 trillion / $143.3 billion - **Enterprise Value**: HK$915.9 billion / $117.8 billion - **Current Price**: HK$42.98 - **Target Price**: HK$56.50 - **Upside Potential**: 31.5% [6][20] Key Points Industry and Market Performance - **Singles' Day GMV**: Xiaomi reported Rmb29.0 billion GMV during the Singles' Day promotion, a 9% decrease from Rmb31.9 billion last year [1][21] - **Smartphone Rankings**: Xiaomi ranked No.2 in sales volume and GMV on JD.com, with three models in the top 10 best-sellers [23][27] - **Market Share**: Xiaomi is gaining volume share in the smartphone segment priced below Rmb3,000 while maintaining leadership in the premium segment with the Xiaomi 17 Pro Max [23][32] Product and Manufacturing Insights - **SU7 Pro/Max Delivery Times**: The waiting time for SU7 Pro and SU7 Max has been reduced to 6-9 weeks from approximately 30 weeks, indicating improved manufacturing capabilities [1][2] - **EV Manufacturing**: In October, Xiaomi delivered 48.6k units, including 15.0k SU7 models, reflecting strong demand and capacity utilization [2][20] - **Upcoming Product Cycle**: A potential new facelift for the SU7 is expected to enhance product offerings into 2026 [19][20] Financial Performance and Projections - **Revenue Growth**: Projected revenue growth for 2024 is Rmb365.9 billion, increasing to Rmb710.8 billion by 2027 [6][17] - **EBITDA Growth**: Expected EBITDA growth from Rmb30.8 billion in 2024 to Rmb79.4 billion in 2027 [6][17] - **EPS Projections**: EPS is projected to grow from Rmb1.07 in 2024 to Rmb2.38 in 2027 [6][17] Strategic Initiatives - **Subsidy for Singles' Day**: Xiaomi announced a Rmb2 billion subsidy for the 2025 Singles' Day, up from Rmb1.3-1.6 billion in previous years, to stimulate sales [24] - **AIoT Sales**: Sales pressure was noted in AIoT categories, but personal care devices showed strong growth [23] Risks and Considerations - **Market Conditions**: The company may face challenges due to a high base from the previous year, impacting year-over-year comparisons [23][32] - **Short-term Volatility**: While the share price may experience short-term fluctuations, the long-term outlook remains positive [20] Future Watchpoints - **Upcoming Results**: Anticipation for 3Q25 results in late November [20] - **Capacity Expansion**: Monitoring progress in EV manufacturing capacity ramp-up [20] - **New Product Launches**: Filing of new EV models and potential technology events towards the end of 2025 [20] Conclusion Xiaomi Corp. is positioned for growth with a strong product lineup and improved manufacturing capabilities. Despite facing challenges in the current market environment, the long-term outlook remains favorable with strategic initiatives aimed at enhancing sales and market share.