齐鲁晚报.齐鲁壹点闫丽君 对符合汽车报废更新或汽车置换更新补贴政策购买新车的个人消费者，分别给予报废更新最高2万元或 1.5万元补贴、置换更新最高1.5万元或1.3万元补贴；对购买符合政策标准的Ⅰ级能效或水效标准的冰 箱、洗衣机、电视、空调、热水器、电脑六类家电产品的个人消费者，给予最高1500元补贴；对购买单 件销售价格不超过6000元的手机、平板、智能手表(手环)、智能眼镜四类数码和智能产品的个人消费 者，给予最高500元补贴。 上述措施自印发之日起施行，有效期至2026年2月28日。 2月8日，烟台市出台《2026年春节期间暖心惠民稳工稳产十条措施》。其中明确提出，春节期间烟台要 接续实施消费品以旧换新相关举措。 ...

Group 1 - The Chongqing government will launch a comprehensive subsidy policy for vehicle scrapping and replacement, as well as for home appliances and digital products starting January 1, 2026 [2] - The first batch of subsidies for 2026 includes 210 million yuan for vehicle scrapping, 555 million yuan for vehicle replacement, 450 million yuan for home appliances, and 301 million yuan for digital and smart products [2] Group 2 - Consumers can receive a one-time subsidy of up to 20,000 yuan for scrapping eligible gasoline and diesel vehicles registered before specific dates and purchasing qualifying new energy or low-displacement fuel vehicles [3] - The subsidy for scrapping eligible fuel vehicles and purchasing new energy vehicles is set at 12% of the new vehicle sales price, while the subsidy for low-displacement fuel vehicles is 10%, with maximum amounts of 20,000 yuan and 15,000 yuan respectively [3][4] Group 3 - For vehicle replacement, consumers can receive a one-time subsidy of up to 15,000 yuan for purchasing qualifying new energy vehicles and up to 13,000 yuan for low-displacement fuel vehicles [5] - The subsidy for new energy vehicles is 8% of the new vehicle sales price, while for low-displacement fuel vehicles, it is 6% [5] Group 4 - Consumers can receive a 15% subsidy on the sales price of energy-efficient home appliances, with a maximum of 1,500 yuan per item, and can claim one subsidy per category [6] - For digital products like smartphones and tablets, a 15% subsidy is also available, capped at 500 yuan per item, with a limit of one subsidy per category [6] Group 5 - The subsidy policy will be effective from January 1, 2026, to December 31, 2026, and will operate on a "total amount control, balanced use, and first-come, first-served" basis [6]

Core Points - The Jiangsu province will launch a "trade-in" subsidy program for consumer goods starting January 1, 2026, aimed at encouraging residents to upgrade their vehicles, home appliances, and digital products [4][18] Group 1: Vehicle Subsidies - The program offers a maximum subsidy of 20,000 yuan for trading in old vehicles for new ones, applicable to both new energy and fuel vehicles [4][7] - For scrapping old gasoline vehicles registered before June 30, 2013, or diesel vehicles registered before June 30, 2015, a subsidy of 12% of the new vehicle price is available, capped at 20,000 yuan [7] - For trading in old vehicles, a subsidy of 8% of the new vehicle price is available for new energy vehicles, with a maximum of 15,000 yuan, and 6% for fuel vehicles with a maximum of 13,000 yuan [10] Group 2: Home Appliance Subsidies - A subsidy of 15% of the final price, capped at 1,500 yuan, is available for upgrading home appliances such as refrigerators, washing machines, televisions, air conditioners, water heaters, and computers, provided they meet energy efficiency standards [14] Group 3: Digital Product Subsidies - For digital products like smartphones, tablets, smartwatches, and smart glasses, a subsidy of 15% of the final price is available, with a maximum of 500 yuan per item, applicable to items priced under 6,000 yuan [17] Group 4: Participation Requirements - To qualify for vehicle subsidies, both the old and new vehicles must be registered under the same individual's name, and the new vehicle's invoice and registration must be issued in Jiangsu [17] - For home appliances and digital products, the applicant, payer, and recipient must be the same person, and their information must match [17] Group 5: Implementation and Information Access - The "Jiangsu Consumption Trade-in Platform" will provide comprehensive support for the subsidy application process, and participating merchants will be listed by local business authorities [17][18] - Residents are encouraged to stay updated on specific implementation details and participating merchants through local official notifications [17]

Summary of Conference Call Notes on China Industrials Industry Overview - The conference call discusses the **China Industrials** sector, focusing on the implications of the **2026 Consumption Subsidy Scheme** announced by the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) [1] Key Points Consumption Subsidy Scheme - The **2026 subsidy program** has a budget of **US$8.9 billion**, significantly lower than the **Rmb300 billion (approx. US$41.8 billion)** allocated for 2025 [1] - The expected positive impact on corporate earnings for 2026 is anticipated to be less than in 2025 due to the reduced budget [1] - Major sectors covered include **home appliances, auto, digital consumer products, and upgrading equipment** [1] Specific Subsidy Details - **Digital and smart products** will be included in the 2026 scheme, offering a **15% rebate** on items like smartphones and smartwatches, capped at **Rmb 500** each [2] - For home appliances, a **15% subsidy** is available for six categories, capped at **Rmb 1,500** per item [2] - In the auto sector, scrapping old cars can yield subsidies of **12%** of the purchase price for new energy vehicles (NEVs), capped at **Rmb 20,000** [2] Equipment Upgrade Program - The equipment-upgrade program will expand to include sectors such as **elevators in old residential blocks, elderly-care facilities, and fire-and-rescue systems** [3] Company Insights Preferred Companies - **Shengyi Tech**, **Han's CNC**, **Shennan Circuit**, and **KB Laminate** are highlighted for their sales exposure and AI-related business opportunities [1] - **Hengli Hydraulic** is favored in the automation space due to potential re-rating linked to humanoid robots [1] Company Valuations and Risks - **Han's CNC**: Target price of **Rmb 140** based on a **50x 2026E P/E**, with a **98% earnings CAGR** expected for 2025-26E [7] - Risks include weaker AI PCB equipment demand and rising component costs [8] - **Hengli Hydraulic**: Target price of **Rmb 135** based on a **52x 2026E P/E** [9] - Risks include weaker demand for components and lower-than-expected gross profit margins [10] - **Kingboard Laminates Holdings**: Target price of **HK$20.5** based on a **19-20x P/E** for 2026E, reflecting potential earnings upgrades [11] - Risks include slower customer certification and macroeconomic conditions [12] - **Shengyi Technology**: Target price of **Rmb 83** based on a **44x 2026E P/E**, with a strong growth outlook due to AI-CCL revenue [13] - Risks include lower-than-expected demand for AI-CCL orders and subdued consumption [14] - **Shennan Circuit**: Target price of **Rmb 281** based on a **48x forward 2026E P/E**, with significant exposure to AI and auto segments [16] - Risks include slower-than-expected demand in the AI server market and higher laminate cost inflation [17] Additional Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of the **2026 subsidy program** in shaping the earnings outlook for various companies within the industrial sector [1][2][3] - The anticipated lower budget for the subsidy program may lead to a more cautious investment environment compared to 2025 [1] - Companies with strong positions in AI and digital products are expected to benefit more from the subsidy scheme [1][2]

Core Viewpoint - The 2026 "Two New" policy aims to enhance equipment updates and consumer goods replacement, addressing public concerns and promoting high-quality development through targeted subsidies and support measures [1][2]. Group 1: Policy Changes - The 2026 "Two New" policy expands support to include the installation of elevators in old residential areas, equipment updates in elderly care institutions, and updates for commercial facilities like shopping centers and supermarkets [2][4]. - The policy continues to support the replacement of old vehicles and household appliances, including cars, washing machines, and refrigerators, while also expanding subsidies for digital and smart products [2][3]. Group 2: Subsidy Standards - The subsidy standards for equipment updates have been optimized, with differentiated subsidies based on the number of floors for old elevators, potentially easing financial burdens for high-rise residential buildings [4][5]. - For automotive subsidies, the policy shifts from fixed amounts to percentage-based subsidies, with support for new energy vehicles at 12% of the vehicle price (up to 20,000 yuan) and for fuel vehicles at 10% (up to 15,000 yuan) [5][6]. Group 3: Implementation Mechanism - The policy introduces an optimized project application and review process, lowering investment thresholds and increasing support for small and medium-sized enterprises [7]. - A unified subsidy standard will be implemented nationwide for vehicle replacements and household appliances, addressing regional disparities in subsidy amounts [7].

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese government is launching a substantial subsidy program for 2026, aimed at promoting the replacement and upgrading of consumer goods, including vehicles and home appliances, with a total of 625 billion yuan allocated for the first phase of subsidies [1]. Group 1: Automotive Subsidies - Two main directions for automotive subsidies: scrapping old vehicles for new ones or trading in old vehicles for new purchases [2]. - For scrapping, buyers of new energy vehicles can receive a subsidy of 12% of the vehicle price, up to 20,000 yuan, while buyers of fuel vehicles with an engine size of 2.0 liters or less can receive a subsidy of 10%, up to 15,000 yuan [2]. - For trade-ins, new energy vehicles receive an 8% subsidy, capped at 15,000 yuan, and fuel vehicles receive a 6% subsidy, capped at 13,000 yuan [2]. Group 2: Home Appliance and Digital Product Subsidies - The subsidy program focuses on six major home appliances: refrigerators, washing machines, televisions, air conditioners, computers, and water heaters, with a 15% subsidy on the purchase price, capped at 1,500 yuan per item [3]. - Digital products such as smartphones, tablets, smartwatches, and smart glasses are eligible for a 15% subsidy, with a maximum of 500 yuan per item, provided the price does not exceed 6,000 yuan [3]. - The program emphasizes high energy efficiency, green technology, and smart products, aiming to encourage consumer upgrades and industry advancements [3]. Group 3: Broader Policy Implications - The policy also extends to the upgrading of facilities in old residential areas, nursing homes, and fire rescue equipment, with lowered investment thresholds for project applications, allowing more small and medium-sized enterprises to benefit from the subsidies [3]. - The overall message encourages consumers to take advantage of the subsidies for significant purchases and upgrades, focusing on energy-efficient and smart products [3].

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview: China Consumer - **China's Consumption Status**: Contrary to the belief that China is under-consuming, the country is one of the fastest-growing major economies. Per capita volume consumption is comparable to global peers, exceeding the US, Japan, and South Korea in certain food categories such as proteins, eggs, seafood, and vegetables [1][10][21]. - **Pricing Dynamics**: The perception of under-consumption is largely due to low pricing, which can be less than 40% of US prices in many categories, especially services [1][10][21]. Macro View - **Household Consumption to GDP Ratio**: China's household consumption accounts for approximately 40% of GDP, which is lower than the US (68%), Japan (54%), and South Korea (48%). However, when adjusted for social transfers in kind, this ratio increases by about 7%, bringing China closer to South Korea and Japan [2][66][71]. - **Potential for Upside**: There is potential for growth in higher-quality and experience-based services, including preventive healthcare, leisure, and entertainment [2][72]. Corporate China: E2SG Opportunities - **E2SG Definition**: E2SG stands for Efficiency, Experience, Service, and Global. Companies can leverage these themes for growth, focusing on cost efficiency, enhancing customer experience, and exploring global markets [3][4]. - **Stock Picks**: The report identifies several companies that fit into the E2SG framework, including Pop Mart, Midea, Geely, H World, Trip.com, Tencent, and Damai, which are expected to be long-term winners despite some facing near-term challenges [4]. Consumption Patterns - **High Volume Consumption**: China exhibits high volume consumption in staples, particularly food, while discretionary categories may see growth potential. For example, China's per capita protein consumption exceeds that of the US [26][27]. - **Service Consumption**: China's consumption of core services like housing, healthcare, and education is comparable to global peers, but there is still room for improvement in higher-quality services [27][30]. Pricing Analysis - **Low Prices**: China's nominal consumption value is suppressed by low prices, which are influenced by structural factors such as being the world's factory, intense competition, and government price regulations [32][35][52]. - **Comparison with Developed Markets**: Consumer goods and services in China are generally cheaper than in the US, Japan, and South Korea, with significant price differences in various categories [33][34]. Urbanization and Future Growth - **Urbanization Impact**: Urbanization is expected to continue, with projections suggesting that the urbanization rate could surpass 70% during the 15th Five-Year Plan. This shift is anticipated to boost household consumption significantly [60][73]. - **Discretionary Spending Potential**: There is significant upside potential in discretionary healthcare and education, as well as leisure and entertainment services, which are currently underdeveloped [72][76]. Conclusion - **Investment Opportunities**: The analysis suggests that while China faces challenges in consumption patterns, there are substantial opportunities for growth in various sectors, particularly in higher-quality and experience-based services. The E2SG framework provides a strategic lens for identifying potential investment opportunities in the Chinese consumer market [3][4][72].

Core Insights - Panasonic India has appointed Tadashi Chiba as the new head, replacing Manish Sharma, who has resigned after a 17-year tenure [1][6] - The company is shifting back to Japanese management after previously being led by an Indian executive, marking a significant change in its leadership strategy [2][6] - Panasonic has exited the refrigerators and washing machine business due to losses and is now focusing on televisions and air-conditioners, with India becoming the second-largest market for ACs [2][5] Company Performance - Panasonic India reported a revenue of approximately Rs 11,100 crore and a net profit of Rs 1,100 crore for the fiscal year 2024-25 [5] - In the previous fiscal year 2023-24, the group revenue was Rs 9,700 crore with a net profit of Rs 830 crore, indicating a growth trajectory [5] Strategic Shift - The company has transitioned from a consumer electronics focus to a technology-oriented approach, emphasizing B2B solutions, including EV batteries and smart factory solutions [2][6] - Panasonic's industrial devices and smart factory solutions segments have surpassed Rs 1,000 crore, driven by initiatives like "Make in India" and electrification [6]

Core Insights - LG Electronics Inc. successfully launched a $1.3 billion initial public offering (IPO) for its Indian unit, which was five times subscribed, indicating strong demand from institutional and wealthy investors [1][2]. Investor Demand - Subscriptions from wealthy individuals reached 13 times the allocated shares, while qualified institutional investors subscribed at 2.7 times, retail investors at 2.5 times, and employees at 5.3 times [2]. IPO Details - The IPO involves the sale of 71.3 million shares priced between 1,080 rupees and 1,140 rupees each, potentially valuing LG Electronics India Ltd. at up to 774 billion rupees ($8.7 billion), making it a contender for India's largest listed home-appliance maker [3]. Market Context - The IPO reflects a strong and sustainable consumption story in India, as noted by LG's chief sales officer, highlighting 28 years of trust from Indian consumers and partners [4]. - This offering marks the fourth billion-dollar IPO in India for the year, contributing to the country becoming the world's fourth-largest IPO market in 2025, with proceeds exceeding $13 billion [4]. Investor Participation - LG attracted significant interest from sovereign wealth funds from Abu Dhabi, Norway, and Singapore, as well as global asset managers like BlackRock Inc. and Fidelity International Ltd. [5]. Valuation Insights - The IPO is priced at approximately 35 times earnings for the year ended March 31, which is considered reasonable compared to peers trading at higher valuations, reflecting the company's strong market position and brand equity [6]. Product Leadership - LG Electronics India holds leading market positions in various product categories, including washing machines, refrigerators, televisions, air conditioners, and microwave ovens, based on offline market share [7]. Underwriters - The share sale was managed by Axis Bank Ltd. and the Indian units of major financial institutions including Morgan Stanley, JPMorgan Chase & Co., Bank of America Corp., and Citigroup Inc. [8].

Core Insights - LG Electronics is positioning India as its global manufacturing hub, reviving its IPO plans with a target valuation of $8.73 billion [1][2] Group 1: IPO Details - LG Electronics India plans to open its initial public offering (IPO) on October 7, with a price band set between 1,080 to 1,140 rupees per share, aiming to raise approximately $1.3 billion [2][4] - The IPO involves an offer-for-sale where the parent company is offloading a 15% stake [2] - The company had initially filed for an IPO in December but delayed the listing due to market volatility [4] Group 2: Manufacturing Strategy - The new factory in Andhra Pradesh, which represents a $600 million investment, will be LG's third in India and is expected to facilitate entry into new markets, including Europe [2][3] - India is favored for its competitive labor costs and strong domestic demand, with LG currently exporting goods worth $160 million, accounting for 6% of its overall revenue [3] Group 3: Market Context - The domestic appliance market in India is valued at $38.2 billion as of 2024, with LG competing against Whirlpool and Samsung [4] - The IPO comes at a time when India has reduced consumption taxes on electronics from 28% to 18%, aiming to boost demand during the festive season [5] - The IPO activity is part of a broader trend, with companies in India raising approximately 909.8 billion rupees through IPOs as of September 30, marking an 18% increase from the previous year [6]