Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Zhongyou Securities maintains an "overweight" rating for Junda Co., Ltd. (02865), while adjusting revenue forecasts due to intense industry competition [1] - The revenue forecasts for Junda Co., Ltd. for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected to be 10.0 billion, 12.03 billion, and 14.67 billion yuan respectively [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be -5 million yuan for the forecast period [1] Group 2 - The company is experiencing a rapid increase in its overseas sales proportion, which is expected to rise from 23.85% in 2024 to 51.87% [1] - The gross margin for overseas sales is reported to be 4.5%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 2.8 percentage points, while the domestic gross margin is at -0.8% [1] - Junda Co., Ltd. is continuously promoting N-type technology to reduce costs and improve efficiency, focusing on the next generation of battery technology [1] Group 3 - The company is implementing various technologies such as half-cell edge passivation, wave backfield, and ultra-fine grid to achieve cost reduction and efficiency improvement [1] - The pilot test xBC battery's conversion efficiency is expected to improve by 1-1.5 percentage points compared to mainstream N-type battery efficiency [1]

Core Viewpoint - 中邮证券 maintains an "overweight" rating for JunDa Co., predicting a decline in revenue forecasts due to intense industry competition, with projected revenues for 2025-2027 at 10.0 billion, 12.03 billion, and 14.67 billion yuan respectively, and net profits of -510 million, 620 million, and 1.05 billion yuan respectively [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q1-Q3 2025, the company achieved revenue of 5.68 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 30.7%, with a net profit of -420 million yuan, a slight year-on-year decrease of 0.5% [1] - The company's gross margin and net margin were 1.5% and -7.4% respectively, with year-on-year changes of +1.2% and -2.3% [1] - The company's non-recurring net profit was -720 million yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 2.7% [1] Group 2: International Expansion - The company's overseas sales proportion is expected to increase significantly from 23.85% in 2024 to 51.87% [1] - The gross margin for overseas sales is 4.5%, with a year-on-year increase of 2.8 percentage points, while the domestic gross margin is -0.8%, a year-on-year decrease of 1.7 percentage points [1] - The company has signed a strategic cooperation agreement with local component customers in Turkey to jointly build a high-efficiency battery project, addressing structural capacity gaps in the region [1] Group 3: Technological Advancements - The company is continuously promoting N-type technology to reduce costs and improve efficiency, utilizing techniques such as half-cell edge passivation and ultra-fine grid [2] - The lab efficiency of the perovskite tandem battery developed in collaboration with external institutions has reached 32.08% [2] - The company's pilot xBC battery conversion efficiency is expected to improve by 1-1.5 percentage points compared to mainstream N-type battery efficiency, maintaining alignment with industry leaders [2]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company has diversified its production capacity and maintained a high proportion of overseas sales, which increased from approximately 24% in 2024 to 51% in 2025 [7] - The company is facing short-term profit pressure in its battery segment, but industry improvements are expected as competition stabilizes [7] - The company has a strong cash position with sufficient liquidity, despite experiencing negative operating cash flow in recent quarters [7] Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 18.657 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 60.90%. However, a decline of 46.66% is expected in 2024 [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be 815.64 million in 2023, with a significant drop to -591.11 million in 2024, followed by a gradual recovery in subsequent years [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to be 2.79 in 2023, dropping to -2.02 in 2024, and recovering to 4.36 by 2027 [1] Operational Insights - The company shipped approximately 22GW in the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 6%, with Q3 shipments estimated at 8.1GW, up 11% year-on-year [7] - The gross margin for Q3 2025 was reported at 0.7%, showing a slight improvement from previous quarters [7] - The company is actively investing in technology, with a new battery efficiency improvement project showing promising results [7] Market Positioning - The company is expanding its market presence in India and Turkey, where demand remains strong, and is working on a joint project in Turkey to enhance production capacity [7] - The company is also addressing potential risks related to international trade and tariff policies, particularly concerning its operations in Oman [7]