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Broadcom's Semiconductor Growth Picks Up: A Sign of More Upside?
ZACKS· 2025-12-24 17:05
Core Insights - Broadcom's semiconductor revenues are significantly boosted by the rising demand for XPUs, essential for training Generative AI models, with AI revenues increasing 74% year over year to $6.5 billion in Q4 FY25 [1][9] - The company has secured substantial orders from Alphabet's Anthropic, totaling $21 billion, which is expected to drive AI revenues to $8.2 billion in Q1 FY26, doubling year over year [2][9] - Broadcom's networking products, particularly the Tomahawk 6 switch and Jericho 4 router, are experiencing strong demand, contributing to anticipated semiconductor revenues of $12.3 billion in Q1 FY26, reflecting a 50% year-over-year growth [3] Company Performance - Broadcom's share price has appreciated by 45.7% over the past year, outperforming the broader Zacks Computer and Technology sector, which returned 21.6% [7][8] - The company's forward 12-month price/earnings ratio stands at 33.89X, higher than the sector's 27.78X, indicating a premium valuation [11] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2026 earnings is projected at $9.69 per share, suggesting a 42.1% growth from fiscal 2025's reported figures [14] Competitive Landscape - Broadcom faces intense competition in the semiconductor market from NVIDIA and Marvell Technology, both of which are capitalizing on the growing demand for AI and data center solutions [4][5][6] - NVIDIA's data center revenues surged 66% year over year, while Marvell Technology's data center revenues increased by 39% year over year, highlighting the competitive pressures Broadcom is encountering [5][6] Customer Base Expansion - Broadcom's expanding clientele now includes major players like Anthropic, which has contributed to a significant order backlog exceeding $10 billion for AI switches [2][9] - The company has established partnerships with notable firms such as OpenAI, Walmart, and Meta Platforms, enhancing its market position [3]
AVGO Stock Drops 20% From 52-Week High: Should You Buy on the Dip?
ZACKS· 2025-12-18 18:46
Core Viewpoint - Broadcom's shares have declined significantly due to soft gross margin guidance for fiscal 2026, primarily influenced by a higher AI revenue mix and increased tax rates, raising questions about potential buying opportunities [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Broadcom's shares closed at $326.02, down 19.7% from a 52-week high of $414.61 [1] - AI revenues surged 74% year-over-year in Q4 fiscal 2025, reaching $6.5 billion, driven by a $21 billion order from Alphabet [6] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2026 earnings is $9.88 per share, indicating 44.9% growth from fiscal 2025 [12] - The consensus for fiscal 2026 revenues is $92.51 billion, suggesting 44.8% growth from fiscal 2025 [12] Group 2: AI Revenue Growth - Broadcom is experiencing strong demand for XPUs, essential for training Generative AI models, with AI revenues increasing 65% to $20 billion in fiscal 2025 [2] - The current order backlog for AI switches exceeds $10 billion, with the Tomahawk 6 switch gaining traction [2] - Broadcom expects first-quarter fiscal 2026 AI revenues to double year-over-year to $8.2 billion [3] Group 3: Product Portfolio and Partnerships - Broadcom's consolidated backlog reached $162 billion in fiscal 2025, including $73 billion in AI backlog to be delivered over the next 18 months [8] - The company launched the industry's first Wi-Fi 8 silicon solutions and the third-generation Co-Packaged Optics Ethernet switch, Tomahawk 6 [9][10] - Broadcom has a diverse partner base, including major companies like OpenAI, Walmart, and Meta Platforms, which supports its growth strategy [11] Group 4: Market Position and Valuation - Broadcom's shares have appreciated 49.3% over the past year, outperforming the broader technology sector [4] - The stock is currently trading at a premium with a forward price/sales ratio of 17.26X, higher than the sector average of 6.37X [14] - Despite the premium valuation, the company's expanding AI portfolio and strong partner base suggest solid growth potential, justifying the investment [17]
Will Higher Semiconductor Revenues Help AVGO Stock Beat Q4 Earnings?
ZACKS· 2025-12-10 15:42
Core Insights - Broadcom's fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 results are expected to show significant growth driven by expanding AI offerings, particularly in custom AI accelerators (XPUs) [2][4] - AI revenues are projected to increase by 66% year over year to $6.2 billion, with XPUs contributing 65% of AI revenues [3][11] - The Infrastructure Software segment is anticipated to grow by 15% year over year, supported by VMware's increasing adoption and the launch of VCF 9.0 [6][8] Semiconductor Segment - Semiconductor revenues are expected to rise by 30% year over year to $10.7 billion in the fourth quarter, with a Zacks Consensus Estimate of $10.774 billion indicating a 31% increase from the previous year [4][10] - The strong demand for networking products, particularly Tomahawk 5 and 6, is contributing to this growth [3] AI Revenue Growth - AI revenues surged by 63% year over year to $5.2 billion in the third quarter of fiscal 2025, with XPUs being a major driver [3] - The anticipated growth in AI revenues reflects the increasing demand for application-specific integrated circuits necessary for training Generative AI models [2] Infrastructure Software Segment - Infrastructure Software revenue is expected to reach approximately $6.7 billion, marking a 15% year-over-year increase, with a Zacks Consensus Estimate of $6.733 billion [8] - The shift to a subscription-based model for VMware products and the adoption of VMware Cloud Foundation (VCF) are key factors in this growth [6][7] Gross Margin Impact - Despite the revenue growth from XPUs, these lower-margin products are expected to negatively impact Broadcom's gross margin, which is forecasted to decline by 70 basis points sequentially [9] - The adjusted EBITDA margin is expected to be 67%, indicating a 10-basis point decline on a sequential basis [9]
Three Big Catalysts Could Decide Broadcom's Earnings-Day Pop, Analyst Says
Benzinga· 2025-11-26 15:40
Broadcom Inc.’s (NASDAQ:AVGO) upcoming results are set to spotlight the company’s accelerating artificial intelligence business, with investors watching fiscal 2026 revenue guidance and gross margin trends closely.Goldman Sachs analyst James Schneider maintained Broadcom with a Buy and raised the price forecast from $380 to $435.Schneider expects Broadcom’s upcoming results to center on fiscal 2026 AI revenue guidance, along with Alphabet Inc.’s (NASDAQ:GOOGL) Google and OpenAI contributions and the gross m ...
博通公司:第四季度前瞻-业绩稳健,强劲势头推动 2026 年 AI 收入上行
2025-11-26 14:15
Our view on key metrics and our estimates: We expect sustained AI strength in 4Q, with 1Q guidance above the Street given robust spending at key customers - and we expect updated FY26 AI revenue guidance above 100% YoY. We forecast FY26/27 AI revenue of $45.4 bn/$77.3 bn (+128%/+70% YoY respectively). Items on the call that could move the stock: (1) Updated AI guidance for FY26 - Given positive datapoints from key XPU customer Google and strong results from Nvidia, we believe investors expect an update to A ...
2 Artificial Intelligence (AI) Stocks That Could Still Double From Here
The Motley Fool· 2025-11-26 13:00
Core Insights - The article emphasizes the potential for significant growth in investments related to artificial intelligence (AI), with expectations that spending on AI infrastructure will exceed $3 trillion over the next three years [1][2]. Company Summaries Broadcom - Broadcom is highlighted as a leading semiconductor company with a strong history of high double-digit growth in free cash flow, currently at $25 billion, and is expected to grow at an annualized rate of 37% [3][7]. - The company reported a 63% year-over-year increase in AI-related product revenue last quarter, driven by robust demand for advanced chips and networking components [4][6]. - Broadcom's custom AI accelerators are a significant contributor to its AI revenue, and the company is well-positioned due to limited competition in the semiconductor space [6][4]. Microsoft - Microsoft is recognized for its strong position in cloud computing, with a recent 18% year-over-year revenue growth and a 40% increase in Azure revenue, making it one of the fastest-growing cloud providers [8][11]. - The company's cloud services generate recurring revenue, significantly lowering its risk profile, with cloud revenue accounting for approximately two-thirds of its business [9][10]. - Analysts project Microsoft's free cash flow to grow at an annualized rate of 23%, indicating a strong potential for stock appreciation by 2030 [13][12].
交银国际每日晨报-20251118
BOCOM International· 2025-11-18 01:48
Group 1: Broadcom (AVGO US) - The report initiates coverage on Broadcom with a "Buy" rating, setting a target price of $425, indicating a potential upside of 24.1% from the closing price of $342.46 [1] - Broadcom is expected to be the second-largest company in terms of AI exposure among those covered, with projected AI semiconductor revenue growth of 87% CAGR from fiscal years 2025 to 2027, and EPS growth of 33% CAGR during the same period [1][2] - The company has established a leading position in ASIC acceleration chip technology through over a decade of collaboration with Google, and has signed development agreements for xPU acceleration chips with five major clients [2] Group 2: Financial Projections - For fiscal years 2025, 2026, and 2027, Broadcom's total revenue is projected to be $633.5 billion, $898.8 billion, and $1,170.7 billion, respectively, with Non-GAAP gross margins of 78.4%, 73.9%, and 70.8% [3] - Non-GAAP diluted EPS is forecasted to be $6.84, $9.51, and $12.00 for the fiscal years 2025, 2026, and 2027 [3] Group 3: VMware Integration - The integration results of VMware have exceeded expectations, contributing positively to Broadcom's growth outlook driven by AI [3] - The report emphasizes the importance of AI communication networks in data center chips, predicting significant revenue contributions from AI-related businesses in the upcoming fiscal years [2] Group 4: Legend Biotech (LEGN US) - Legend Biotech continues to reduce losses in Q3 2025, with a revenue increase of 70% year-on-year and 7% quarter-on-quarter, driven by high growth expectations for Carvykti sales in 2026 [4][7] - The projected sales for Carvykti in 2026 are expected to reach $2.8 billion, a 45% year-on-year increase, supported by expanded applications in frontline treatments and anticipated approval for Raritan's expansion [4] - The management maintains guidance for achieving commercial profitability for Carvykti in 2025 and overall breakeven for the company in 2026 [4]
Broadcom Rises 106% in a Year: Buy, Sell or Hold the AVGO Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-11-14 15:01
Core Insights - Broadcom (AVGO) shares have increased by 106.3% over the past 12 months, significantly outperforming the Zacks Electronics – Semiconductors industry's return of 71.4% and the broader Zacks Computer and Technology sector's growth of 30.7% [1][2] - The company is experiencing strong demand for XPUs, which are essential for training Generative AI models, leading to a substantial increase in AI revenues [1][6] Company Performance - In Q3 of fiscal 2025, Broadcom's AI revenues rose by 63% year over year to $5.2 billion, with XPUs contributing 65% of total AI revenues [6][10] - The consolidated backlog reached $110 billion, and the company secured over $10 billion in orders for AI racks driven by XPU demand [6][10] - Broadcom anticipates Q4 semiconductor sales to increase by 30% year over year, with software revenues expected to rise by 15% [7][10] Product Development - Broadcom launched the first Wi-Fi 8 silicon solutions for the broadband wireless edge ecosystem and began shipping the Tomahawk 6 - Davisson Ethernet switch, designed for AI networking demands [7][9] - The Jericho 4 Ethernet fabric router can interconnect over one million XPUs across multiple data centers, and the Thor Ultra is the first 800G AI Ethernet Network Interface Card [9][10] Market Position - Broadcom's partner base includes major companies like OpenAI, Walmart, and Meta Platforms, which is expected to drive top-line growth [10] - The company is outperforming competitors such as NVIDIA, Marvell Technology, and AMD in terms of stock performance [2][10] Financial Outlook - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2025 earnings is $6.72 per share, indicating a 38% growth from fiscal 2024, with revenues projected at $63.36 billion, suggesting a 22.9% increase [13] - However, a higher mix of lower-margin XPUs is expected to pressure gross margins, with a forecasted decline of 70 basis points sequentially [11][12] Valuation Concerns - Broadcom's stock is considered overvalued, trading at a forward price/sales ratio of 18.72X, significantly higher than the sector average of 6.85X and competitors like NVIDIA and AMD [14][17] - Despite strong growth potential, the declining gross margin and challenging macroeconomic conditions raise concerns about the premium valuation [17][18]
Celestica CEO explains the company's role in the AI boom
CNBC· 2025-10-28 23:05
Core Insights - Celestica's CEO Rob Mionis emphasized the company's role in supporting the AI infrastructure, stating that the technology has transitioned from a "nice to have" to a "must have" [1] - The company reported earnings that exceeded estimates and raised its full-year outlook, resulting in a stock increase of over 8% and a year-to-date rise of 253.68% [1] Business Strategy - Celestica has shifted its focus from commodity markets to design and manufacturing, a decision that Mionis claims has significantly benefited the company [2] - The emphasis on design and manufacturing allows Celestica to execute consistently at scale [2] Data Center Operations - The company specializes in high-speed networking and storage systems for hyperscalers and digital native companies [3] - Celestica has a strategic partnership with semiconductor maker Broadcom, utilizing Broadcom's silicon in many of its designs [3] Product Development - When Broadcom launches new silicon products, such as the Tomahawk 6 with 1.6 terabytes, Celestica collaborates to develop products that are supplied to major hyperscalers [4]
Can Broadcom's Expanding Portfolio Push Up Q4 Semiconductor Sales?
ZACKS· 2025-10-22 16:00
Group 1: Company Performance and Projections - Broadcom's Semiconductor revenues are benefiting from strong demand for XPUs, which constitute 65% of AI revenues in Q3 fiscal 2025, and the expanding portfolio is expected to further boost sales in fiscal 2025 [1] - AI revenues for Q4 fiscal 2025 are projected to increase by 66% year over year to $6.2 billion, while Semiconductor sales are expected to grow by 30% year over year to $10.7 billion [4][10] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Semiconductor sales is pegged at $10.76 billion, indicating a growth of 30.8% from the previous year [4] Group 2: Product Launches and Innovations - In June, Broadcom announced the shipment of Tomahawk 6, the world's first 102.4 terabits per second Ethernet switch, and has since started shipping Tomahawk 6 – Davisson, its third-generation Co-Packaged Optics Ethernet switch [2] - The Jericho 4 Ethernet fabric router announced in August can interconnect over one million XPUs across multiple data centers, and the Thor Ultra, announced recently, is the first 800G AI Ethernet Network Interface Card capable of supporting trillion-parameter AI workloads [3] - New launches like Tomahawk 6 and Thor Ultra are strengthening Broadcom's AI networking portfolio [10] Group 3: Competitive Landscape - Broadcom faces stiff competition in the semiconductor market from NVIDIA and Marvell Technology [5] - NVIDIA's networking revenues surged by 98% year over year to $7.3 billion, driven by strong demand for AI compute clusters [6] - Marvell Technology is benefiting from strong data center demand, with its Cloud and on-premise Ethernet switching accounting for 74% of net revenues in Q2 fiscal 2026 [7] Group 4: Stock Performance and Valuation - Broadcom shares have appreciated by 47.8% year to date, outperforming the broader Zacks Computer and Technology sector's return of 24.5% [8] - The stock is trading at a forward 12-month price/earnings ratio of 37.83X, compared to the sector's 29.41X, indicating a premium valuation [12] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2025 earnings is pegged at $6.73 per share, suggesting a growth of 38.2% from fiscal 2024 [15]