Workflow
Hesai Group_ In-line 4Q24 results and FY25 vol guidance the bright spot
2025-03-14 04:56
Summary of Hesai Group Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Hesai Group - **Industry**: China Autos & Shared Mobility - **Ticker**: HSAI.O Key Financial Results - **4Q24 Performance**: - First-time GAAP net profit of Rmb147 million compared to a net loss of Rmb70 million in 3Q24 [2] - Revenue of Rmb720 million, a 33% increase quarter-over-quarter, aligning with guidance of approximately US$100 million [2] - Total LiDAR shipments reached 222,000 units, up 65% quarter-over-quarter [2] - Gross margin decreased by 8.7 percentage points to 39% due to lower high-margin NRE services revenue [2] - Operating expenses were contained at 55.2% of total sales, down from 63.6% in 3Q24 [2] - Full-year non-GAAP net profit for 2024 was Rmb14 million [2] 2025 Outlook - **Revenue Forecast**: Expected net revenues of Rmb3-3.5 billion, representing a year-over-year increase of 44-69% [3] - **Net Income Projection**: Anticipated net income of Rmb200-350 million under GAAP and Rmb350-500 million under non-GAAP [3] - **Seasonal Expectations**: For the first quarter, net revenues are projected to be Rmb520-540 million, a 45-50% year-over-year increase, with total shipments around 200,000 units [3] - **Breakeven Point**: Expected to occur between Q1 and Q2 of 2025 [3] - **Client Mix**: Key customers include Li Auto, Xiaomi, Great Wall Motor, Leapmotor, and BYD, with a multi-year program with a European OEM expected to start by year-end [3] Gross Margin and Product Mix - **Gross Margin Confidence**: Management is optimistic about maintaining a gross margin of around 40% in 2025 despite lower average selling prices (ASP) for ATX and AT128 products [4] - **Product Mix Impact**: The ATX series is expected to dominate shipments, while robotics LiDAR products are anticipated to provide reasonable gross margins to offset the impact of a less favorable product mix [4] - **Long-term Value**: Management believes the content value per vehicle will remain between US$500 to US$1,000 with the introduction of Level 3 automation [4] Expansion into Robotics - **New Market Entry**: Hesai is expanding into the robotics market, forecasting shipments of 200,000 units of robotics LiDARs in 2025 [9] - **Partnerships**: Collaborations include a leading smart home robotics company for lawn mowers and orders from Agtonomy for autonomous agriculture vehicles [9] - **Technological Applications**: The XT series LiDAR is being utilized for advanced 3D vision in robotics and automating in-plant driving systems at BMW factories [9] Market Position and Valuation - **Current Stock Rating**: Equal-weight with a price target of US$15.00, indicating a potential downside of 6% from the current price of US$16.01 [6] - **Market Capitalization**: Approximately Rmb14.5 billion [6] - **52-Week Price Range**: US$20.18 to US$3.52 [6] Risks and Considerations - **Upside Risks**: Potential market share gains, faster adoption of LiDARs by traditional OEMs, and sustainable pricing power [13] - **Downside Risks**: Slower adoption of LiDARs, ASP declines due to cost-cutting by OEMs, and threats from emerging technologies [13] This summary encapsulates the key points from the conference call, highlighting Hesai Group's financial performance, future outlook, market expansion, and associated risks.
GOAL Kickstart_ Reflation risk reversal - tracking the Europe vs. US repricing
2025-03-14 04:56
10 March 2025 | 5:14PM GMT GOAL Kickstart Reflation risk reversal - tracking the Europe vs. US repricing Last week was dominated by the repricing of Europe vs. US growth prospects following mixed US data and the unprecedented German fiscal package. EUR/USD closed on Friday above 1.08 after the largest weekly move since 2015. Our European economists materially upgraded GDP growth forecasts and raised their terminal rate forecast for ECB to 2%. ISM Services data was above expectations (53.5 in February) but t ...
China Property Weekly Wrap_ Week 10 Wrap - Primary sales weakened to kick-off March; housing market stability as _Two-Session_ key agenda
2025-03-14 04:56
Key highlights for the week: 11 March 2025 | 7:52AM CST China Property Weekly Wrap Week 10 Wrap - Primary sales weakened to kick-off March; housing market stability as "Two-Session" key agenda Two Sessions: The Government Work Report incorporated "stabilizing housing market" as part of general requirements for social and economic development in 2025, and reiterated bottom line in dissolving and preventing key economic risks. On inventory buyback, policymakers vowed to guarantee more flexibility to local gov ...
Global_ GS Economic Indicators Update_ Positive Growth News in the Euro Area, Negative in the US
2025-03-14 04:56
10 March 2025 | 3:53PM EDT Global: GS Economic Indicators Update: Positive Growth News in the Euro Area, Negative in the US Please find an update of our proprietary global economic indicators below. The data behind these exhibits can be downloaded here. Interactive charts can be found on our living page here. Chart of the Week -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 Aug-24 Sep-24 Oct-24 Nov-24 Dec-24 Jan-25 Feb-25 Mar-25 Index Index US Euro Area GS MAP Surprise Index (21 Day MA) Our daily MAP surprise i ...
Commodities Dashboard_ Curve Structure, Volatility, Momentum and Positioning data – Mar 10 update
2025-03-14 04:56
V i e w p o i n t | 11 Mar 2025 02:50:00 ET │ 13 pages Commodities Dashboard Curve Structure, Volatility, Momentum and Positioning data – Mar 10 update CITI'S TAKE This is our new Commodities Dashboard which replaces our legacy Commodities Flows Chartpack and Commodities Volatility Dashboard and provides the latest curve structure, volatility, momentum and positioning data across major commodity markets. Our Backwardation Dashboard (see Figure 1) shows HH natgas and ICE coffee as the most backwardated commo ...
China Healthcare_ Trip takeaways_ Medtech bottoming out, gradual recovery in 2025; eyes on equipment VBP
2025-03-14 04:56
11 March 2025 | 7:41AM CST China Healthcare: Trip takeaways: Medtech bottoming out, gradual recovery in 2025; eyes on equipment VBP We recently (Feb 24-28, 2025) hosted an investor field trip with several Chinese Healthcare companies. The discussions mainly focused on industry growth outlook and VBP impact. We believe China MedTech is likely bottoming-out with potential regional VBP risks around medical equipment, and see recovery starting in 2025. In this note, we discuss takeaways from meeting with our co ...
Global Healthcare_ Takeaways from Inaugural MedTech & Tools China Trip; Consumer and CapEx Markets an Inflection
2025-03-14 04:56
10 March 2025 | 5:31PM PDT Global Healthcare Takeaways from Inaugural MedTech & Tools China Trip; Consumer and CapEx Markets an Inflection We recently hosted an investor field trip to China to gain an on-the-ground pulse for market and competitive dynamics in MedTech, Lifescience Tools, Diagnostics, and CRO/CDMOs. During our visit, we met with locally-domiciled companies, market data and policy experts, physicians, venture capitalists, emerging growth companies, and the GS Economics team. Amidst ongoing pol ...
Americas Technology_ Internet_ Q4'24 EPS Review_ Where To From Here_ Recapping Takeaways & Debates; Focus Stocks Going Forward
2025-03-14 04:56
10 March 2025 | 5:43PM EDT Americas Technology: Internet Q4'24 EPS Review: Where To From Here? Recapping Takeaways & Debates; Focus Stocks Going Forward During this past earnings season, US Consumer Internet & Interactive Entertainment companies delivered a volatile array of stock price reactions as global investors grappled with three key themes/debates: 1) the rate of investment in AI by the largest companies under our coverage continued to increase (especially for those with foundational model and/or hyp ...
China Healthcare_ Medical Devices_ Accelerating VBP expansion; focus on targets for next round, with direction likely to remain consistent
2025-03-14 04:56
11 March 2025 | 8:24AM HKT China Healthcare: Medical Devices Accelerating VBP expansion; focus on targets for next round, with direction likely to remain consistent In this report, we summarize results & impacts from VBPs for key products over the past years, and our outlook for VBP policy impact from 2025 onwards. Accelerating expansion into broader products through national & regional alliances: With the 1st national round initiated in 2020 on drug-eluting stent, VBP has now extended to majority of the pr ...
The 720_ Global Views, MediaTek, BEKE, Coupang, China Spirits, US Internet
2025-03-14 04:56
11 March 2025 | 7:17AM HKT The 720: Global Views, MediaTek, BEKE, Coupang, China Spirits, US Internet In Focus | Global Views Global Views - From Above to Below. We have downgraded our 2025 US GDP growth forecast from 2.4% at the start of the year to 1.7% now (both on a Q4/Q4 basis). This is our first below-consensus forecast in 2½ years. The main reason for the downgrade is not the recent data, as the February jobs report was decent, initial jobless claims are still low, the February ISMs—as well as our br ...