Core Insights - The third XBC Battery and Component Technology Forum 2025 will be held on May 15-16 in Jiaxing, focusing on advancements in photovoltaic technology and market trends [6][13]. Company Developments - JunDa Co., Ltd. officially listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on May 8, becoming the first photovoltaic company to operate under an "A+H" dual capital platform [2][4]. - The company issued 63.43 million shares at a price of HKD 22.15 per share, with proceeds aimed at establishing overseas photovoltaic cell production bases and enhancing technology research and development [4]. - JunDa's N-type battery technology has achieved a conversion efficiency of over 26.3%, with a 30% reduction in non-silicon costs, establishing a competitive edge in the market [4][5]. Industry Trends - The global demand for photovoltaic products is increasing, with JunDa's overseas sales rising from 23.85% in 2024 to 58.00% in Q1 2025, indicating strong market penetration [5]. - The XBC battery technology is gaining traction, with significant advancements in efficiency and production capacity expected in 2025, driven by leading companies in the industry [12][14]. - The market share of XBC batteries is projected to increase significantly, with estimates suggesting a market share of approximately 5% in 2024 compared to 2023 [12]. Forum Agenda Highlights - The forum will cover topics such as the competitive landscape of XBC, TOPCon, and heterojunction batteries, as well as the advantages of XBC components in distributed applications [13][14]. - Key discussions will include advancements in TBC, HBC, and HTBC technologies, cost reduction strategies, and the application of advanced conductive pastes and metallization techniques in XBC batteries [14][15].

Investment Logic - The article highlights investment opportunities in the photovoltaic sector, particularly focusing on new technologies. Three main lines of investment are suggested: 1) Leading TOPCon battery companies expected to achieve profit recovery; 2) New technology equipment manufacturers with growth potential; 3) Suppliers of low-silver or silver-free metallization paste solutions [2][3][4]. TOPCon Route - The profitability of battery components is continuously recovering, with leading companies expected to accelerate capacity upgrades. As demand improves, prices in the supply chain have risen, with silicon wafers, batteries, and components increasing by 7%, 13%, and 7% respectively since mid-February [2][6]. - By the end of 2025, the non-silicon cost of leading companies' TOPCon batteries is projected to drop below 0.13 yuan/W, enhancing competitive advantages among top firms [2][22]. XBC Route - The market interest in XBC technology has significantly increased, with an estimated production capacity nearing 50GW and construction capacity close to 45GW. Major companies like Longi and Aiko are leading this development [3][28]. - The price premium for BC components over TOPCon components remains around 0.05 yuan/W, indicating a competitive edge for BC technology [3][38]. HJT Route - The HJT technology is gaining market share, with a total planned capacity exceeding 100GW and actual capacity around 40-45GW. The efficiency of HJT components is expected to improve significantly, with projections of reaching 750W by early 2026 [4][47]. - HJT components are currently priced at a premium of approximately 0.05 yuan/W over TOPCon components, with cost differences narrowing as production scales up [4][55]. Metallization Process - The trend towards low-silver or silver-free solutions is becoming prominent, with silver paste prices rising significantly. The introduction of silver-copper paste is expected to reduce metallization costs by over 0.01 yuan/W [5][58]. - The industry is focusing on reducing silver consumption, with silver-copper paste already being applied in HJT batteries, indicating a shift towards more cost-effective solutions [5][63].