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Machine learning algorithm sets Nvidia stock price for September 30, 2025
Finbold· 2025-09-14 12:22
Core Insights - Nvidia's share price is expected to see modest gains by the end of September but will remain below the $200 mark, with current trading at $177.82, reflecting a year-to-date increase of nearly 30% [1][9]. Price Predictions - The AI model predicts Nvidia's stock price to reach $183.08 by September 30, 2025, indicating a potential upside of 2.97% from the current price [4][6]. - Different AI systems provide varying forecasts, with the most optimistic being $185.50 (4.33% increase) from Claude Sonnet 4, while GPT-4o offers a conservative estimate of $178.50 [4][5]. Technical Indicators - The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) has turned positive, suggesting upward momentum, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is near neutral, indicating room for further gains without immediate correction [7][9]. Company Fundamentals - Nvidia dominates the AI chip market, with its data center division contributing nearly $39 billion to a record $44 billion in quarterly revenue, accounting for almost 90% of total sales [9]. - The company has experienced a revenue growth of nearly 70% year over year, driven by strong demand for its accelerators among hyperscalers and enterprises [9]. - New product cycles, including the Blackwell and upcoming Rubin chips, reinforce Nvidia's market leadership, although export restrictions to China have led to a $4.5 billion inventory charge, presenting a significant risk [10].
This stock just exploded 270% in 30 days, but Jim Cramer wants you out
Finbold· 2025-09-13 15:16
Core Viewpoint - Opendoor Technologies has experienced a significant stock rally, with a 274% increase over the past month, but recent trading saw a decline of nearly 14% to $9.07, raising questions about the sustainability of this momentum [1][4]. Stock Performance - The stock closed at $9.07, reflecting a nearly 14% drop on the last trading day, while the one-month performance shows a remarkable surge of 274% [1][3]. Analyst Opinions - CNBC's Jim Cramer has advised caution regarding Opendoor, labeling it a speculative investment to avoid, and expressing concerns about it becoming a "meme stock" [4]. - Cramer's warnings are noteworthy due to the emergence of the "inverse Cramer trade," where stocks he advises against often continue to rise [4][5]. Retail Investor Influence - Retail enthusiasm has significantly contributed to the stock's recent surge, drawing parallels to previous meme stock trends, but this has also raised valuation concerns among analysts [6]. Company Strategy and Leadership - Opendoor is undergoing a strategic reset under new CEO Kaz Nejatian, with co-founders Keith Rabois and Eric Wu returning to the board. Rabois has indicated the need for aggressive cost-cutting measures due to perceived overstaffing [7]. Financial Performance - In the latest quarter, Opendoor reported revenue of $1.57 billion, slightly exceeding expectations, but guidance for the upcoming quarter was below market expectations. Despite narrowing losses, the path to consistent profitability remains uncertain [8][9].
Here's how much Michael Burry is up on his $3.8 billion Alibaba option position
Finbold· 2025-09-12 14:09
Group 1 - Scion Asset Management, led by Michael Burry, has reversed its stance on Chinese equities by rebuilding exposure to Alibaba through call option contracts in Q2 2025, after previously liquidating its direct stake earlier in the year [1][5] - As of June 30, 2025, Scion disclosed holding 250,000 call options on Alibaba valued at $28.35 million, with an estimated average strike price of $147.10, while BABA shares closed just above this level [1][2] - The current trading price of Alibaba at $153.87 as of September 12, 2025, indicates that Burry's call contracts are in-the-money by $6.77 per share, resulting in an unrealized profit of approximately $169 million [2][4] Group 2 - During Q2 2025, Alibaba's stock experienced significant volatility due to U.S.–China trade tensions, with shares trading as low as $132.20 on April 1, 2025, before rebounding [3][4] - The 250,000 call contracts held by Scion translate into exposure to 25 million shares, giving the position a notional value exceeding $3.8 billion at current prices, although the actual capital at risk is lower [4] - Earlier in 2025, Scion completely liquidated its 200,000 BABA put contracts, removing its bearish exposure, and has since initiated positions in JD.com with one million call options valued at $32.6 million [5]
Here's how much Warren Buffett is up on his UnitedHealth stock bet
Finbold· 2025-09-12 08:31
Core Insights - UnitedHealth Group Inc. has become a significant investment for Berkshire Hathaway, with the company acquiring over 5 million shares at an average price of $311.97, totaling $1.57 billion [1] - Following the acquisition, UnitedHealth's stock price increased to $353.61, representing a 13.35% rise from the purchase price, resulting in a paper gain of approximately $210 million for Berkshire [2] - The stock has surged more than 30% since the disclosure of Berkshire's investment, indicating a strong market reaction often referred to as the "Buffett effect" [3] Investment Rationale - The stock was previously trading at $271.49 before Berkshire's investment was revealed, highlighting its significant appreciation post-announcement [3] - UnitedHealth's stock had reached a high of $621.24 in the past year before experiencing a nearly 60% decline, suggesting that Berkshire viewed the stock as undervalued based on its long-term fundamentals [5] - The investment aligns with Buffett's strategy of acquiring market leaders with stable cash flows at a discount, rather than a broad bet on healthcare defensiveness [6]
Oracle to pay dividends on October 23; Here's how much 100 ORCL shares will earn
Finbold· 2025-09-11 12:58
Core Viewpoint - Oracle's stock price is experiencing significant growth due to strong earnings and revenue projections, alongside plans for shareholder dividends [1][4]. Financial Performance - In the fiscal first quarter ended August 31, 2025, Oracle reported revenues of approximately $14.9 billion, reflecting a 12% year-over-year increase [7]. - Non-GAAP earnings per share reached $1.47, while Remaining Performance Obligations surged to nearly $455 billion, marking a remarkable 359% increase from the previous year [7]. Dividend Information - Oracle will pay a quarterly dividend of $0.50 per share on October 23, 2025, to shareholders of record as of the October 9 ex-dividend date [1][2]. - The dividend represents a forward payout ratio of 24.75% and an annualized yield of about 0.61%, which is below the technology sector average of 1.37% [3]. Strategic Partnerships - A significant agreement with OpenAI involves Oracle purchasing $300 billion in computing power over approximately five years, one of the largest cloud computing deals in history [8]. - This agreement builds on a prior partnership to develop 4.5 gigawatts of data centers under the Stargate project, in collaboration with SoftBank and President Donald Trump [9].
Here's how much Nvidia investors would have if they bought in 1999
Finbold· 2025-09-11 11:21
Core Insights - Nvidia has significantly benefited from the AI boom, achieving a market cap of $4 trillion [1] - The company reported $46.74 billion in revenue and adjusted earnings per share of $1.05 in its latest quarterly report, with its GPUs being central to AI training and deployment [2] - Nvidia's stock has surged 1,350% over the past five years, with a total all-time return of 443,225% since its IPO in 1999 [3] Financial Performance - Nvidia's recent quarterly revenue reached $46.74 billion, with adjusted earnings per share climbing to $1.05 [2] - The stock price has increased from $12 at IPO to $177, reflecting a substantial growth trajectory [3] Market Position and Growth Potential - The company is diversifying into areas like processing-as-a-service and robotics, which may enhance its competitive edge [3] - CEO Jensen Huang forecasts global data center spending could reach $3-4 trillion by 2030, with potential revenue of up to $1.2 trillion from this sector [7] Competitive Landscape - Despite impressive gains, there are concerns about the sustainability of growth due to intensifying competition and uncertain trade relations with China [4] - Nvidia does not factor potential sales from Chinese markets into its forecasts, indicating caution in its outlook [4] Analyst Sentiment - Wall Street remains bullish on Nvidia, with 35 "Buy" ratings, three "Holds," and one "Sell," and a 12-month average price target of $210.08 [5] - The company is expected to benefit from advancements in AI technologies, particularly in personalized and edge AI [8]
U.S. senator is up 160% on one stock in less than six months
Finbold· 2025-09-11 09:09
Company Overview - Oracle Corporation (NYSE: ORCL) is a leading technology company based in Austin, known for its cloud business and strong market presence [1][5]. Financial Performance - For the latest quarter, Oracle reported adjusted earnings of $1.47 per share, slightly below the estimated $1.48, with revenue reaching $14.93 billion, just shy of the forecasted $15.04 billion. However, revenue increased by 12% year-over-year, and net income remained steady at $2.93 billion [5]. Growth Projections - Oracle's cloud infrastructure segment is projected to grow significantly, with expectations of soaring 77% this fiscal year to $18 billion, up from $10 billion the previous year [6]. - Long-term goals include achieving $32 billion in revenue by fiscal 2027 and $144 billion over the next decade [7]. Market Sentiment - Following Oracle's optimistic forecasts, investor sentiment improved, leading to a share price increase of over 28%. Jefferies analyst Brent Thill raised the price target for Oracle from $270 to $360 [7]. - The average 12-month target price from 34 analysts on TipRanks is $263.93, indicating a potential upside of approximately 9.3% from current levels [8]. Stock Performance - John Boozman, a U.S. senator, invested in Oracle stock on April 16, 2025, and has seen a nearly 160% increase, with the stock price rising from $129.76 to $333 as of September 11 [2].
Wall Street analysts update APPL stock price after Apple event
Finbold· 2025-09-10 21:07
Core Viewpoint - Apple's recent product launch has led to positive adjustments from Wall Street, with analysts generally maintaining bullish sentiments despite a slight decline in stock price following the event [1][6]. Group 1: Analyst Reactions - BofA Securities raised its price target for Apple to $270 from $260, maintaining a 'Buy' rating, highlighting expected upgrades across the iPhone, Watch, and AirPods lines [3][6]. - UBS kept a 'Neutral' rating with a $220 price target, noting the transition from the underperforming "Plus" model to the new "Air" variant in the iPhone 17 lineup [7]. - Wedbush reiterated its 'Outperform' rating with a $270 target, emphasizing the upgrade potential among approximately 315 million iPhone users who have not updated their devices in over four years [7]. Group 2: Product Features and Innovations - Key highlights from the launch included new health features such as heart rate sensing, hypertension notifications, and sleep score tracking, along with AI-powered tools like live translation [4]. - Apple introduced new A19 and A19 Pro chips, C1X modem, and expanded neural accelerators aimed at enhancing on-device artificial intelligence capabilities [4][6]. Group 3: Pricing and Financial Estimates - The flagship iPhone 17 Pro starts at $1,099 for the 256GB version, compared to last year's $999 for the 128GB model, which has slightly increased BofA's financial estimates [5]. Group 4: Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - Investor focus is currently on Apple's ability to leverage its new product lineup and AI-driven features, with expectations that this will lead to a price rally [8]. - Historically, Apple's stock has shown a tendency to rebound within 30 to 60 days following product launches, despite short-term fluctuations [6].
Banking giant sets new bullish S&P 500 2026 target
Finbold· 2025-09-10 14:47
Core Viewpoint - Barclays has raised its 2025 year-end target for the S&P 500 to 6,450 from 6,050, marking its second upward revision in three months, driven by strong corporate earnings, resilient U.S. economic growth, and optimism around artificial intelligence [1][4]. Group 1: Target Revisions - The new target implies a 1.5% drop from the current index value of 6,547 [3]. - Barclays has also raised its 2025 S&P 500 EPS forecast to $268 from $262 and lifted its 2026 target to 7,000, projecting EPS of $295 versus $285 previously [5]. Group 2: Economic Drivers - Stronger-than-expected corporate earnings and resilient U.S. economic growth are cited as main drivers of the positive outlook [4]. - Investor optimism around artificial intelligence has contributed to the index's rebound, which rallied about 30% following robust earnings [4]. Group 3: Sector Outlook - Barclays turned "positive" on U.S. technology due to strong data center demand and easing AI concerns [6]. - The materials sector was upgraded to "neutral" based on improving metals and chemicals outlook, while healthcare was cut to "neutral" amid regulatory pressures [6]. Group 4: Broader Market Trends - Other banking institutions, such as HSBC and Citigroup, have also revised their S&P 500 targets upward, reflecting similar trends in corporate earnings and reduced tariff concerns [7][8]. - HSBC raised its year-end forecast to 6,400 from 5,600, while Citigroup lifted its target to 6,600 from 6,300 [7][8].
Jim Cramer says Oracle stock buyers are ‘like meme buyers'
Finbold· 2025-09-10 12:30
Group 1 - Oracle's stock has surged nearly 32% in pre-market trading, reaching $318, following a report of $455 billion in remaining performance obligations, a 359% year-over-year increase driven by AI-related cloud contracts [1][6][7] - Investor interest is primarily fueled by Oracle's cloud infrastructure business, with revenue expected to increase by 77% this fiscal year to $18 billion from $10 billion, and forecasts suggest potential growth to $144 billion in four years [6][7] - Wall Street analysts have turned bullish on Oracle stock, impressed by the company's latest earnings and the significant market revaluation, with Oracle's market value projected to rise by about $200 billion [6][7] Group 2 - Jim Cramer noted that institutional traders are behaving unusually, likening their buying behavior to that seen during the Gamestop mania, indicating a potential meme-stock trading pattern [3][4] - The buying frenzy for Oracle shares has not extended to suppliers like Nvidia or AMD, raising concerns about the broader AI supply chain's ability to benefit from Oracle's growth [4]