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Where Will Tesla Stock Be in 1 Year?
The Motley Fool· 2026-01-15 10:15
Core Insights - Tesla's stock rose 11% in 2025, following a 63% increase in 2024, despite being one of the "Magnificent Seven" stocks that underperformed the market last year [1][2] - 2025 marked the first year of declining revenue in Tesla's history, with expectations of continued declines in margins and earnings [3] - Analysts predict a rebound in 2026, with revenue expected to reach $107.5 billion, a nearly 14% increase from 2025, and earnings per share projected to rise by 32% to $2.17 [5] Market Performance - Tesla's stock performance in 2025 was below the overall market return, although it has more than tripled in value over the past three years [2] - The expiration of the $7,500 tax credit for EVs negatively impacted sales, with EVs accounting for 12% of domestic car sales in Q3 2025 [4] Future Outlook - Analysts expect a recovery in both revenue and profitability for Tesla in 2026, with a focus on its energy generation and storage products, which are growing at a double-digit rate [5][6] - The rollout of Tesla's robotaxi business and advancements in its Full-Self Driving (FSD) platform could significantly impact future growth [7] - Expectations for 2027 include revenue acceleration to the high teens and potential benefits from Tesla's investments in AI and consumer robotics [8]
This Genius AI Stock Has Far More Potential Than Nvidia in 2026
The Motley Fool· 2026-01-15 10:00
Core Viewpoint - Nebius is projected to experience significant growth by 2026, potentially outperforming Nvidia in the AI sector [1][2]. Company Overview - Nebius is not a competitor to Nvidia but a client that utilizes Nvidia's GPUs in its data centers for AI tasks, similar to a cloud computing model [3][4]. - The company has transitioned from its origins in Russia to operating in Europe and the U.S. after being spun out of Yandex due to geopolitical sanctions [4]. Financial Performance - Nebius currently has a market capitalization of $26 billion and an annual run rate of $551 million as of Q3 [6]. - Management anticipates an annual run rate of $7 billion to $9 billion by the end of 2026, indicating substantial growth potential [6][9]. - The stock is currently trading at 65 times sales, but forward sales projections reduce this to 7.1 times for 2026 and 3.2 times for 2027 [7][9]. Growth Strategy - Nebius is focused on aggressive growth and is prioritizing infrastructure development over immediate profitability [11]. - The company has incurred significant debt to finance its expansion plans, which could pose risks if it fails to generate profits in the future [12][14]. - The demand for AI computing infrastructure is expected to continue growing, with Nebius positioned to capture a significant share of this market [9][14].
Why I Won't Touch the Sell Button on Alphabet Stock
The Motley Fool· 2026-01-15 09:45
Core Perspective - Alphabet is positioned as a resilient company that is unlikely to become obsolete due to its adaptability and willingness to evolve with industry changes [2][3][9] Company Adaptability - Alphabet has a history of entering new business lines, such as its acquisition of YouTube in 2006 and the launch of App Engine in 2008, demonstrating its enterprising mindset [3][4] - The company has shown the ability to exit unprofitable ventures, as seen with the shutdown of its Verily life sciences medical device business and the Everyday Robots initiative [5][9] Financial Performance - Alphabet has achieved year-over-year revenue growth in every quarter since early 2013, with the exception of Q2 2020 during the COVID-19 pandemic [8] - The company maintains a market capitalization of $4.1 trillion, with a current stock price of $335.84 and a gross margin of 59.18% [5] Corporate Ethos - Alphabet's management emphasizes the importance of adaptability and the ability to pass down corporate wisdom across generations, contributing to its long-term sustainability [9][10] - The company operates more like a private equity fund with a diverse portfolio of wholly owned enterprises rather than just a search engine [7]
Best Stock to Buy Right Now: Amazon vs. Sea Limited
The Motley Fool· 2026-01-15 09:25
Core Viewpoint - The article compares Amazon and Sea Limited as investment options, highlighting Amazon's established market presence versus Sea Limited's growth potential in emerging markets [1][2]. Amazon Overview - Amazon is a well-established company that has pioneered e-commerce and cloud computing, leading to a strong market position [2]. - Despite single-digit revenue growth in online sales, Amazon's subscription, third-party seller, and digital advertising segments show double-digit growth [3]. - Amazon Web Services (AWS) is a significant profit driver, contributing $33 billion of the $55 billion in operating income during the first nine months of 2025, despite only accounting for 18% of total revenue [4]. - The company's net income for the same period reached $56 billion, a 44% increase year-over-year [4]. - Amazon's capital expenditure over the last year was $120 billion, which may have impacted its stock performance, but it generated $15 billion in free cash flow, indicating strong financial health [5]. - Amazon's current market cap is $2.5 trillion, with a P/E ratio of 34, suggesting a relatively low valuation compared to historical levels [7]. Sea Limited Overview - Sea Limited, with a market cap of $78 billion, operates primarily in Southeast Asia, offering e-commerce through Shopee, gaming via Garena, and fintech services through Monee [8][9]. - The company reported nearly $1.2 billion in net income for the first three quarters of 2025, a significant increase from $207 million in the same period the previous year [10]. - Sea Limited's stock has increased by nearly 20% over the last year but has declined over one-third from its peak in September [10]. - The company has a gross margin of 44.92% and a P/E ratio of 54, indicating a premium valuation [12]. - Sea Limited's operations in developing markets present both growth opportunities and challenges, as average incomes in these regions lag behind developed countries [9]. Investment Considerations - For conservative investors, Amazon is seen as a safer choice due to its proven track record and market leadership in key industries [13]. - Risk-tolerant investors may find Sea Limited more appealing for potential long-term rewards, despite the uncertainties associated with developing markets [14][15]. - The choice between the two companies ultimately depends on individual risk tolerance and investment goals [15].
1 AI Stock With the Potential to Deliver Outsize Returns Over the Next 10 Years
The Motley Fool· 2026-01-15 09:15
Core Insights - Marvell Technology is positioned as an undervalued AI chipmaker with potential for significant growth as it focuses on AI products and divests from non-AI businesses [1][8] Financial Performance - Marvell reported a 37% year-over-year revenue growth in Q3 of fiscal year 2026, with a total revenue growth of 51% over the past nine months [3][7] - The company has a current ratio above 2, indicating strong liquidity [7] Strategic Moves - Marvell completed the sale of its automotive Ethernet business to Infineon for $2.5 billion, freeing up capital for investment in AI chips [5][6] - The acquisition of Celestial AI is expected to enhance Marvell's market share in AI data center infrastructure [6] Market Position - Marvell's stock has dropped nearly 30% over the past year, despite strong revenue growth, attributed to slower growth in its legacy business [2][7] - The company aims to expand profit margins, currently around 10%, as net income growth rates have consistently outpaced revenue growth rates [9]
The Stock Market Flashes a Warning Never Seen Before: 2 Brilliant Index Funds to Buy Now
The Motley Fool· 2026-01-15 09:12
Core Insights - The S&P 500 is experiencing unprecedented concentration, with the 10 largest companies accounting for about 40% of the index's weight, significantly above the long-term average of approximately 20% [1][2] Group 1: Market Concentration - Analysts express concern that high concentration may lead to lower S&P 500 returns over the next decade compared to a less concentrated market [2] - The top 10 stocks in the S&P 500 account for 35% of the index's earnings, making the current weight of 40% reasonable [6] Group 2: Investment Alternatives - The Invesco S&P 500 Revenue ETF tracks the S&P 500 but weights stocks based on trailing-12-month revenue, imposing a 5% weight cap on individual stocks [3][5] - The Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF measures performance by giving equal weight to all constituents, eliminating concentration risk entirely [8][9] Group 3: Performance and Fees - The Invesco S&P 500 Revenue ETF has returned 545% since its inception in 2008, while the S&P 500 has returned 630%, indicating potential for continued underperformance due to concentration risk [6][10] - The Invesco S&P 500 Revenue ETF has a relatively high expense ratio of 0.39%, while the Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF has a lower expense ratio of 0.2%, making it a more cost-effective option for investors seeking exposure without concentration risk [7][11]
Is Artificial Intelligence (AI) Still the Best Growth Theme for Long Term Investors?
The Motley Fool· 2026-01-15 09:10
Group 1 - AI stocks have significantly contributed to the S&P 500's rise, with notable companies like Nvidia and Palantir seeing share price increases of 1,000% and 2,400% respectively over three years [1][3] - The excitement around AI stems from its potential to enhance efficiency and drive innovation across various sectors, including autonomous vehicles and drug discovery [1][2] - Companies involved in AI are experiencing substantial earnings growth, with Nvidia and Palantir leading the way in both stock performance and earnings due to their strategic positions in the AI market [3][5] Group 2 - Nvidia's CEO anticipates that AI infrastructure spending could reach $4 trillion in the coming years, indicating that the AI opportunity is still in its early stages [5][6] - The demand for AI will continue to grow across industries, particularly in pharmaceuticals and biotechnology, as companies increasingly adopt AI for complex problem-solving [6][7] - The AI market, currently valued in the billions, is projected to expand into the trillions by the end of the decade, reinforcing AI as a key growth theme for long-term investors [7]
5 of the Safest Growth Stocks You Can Confidently Buy for 2026
The Motley Fool· 2026-01-15 09:06
Core Viewpoint - Wall Street's bull market continues with significant growth potential in select companies, despite the overall market being historically expensive [1][2][3] Group 1: Market Overview - The S&P 500 index increased by 16% in 2025, marking three consecutive years of at least 15% growth [1] - Historical trends indicate that the market tends to decline by 20% or more when it becomes expensive, as it currently is [2] Group 2: Investment Opportunities - Growth companies are identified as safe investment options for 2026, despite the market's high valuation [3] Group 3: Visa and Mastercard - Visa and Mastercard are highlighted as top growth stocks due to their focus on payment processing rather than lending, making them resilient during economic downturns [4][5] - Visa's cross-border payment volume increased by 13% in fiscal 2025, while Mastercard's grew by 15%, indicating strong international growth potential [9] Group 4: Pinterest - Pinterest's global monthly active users reached 600 million, with a 5% increase in average revenue per user (ARPU) during the September quarter [10][11][12] - The company has a strong balance sheet with $2.67 billion in cash and no debt, representing nearly 15% of its market cap [13] Group 5: Okta - Okta is positioned as a key player in cybersecurity, with a 17% growth in remaining performance obligations, indicating strong future revenue potential [18] - The company's forward P/E ratio is near an all-time low, suggesting an attractive valuation for investors [19] Group 6: Meta Platforms - Meta Platforms boasts an average of 3.54 billion daily active users across its apps, allowing it to command premium ad prices [22] - The company has $44.5 billion in cash and generated $79.6 billion in net cash from operations in the first nine months of 2025, providing ample resources for growth initiatives [24]
Chewy Stock: Is the Pet E-Commerce Leader Built for the Long Run?
The Motley Fool· 2026-01-15 08:25
Company Overview - Chewy operates in the pet supply e-commerce market, which is currently valued at approximately $152 billion annually in the U.S. and is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6% through 2028, reaching $192 billion [3] - The company has a market capitalization of $13 billion and reported net sales of $3.12 billion in Q3 2025, reflecting an 8.3% year-over-year increase [5][6] Competitive Landscape - Chewy faces intense competition from major retailers like Amazon and Walmart, which dominate the online pet supply market, with Amazon capturing nearly 50% of e-commerce sales, Chewy at 41%, and Walmart at 33% [4] - The business environment is characterized by thin margins, with Chewy's gross margin at 28.58% and net margin at 1.9%, which, while improved from the previous year, remain lower compared to Amazon's gross margin of around 50% [5][6] Customer Loyalty and Business Model - Chewy has established a strong customer loyalty base, with high ratings for convenience and service, exemplified by personalized customer interactions [2] - The Autoship program is a significant contributor to Chewy's revenue, accounting for 84% of net sales in Q3 2025, providing predictability in cash flow and enhancing customer retention [7] Future Prospects - Chewy is expanding its offerings into pet insurance, veterinary telehealth, and pet prescriptions, which are expected to strengthen its margins further [6] - The company needs to expand its market presence beyond the U.S. and continue innovating to maintain competitiveness against larger rivals [8]
2 Undervalued AI Stocks to Buy Before They Soar 105% and 130% in 2026, According to Wall Street Analysts
The Motley Fool· 2026-01-15 08:15
Core Idea - Certain Wall Street analysts view CoreWeave and Atlassian as significantly undervalued stocks in the context of the growing artificial intelligence (AI) sector, which is projected to see substantial growth in spending and economic impact [1][2]. CoreWeave - CoreWeave is recognized as a leader in the AI cloud services sector, specifically designed to support AI workloads, and has been ranked above major competitors like Amazon and Microsoft by SemiAnalysis [4][5]. - The stock has experienced a decline of 53% from its peak due to concerns over the sustainability of the AI boom and the company's substantial debt incurred for data center construction [5]. - Wall Street estimates indicate that CoreWeave's revenue is expected to grow at an annual rate of 94% through 2027, making its current valuation of 8.4 times sales appear attractive if profitability is achieved [6]. - Analysts have set a target price of $180 per share for CoreWeave, suggesting a potential upside of 105% from its current price of $88 [8]. Atlassian - Atlassian specializes in work management and collaboration software for both technical and non-technical teams, and has been recognized as a leader in DevOps and collaborative work management software by Gartner [9][10]. - The company has adopted a unique sales strategy that emphasizes self-service and word-of-mouth, allowing for greater investment in research and development compared to competitors [10]. - Atlassian's stock has fallen 57% from its high, driven by concerns that demand for DevOps tools may decline as AI coding tools gain popularity; however, analysts argue that AI will actually increase the demand for DevOps software due to productivity improvements [12]. - Wall Street forecasts adjusted earnings for Atlassian to grow at 22% annually through June 2027, making its current valuation of 35 times earnings reasonable, with a median target price of $230 per share implying a 65% upside from the current price of $139 [13].