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Is Nvidia stock seeing heavy short interest?
Finbold· 2024-11-28 14:22
Core Viewpoint - Nvidia's stock experienced a notable decline despite a strong quarterly report, raising questions about market sentiment and future performance [1][11]. Stock Performance - Nvidia shares retreated 6.48% over the last five sessions, closing at $135.46 [2][3]. - The stock has seen a significant increase of 731.84% over the last two years, indicating high market expectations [12]. Short Interest Analysis - Short interest in Nvidia shares was at 38.94 on November 27, near its 10-day lows, suggesting a lack of bearish sentiment among traders [4][5]. - The short interest increased from 245 million on October 31 to 276 million on November 15, indicating fluctuating trader sentiment [8][10]. Market Sentiment - The lack of significant short positions may be attributed to the dissonance between Nvidia's earnings reports and market expectations, as the company beat most forecasts despite slightly below bullish guidance [11]. - The recent downtrend in stock price may be a correction rather than a sign of deeper issues, with a potential pullback to $130 being possible but not likely unless external shocks occur [12][13]. Future Outlook - Nvidia's next quarterly results, scheduled for February 2, 2025, will be crucial in determining the stock's direction, especially in light of potential economic policy changes [14].
Will Nvidia stock crash below $130 this week?
Finbold· 2024-11-27 16:18
Core Viewpoint - Nvidia is facing challenges in maintaining investor confidence despite strong earnings results, as evidenced by a decline in stock price following the Q3 FY2025 earnings call [1][2]. Stock Performance - Nvidia's stock price dropped from $145.89 to $132.39, reflecting a 9.25% decrease, which has reduced year-to-date returns to 174.85% [2]. - The stock remains a consensus 'Buy' among analysts, with increasing price targets from major Wall Street firms, yet aggressive profit-taking is observed in the market [2]. Market Sentiment - There is speculation about Nvidia's stock potentially falling below the $130 mark, which could intensify bearish sentiment and worsen the current selloff [3]. - The stock has been trading within a wide range of $132.11 to $152.89 over the past month, currently positioned near the lower end of this range [4]. Technical Analysis - Nvidia's stock is near the upper part of its 52-week range but has been underperforming compared to the S&P 500, which is nearing an all-time high [5]. - A critical support level exists at $131.60, which, if breached, could lead to further price declines as investors seek to lock in profits [6]. Investor Behavior - The current selloff is primarily driven by institutional investors rather than retail investors, with expectations that large players will lock in gains and potentially re-enter at lower price points [7].
Jaguar stock price bounces back despite ‘woke' drama
Finbold· 2024-11-27 13:07
After a year-long hiatus, the British luxury vehicle maker Jaguar returned to the limelight with a new advertising campaign designed to signal the rebranding and the firm’s pivot to an electrified future.The campaign, running under the slogan ‘Copy nothing,’ received mixed reactions.On the one hand, it was hailed for standing in stark contrast with the company’s past and, thus, signaling a bold and different future. On the other hand, the first commercial faced backlash on social media – primarily X – due t ...
Microsoft forms second death cross in a month; Will MSFT finally crack?
Finbold· 2024-11-26 12:39
Core Viewpoint - Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) has entered a precarious position in the stock market as indicated by recent technical signals, particularly the appearance of the "death cross" which suggests a potential price drop [2][3]. Technical Analysis - MSFT shares have shown two instances of the death cross in November, a bearish indicator where the 50-day moving average crosses below the 200-day moving average [2]. - Historically, the last occurrence of the death cross led to a 25% decline in MSFT shares over eight months [3]. - Despite the bearish signals, MSFT stock is currently 2% higher than the price at the first death cross in November, rising from approximately $410.37 to $418.63 [3]. Market Context - The stock market experienced significant boosts following major political events, such as Donald Trump's election victory, which had a positive impact on MSFT shares [4]. - The latest death cross on November 25 is expected to lead to a decline due to the weak current trend and the absence of positive external catalysts [5]. Analyst Sentiment - Despite the negative technical indicators, Wall Street analysts maintain a bullish outlook on MSFT, with many upgrading their forecasts in November [6]. - Prominent firms like RBC Capital, UBS, and Daiwa Securities have rated MSFT as a "buy," with price targets ranging from $476 to $520, indicating a potential upside of at least 13.7% [6]. - Recent estimates from JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, and Jeffries also classify MSFT as a "buy," with Wedbush providing a high forecast of $550 [7].
Forget Nvidia — Should you invest in this new AI chip leader?
Finbold· 2024-11-26 11:53
Without a doubt, Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) has dominated the artificial intelligence (AI) chip market in 2024, boosting its stock to new highs. However, Astera Labs (NASDAQ: ALAB) has emerged as a formidable competitor, outperforming Nvidia in recent months.Despite optimism surrounding its next-generation Blackwell chips, Nvidia has struggled to maintain its stock price above the $150 mark. The NVDA share price is currently trading at $136.02, reflecting a 23% gain over the past six months but with increased vo ...
Did Amazon just become a defense stock with this $158 million contract?
Finbold· 2024-11-26 11:10
Though not yet truly viral, a meme format based on the observation that every major U.S. company is in some way involved with the country’s military-industrial complex has been gaining popularity.Amazon’s Web Services (AWS) have lent additional credence to the observation with the November 25 news the e-commerce and technology giant received a $158.25 million contract to provide the U.S. Army with cloud services.The contract is set to last until 2028, though the other details are vague at press time. While ...
Why is Rivian stock surging?
Finbold· 2024-11-26 10:55
Electric vehicle makers are in a rough spot. Apart from trailblazer Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA), other EV stocks have seen significant losses throughout 2024 — driven primarily by a challenging macro environment and the fact that traditional carmakers have largely entered the market, leveraging their scale to dash the hopes of ambitious newcomers.Rivian Automotive (NASDAQ: RIVN) is one such company — since the company’s listing in November of 2021, RIVN stock price has been on a consistent downward trajectory. In ...
Billionaire investor dumps $212 million of Nvidia stock
Finbold· 2024-11-26 10:32
Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) shares slipped on Monday, shedding 4.18% to close at $136.02, breaking the critical psychological support level of $140. The decline follows news of a senior Nvidia executive meeting with Chinese officials, which has sparked concerns amid increasing geopolitical and regulatory risks.Amid this backdrop, Wall Street continues to set lofty expectations for Nvidia, forecasting 54% revenue growth for 2025. While demand for Nvidia’s chips remains robust, the stock’s elevated valuation leaves ...
Wall Street analyst revises Tesla stock price amid AI skepticism
Finbold· 2024-11-25 15:57
UBS analyst Joseph Spak has revised Tesla’s (TSLA) price target amid concerns over the market’s valuation of the company’s artificial intelligence (AI) initiatives.In an investor note on November 25, Spak maintained a ‘Sell’ rating for the stock while raising the price target to $226, up from $197.The analyst questioned the market’s current valuation of Tesla’s AI ventures, such as robotaxis and Optimus, which he estimates are being priced at nearly $1 trillion. In his valuation model, Spak emphasized that ...
Bill Gates just dumped $67 million of this stock
Finbold· 2024-11-25 13:06
Bill Gates' Investment Activity - Bill Gates, co-founder of Microsoft and a prominent investor, manages the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation Trust, which holds stakes in 23 businesses with a focus on long-term prospects [1] - The Foundation's portfolio is highly concentrated, with Microsoft, Berkshire Hathaway, and Waste Management accounting for 66% of its holdings [1] - Gates has been a long-term investor in Ecolab (ECL), a water-treatment business, but recently sold $200 million worth of ECL shares between October 31 and November 4, followed by an additional $67 million sale from November 20 to November 22 [1][2] Ecolab Stock Performance - ECL stock has delivered a year-to-date (YTD) return of 23.76%, trading at $245.30 at the time of reporting [2] - Despite the strong performance, ECL shares have declined by 4.35% since the company's Q3 2024 earnings call on October 29, where both EPS and revenues slightly missed expectations [4] Analysis of Gates' Sale - Gates' sale of ECL shares was not part of a pre-scheduled 10b5-1 plan, raising questions about the stock's long-term prospects [5] - However, the sale could be attributed to profit-taking or a strategic reallocation of resources, as ECL stock has performed well in 2024 [6] - Gates still holds a significant stake in Ecolab, with 29,178,741 shares worth approximately $7.16 billion, indicating that the recent sales represent only a small reduction in his overall position [6] Market Implications - Insider activity, such as Gates' recent sales, combined with future earnings reports, could provide a more comprehensive basis for evaluating ECL stock [6]