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天风证券:PMTA资质已成为电子烟市场的“黄金门票”
智通财经网· 2025-04-28 08:28
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights that Reynolds Tobacco's acquisition of 12 PMTA-reviewed e-cigarettes for $5 million represents a strategic move to gain legal market access in a tightening regulatory environment for new tobacco products in the U.S. [1][5] - The report from Tianfeng Securities indicates that companies holding PMTA assets that progress to substantive review stages are likely to become acquisition hotspots, leading to increased transaction valuations in the industry [1][5] - The new tobacco market in the U.S. is seeing intensified competition for PMTA assets, which are becoming critical compliance resources for global tobacco companies [1][5] Group 2 - Philip Morris International (PMI) reported a significant growth in its new tobacco business, with IQOS HTU shipments reaching 37.1 billion units in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 11.9%, capturing 20.40% of total shipments [1][2] - In the EU, IQOS HTU's market share grew by 1.2 percentage points to a record 11.4%, with shipments reaching 5.2 billion units, a 10.64% increase year-on-year [3] - PMI's smokeless products continue to show strong growth, with a 14.4% increase in shipments, contributing to an overall 3.9% growth in total shipments as of March 31, 2025 [2][3] Group 3 - The acquisition by Reynolds Tobacco includes a fixed cash payment of $5 million and a potential earn-out payment of up to $4.2 million based on the sales performance of the products within a year of commercialization [4][5] - The CEO of PMI noted that the company's first-quarter performance was exceptionally strong, driven by increasing sales volumes, with an organic net revenue growth forecast of approximately 6%-8% for the full year 2025 [3] - The report suggests monitoring companies within the vaping supply chain and tobacco supply chain for potential investment opportunities, including Smoore International and China Tobacco Hong Kong [6]
菲莫国际:HNB稳健增长,口含烟延续高增
Xinda Securities· 2025-04-24 07:57
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Positive" [2] Core Insights - The company reported a Q1 2025 revenue of $9.301 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of 5.8%, and an adjusted year-on-year increase of 10.2%. The new tobacco revenue reached $3.895 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 15.0% and an adjusted growth of 20.4%. The new tobacco segment now accounts for 41.9% of total revenue, up 3.4 percentage points year-on-year, moving closer to the company's target of two-thirds by 2030 [2][3] - The net profit for Q1 2025 was $2.690 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 25.2%, driven by product mix optimization and price increases in both new tobacco and traditional cigarettes [2] - The company’s HNB (Heated Not Burned) product sales reached 37.09 billion units in Q1 2025, marking an 11.9% year-on-year increase, with a global penetration rate of 5.7%, up 0.5 percentage points year-on-year [3] - In Japan, the adjusted sales growth for IQOS reached 9.3%, with a penetration rate of 32.4%, surpassing 50% market share in 13 major cities and 8 prefectures [3] - The company’s nicotine pouch sales were 5.3 billion units in Q1 2025, showing a year-on-year increase of 27.2%, with strong performance in both the U.S. and non-U.S. markets [4] - The company anticipates a global tobacco market decline of approximately 1% in 2025, while projecting a 12%-14% increase in new tobacco product sales, with HNB sales expected to grow by 10%-12% [4] - The company aims for IQOS to capture a 10% market share in the U.S. cigarette and HNB market by 2030 [4]