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电子行业周报:WSTS调高全球半导体销额预期,二季度存储产业链持续回暖-20250611
Guoxin Securities· 2025-06-11 15:41
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the electronic industry, indicating expected performance above the market index by more than 10% [5][39]. Core Viewpoints - The global semiconductor sales forecast for 2025 has been raised to $700.9 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 11.2%, with continued growth expected in 2026 [2]. - The semiconductor market is experiencing expansion driven by demand from AI, cloud infrastructure, and advanced consumer electronics, with specific focus on logic and memory segments [2]. - The report emphasizes the importance of AI-driven innovations and the recovery of the storage industry, particularly in DDR4 pricing, which is expected to rise significantly in Q2 2025 [3][4]. Summary by Sections Market Trends - The electronic sector saw a 3.60% increase, with components rising by 7.46% and electronic chemicals by 1.53% over the past week [12]. - The report highlights a strong performance in the semiconductor sector, driven by AI-related demand and tariff relief, despite cautious investor sentiment regarding Q3 2025 performance sustainability [1][12]. Semiconductor Sales Forecast - WSTS has increased its global semiconductor sales forecast for 2025 to $700.9 billion, with a projected growth of 8.5% to $760.7 billion in 2026 [2]. - The report identifies key players in the semiconductor field, recommending companies such as 德明利, 圣邦股份, and 翱捷科技 for investment [2]. Storage Industry Recovery - DDR4 prices are expected to rise by 18-23% for server modules and 13-18% for PC modules in Q2 2025 due to reduced supply and increased demand [3]. - The report suggests that companies involved in storage, such as 德明利 and 兆易创新, are likely to benefit from this price recovery [3]. AI and ASIC Innovations - The report notes that 快手's 可灵 AI has achieved an annual revenue run rate exceeding $100 million, indicating strong market potential for AI services [4]. - The launch of 博通's Tomahawk 6 chip is expected to address AI computing bottlenecks, enhancing data transmission efficiency in AI networks [4]. Key Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies involved in ASIC, storage, and edge innovations, including 澜起科技, 翱捷科技, and 小米集团 [1][2][4].