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Nvidia (NVDA) loses $500 billion in market cap in a week
Finbold· 2025-11-07 15:56
Core Insights - Nvidia has experienced a significant decline in market capitalization, dropping from $4.94 trillion to $4.45 trillion, erasing nearly $500 billion in value within a week [1][3] - The company's stock price has decreased by nearly 13% over five days, currently trading at $181.19 [1] - Investor sentiment has been negatively impacted by weaker labor data and valuation concerns in the AI sector, affecting other companies like Palantir, which lost $42 billion in market cap [3] Company-Specific Developments - Nvidia's CEO, Jensen Huang, announced that there are "no active discussions" regarding the sale of Blackwell chips in China, indicating a pause in operations in that market [3] - Huang expressed that the decision to resume shipments to China is contingent upon changes in Chinese policy [3] Market Reactions - The decline in Nvidia's stock has also affected other chip manufacturers, with AMD down nearly 5% and Broadcom declining by 3.5% [4]
ChatGPT-5 predicts Take-Two stock price on GTA 6 release day
Finbold· 2025-11-07 11:47
Core Viewpoint - Take-Two Interactive's shares declined following the announcement of a delay for Grand Theft Auto VI, now set to launch on November 19, 2026, with the delay aimed at ensuring the game meets Rockstar's quality standards [1][2] Financial Performance - Take-Two reported strong fiscal Q2 results with adjusted earnings per share of $1.46, exceeding analyst expectations of $0.94, and revenue of $1.96 billion, surpassing the consensus estimate of $1.74 billion [4] - Net bookings reached $1.96 billion, reflecting a 33% year-over-year increase, with recurrent consumer spending rising 20%, now accounting for 73% of total bookings, driven by titles like NBA 2K26 and Mafia: The Old Country [5] Market Reaction - The announcement of the GTA VI delay led to a significant market reaction, with shares initially dropping by up to 18%, and currently down over 5% in pre-market trading [2][5] Analyst Ratings and Price Targets - Analysts maintain a positive outlook on Take-Two, with several firms including Jefferies, Benchmark, and DA Davidson issuing Strong Buy ratings and targeting a price of $300, while Wells Fargo revised its target to $277 [6] - CICC initiated coverage with a target of $272, indicating a consensus view that Take-Two will benefit from long-cycle franchise economics despite the extended development timelines [6] Future Valuation Considerations - The focus now shifts to the valuation at launch, with forecasts suggesting Take-Two could trade at approximately $247.50 on November 19, 2026, assuming a successful launch and favorable reception of GTA VI [7] - If further delays occur, shares may retrace to the mid-$160s before stabilizing ahead of a new schedule [8]
Lucid stock climbs 5% despite earnings loss; Here's why
Finbold· 2025-11-06 11:56
Core Viewpoint - Lucid Motors' stock price increased over 5% despite reporting a deeper quarterly loss and revenue that fell short of expectations, indicating a market shift towards focusing on long-term production and capital conditions rather than immediate earnings pressures [1][3]. Financial Performance - The company reported a Q3 non-GAAP EPS of –$2.65, missing estimates by approximately $0.52, with revenue of $336.6 million, which was about $16 million below consensus [4]. - Lucid produced 3,891 vehicles, representing a 116% year-over-year increase, and delivered 4,078 vehicles, a 47% increase [4]. Production and Market Sentiment - The production momentum is changing the narrative around the company, with over 1,000 units built for final assembly in Saudi Arabia, indicating integration with the country's EV ecosystem [4]. - The market's positive reaction is attributed to higher production levels and a more favorable capital environment, rather than an endorsement of the company's financial health [8]. Macro Environment and Financial Structure - The recent 25-basis-point rate cut by the Federal Reserve and indications of further easing are expected to positively impact Lucid's cost structure, as the company has approximately $2.04 billion in long-term debt [5]. - Lower borrowing costs could extend the company's runway and improve the feasibility of achieving meaningful margins [6]. Challenges and Strategic Considerations - Despite the positive production trends, Lucid is still years away from achieving unit profitability, and its operational model relies heavily on support from the Saudi Public Investment Fund, which is increasing its ownership share [7]. - While this backing reduces immediate solvency risks, it raises concerns about dilution and governance concentration for future equity holders [7].
AI predicts Palantir price for November 30
Finbold· 2025-11-06 11:00
Core Insights - Palantir's shares experienced a significant decline from $207.51 on November 3 to $187.90 on November 5, following a bet against the company by investor Michael Burry, which led to profit-taking amid valuation concerns [1] Price Forecast - An AI prediction tool forecasts that Palantir shares may recover to $198.61 by the end of November, indicating a potential gain of 5.79% from the current price of $187.74 [2] - The AI utilized three large language models to generate an average price target, providing a more objective market view [3] Model Predictions - Claude Sonnet 4 predicts the stock could rise to $205.50 (+9.46%) - GPT-4o suggests a more conservative target of $194.50 (+3.6%) - Gemini 2.5 Flash offers a middle-ground estimate of $195.82 (+4.31%) [4] Technical Analysis - Palantir's stock is currently near the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) at $187.80, which has served as dynamic support this year - A drop below this level could lead to further declines towards the 50-day EMA at $178.46, with significant trend shifts possible if it falls below the 100-day EMA near $164 [5] Valuation Concerns - Palantir's valuation is notably high at approximately 250x forward earnings, significantly above Nvidia's 33x - Despite this, retail trading activity remains robust, averaging around $302 million in daily turnover - Several Wall Street analysts have raised their price targets for Palantir, citing the company's ninth consecutive quarter of revenue growth [6]
Why SMCI stock is crashing today
Finbold· 2025-11-05 17:11
Core Viewpoint - Super Micro Computer (SMCI) experienced a significant decline in stock price following disappointing fiscal first-quarter results, raising concerns about profitability despite strong demand for AI hardware [1][5]. Financial Performance - The company reported revenue of $5.02 billion, falling short of the $5.80 billion expected by analysts, marking a 15% decrease from $5.94 billion a year earlier [3][5]. - Adjusted earnings per share were $0.35, missing forecasts of $0.39, indicating the sixth consecutive quarter of earnings shortfalls [3][5]. - Net income nearly halved to $168.3 million from $424.3 million, reflecting significant margin pressures [5]. Market Context - Super Micro has been a key player in the AI boom, particularly benefiting from high-performance servers paired with Nvidia GPUs, but growth momentum has recently slowed [6]. - Competitors like Dell are reportedly gaining market share as Super Micro's growth flattens [6]. Future Outlook - Despite the weaker quarterly results, management remains optimistic, raising the full-year sales outlook to $36 billion from $33 billion, supported by new large-scale deals related to Nvidia-powered AI systems [7].
Why SMCI stock is crushing today
Finbold· 2025-11-05 17:11
Core Viewpoint - Super Micro Computer (SMCI) experienced a significant decline in stock price following disappointing fiscal first-quarter results, raising concerns about profitability despite strong demand for AI hardware [1][5]. Financial Performance - The company reported revenue of $5.02 billion, falling short of the $5.80 billion expected by analysts, marking a 15% decrease from $5.94 billion a year earlier [3][5]. - Adjusted earnings per share were $0.35, missing forecasts of $0.39, representing the sixth consecutive quarter of earnings shortfalls [3][5]. - Net income nearly halved to $168.3 million from $424.3 million, indicating significant margin pressures as the company expands its product offerings and manufacturing capabilities [5]. Market Context - Super Micro has been a key player in the AI boom, benefiting from high-performance servers paired with Nvidia GPUs, but growth momentum has recently slowed [6]. - Competitors like Dell are reportedly gaining market share as Super Micro's growth flattens [6]. Future Outlook - Despite the weaker quarterly results, management remains optimistic, raising the full-year sales outlook to $36 billion from $33 billion, supported by new large-scale deals related to Nvidia-powered AI systems [7].
AI predicts Nvidia stock price for November 30, 2025
Finbold· 2025-11-05 14:15
Core Viewpoint - Nvidia's stock is projected to recover and trade above $200 by the end of November, despite recent bearish movements and a 4% correction over the past week [1][4]. Stock Price Prediction - An AI model forecasts Nvidia's stock could reach $214 by November 30, 2025, with a trading range between $206 and $222 due to strong institutional accumulation and demand for Blackwell GPUs [3][4]. - The stock is expected to maintain solid support near the $188 to $190 zone, with resistance anticipated around $215 to $222 [5]. Technical Analysis - The recent consolidation below the 50-day moving average indicates accumulation, which often precedes a rebound in growth equities [4]. - The AI forecast suggests a gradual advance towards the $214 midpoint target by late November as traders prepare for AI-driven earnings growth [5]. Fundamental Analysis - Nvidia's upcoming mid-November earnings report is crucial, with expectations of strong performance from its data-center business driven by demand from major clients like Microsoft, Amazon, and Google [6]. - Analysts anticipate management will discuss expanding GPU supply and solid AI cloud orders, potentially pushing the stock back above $210 [6]. Market Sentiment - Nvidia currently trades at approximately 59x forward earnings, which is elevated but below previous peaks of around 75x, reflecting its transition to a long-term AI growth play [7]. - Sentiment remains strong, supported by low short interest and consistent institutional buying, although potential U.S. export curbs on advanced AI chips could pose risks [7][8].
Palantir stock erases $42 billion from its market cap one day after Michael Burry bet against it
Finbold· 2025-11-05 12:54
Core Insights - Palantir shares experienced a significant decline of nearly 8% on November 4, following a record high of $207.18, attributed to valuation concerns raised by analysts [1] - Investor Michael Burry disclosed a $912 million bearish bet against Palantir, leading to a loss of approximately $42 billion in market capitalization within a day [2] - Despite the stock's decline, Palantir's CEO Alex Karp remains optimistic about the company's performance and criticized short sellers [5] Company Performance - Palantir reported strong third-quarter earnings, with a revenue beat of 8% and guidance indicating continued growth [7] - The company has achieved its ninth consecutive quarter of accelerating growth, which has led to several Wall Street upgrades [7] - DA Davidson raised its price target for Palantir to $215, while Goldman Sachs and Baird also increased their targets to $188 and $200, respectively, citing strong demand for AI solutions as a growth catalyst [6][7] Market Reaction - Following Burry's bearish stance, Palantir's market cap fell from approximately $489 billion to around $447 billion in just one day [2] - The stock continued to decline in pre-market trading, dropping another 2.37% to $185.90 [3] - Karp suggested that the negative sentiment may be influenced by potential market manipulation [5]
Wall Street analysts update AMD stock after Q3 earnings
Finbold· 2025-11-05 12:38
Core Insights - Wall Street remains optimistic about Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) stock following the company's third-quarter earnings beat, although the stock experienced a decline due to concerns over gross-margin guidance [1][2]. Financial Performance - AMD's adjusted earnings for Q3 were $1.20 per share, surpassing the consensus estimate of $1.16, while revenue increased by 36% year-over-year to $9.25 billion, exceeding forecasts of $8.74 billion [1]. - Net income rose to $1.24 billion from $771 million in the same quarter last year [1]. Future Guidance - For Q4, AMD anticipates revenue of approximately $9.6 billion, indicating a 25% growth, and projects a gross margin of 54.5%, aligning with market estimates [2]. - The stock's pullback is attributed to the Q4 gross-margin guidance meeting rather than exceeding expectations [2]. Analyst Sentiment - AMD holds a 'Moderate Buy' rating from 39 analysts, with 29 recommending a buy and 10 advising hold, projecting an average price target of $255.77, reflecting a 2.29% upside from the latest trading price of $250.05 [3]. - Price targets among analysts range from $160 to $310 [3]. Price Target Adjustments - Baird's Tristan Gerra raised AMD's price target to $300 from $240, maintaining an 'Outperform' rating, citing optimism over AI-driven growth and the upcoming Mi450 product ramp as key catalysts [5]. - Stifel analyst Ruben Roy increased AMD's price target to $280 from $240, maintaining a 'Buy' rating, highlighting strong Q3 results and expected growth in AI GPU revenue [6]. - UBS analyst Timothy Arcuri lifted AMD's price target to $300 from $265, reiterating a 'Buy' rating based on anticipated strength in AI GPU demand and server upgrades [7].
U.S. politician suspiciously sold this stock just days before 56% crash
Finbold· 2025-11-04 21:23
Core Insights - U.S. Representative Byron Donalds executed timely trades in Fiserv (NYSE: FI), with the stock plummeting nearly 70% year-to-date and about 57% since his sale [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Fiserv shares have declined significantly, trading at $64, down over 1% for the day [1]. - The stock experienced a steep drop after the company reported disappointing third-quarter earnings and reduced its full-year guidance [4]. - Fiserv's stock price has been affected by slowing growth in its Clover payments platform and operational challenges [5]. Group 2: Congressional Actions - Donalds sold Fiserv stock twice on September 4, 2025, with each transaction valued between $1,001 and $15,000, and these were filed on October 7, 2025 [2]. - The timing of the sales, just before a significant stock decline, has raised speculation about potential insider knowledge, although no evidence of wrongdoing has been found [3]. Group 3: Company Performance and Outlook - Fiserv reported earnings of $2.04 per share, missing Wall Street estimates, and revenue also fell short of expectations [4]. - The company has cut its organic revenue growth forecast to 3.5% to 4%, down from around 10% previously, and lowered its full-year EPS outlook to approximately $8.50–$8.60 [4]. - Analysts have expressed concerns about management's credibility and the company's long-term growth prospects, describing the situation as "difficult to comprehend" [7].