短期主义
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在“短期世界”中,成为“长期思考者”还有意义吗?
3 6 Ke· 2026-02-03 10:54
身陷"执行模式"的HR 作为HR,大家每天的工作状态是什么样的?是不是被一件件繁杂的琐事所裹挟,应接不暇?从招聘邀 约、到绩效核算、到员工沟通、到合规排查,终日步履匆匆、身心俱疲。我们总感觉有接不完的任务、 做不完的项目、赶不完的进度、理不完的问题,这让我们能够静下心来,好好复盘思考,都已经成为一 件奢侈的事情。 不只如此,我们还常常被同行的成功实践、行业地位、职业成就、甚至丰厚回报扰乱心绪,急于寻找所 谓的"最优管理秘笈"、"高效工作捷径",盲目跟风照搬他人经验,却忽略了企业的实际需求与自己的职 业节奏。 这种"追赶"的状态往往让我们喘不过气,总担忧自己跟不上节奏。而这背后的根源,正是我们陷入了一 种被动的"执行模式",习惯于高效执行的闭环。个人的时间与精力被各种琐事和纷扰彻底填满,唯独没 有给"思考"留出足够的"空间", 停下来想一想:我们有没有对那些看似"正确的、不得不做的事情"学会 说不,拒绝无效内耗?我们有没有放下无谓的比较,摒弃"快速拿到结果"的心态,以耐心来沉淀专业价 值。我们有没有找到属于自己的职业坐标,定义贴合自身的成功标准,按自己的节奏稳步前行?我们真 正追求的职业成长与生活状态究竟是什么 ...
当中国押注“人类终极能源”,美国却在押短期选票,格局高下立判
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-14 03:47
Group 1 - The core of the article emphasizes that the future of civilization hinges on solving the energy problem of "infinite, clean, and controllable" energy, with nuclear fusion being the key solution [4][6] - Nuclear fusion is characterized as a civilization-level project that requires national will and long-term commitment, rather than just a scientific endeavor [8][12] - The article highlights that the U.S. struggles with long-term patience for projects like nuclear fusion, leading to a reliance on private capital and fragmented research efforts [12][14][15] Group 2 - China is positioned to invest in nuclear fusion due to its historical understanding of energy's critical role in industrial security and technological sovereignty [17][19] - The article argues that the true measure of success in nuclear fusion will be the ability to replicate successful outcomes consistently, rather than achieving isolated breakthroughs [21][24] - The talent flow towards national projects in China indicates a strong commitment to long-term investment in nuclear fusion, contrasting with the U.S. approach [28][29] Group 3 - The article discusses the geopolitical implications of nuclear fusion, suggesting that its successful implementation could fundamentally alter global energy dynamics and reduce the leverage of traditional energy powers [31][32] - The competition in nuclear fusion is framed as a test of societal readiness for long-term planning, contrasting China's long-termism with the U.S.'s short-term focus [34][35] - The conclusion posits that the nation willing to invest patiently and consistently in nuclear fusion will ultimately shape the future of energy and civilization [37]
It’s Time To Break The Quarterly Cycle
Forbes· 2025-10-17 17:07
Core Viewpoint - The call for the SEC to reconsider quarterly corporate reporting reflects a growing concern that such practices encourage short-term behavior at the expense of long-term value creation [3][4][5]. Group 1: Current Reporting Practices - Public companies typically engage in quarterly reporting, which may lead to a focus on short-term results rather than sustainable growth [2][4]. - The Long-Term Stock Exchange has proposed a shift to semiannual reporting, aiming to enhance long-term value creation [3][4]. - Historical context shows that the current quarterly reporting requirement was established in 1970, a time when the investment landscape was significantly different [5]. Group 2: Impact on Corporate Behavior - Research indicates that mandatory quarterly reporting negatively affects corporate managerial behavior, leading to reduced investment in R&D and operational adjustments to meet short-term targets [6]. - A study of Japanese firms revealed that quarterly reporting resulted in short-term manipulation, with initial performance boosts followed by declines [6]. Group 3: Changes in EPS Guidance - The practice of issuing quarterly earnings-per-share (EPS) guidance has decreased from 50% of S&P 500 companies in 2004 to 21% in 2024, highlighting a shift away from short-term performance metrics [8]. - Despite the decline in EPS guidance, many companies remain trapped in a quarterly reporting cycle, which is likened to a "hamster wheel" [8]. Group 4: Potential Solutions - Extending reporting periods could help companies escape the 90-day cycle, although it is not a complete solution [9]. - The SEC is encouraged to explore alternative reporting frameworks that prioritize long-term value creation while maintaining transparency and accountability [11]. - Options such as cumulative reporting or simplified reporting of key performance indicators (KPIs) could be considered [11]. Group 5: Long-term Focus - A shift to optional quarterly reporting could realign capital markets to better serve long-term investors, such as savers planning for decades ahead [12].
SEC Chair Paul Atkins: We will propose rule change on Trump's call to end quarterly reports
Youtube· 2025-09-19 13:38
Core Viewpoint - The SEC is considering a proposal from President Trump to change earnings reports from a quarterly to a semiannual basis, which has sparked discussions among CEOs and investors about its implications for the market and companies [1][2]. Group 1: Current Reporting Practices - Semiannual reporting is already practiced by foreign private issuers and was the norm until 1970 when quarterly reporting was established [3]. - The current quarterly reporting system is criticized for promoting short-term thinking among companies [3][11]. Group 2: Potential Benefits of Change - Transitioning to semiannual reporting could reduce costs and the mental burden on executives, allowing them to focus more on day-to-day business operations rather than preparing quarterly reports [5]. - Companies may benefit from having more time to strategize and negotiate deals without the pressure of quarterly earnings reports [4]. Group 3: Investor Information Access - There is a concern about whether retail investors need as much information as professional investors, who have access to various data streams throughout the year [6]. - The dissemination of information has evolved, with many investors relying on earnings calls rather than traditional quarterly reports for insights [8][9]. Group 4: Future Reporting Flexibility - Companies may choose to continue with quarterly reports or adopt a different cadence based on investor demand and their specific circumstances [10]. - The SEC is open to reviewing the entire framework of how companies report information, considering the long-standing complaints about short-termism in the market [11].
特朗普拿中国举例呼吁取消上市公司季报,但他找错了例子
Guan Cha Zhe Wang· 2025-09-16 11:43
Core Viewpoint - The proposal to allow U.S. companies to disclose earnings every six months instead of quarterly is seen as a significant shift that could reduce operational costs and encourage long-term strategic focus over short-term profit maximization [1][2]. Group 1: Arguments for Reducing Reporting Frequency - Proponents argue that quarterly earnings guidance leads to short-termism, harming long-term growth and sustainability [1][2]. - Notable figures in the business community, including Warren Buffett and the CEO of JPMorgan, have expressed concerns that quarterly reporting encourages a focus on immediate profits at the expense of long-term strategies [1]. - The SEC is considering this proposal to alleviate unnecessary regulatory burdens on companies [1]. Group 2: Counterarguments and Concerns - Critics, including investment professionals, argue that reducing reporting frequency could decrease market efficiency and transparency, potentially leading to information asymmetry among investors [2][5]. - A survey by CFA Institute revealed that 59% of global members disagreed with reducing reporting frequency due to concerns over potential information leaks and market fairness [2]. - Concerns were raised that eliminating quarterly reports could exacerbate information asymmetry, particularly affecting small investors who may lack access to timely information [6]. Group 3: Perspectives from China - The discussion around quarterly reporting has also drawn comparisons to China, where many companies still disclose quarterly earnings, suggesting that the reporting frequency is not a barrier to long-term planning [3][4]. - Some Chinese experts argue that the current system's lack of audit requirements for quarterly reports undermines their credibility, advocating for a reform that enhances the quality of financial disclosures rather than eliminating them [4][5]. - The focus should be on improving investor protection mechanisms and enhancing the quality of disclosures rather than simply reducing the frequency of reports [6].
SEC 'prioritizing proposal' to allow companies to report results every six months instead of three
Youtube· 2025-09-16 11:05
Group 1 - The SEC is considering allowing public companies to report financial results every six months instead of quarterly, following a request from President Trump to reduce regulatory burdens [1] - President Trump argues that a six-month reporting cycle would save companies money, enable better management focus, and enhance competitiveness against China [1] - The discussion highlights the issue of short-termism in corporate reporting, with references to Warren Buffett and Jamie Dimon's previous advocacy for less frequent earnings guidance [1][2] Group 2 - The potential shift to biannual reporting could lead to increased importance of investor conferences and meetings, raising concerns about information transparency [5] - The current quarterly reporting system involves numerous earnings seasons, with thousands of companies in the S&P 500, making the information more accessible to investors [4] - There is a general sentiment that while more information is preferred, the focus should remain on long-term performance rather than short-term projections [3][5]
Analysts Split On Trump's Push To Scrap Quarterly Earnings: 'A 90-Day Cycle Is Not How Business Operates,' Says Tom Lee - Costco Wholesale (NASDAQ:COST)
Benzinga· 2025-09-16 09:06
Core Viewpoint - President Trump's proposal to eliminate the quarterly earnings reporting requirement for public companies has ignited a debate regarding its potential impact on U.S. equity markets, with opinions divided on whether it would enhance or diminish market strength [1] Group 1: Arguments Against the Proposal - Analyst Joseph Carlson argues that the notion of quarterly reports promoting short-term thinking is unfounded, citing examples of U.S. companies making significant long-term investments, such as in AI infrastructure [2] - Carlson warns that removing quarterly earnings reports could lead to reduced transparency, leaving investors less informed and potentially facing worse stock pricing, as companies might struggle for months without timely updates [3] - He emphasizes that transparency is beneficial for the market and investors [3] Group 2: Arguments Supporting the Proposal - Market strategist Tom Lee supports the proposal, stating that a 90-day reporting cycle does not reflect how businesses operate, suggesting that the current system pressures companies to remain private [3] - Economist Trinh Nguyen also backs the move, noting that several developed markets, including the UK and EU, do not have quarterly reporting mandates, and highlighting bipartisan support for reforms aimed at reducing short-termism [4] - Influential figures, including BlackRock CEO Larry Fink and former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, have expressed favor for the elimination of quarterly earnings requirements [4]
“亏30%能扛,赚1%却慌” 基民赎回困局与基金增值考验
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-08-21 00:05
Group 1 - The current market recovery has led to a redemption dilemma for many investors, with a significant number of active equity funds reaching new net asset value highs [2][3] - As of August 19, 2023, nearly 1300 funds have returned to a net value above 1 yuan, compared to over 2300 funds that were below this threshold last year [5] - The psychological impact of previous losses is causing investors to feel anxious about redeeming their funds, even when they are finally seeing some gains [6][7] Group 2 - Fund companies are experiencing increased redemption pressure, with many investors opting to "cash out" as the market rises [8][9] - Despite the redemption pressures, many equity funds are still seeing net inflows, indicating a complex market dynamic where new investors are entering while existing ones are redeeming [8][9] - The industry is shifting its focus from merely controlling redemptions to providing tailored product solutions that meet the current market conditions and investor needs [9]
“亏30%稳如泰山,涨1%坐立难安”,曾被深套的基民如今陷入更深纠结
Di Yi Cai Jing Zi Xun· 2025-08-20 15:25
Core Insights - The current market recovery has led to a dilemma for investors, with many feeling anxious about whether to redeem their funds or hold on for potential further gains [2][3][7] - A significant number of actively managed equity funds have seen their net values rise, with over 1,450 funds achieving returns exceeding 50% since last year [5][6] - The psychological impact of previous losses is causing many investors to hesitate, leading to increased redemption pressures on fund managers [10][11] Market Performance - As of August 19, 2023, 1,197 actively managed equity funds reached historical net value highs, with a notable decrease in funds below the 1 yuan mark [6][10] - The market has seen a substantial recovery, with 166 funds doubling their performance and several funds achieving returns over 200% [5][6] Investor Behavior - Investors are experiencing a "fear of missing out" combined with anxiety over losing recent gains, leading to indecision regarding fund redemption [7][8] - The phenomenon of loss aversion and anchoring effects are influencing investor decisions, with many choosing to redeem once they break even [8][9] Fund Management Response - Fund companies are facing redemption pressures but are also seeing a net inflow of funds, indicating a mixed market sentiment [10][11] - The focus for fund managers is shifting from merely preventing redemptions to understanding and meeting client needs through tailored product offerings [11][12]
“亏30%稳如泰山,涨1%坐立难安”,曾被深套的基民如今陷入更深纠结
第一财经· 2025-08-20 15:10
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the psychological struggle of investors in the current A-share market, where many are torn between the fear of missing out on potential gains and the anxiety of losing their recently gained profits as the market rebounds [4][10]. Group 1: Investor Sentiment - Investors like Xiao Hu, who have been in a prolonged state of loss, are experiencing a shift in mindset as their funds begin to recover, leading to increased anxiety about whether to redeem their investments or hold on for further gains [6][10]. - The recent market recovery has seen over 1,450 active equity funds achieve returns exceeding 50%, with 166 funds doubling their performance, which has intensified the emotional turmoil among investors [7][8]. - The phenomenon of "loss aversion" is prevalent, where investors feel the pain of losses more acutely than the joy of equivalent gains, prompting them to lock in profits as soon as they break even [11]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - As of August 19, nearly 1,300 funds have seen their net asset values rise above 1 yuan, a significant recovery from the previous year when over half of the funds were below this threshold [8]. - The market has witnessed a structural shift, with a notable increase in redemption requests as investors opt to "cash out" amidst the recovery, while new investors are more inclined to diversify their investments rather than concentrate on single products [13][14]. - Despite the redemption pressures, many equity funds are still experiencing net inflows, indicating a complex market environment where investor confidence is gradually rebuilding [14][15]. Group 3: Fund Management Strategies - Fund managers are advised to respect investor decisions regarding redemptions and focus on providing tailored product solutions that align with current market conditions and investor needs [12][15]. - The shift in focus from merely preventing redemptions to enhancing service for remaining clients is emphasized, suggesting that fund companies should offer customized investment strategies to cater to varying risk appetites and financial goals [15].