Key Takeaways IBM watsonx.ai studio offers new foundation models, genAI, and a governance toolkit for enterpriseIBM Concert platform allows comprehensive orchestration of data, security, and AI workflowsIBM Quantum roadmap charts path to quantum advantage in 2026Since one historic American technology company, Intel ((INTC), made big news last week, I wanted to profile another stalwart I've been cheering for.International Business Machines ((IBM) is currently a Zacks #2 Rank because earnings estimates contin ...

Core Insights - IBM is focusing on smaller, domain-specific AI models that prioritize reliability, cost-efficiency, and practical enterprise utility [1][7] - The watsonx platform serves as the core technology for IBM's AI capabilities, offering tools for AI development, data storage, and governance [1][7] - IBM's AI collaborations with SAP and Salesforce aim to enhance productivity and facilitate business transformation [3][7] AI Solutions - IBM Concert is an AI-powered automation solution designed for complex IT operations, improving efficiency in patch management and security orchestration [2] - The solution reduces operational costs and optimizes patching plans through AI-driven recommendations based on system topology and business needs [2] Competitive Landscape - Other tech firms like Amazon and Microsoft are also advancing in the AI space, with Amazon's Bedrock platform and Microsoft's Agent Store enhancing their competitive positions [4][5] Financial Performance - IBM's stock has increased by 22.1% over the past year, outperforming the industry growth of 14.7% [6] - The company trades at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 3.24, which is below the industry average [8] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for IBM's earnings for 2025 has been rising over the past 30 days, indicating positive sentiment [9]

Core Insights - International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) has experienced a stock price increase of 23.1% over the past year, outperforming the industry growth of 17.3%, driven by strong demand for hybrid cloud and artificial intelligence (AI) products [1][3][18] - Despite this growth, IBM's stock performance has lagged behind competitors such as Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) and Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN), which saw gains of 23.4% and 29.6% respectively during the same period [1][8] Hybrid Cloud and AI Demand - IBM is well-positioned to benefit from robust demand trends in hybrid cloud and AI, which are expected to drive growth in its Software and Consulting segments [3][18] - The company anticipates that analytics, cloud computing, and security will contribute to long-term growth, supported by a better business mix and increased investment in growth opportunities [3][18] Collaboration with NVIDIA - IBM has extended its partnership with NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) to enhance AI workloads and agentic AI applications, aiming to launch a content-aware storage (CAS) capability for its hybrid cloud infrastructure [4][5][8] - This collaboration will enable clients to transform business processes with agentic AI and manage compute-intensive AI workloads effectively [5][9] watsonx Technology Platform - IBM's watsonx is identified as the core technology platform for its AI capabilities, designed to enhance productivity through foundational models [10][18] - The watsonx platform includes three key products: watsonx.ai for foundation models and generative AI, watsonx.data for data storage, and watsonx.governance for responsible AI workflows [11][18] Cloud Security Enhancements - Neudesic, a subsidiary of IBM, has renewed its Cloud Security Specialization with Microsoft, enhancing IBM's hybrid cloud security capabilities [12][14] - This renewal emphasizes Neudesic's integration with the Microsoft ecosystem, leveraging the Zero Trust model to provide customized security solutions [13][14] Earnings Estimates and Valuation - IBM is experiencing an upward trend in earnings estimate revisions, with 2025 estimates increasing by 5.8% to $11.12 and 2026 estimates rising by 6.6% to $11.93 [15][18] - From a valuation perspective, IBM's shares trade at a price/sales ratio of 3.25, which is lower than the industry average of 3.73 but higher than its historical mean of 1.99 [17][18] Investment Proposition - With solid fundamentals and strong revenue-generating potential, IBM is viewed as a solid investment opportunity, particularly due to its focus on hybrid cloud and AI [18][19] - The company has a trailing four-quarter average earnings surprise of 6.3% and currently holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), indicating positive investor sentiment and potential for further stock price appreciation [19]

Group 1: Market Overview - The S&P 500 is expected to have an above-average year in 2025 following a rapid recovery from a steep sell-off in April, with gains of over 20% in both 2023 and 2024 [1][2] Group 2: WM (Waste Management) - WM has outperformed the S&P 500 over the last five and ten years, despite the S&P's gains being driven by megacap tech stocks [4][6] - The company has a stable business model focused on waste management, which is essential as population and economic growth increase the demand for waste collection and processing [5][6] - WM reported a 29.9% total company margin under adjusted EBITDA, with a 7.1% growth in its legacy business and 19% overall revenue growth due to the acquisition of Stericycle [7][9] - The Stericycle acquisition, valued at $7.2 billion, enhances WM's position in the healthcare waste market, while a previous acquisition of Advanced Disposal for $4.6 billion expanded its geographic coverage [8][9] - WM has a premium valuation at 29.9 times forward earnings, supported by stable free cash flow used for dividends, stock repurchases, and reinvestment [9][10] - The company has raised its dividend for 22 consecutive years, with a recent 10% increase, resulting in a yield of 1.5% [10][11] Group 3: IBM (International Business Machines) - IBM, despite being over a century old, is characterized as a growth stock due to its strong exposure to AI, with a generative-AI book of business valued at $7.5 billion since 2023 [12][14] - The stock offers an attractive forward dividend yield of 2.6%, making it a solid option for passive income while benefiting from AI market growth [13][18] - IBM's five-year average payout ratio of 156% raises concerns, but its strong free cash flow covers the dividend, alleviating investor worries [16] Group 4: Delta Air Lines - Delta Air Lines offers a dividend with a current yield of 1.4% and is positioned as a growth stock, contrary to traditional views of airlines as cyclical businesses [19][20] - The company's focus on sustainable premium cabin revenue and loyalty programs reduces earnings cyclicality, contributing to long-term growth potential [20][21] - Delta is well-positioned to manage rising airport costs, as these costs represent a smaller portion of its business compared to low-cost carriers, and the airline industry is exhibiting more disciplined behavior [22]

Core Insights - IBM reported strong second-quarter 2025 results, with adjusted earnings and revenues exceeding Zacks Consensus Estimates [1][2] Financial Performance - Net income on a GAAP basis was $2.19 billion or $2.31 per share, up from $1.83 billion or $1.96 per share in the prior year, driven by top-line growth [3] - Non-GAAP net income from continuing operations was $2.80 per share, compared to $2.43 in the prior-year quarter, beating the consensus estimate by 16 cents [3] - Total revenues increased to $16.98 billion from $15.77 billion, with a 5% year-over-year growth on a constant currency basis, surpassing the consensus estimate of $16.58 billion [4] Segment Performance - Software segment revenues rose to $7.39 billion from $6.74 billion, with notable growth in Hybrid Cloud (up 16%), Automation (16%), and Data (9%), although it missed the estimate of $7.52 billion [6] - Consulting segment revenues were $5.31 billion, up from $5.18 billion, exceeding the estimate of $5.17 billion, with segment profit improving to $562 million [7] - Infrastructure segment revenues increased to $4.14 billion from $3.64 billion, with segment profit rising to $965 million, reflecting strong demand for hybrid and distributed infrastructure [8] Cash Flow and Liquidity - IBM generated $1.7 billion in cash from operations, down from $2.07 billion in the prior year, with free cash flow at $2.84 billion, up from $2.61 billion [11] - As of June 30, 2025, the company had $11.94 billion in cash and cash equivalents against $55.22 billion of long-term debt [11] Outlook - For 2025, IBM expects at least 5% revenue growth on a constant currency basis, driven by a strong portfolio mix and productivity initiatives, with free cash flow projected around $13.5 billion [12]

Core Insights - IBM and Amazon are key players in the global cloud computing industry, with IBM focusing on hybrid cloud and AI solutions, while Amazon Web Services (AWS) is the most comprehensive on-demand cloud platform [1][2][3] Group 1: IBM's Position - IBM is expected to benefit from strong demand for hybrid cloud and AI, which will enhance its Software and Consulting segments [4] - The company has partnered with NVIDIA to scale AI workloads and enhance its hybrid cloud infrastructure, introducing new capabilities like content-aware storage [4][5] - Despite growth potential, IBM faces intense competition from AWS and Microsoft Azure, with pricing pressures impacting margins and profitability [6] Group 2: Amazon's Position - AWS is the leading provider of cloud infrastructure services, with a growing customer base and strategic expansions like the Bedrock platform for enterprise AI [7][10] - Amazon is investing in AI infrastructure, including custom AI silicon, to improve decision-making and expand its global service capabilities [10] - However, AWS faces challenges such as capacity constraints in AI services and regulatory complexities in global expansion [11] Group 3: Financial Performance and Estimates - IBM's 2025 sales and EPS estimates imply year-over-year growth of 5.5% and 6%, respectively, with static EPS estimates over the past 60 days [12] - Amazon's 2025 sales and EPS estimates suggest year-over-year growth of 8.9% and 12.7%, with EPS estimates trending upward [14] - Over the past year, IBM's stock has gained 52.6%, outperforming the industry, while Amazon's stock rose 16.9% [15] Group 4: Valuation and Investment Outlook - IBM's shares trade at a lower price/earnings ratio of 25.05 compared to Amazon's 33.38, making IBM appear more attractive from a valuation perspective [16] - Both companies expect sales and profits to improve in 2025, with long-term earnings growth expectations of 4.3% for IBM and 21.4% for Amazon [18] - Despite IBM's better price performance and valuation metrics, Amazon's consistent revenue and EPS growth position it as a potentially better investment option currently [18]

Market Overview - U.S. stock markets began July with strong performance, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite reaching all-time highs, while the Dow lagged behind [2] - Year-to-date performance for major indexes shows the Dow up 4.9%, S&P 500 up 6.7%, and Nasdaq Composite up 6.9% [3] Visa Inc. - Visa's market position is supported by volume-driven growth, acquisitions, and technological leadership in digital payments [7] - The company benefits from increased digital transactions and cross-border volumes, with significant profit growth driven by ongoing investments in technology [8] - Visa has an expected revenue growth rate of 10.2% and earnings growth rate of 12.9% for the current year [11] The Walt Disney Co. - Disney reported steady second-quarter fiscal 2025 results with year-over-year increases in revenues and earnings [12] - The company expects double-digit operating income growth in fiscal 2025, with ESPN showing significant viewership growth [13] - Disney has transformed its streaming business into a profitable growth engine, achieving $336 million in DTC operating income in the second quarter [14] - Expected revenue growth rate for Disney is 4.1% and earnings growth rate is 16.3% for the current year [15] Microsoft Corp. - Microsoft is leveraging AI momentum and Copilot adoption, with strong demand for Azure and Office 365 driving revenue growth [16] - The company anticipates a 13.7% increase in net sales for fiscal 2025 compared to fiscal 2024 [17] - Expected revenue growth rate for Microsoft is 12.4% and earnings growth rate is 12% for the current year [18] The Coca-Cola Co. - Coca-Cola achieved strong first-quarter 2025 results, marking its ninth consecutive quarter of exceeding expectations [19] - The company's all-weather strategy, which combines marketing, innovation, and revenue growth management, is expected to drive revenue growth in 2025 [20] - Expected revenue growth rate for Coca-Cola is 2.6% and earnings growth rate is 3.1% for the current year [21] International Business Machines Corp. - IBM is positioned to benefit from demand for hybrid cloud and AI, focusing on its watsonx platform for AI capabilities [22][24] - The company is expected to see growth in its Software and Consulting segments due to a better business mix and productivity gains [23] - Expected revenue growth rate for IBM is 5.5% and earnings growth rate is 6% for the current year [25]

Core Insights - Investors are focusing on IT services stocks that balance innovation and stability, with Unisys Corporation (UIS) and International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) as key players in this sector [1] Unisys Corporation (UIS) - Unisys is undergoing a strategic transformation aimed at expanding solution-based revenue streams, operational optimization, and enhancing brand relevance in AI and cybersecurity [2] - The Device Subscription Services (DSS) and Digital Workplace Solutions (DWS) are major growth drivers, with significant contracts signed for large-scale device management [2] - The backlog in the DWS segment is growing at a double-digit pace year over year, positioning Unisys for sequential growth in the latter half of 2025 [3] - Unisys is enhancing its security portfolio with Post-Quantum Cryptography solutions and AI-enabled frameworks, which are expected to drive revenue growth despite current discretionary spending softness [4] - The company aims for $100 million in pre-pension free cash flow in 2025 through operational improvements and cost control [5] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for UIS's EPS indicates a year-over-year increase of 28.9%, with earnings estimates for 2025 revised upward by 132% in the past 60 days [11] International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) - IBM is enhancing its AI portfolio by integrating governance and security into a unified platform, marking a significant step toward responsible AI deployment [6] - The software segment, which constitutes nearly 45% of IBM's business, achieved 9% growth in Q1 2025, driven by strong demand for Red Hat and AI-powered tools [8] - IBM's shift to subscription and platform-based services has resulted in an 80% recurring revenue base in software, contributing to high-margin gains [10] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for IBM's 2025 EPS implies a year-over-year growth of 6%, with earnings estimates revised upward by 0.4% in the past 60 days [12] - IBM shares have surged 32.8% year-to-date, reflecting strong market performance [13] Comparative Analysis - Unisys is positioned for upside due to its transformation-driven momentum and focus on innovation in AI and cybersecurity, while IBM offers stability and scale but may have more moderate upside potential [17][18] - UIS is trading at a forward P/E ratio of 5X, below its median of 10.59X, while IBM's forward sales multiple is at 25.85X, above its median of 21.47X [15] - Unisys's emphasis on recurring revenues and emerging technologies provides a compelling turnaround narrative, contrasting with IBM's established market position [18][20]

Group 1: IBM Software Segment Performance - IBM's Software segment revenue increased to $6.34 billion in Q1 2025 from $5.9 billion a year ago, driven by growth in Hybrid Platform & Solutions, Red Hat, Automation, Data & AI, and Transaction Processing [1][7] - The revenue estimate for the Software segment is projected at $7.52 billion for 2025, indicating a year-over-year growth of 11.6% at constant currency, with significant contributions from Hybrid Cloud (up 23% to $1.9 billion) and Automation (up 15.4% to $1.87 billion) [3][7] Group 2: Strategic Acquisitions and Integrations - The acquisition of HashiCorp Inc. for an enterprise value of $6.4 billion has created synergies across IBM's strategic growth areas, enhancing cloud infrastructure management and hybrid cloud security [2] - HashiCorp's tools, Terraform and Vault, have been integrated with IBM's Red Hat platforms, improving IBM Software's capabilities in optimizing IT spending and reducing cloud costs through automation [2] Group 3: Competitive Landscape - Other major tech firms like Microsoft and Amazon are also focusing on hybrid cloud solutions, with Microsoft Azure expanding its global presence and AWS maintaining a dominant position in the cloud-computing market [4][5] Group 4: Valuation and Market Performance - IBM's stock has surged 60.7% over the past year, outperforming the industry, and currently trades at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 3.74, which is above the industry average [6][10]

Core Insights - IBM is collaborating with Oracle to integrate its AI portfolio, watsonx, into Oracle Cloud Infrastructure (OCI), aiming to enhance productivity and efficiency through AI-driven solutions [1][3] - The partnership focuses on deploying AI agents that simplify operations across enterprises, leveraging advancements in generative AI models and tools [2][12] Group 1: AI Integration and Offerings - IBM's watsonx Orchestrate will be available on OCI in July, enabling customers to manage multi-agent workflows across various applications and data sources [3][4] - The integration of IBM Granite AI models into OCI Data Science is planned, providing customers with efficient and compact AI models [5] - IBM's watsonx.ai is certified to run on OCI, allowing organizations to develop and manage AI applications effectively [7] Group 2: Consulting and Support Services - IBM is expanding its consulting services to assist customers in implementing AI agents across platforms, enhancing end-to-end business processes [8][9] - New services will facilitate the migration of workloads to OCI, modernizing infrastructure for both legacy and AI applications [10] - IBM's extensive experience in business transformation and its strategic partnership with Oracle will support the deployment of these new services [11] Group 3: Market Impact and Strategic Advantage - The collaboration between IBM and Oracle is positioned as a leading example of how orchestrating AI agents can optimize operations and improve customer experiences [12] - The partnership aims to unlock growth and innovation by streamlining workflows and enhancing productivity across organizations [12]