Investment Rating - The report provides a positive outlook for the home furnishing sector, new tobacco, and packaging industries, while indicating a stable recovery for the paper industry and a potential upward trend for trendy toys and light consumer goods [3][4][6]. Core Insights - The home furnishing sector is expected to benefit from the easing of real estate policies, with a focus on companies with high dividend support and growth certainty for 2025 [4][9]. - The new tobacco sector shows resilience, with significant growth in e-cigarette exports to the U.S. and a favorable regulatory environment for heated tobacco products [10][11]. - The paper packaging industry is experiencing stable demand, with price increases anticipated due to seasonal demand and inventory reductions [11][12]. - The light consumer goods and trendy toys sectors are witnessing innovation and brand development, with a focus on new product cycles and market expansion [13][14]. Summary by Sections Home Furnishing Sector - Domestic demand is expected to recover as financial policies are implemented, while export figures show a slight decline due to tariffs imposed by the U.S. [4][9]. - Key companies to watch include 欧派家居, 索菲亚, and 顾家家居, which are positioned for growth in the domestic market [4][9]. New Tobacco Sector - E-cigarette exports from China increased by 4.25% year-on-year, with exports to the U.S. rising by 32.62% [10][16]. - Companies like 思摩尔国际 are highlighted for their strategic positioning in the market [10][11]. Paper Packaging Sector - Prices for various paper products remain stable, with a notable increase in demand leading to anticipated price hikes post-holidays [11][12]. - Recommended companies include 裕同科技 and 太阳纸业, which are expected to benefit from market conditions [11][12]. Light Consumer Goods and Trendy Toys - The sector is focusing on new product launches and expanding offline channels, with companies like 泡泡玛特 and 名创优品 leading the way [13][14]. - The AI glasses market is also emerging, with significant growth potential as new technologies are introduced [13][14]. Key Data and Trends - The report tracks various industry metrics, including furniture export data, domestic retail sales, and the performance of key sectors [16][23][34].

2025年1至6月份，劲嘉股份的营业收入构成为：包装行业占比71.55%，新型烟草行业占比19.04%，其 他行业占比11.23%，内部抵销占比-1.82%。 每经AI快讯，劲嘉股份（SZ 002191，收盘价：4.45元）9月24日晚间发布公告称，公司第七届2025年第 八次董事会会议于2025年9月24日以通讯方式召开。会议审议了《关于公司提供担保事项的议案》等文 件。 截至发稿，劲嘉股份市值为65亿元。 （记者 王瀚黎） 每经头条（nbdtoutiao）——"9·24"一周年，A股总市值破116万亿元！四大变革重塑中国资本市场新生 态 ...

（文章来源：每日经济新闻） 每经AI快讯，9月22日，新型烟草概念震荡走高，国光电器、盈趣科技涨停，聚辰股份、博硕科技、弘 信电子、格林精密等涨幅居前。 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [2] Core Views - The report highlights that the recent interest rate cut in the US and expected demand improvement could catalyze growth in sectors such as smart glasses and new tobacco products [2][3] - The report emphasizes the potential for export recovery due to the interest rate cut, which is expected to benefit companies with strong overseas production capabilities [2][4] - The smart glasses sector is seeing product improvements and optimization of industry pain points, which may lead to high growth in sales [3][4] Summary by Sections Pulp and Paper - Supply disruptions in pulp continue, with UPM extending maintenance at its Kaukas pulp mill until October 11, 2025, impacting production [2] - Price adjustments for various types of pulp are noted, with expectations of price increases from paper companies in Q4 [2] Exports - The recent interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve is expected to lead to a gradual recovery in interest-sensitive sectors like real estate and home consumption [2] - Companies with robust overseas production are anticipated to show greater resilience and improved export orders [2][4] New Tobacco - Increased competition in Japan's heated tobacco market is noted, with major players reducing prices to enhance market share [2][3] - The report anticipates growth in sales of new tobacco products, particularly in Europe and North America [3] Smart Glasses - Meta's launch of new AI smart glasses with improved features is expected to enhance market appeal and sales [3] - The report suggests that the industry may see high growth in sales due to these advancements [3] Packaging - The report discusses the strong overseas expansion of packaging leaders, with expectations of increased profitability [2] - Companies are focusing on high-margin clients and expanding their overseas production capabilities [2] Gold and Jewelry - The report notes a positive outlook for traditional jewelry brands despite challenges from rising gold prices [2] - Companies are expected to adapt their strategies to maintain sales growth [2] Two-Wheel Vehicles - The electric three-wheeler market is seen as having growth potential, with new product launches from leading companies [2] - The report highlights strategic partnerships aimed at enhancing performance in the electric motorcycle segment [2] E-commerce - The report indicates that cross-border e-commerce sellers are expected to maintain stable performance, with a focus on optimizing operations [2] - The upcoming holiday season is anticipated to drive sales growth [4] Pet Products - The pet industry is expected to maintain a positive trend, with new high-end products being introduced [2] - Companies are focusing on brand development to enhance market presence [4] IP Retail - The report highlights the strong performance of brands like Pop Mart in the global market, with plans for further expansion [2] - New product launches are expected to drive sales during the upcoming holiday season [4] Maternal and Child Products - Recent government policies aimed at boosting birth rates are expected to benefit the maternal and child retail sector [5] - Leading companies are positioned to capitalize on these policy changes [5]

Core Viewpoint - Shunhao Co., Ltd. is actively preparing for the launch of its first experimental satellite, expected by the end of 2025, although the exact date may vary due to external factors such as approvals and launch site scheduling [1] Company Overview - Shunhao Co., Ltd. is a high-tech enterprise engaged in the research, manufacturing, and sales of environmentally friendly packaging materials [1] - The company operates in four main business areas: research, production, and sales of specialty eco-friendly paper; research, production, and sales of printed products; deep processing of industrial hemp and application scenario development; and research, production, and sales of new tobacco products [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the light industry sector [5] Core Views - The report highlights the recent optimization of housing policies in Shenzhen, which is expected to boost the home furnishings sector, indicating a left-side layout opportunity for the home furnishings sector as some leading companies have returned to positive growth in their mid-year reports [2][6] - The light industry manufacturing sector is projected to see improved profitability as domestic demand stabilizes and external demand recovers due to tariff easing, with a focus on companies with strong alpha characteristics in exports [2][6] - The report recommends several companies across different segments, including paper manufacturing, home furnishings, packaging, and oral care, based on their potential for recovery and growth [2][6] Summary by Sections Home Furnishings - The report notes that the home furnishings sector is experiencing a recovery with many companies' valuations at historical lows, suggesting a favorable investment environment as the fourth quarter approaches [6] - Companies to watch include leading soft furniture brands and custom home furnishing companies, which are expected to benefit from policy changes and internal reforms [6] Paper Manufacturing - The report provides detailed pricing data for various paper products, indicating a mixed trend with some prices increasing, such as corrugated paper, while others like double glue paper have decreased [6][45] - The report emphasizes the potential for recovery in the paper sector, particularly for companies with integrated supply chains and strong domestic sales expectations [6][45] Light Industry Consumption - The report highlights strategic partnerships and product launches in the oral care sector, particularly for companies like Dengkang Oral Care, which is expected to benefit from new product introductions [8] - It also notes the growth in the AI/AR consumer market, suggesting investment opportunities in companies involved in this technology [8] Export Chain - The report mentions Vietnam's strong export performance despite tariff challenges, indicating a favorable outlook for companies with robust overseas supply chains [8] - It recommends focusing on companies that are well-positioned to capitalize on international market opportunities [8] Packaging - The report discusses the investment in environmentally friendly materials and the strategic moves by companies like Baixinglong to enhance their market position in the eco-friendly packaging sector [11] - It suggests monitoring companies that are adapting to the green trend in packaging [11]

Core Viewpoint - The company is leveraging its R&D advantages to launch HNB products, aiming to capitalize on new industry trends and recover from previous regulatory challenges [1] Company Overview - Smoore International possesses strong R&D capabilities, particularly in ceramic core technology, and has established deep partnerships with major global tobacco companies [1] - The company is transitioning its business model from a device supplier to a tobacco business, opening new growth avenues with the launch of HNB products in collaboration with British American Tobacco [1][2] Industry Insights - The HNB segment is expected to accelerate its development, with a low penetration rate of approximately 6% in 2024, indicating significant growth potential [2] - The global traditional tobacco sales are declining, making new tobacco products a viable solution for market recovery, with 2025 anticipated as a pivotal year for major international tobacco companies [2] Market Dynamics - The HNB market is currently in a phase where supply is creating demand, with potential for increased penetration in large markets like the U.S. and China [2] - If HNB penetration in the U.S. reaches 15%, it could correspond to an incremental market size of $19.9 billion and a sales volume of 49.7 billion sticks [2] Product Development - The collaboration between Smoore and British American Tobacco on the Glo Hilo product combines their strengths, with Glo Hilo expected to compete effectively against Philip Morris's IQOS [2] - The latest Glo Hilo product features a quick preheating time of 3-5 seconds and high flavor fidelity, significantly enhancing consumer experience [2] Financial Projections - Revenue sharing for Glo Hilo is projected to be in the single to double-digit percentage range, with expected earnings per stick ranging from 0.04 to 0.11 RMB [2] - If HNB penetration increases to 12% and Glo Hilo market share reaches 25%, Smoore's annual profits from HNB could reach 6 to 7 billion RMB [2] Traditional Business Outlook - The U.S. vaping market is expected to grow from $19.81 billion in 2021 to $27.03 billion in 2024, with a CAGR of 11% [3] - Positive changes in the industry include FDA approvals for new flavors and increased enforcement against illegal products, which may benefit Smoore's vaping business [3] Long-term Strategy - The company is diversifying into medical and beauty vaping, along with special-purpose vaping, to build a sustainable future [3]

Summary of the Conference Call on Smoore International Industry Overview - The global tobacco market is substantial, nearing $900 billion, but the traditional cigarette market is experiencing a slight decline with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of -0.2% over the past decade, excluding the Chinese market [2][3] - New tobacco products, including electronic vapor products, heated not burned (HNB) products, and oral nicotine pouches, are driving overall market growth [2] Key Points on New Tobacco Products - New tobacco products are categorized into three main types: electronic vapor products, HNB, and oral nicotine pouches [5] - Electronic vapor products saw rapid growth but have faced a downturn since 2021 due to tightening regulations [5] - HNB products, pioneered by Philip Morris in 2014, have experienced a slowdown in growth to mid-low double digits due to regulatory pressures in Europe [5] - Oral nicotine pouches have low penetration but are growing rapidly, maintaining high double-digit growth rates [5] Smoore International's Position and Strategy - Smoore International has a long history in the electronic vapor product sector and is currently focusing on the HNB segment [2][6] - Despite European regulatory impacts, HNB products are expected to maintain a growth rate of 10% to 15%, with potential boosts from market openings in the U.S. and China [6][7] - The Glo Halo product, developed in collaboration with major clients, is positioned to enhance market share due to its competitive advantages [2][6] Market Share Insights - The global HNB market is dominated by Philip Morris's IQOS, holding over 70% market share, while Smoore and its clients account for approximately 15% [2][6] - As new products are launched and iterated, the market share gap is expected to narrow [2][6] Financial Performance and Future Outlook - In the first half of 2025, Smoore's ODM business performed well, particularly in light of the European ban on disposable e-cigarettes [4][7] - HNB products are set to launch nationwide in Japan, a key market accounting for one-third of global HNB sales, following positive trial feedback [7] - The projected price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for 2025 to 2027 are 95x, 60x, and 42x respectively, indicating high valuation but justified by industry prospects and Smoore's R&D capabilities [4][7] Competitive Landscape and Future Trends - Currently, the three forms of new tobacco products do not compete directly, as they cater to different harm reduction needs [8] - Each product type offers unique value propositions, ensuring their coexistence and collective contribution to market growth [8]

Summary of Conference Call Notes Industry Overview - The Japanese HNB (Heated Not Burned) market has a global penetration rate of 43% in 2024, significantly higher than other countries, indicating substantial growth potential in the new tobacco market [1][3] - The global traditional cigarette market has an HNB penetration rate of less than 6%, highlighting the early development stage of this category [1][8] Market Dynamics - The Japanese new tobacco market is characterized by a "one leader, two strong" structure, with Philip Morris International (PMI) holding a 70% market share, followed by British American Tobacco (BAT) and Japan Tobacco with 15-16% and 14% respectively [1][4] - BAT has shifted some resources from its Hyper product line to Hilo, which is positioned in the high-end market, competing directly with PMI's IQOS [1][10] Product Launch and Promotion - Smoore International launched its new product in Miyagi Prefecture, a region with a high HNB penetration rate of 56%, facilitating product education and promotion [1][5] - The new products are prominently displayed in major convenience stores in Sendai, indicating successful initial promotion [1][5] Product Differentiation - Major brands in Japan have distinct product design philosophies: Japan Tobacco's Pro series uses low-temperature heating, PMI's IQOS is mid-range, and BAT's GLO Helo series targets high-temperature, high-volume consumers [1][6] Global Market Comparison - Other countries lag in HNB development, with penetration rates of 20% in Italy, 18% in South Korea, 16% in Ukraine, and 14% in Poland [1][7] Sales and Distribution - Convenience stores like Seven Eleven have effectively distributed tobacco products, with BAT's PROOM series occupying prime shelf space [1][9] Future Plans and Market Strategy - Smoore plans to fully launch its new products in Japan on September 1 and enter the European market by the end of the year, aiming to validate repurchase rates and consumer acceptance [1][14] - BAT aims to increase its new tobacco revenue share to over 50% within the next decade, reflecting a positive market outlook [1][18] Regulatory and Competitive Challenges - The high entry barriers in the new tobacco industry, coupled with recent regulatory changes in China prohibiting HNB production, pose significant challenges for new entrants [1][17] - Investors should monitor product sales feedback and industry dynamics, as Smoore's competitive advantage is supported by high industry barriers and BAT's brand channel support [1][2][15] Investment Outlook - Investors are encouraged to evaluate the new tobacco industry trends and competitive landscape, as there are positive signs in the Japanese market within a short promotional period [1][20]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the industry [3] Core Insights - The report highlights that major companies in the home furnishing sector, such as Gujia Home and Xilinmen, have reported Q2 results that slightly exceed market expectations, indicating a potential recovery in market sentiment towards home furnishing valuations [2][5] - The packaging paper prices have shown a slight recovery since August, with the upcoming peak season expected to boost demand for recycled paper [2][5] - The electronic cigarette sector, particularly companies like Smoore International, is benefiting from stricter regulations in the US and a recovery in Europe, leading to stable revenue and profit growth [2][5] Summary by Sections Home Furnishing - Gujia Home reported a Q2 revenue increase of 7.2% year-on-year and a net profit increase of 5.4%, with a 50%+ growth in functional product retail for H1 [5] - Xilinmen's Q2 revenue grew by 4.3% year-on-year, with a net profit increase of 22.4% [5] - The report suggests that many home furnishing companies are currently valued at historical lows, presenting an opportunity for valuation recovery [5] Paper and Packaging - As of August 22, 2025, the prices for various paper types are as follows: double glue paper at 4925 CNY/ton (-25 CNY), copper plate paper at 5110 CNY/ton (-40 CNY), and box board paper at 3484.2 CNY/ton (+29.2 CNY) [5][51] - Nine Dragons Paper is expected to report a profit of approximately 2.1 to 2.3 billion CNY for FY2025, a year-on-year increase of 165% to 190% [5][5] - The report emphasizes the importance of companies with well-structured capacity and sufficient fiber supply, such as Nine Dragons Paper and Shanying International [5] Consumer Goods - The report notes that Steady Medical achieved a revenue of 5.3 billion CNY in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 31.3%, with a net profit of 490 million CNY, up 28.1% [7] - The consumer goods sector is seeing strong growth in high-end medical supplies and personal care products [7] Export Chain - Home Depot reported Q2 2025 revenue of 45.3 billion USD, a nearly 5% year-on-year increase, slightly below market expectations [5] - The report indicates a positive trend in large orders, with transactions over 1000 USD increasing by 2.6% year-on-year [5] New Tobacco Products - Smoore International's H1 revenue reached 6 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 18.3%, with a focus on ODM and proprietary brand businesses [5][9] - The report suggests that the new tobacco product market is expected to grow as international tobacco companies launch HNB products [9]