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Buy or Sell RTX Stock Ahead of Its Upcoming Earnings?
Forbes· 2025-10-18 11:25
Core Insights - RTX Corporation is set to announce its earnings on October 21, 2025, with historical trends indicating a tendency for negative one-day returns following earnings announcements [2][3] - The market consensus anticipates earnings of $1.41 per share and sales of $21.32 billion, compared to $1.45 per share and $20.09 billion in the same quarter last year [3] - RTX currently has a market capitalization of $211 billion, with $84 billion in revenue, $8.3 billion in operating profits, and a net income of $6.1 billion over the past twelve months [4] Earnings Reaction History - Historically, RTX has experienced negative returns on 55% of the days immediately following earnings releases, with an average decline of -1.6% and a maximum drop of -10.2% [2][10] - Positive one-day returns have occurred approximately 45% of the time over the last five years, dropping to 42% in the last three years [10] - The median of positive returns is 2.6%, while the median of negative returns is -1.6% [10] Trading Strategies - Traders can leverage historical trends by assessing pre-earnings positioning and analyzing the relationship between immediate one-day returns and medium-term returns [6][8] - A strategy involving correlation analysis between 1D and 5D returns can help traders position themselves effectively based on favorable post-earnings returns [8]
How To Trade 3M Stock Ahead of Its Earnings?
Forbes· 2025-10-18 10:45
Core Insights - 3M is scheduled to release its earnings on October 21, 2025, which is crucial for traders using event-driven strategies [2] - Historical data shows that 3M's stock has had a balanced response to earnings announcements, with a 50% chance of positive one-day returns averaging 4.8% and a 50% chance of negative returns averaging -2.8% [3][10] - For Q3 2025, consensus estimates predict earnings of $2.07 per share on revenue of $6.26 billion, compared to $2.14 per share and $6.07 billion in the same quarter last year [4] Financial Performance - 3M has a market capitalization of approximately $81 billion and generated $25 billion in revenue over the past twelve months, with operating profits of $4.8 billion and net income of $3.9 billion [5] - The historical trend indicates significant volatility in stock performance post-earnings, with no consistent upward or downward trend [3][5] Trading Strategies - Traders may consider pre-earnings positioning based on historical probabilities, which show a 50/50 distribution in past results [7] - Post-earnings, traders can analyze immediate market reactions and correlations between short-term and medium-term returns to inform their positioning [8][9]
Buy GE Stock Ahead of Its Earnings?
Forbes· 2025-10-18 10:15
Core Insights - GE Aerospace is expected to announce earnings on October 21, 2025, with historical data indicating a positive stock response to earnings announcements, achieving a positive one-day return in 60% of cases [2][7] - The consensus forecast for the upcoming report anticipates earnings of $1.46 per share on revenues of $10.39 billion, reflecting an increase from the previous year's earnings of $1.15 per share on sales of $8.94 billion [3] Financial Performance - GE Aerospace currently has a market capitalization of $319 billion and generated $42 billion in revenue over the past twelve months, with operating profits of $7.9 billion and a net income of $7.8 billion [4] Historical Earnings Reaction - Over the last five years, there have been 20 earnings data points, with 12 showing positive one-day returns and 8 showing negative returns, resulting in a 60% occurrence of positive returns [7] - The median positive return is 5.1%, while the median negative return is -2.0% [7] Post-Earnings Strategy - Traders can evaluate historical likelihoods of positive moves and position accordingly before earnings disclosures, as well as examine the relationship between immediate one-day returns and medium-term stock performance for trading decisions [6][8]
Best Wired Earbuds 2025
Forbes· 2025-10-17 20:09
Core Insights - Wired earbuds provide high-quality audio without the need for batteries or wireless pairing, ensuring zero latency and avoiding signal interference [3][37] - The Sennheiser IE 100 Pros are highlighted as the best overall wired earbuds due to their professional-grade audio quality and comfortable fit [5][36] Product Summaries - **Best Wired Earbuds Overall**: Sennheiser IE 100 Pros feature 10mm drivers, capable of producing sound up to 115 dB, making them suitable for various audio experiences [5][36] - **Best Value Wired Earbuds**: Soundmagic E11C Wired Earbuds are priced under $50, offering good audio quality with a 10mm driver and a maximum output of 112 dB [8][9] - **Best Noise-Canceling Wired Earbuds**: Shure SE215 Pro Wired Earbuds provide effective noise isolation and come with multiple ear tip sizes for a proper fit, although some units may have durability issues [10][11] - **Best Water-Resistant Wired Earbuds**: H2O Audio Surge SX10 are designed for underwater use with an IPX8 rating, allowing for full immersion up to 12 feet [12][16] - **Best Lightweight Wired Earbuds**: Sennheiser CX 300S are extremely lightweight at 6 grams per earbud, capable of producing sound up to 118 dB, but may have durability concerns [18][19] - **Best Gaming Wired Earbuds**: Sony Inzone E9 Wired In-Ear Earbuds offer a 360-degree spatial audio experience, enhancing gameplay immersion, though they lack noise cancellation [20][24] - **Best Wired Earbuds for Apple Users**: Apple EarPods feature a UBS-C plug for easy connectivity with Apple devices, but durability is a noted concern [25][26] Selection Criteria - Key factors for choosing wired earbuds include sound quality, comfort, and durability, with a proper fit being essential for optimal audio performance [29][31] - The size of the driver is important, as it influences audio quality relative to the overall size of the earbuds [30] - Durability is generally better in wired earbuds compared to wireless options, making them more reliable for frequent use [31]
Larry Ellison Loses $24 Billion As Oracle Shares Slide
Forbes· 2025-10-17 18:25
Core Insights - Oracle's stock experienced a significant decline of approximately 7%, resulting in a loss of about $24 billion from Larry Ellison's net worth, despite positive revenue growth forecasts from executives [1][4] Financial Forecasts - Oracle executives, including Larry Ellison and CEO Clay Magouyrk, projected an average annual revenue growth of 31% over the next five years, with sales expected to reach $225 billion by fiscal year 2030 [2] - Earnings per share are anticipated to increase to $21 by fiscal year 2030, reflecting an average annual growth of 28% [2] Analyst Reactions - Analysts reacted positively to Oracle's forecasts, with Barclays' Raimo Lenschow noting that the estimates exceeded Wall Street's expectations, while Guggenheim's John DiFucci described the growth estimates as significantly higher than speculated [3] - Jefferies analyst Brent Thill attributed the stock decline to a lack of details regarding capital expenditure plans, indicating that further commentary on expenditures was necessary to align with revenue growth [3] Valuation Impact - Following the stock decline, Larry Ellison's net worth decreased by 6.3% to an estimated $350.6 billion, placing him second to Elon Musk, whose net worth is approximately $485.9 billion [4] - Ellison's fortune had previously surged by $110 billion in a single day due to a record increase in Oracle shares [4] Price Target Adjustments - Despite concerns over capital expenditures, analysts raised their price targets for Oracle's stock to $400, with Thill increasing his target from $360, and DiFucci and Lenschow adjusting theirs from $375 and $367, respectively [5] Market Context - Oracle's stock has seen substantial growth recently, driven by forecasts of significant revenue increases due to AI demand, with cloud infrastructure revenue projected to rise to $18 billion this fiscal year and nearly double to $32 billion by 2027 [6] - The company reported a remarkable 359% increase in contracted revenue, reaching $455 billion, following the acquisition of four multibillion-dollar contracts [7]
American Must Explain Why Delta And United Get 100% Of Industry Profit
Forbes· 2025-10-17 17:50
Core Insights - American Airlines is facing significant challenges in the competitive landscape of U.S. airlines, being positioned as a distant third behind Delta and United, which are expected to dominate industry profits in the coming years [2][3][4] Financial Performance - American Airlines is projected to report a per share loss of 27 cents in its upcoming earnings release, contrasting sharply with Delta and United's profitability [3] - In terms of pre-tax margins, American's margin was 5.8% in Q2, significantly lower than Delta's 9.8% and United's 7.8% [4] - Year-to-date performance shows American's shares down 30%, while United and Delta have seen increases of 3% and 2%, respectively [5] Market Position - The airline is described as being in a "bronze metal syndrome," consistently trailing behind its competitors in stock performance and profitability metrics [5] - American Airlines has a heavier domestic focus (~70%) compared to Delta and United (~55%), which may impact its recovery strategy [8] Strategic Focus - The airline industry is increasingly focusing on enhancing revenue from premium seating, with American expected to align its strategy accordingly [6][7] - American Airlines has signed a credit card deal with Citibank, set to take effect in 2026, which may enhance its competitive position in the credit card market [9] - The introduction of the Airbus A321XLR for trans-Atlantic service is anticipated to open new opportunities for American Airlines, with the first route planned from New York to Los Angeles [11] Regional Performance - American Airlines holds a dominant position in Latin America, which could provide a competitive advantage, especially as United faced revenue declines in the region [10]
How The Anti-Debanking Order Could Impact Fintechs
Forbes· 2025-10-17 17:20
Core Insights - The practice of "debanking" poses significant challenges for fintech companies, particularly those in politically sensitive sectors, as banks may terminate relationships without clear explanations [2][3] - An executive order titled "Guaranteeing Fair Banking for All Americans" aims to prohibit banks from denying services based on political or lawful affiliations, marking a potential shift in how financial institutions evaluate clients [4][5] Regulatory Changes - Regulators will now require banks to base customer onboarding and offboarding decisions on documented risk factors rather than vague reputational concerns [5][6] - The OCC and FDIC's proposed rules will prevent examiners from citing "reputation risk" as a reason for client terminations, necessitating objective evidence for all offboarding decisions [6][8] Legal Implications - The executive order strengthens the legal basis for fintechs and clients to challenge account closures, potentially leading to lawsuits based on consumer protection statutes or discrimination laws [10][11] - Fintechs may face legal scrutiny if they cannot provide documented risk analyses during investigations into unlawful debanking practices [12][13] Operational Demands - Compliance expectations for fintechs are increasing, requiring detailed documentation of customer decisions and justifications for service denials [15][16] - Banks are tightening procedures for onboarding and account closures, expecting fintech partners to align with these heightened standards [15][18] Opportunities and Risks - Fintechs previously excluded due to reputational concerns may find banks more willing to collaborate if they demonstrate strong controls [19][20] - The absence of "reputation risk" in regulatory frameworks does not eliminate the focus on risk management, necessitating that fintechs ground their decisions in factual evidence [21][22] Industry Outlook - The anti-debanking order and proposed rules signify a realignment in how banks and fintechs manage customer relationships, raising the bar for transparency and defensibility in decision-making [23][24] - Fintechs that establish strong governance and clear processes will be better positioned to maintain and grow banking relationships in a shifting regulatory environment [24][25]
It’s Time To Break The Quarterly Cycle
Forbes· 2025-10-17 17:07
Core Viewpoint - The call for the SEC to reconsider quarterly corporate reporting reflects a growing concern that such practices encourage short-term behavior at the expense of long-term value creation [3][4][5]. Group 1: Current Reporting Practices - Public companies typically engage in quarterly reporting, which may lead to a focus on short-term results rather than sustainable growth [2][4]. - The Long-Term Stock Exchange has proposed a shift to semiannual reporting, aiming to enhance long-term value creation [3][4]. - Historical context shows that the current quarterly reporting requirement was established in 1970, a time when the investment landscape was significantly different [5]. Group 2: Impact on Corporate Behavior - Research indicates that mandatory quarterly reporting negatively affects corporate managerial behavior, leading to reduced investment in R&D and operational adjustments to meet short-term targets [6]. - A study of Japanese firms revealed that quarterly reporting resulted in short-term manipulation, with initial performance boosts followed by declines [6]. Group 3: Changes in EPS Guidance - The practice of issuing quarterly earnings-per-share (EPS) guidance has decreased from 50% of S&P 500 companies in 2004 to 21% in 2024, highlighting a shift away from short-term performance metrics [8]. - Despite the decline in EPS guidance, many companies remain trapped in a quarterly reporting cycle, which is likened to a "hamster wheel" [8]. Group 4: Potential Solutions - Extending reporting periods could help companies escape the 90-day cycle, although it is not a complete solution [9]. - The SEC is encouraged to explore alternative reporting frameworks that prioritize long-term value creation while maintaining transparency and accountability [11]. - Options such as cumulative reporting or simplified reporting of key performance indicators (KPIs) could be considered [11]. Group 5: Long-term Focus - A shift to optional quarterly reporting could realign capital markets to better serve long-term investors, such as savers planning for decades ahead [12].
Is Gold In A Bubble?
Forbes· 2025-10-17 16:26
Core Insights - The price of gold has significantly increased over the past 65 years, with a rise of over 1,200 times in Indian Rupees and about 115 times in US dollars, indicating gold's role as a store of value [1][2] - The historical context of gold as a protective asset against currency debasement is emphasized, particularly in countries with a history of fiscal irresponsibility [3][4] - The current economic environment suggests a regime shift towards inflation and increased volatility, making gold an attractive investment option [4][10] Gold as a Store of Value - Gold has proven to be a superior investment compared to holding cash in depreciating currencies, particularly in countries like India where inflation has eroded purchasing power [2][3] - The cultural significance of gold in India, where it is often gifted during significant life events, reinforces its status as a valuable asset [2] Economic Context - The narrative highlights a long history of fiscal irresponsibility and money printing outside the US, leading to a reliance on hard assets like gold for protection against currency devaluation [3][9] - The shift in global political dynamics, including the rise of BRICS nations, is driving demand for gold as a hedge against US dominance [4][9] Investment Implications - Gold is characterized as both a "Giffen" good and a "Veblen" good, where demand increases with rising prices, particularly in lower-income countries [5][6] - The potential for gold to serve as a hedge against inflation and central bank policies is underscored, with a suggestion that it may be the only reliable asset until new currency blocs emerge [9][10] Future Outlook - The current economic regime is expected to resemble the inflationary period of the 1960s to 1980s, with rising yields and increased market volatility [10] - There is a cautionary note regarding the potential for a gold price collapse in the future, but for now, it remains a rational investment choice amid economic uncertainty [11][12]
Why Is GOOGL Stock Rising?
Forbes· 2025-10-17 13:55
Core Insights - GOOGL stock experienced a significant increase of 36% over three months, driven by steady revenue growth, a modest rise in profit margins, and a notable 30% surge in investor optimism reflected in its valuation multiple [2][4]. Financial Performance - Alphabet reported a strong Q2 2025 earnings beat with an Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $2.31, surpassing analyst expectations which ranged from $2.12 to $2.15 [6]. - Quarterly revenue increased by 13.8% to 14% year-over-year, reaching $96.43 billion, exceeding analysts' forecasts of $93.60 billion to $93.67 billion [6]. AI Leadership and Cloud Growth - Alphabet's leadership in artificial intelligence (AI) significantly influenced stock movement, with its Gemini AI models achieving 9 million developers and a 35x year-over-year increase in usage [6]. - Google Cloud revenue grew by 32% to $13.6 billion in Q2 2025, driven by strong demand for AI infrastructure and generative AI solutions, with the operating margin expanding by 188% to 20.7% [6]. Market Sentiment and Analyst Upgrades - A favorable antitrust ruling alleviated regulatory uncertainty, boosting investor confidence as Alphabet was not required to divest key assets like Chrome or Android [10]. - Positive analyst upgrades and increased price targets for GOOGL were noted, with several firms raising their targets significantly, including Roth Capital to $265.00 and Jefferies Financial Group to $285.00 [10].