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How Alibaba is killing Nvidia stock
Finbold· 2025-03-25 15:22
Group 1 - A surge of competition from China, particularly from DeepSeek's R1 and Alibaba's Qwen 2.1, has led to a significant sell-off of Nvidia stock, threatening to push it below $100 [1] - Alibaba Chairman Joe Tsai has raised concerns about a potential bubble in AI data center investments due to indiscriminate spending on infrastructure [2][3] - Despite the current nervousness in the market, as evidenced by a nearly 2% drop in Nvidia shares following Tsai's warning, the overall trend for Nvidia remains positive with a 2.17% increase over the week [5] Group 2 - The Stargate Project, a major infrastructure initiative announced by President Donald Trump, is part of the broader trend of aggressive AI development, with Alibaba also heavily investing in this area [4] - Even if a bubble in AI infrastructure exists, the long-term prospects for the AI sector are expected to remain strong, similar to the growth of the internet post-Dot-com bubble [6] - The potential deflation of an AI infrastructure bubble could lead to significant short-term losses for many investors [7]
This favourite Congress defence stock just received 2 major Wall Street downgrades
Finbold· 2025-03-24 15:23
Core Viewpoint - Lockheed Martin (LMT) has faced significant downgrades from analysts, reflecting concerns over its earnings quality, competitive losses, and reduced growth expectations, amidst increasing capital outflows and a bearish stock sentiment [1][6][7]. Analyst Downgrades - Bank of America downgraded LMT from 'Buy' to 'Neutral', lowering the price target from $685 to $485, citing concerns over earnings quality and loss of key programs [6][7]. - Melius Research also downgraded LMT from 'Buy' to 'Hold', cutting the price target from $603 to $483, driven by competitive losses and concerns over reduced reliance on U.S. defense contractors in Europe [8][9]. Stock Performance - As of the latest report, LMT stock was down over 2%, trading at $429.70, with a year-to-date decline exceeding 10% [4]. - The stock is trading below its 50-day simple moving average of $461.43 and 200-day simple moving average of $512.87, indicating a bearish sentiment [4]. Competitive Landscape - Despite winning an $18 billion contract for the Next-Generation Interceptor missile defense, LMT has faced recent contract losses to competitors such as Northrop Grumman, Raytheon, and Textron, signaling headwinds for future growth [10]. - The loss of the Next Generation Air Dominance contract to Boeing, a $20 billion program, has contributed to recent volatility in LMT's stock [11][12]. Positive Outlook from Some Analysts - Truist Securities maintained a 'Buy' rating with a price target of $579, highlighting LMT's strong fundamentals and long-term growth potential despite recent challenges [11]. - Analyst Michael Ciarmoli noted that while the loss of the NGAD contract could have generated significant revenue, LMT's dominance in the aerospace and defense sector remains supported by its F-35 program and other defense contracts [12].
Jim Cramer calls Nvidia stock a ‘shortsellers paradise'
Finbold· 2025-03-24 13:51
Core Viewpoint - Jim Cramer has referred to Nvidia stock as a 'shortsellers paradise' due to the appearance of a death cross chart pattern, indicating potential downward price movement [2][4]. Price Action and Market Sentiment - On March 21, Nvidia stock closed at $117.70, and by March 24, it had increased by 2.11% to $120.19, with year-to-date losses at 10.50% [5]. - The short volume ratio for Nvidia stock rose above 50 on March 13 but fell to 44.25 on March 21, suggesting that short-sellers may be losing momentum [6][8]. Short Interest and Market Manipulation - Cramer claims that options contracts and inverse ETFs are being used to manipulate Nvidia's stock price downward, requiring less than $10 million in capital to do so [3][4]. - Despite the death cross pattern, which historically led to a 47% loss over six months, the current pre-market activity indicates that this pattern could be invalidated soon [8]. Analyst Sentiment - Nvidia is still viewed as a consensus 'buy' by Wall Street analysts, with positive revisions following the company's GPU Technology Conference [9].
Tesla stock smashes past $250 as new lifeline emerges
Finbold· 2025-03-24 13:25
As the new trading week begins, Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) is looking to extend its recent rally, driven by key developments in the Chinese market.In pre-market trading on Monday, March 24, TSLA stock jumped 4% to $259, decisively breaking the $250 resistance after multiple failed attempts. This follows a strong close on March 21, when the stock surged over 5% to $248.TSLA one-week stock price chart. Source: FinboldHowever, Tesla continues to grapple with challenges, including declining sales and mounting politic ...
Michael Burry's Alibaba bet pays off big; Here's how much it's worth now
Finbold· 2025-03-24 12:43
Core Viewpoint - Michael Burry's investment strategy has shifted towards Chinese technology companies, particularly Alibaba, which has shown significant gains in 2025 [1][2]. Company Performance - Alibaba's share price reached $135.14 by March 24, reflecting a 61.52% year-to-date increase on the NYSE and a 63.35% rise on the Hong Kong exchange [3]. - The company's Q4 2024 earnings report revealed a double beat, exceeding analyst expectations for both revenue and profits [4]. - Revenue from Alibaba's Cloud Intelligence Group increased by 13%, driven by sustained triple-digit growth in AI-related product sales for six consecutive quarters [4]. - E-commerce platforms Taobao and Tmall reported a 9% rise in customer management revenue, while the international commerce division saw a 32% year-over-year revenue increase [5]. Technological Advancements - Investor interest in Alibaba's technology initiatives surged following a partnership with Apple to integrate AI features into iPhones sold in China [6]. - Alibaba announced the Qwen 2.5 version of its AI model, claiming superior efficiency and performance compared to DeepSeek's model [7]. Investment Impact - Burry's investment in Alibaba has significantly appreciated, with his stake valued at approximately $20.3 million as of March 24, up from $12.7 million at the end of 2024 [8][9]. - A $1,000 investment in BABA stock at the start of 2025 would now be worth about $1,615, indicating a profit of $615 in less than three months [8].
Mirror, mirror on the wall, Is Disney's stock the next to fall?
Finbold· 2025-03-24 10:51
Core Viewpoint - Walt Disney Co's latest live-action remake, Snow White, has underperformed at the box office, grossing approximately $87 million against a budget of $240-$270 million, leading to negative impacts on DIS shares [1][2]. Box Office Performance - Snow White's opening weekend performance is significantly below expectations, with a gross of $87 million compared to its substantial production budget [1]. - The film's performance is contrasted with other Disney remakes, such as the live-action Lion King, which grossed $569.6 million against a $240.2 million budget, and Mulan, which earned $69.9 million against a $200 million budget [4]. Factors Contributing to Underperformance - Interest in Disney remakes has been declining in recent years, contributing to the lackluster performance of Snow White [3]. - The film faced backlash related to 'woke' casting decisions, particularly regarding the casting of Rachel Zegler as Snow White, which some audiences found controversial [5][6]. - The backlash against Zegler's casting is part of a broader narrative about audience reactions to perceived 'woke' initiatives in Hollywood, although the impact of this backlash is difficult to quantify [7][8]. Boycotts and Audience Reactions - The film also faced calls for a boycott due to the casting of Gal Gadot as the Evil Queen, as her support for the Israeli Defense Forces during ongoing conflicts has drawn criticism [9][10]. - The effectiveness of these boycotts is mixed, with some films succeeding despite similar controversies, indicating that audience reactions may depend more on the core demographics than on specific actions taken by the company [11][12]. Stock Performance and Market Outlook - Disney shares are experiencing volatility, with a year-to-date decline of 10.25%, although there was a slight recovery in the most recent trading session [14]. - The impact of a single film's performance on Disney's overall stock is expected to be limited, as the company is large enough to absorb such fluctuations, and live-action remakes serve to maintain intellectual property control rather than solely generate profit [15].
Is Michael Burry's biggest stock set to become ‘the big short' of 2025?
Finbold· 2025-03-21 15:39
The Chinese market has seemingly been teetering on the brink of collapse since the COVID-19 pandemic, with bloodbaths being particularly notable in early 2024.The late September news – as vague as it was – that the Chinese government would provide a generous stimulus package reversed the situation overnight and led to a massive rally for the nation’s equities.Perhaps the biggest winner of the change is simultaneously the biggest position of ‘The Big Short’s’ Michael Burry: Alibaba (NYSE: BABA). Alibaba stoc ...
Here's why Nio stock price is crashing today
Finbold· 2025-03-21 14:44
Nio stock (NYSE: NIO) has been exhibiting plenty of volatility as of late.On March 11, government support for the company’s battery-swapping technology caused a surge of almost 10%, from $4.40 to $4.91. The tide of optimism continued. Nio stock closed at a price of $5.18 on March 19, two days before the release of the company’s Q4 earnings call.Despite these high hopes, the quarterly report turned out to be a disappointment. The electric vehicle (EV) company posted a $0.43 loss per share, above consensus es ...
Is the Tesla stock bottom finally in?
Finbold· 2025-03-21 14:03
Tesla stock (NASDAQ: TSLA) is in a precarious position. To be more precise, it is, as of the time of writing, the second-worst performing stock in the entire S&P 500 index.Numerous factors have contributed to this period of underperformance. January’s vehicle delivery figures marked the year-over-year (YoY) decline in the automaker’s history. In addition, company insiders dumped more than $44 million worth of Tesla stock in the first 10 days of the year alone.Shortly after, the company’s latest earnings cal ...
Michael Burry is crushing S&P 500 in 2025
Finbold· 2025-03-19 16:10
Core Insights - Michael Burry has significantly invested in three Chinese technology companies, allocating 43% of his portfolio to this strategy, which may yield substantial returns compared to U.S. stocks [1][2] Group 1: Performance of Investments - Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) experienced a remarkable 68.78% surge in 2025, with Burry's position growing from $12.7 million to $21.4 million, resulting in a profit of nearly $9 million [4] - JD.com (NASDAQ: JD) rose 29.12%, increasing Burry's investment from $10.4 million to $13.4 million, yielding a profit of $3 million [5] - Baidu (NASDAQ: BIDU) saw a 16.37% increase, with Burry's shares rising from $10.5 million to $12.2 million, resulting in a profit of $1.7 million [6] Group 2: Comparison with U.S. Investments - Burry's three major holdings increased in value from $33.6 million to $47 million, while an equivalent investment in the S&P 500 would have only grown to $32.4 million [7] - If Burry had invested in Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA), the value would have decreased to $20.9 million, and an investment in Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) would have resulted in a loss, dropping to $28.5 million [8]