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万联证券万联晨会
Wanlian Securities· 2024-03-18 16:00
[Table_Title] 万联晨会 【市场回顾】 总体:1-2 月社零同比+5.50%,消费市场持续恢复。1-2 月我国社会消费品零售总额 81,307 亿元,同比增长 5.5%,较 12 月同比增速有所收窄,减少 1.9pcts,较 2023 年 1- 2 月增速提升,增加 2.0pcts。①按消费类型分类:商品零售和餐饮收入增速均有所下降。 1-2 月商品零售同比+4.6%,较 12 月增速减少 0.2pcts;餐饮收入同比+12.5%,较 12 月增 速减少 17.5pcts。②按地区分类,城镇和乡村社零增速均有所回落,乡村增速略高于城 镇。1-2 月城镇消费品零售额同比+5.5%,较 12 月增速减少 1.7pcts;乡村消费品零售额 同比+5.8%,较 12 月增速减少 3.1pcts。 细分:除日用品类、文化办公用品类之外,同比均正增长,超半数可选消费品同比增 速较 2023 年 12 月回升。具体来看,1-2 月份,限额以上单位 16 类商品中,2 类商品(日 用品类、文化办公用品类)为负增长,6 类商品(饮料类、服装鞋帽类、化妆品类、金银 珠宝类、石油类、体育娱乐类)零售额同比增速回落,其他 ...
2024年1-2月社零数据跟踪报告:1-2月社零同比+5.5%,消费市场持续恢复
Wanlian Securities· 2024-03-18 16:00
[Table_RightTitle] 证券研究报告|商贸零售 行 [Table_Title] [Table_IndustryRank] 业 强于大市 研 1-2 月社零同比+5.5%,消费市场持续恢复 (维持) 究 [Table_ReportType] [Table_ReportDate] ——2024 年 1-2 月社零数据跟踪报告 2024年03月18日 [Table_Summary] [行Ta业ble相_C对ha沪rt] 深 300 指数表现 行业核心观点: 2024 年 1-2 月我国社会消费品零售额 81,307 亿元,同比增 商贸零售 沪深300 10% 长 5.5%,较 12 月增速有所收窄,减少 1.9pcts,较 2023 年 5% 0% 行 1-2月增速提升,增加2.0pcts。其中,商品零售和餐饮收入 -5% -10% 业 分别同比+4.6%/+12.5%。①细分品类:1-2月,除日用品类、 -15% -20% 跟 文化办公用品类之外,同比均正增长;较 2023 年 12 月增速 -25% -30% 踪 来看,必选品类同比增速均回升,超半数可选消费品同比增速 -35% -40% 报 回升 ...
房地产行业周观点:杭州二手房全面放开限购,二手房成交环比回升
Wanlian Securities· 2024-03-18 16:00
[Table_RightTitle] 证券研究报告|房地产 行 [Table_Title] [Table_IndustryRank] 业 杭州二手房全面放开限购,二手房成交环比 强于大市 (维持) 研 究 回升 [Table_ReportType] [Table_ReportDate] ——房地产行业周观点(03.11-03.17) 2024年03月18日 [Table_Summary] [行Ta业ble相_C对ha沪rt] 深 300 指数表现 ⚫ 投资要点: 上周行情回顾:2024/3/11-2024/3/15,申万一级行业房地产指数上涨 房地产 沪深300 10% 4.47%,沪深300指数上涨0.71%,板块表现强于大市。2024年以来,截至 5% 0% 3 月 15 日,房地产行业下跌 6.67%,沪深 300 指数上涨 4.05%,板块表现 行 -5% -10% 弱于大市。 业 -15% -20% 周 ⚫ 重点政策要闻:(1)3月11日,深交所组织召开2023年度债券监管 -25% -30% 观 发展业务座谈会,会议提出,要统筹抓好风险防控和合理融资支持, -35% -40% 点 促进房地产市场平 ...
银行行业月报:政策仍在继续发力
Wanlian Securities· 2024-03-17 16:00
[Table_RightTitle] 证券研究报告|银行 行 [Table_Title] [Table_IndustryRank] 业 强于大市 研 政策仍在继续发力 (维持) 究 [Table_ReportType] [Table_ReportDate] ——银行行业月报 2024年03月18日 [事Ta件ble:_S ummary] [行Ta业ble相_C对ha沪rt] 深 300 指数表现 2024年3月15日,中国人民银行发布2024年2月金融统计数据 报告、社融存量以及增量统计数据报告。 银行 沪深300 15% 投资要点: 10% 5% 2月社融存量增速9.0%,环比下降0.5%:2月,社融新增1.52万 0% 行 -5% 亿元,同比少增1.64万亿元。1-2月合计增量为8.1万亿元,同 业 -10% 比少增1.1万亿元。存量规模达到385.72万亿元,同比增速9%, -15% 月 -20% 较1月同比增速环比下降0.5%。 报 -25% 2月金融数据出现一定波动:2月,新增人民币贷款1.45万亿元, 数据来源:聚源,万联证券研究所 同比少增 3600 亿元。1-2 月合计增量为 6.37 万亿元 ...
策略周观点2024年第10期:证监会强调防风险、严监管
Wanlian Securities· 2024-03-17 16:00
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策略快评报告:证监会集中发布四项政策
Wanlian Securities· 2024-03-17 16:00
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report emphasizes the introduction of four regulatory policies by the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) aimed at strengthening supervision, preventing risks, and promoting high-quality development in the capital market [6][3]. - The CSRC aims to enhance the quality of listed companies by implementing stricter regulations on IPOs and improving the overall regulatory framework, which includes eight policy measures to ensure accountability throughout the issuance process [6][3]. - The report highlights the importance of increasing investor returns by encouraging more companies to distribute dividends and buy back shares, while also enhancing the stability of these returns to attract long-term capital into the A-share market [3][6]. Group 2 - The report outlines specific measures to strengthen the supervision of listed companies, focusing on combating financial fraud, regulating major shareholder reductions, and promoting the management of company market value through eighteen policy initiatives [6][3]. - The CSRC plans to clarify rules regarding major shareholder reductions, including circumstances such as divorce or dissolution of controlling shareholders, and will prohibit certain derivative transactions involving company shares to protect investor rights [8][6]. - The report discusses the strategic direction for securities firms and mutual funds, emphasizing the need for improved governance, enhanced service capabilities, and a focus on risk management to better serve the real economy and national strategies [3][18].
计算机行业周观点:苹果推出MM1多模态AI大模型,继续关注数智化产业机遇
Wanlian Securities· 2024-03-17 16:00
[Table_RightTitle] 证券研究报告|计算机 行 [Table_Title] [Table_IndustryRank] 业 苹果推出 MM1 多模态 AI 大模型,继续关注 强于大市 (维持) 研 究 数智化产业机遇 [Table_ReportType] [Table_ReportDate] ——计算机行业周观点(03.11-03.17) 2024年03月18日 [行Ta业ble核_S心um观m点ar:y] [行Ta业ble相_C对ha沪rt] 深 300 指数表现 上周沪深300指数上涨0.71%,申万计算机行业上涨2.37%,领先于指数 计算机 沪深300 1.67pct,在申万一级行业中排名16位。本周建议重点关注人工智能产 20% 业产品技术更新、AIGC应用和数智生态应用的投资机会。 10% 0% 行 投资要点: -10% 业 -20% 周 产业动态:(1)人工智能:3月13日,欧洲议会今日以523票赞成、46 -30% -40% 观 票反对、49票弃权的压倒性多数支持通过了《人工智能法案》。该法案 -50% 点 旨在保护基本权利、环境可持续性等方面免受“高风险人工智能”的影 响,同时 ...
通信行业周观点:华为中国合作伙伴大会召开,关注数智生态建设
Wanlian Securities· 2024-03-17 16:00
[Table_RightTitle] 证券研究报告|通信 行 [Table_Title] [Table_IndustryRank] 业 华为中国合作伙伴大会召开,关注数智生态 强于大市 (维持) 研 究 建设 [Table_ReportType] [Table_ReportDate] ——通信行业周观点(03.11-03.17) 2024年03月18日 [行Ta业ble核_S心um观m点ar:y] [行Ta业ble相_C对ha沪rt] 深 300 指数表现 上周(3.11-3.15)沪深300指数上涨0.71%,申万通信行业指数上涨 通信 沪深300 1.30%,在31个申万一级行业中排名第20位,跑赢沪深300指数0.59个百 30% 分点。建议重点关注5G建设及应用、算力、数据中心、卫星通信等细分 20% 行 板块投资机会。 10% 业 0% 投资要点: -10% 周 -20% 观 产业动态:(1)智算中心:3月14日至15日,以“因聚而生 数智有为” -30% 点 为主题的“华为中国合作伙伴大会2024”在深圳盛大召开。大会期间, 数据来源:聚源,万联证券研究所 华为数据通信举办了“共建品智联接,共赢数 ...
万联证券万联晨会
Wanlian Securities· 2024-03-17 16:00
Core Insights - On Monday, all three major A-share indices rose, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.99% to 3084.93 points, the Shenzhen Component Index up 1.46% to 9752.83 points, and the ChiNext Index up 2.25% to 1926.40 points [2][4] - The total trading volume in the A-share market reached 1,137.616 billion RMB, with northbound funds net buying 2.825 billion RMB, including 1.767 billion RMB from the Shanghai Stock Connect and 1.058 billion RMB from the Shenzhen Stock Connect [2][4] - The majority of A-share stocks rose, with 4445 stocks increasing in value. In terms of sectors, media, electronics, and power equipment led the gains, while coal, home appliances, and banking sectors lagged [2][4] Market Review - The A-share market saw a total trading volume of 1,137.616 billion RMB, with net inflows from northbound funds amounting to 2.825 billion RMB [4] - The performance of various sectors showed that media, electronics, and power equipment were the top gainers, while coal, home appliances, and banking were the weakest [4] - The Hang Seng Index rose by 0.10%, and the Hang Seng Technology Index increased by 1.25% [4] Economic Overview - In January-February, China's industrial production accelerated, with the industrial added value of large-scale enterprises growing by 7% year-on-year, an increase of 0.2 percentage points compared to December [9] - The total retail sales of consumer goods reached 81,307 billion RMB, marking a year-on-year increase of 5.5%. Fixed asset investment also saw a year-on-year growth of 4.2% [9][10] - The urban surveyed unemployment rate averaged 5.3% in January-February, with a slight increase of 0.1 percentage points in February compared to the previous month [9] Retail Sector Insights - The retail sales growth of consumer goods in January-February was 5.5%, with a slight decrease of 1.9 percentage points compared to December, but an increase of 2.0 percentage points compared to the same period in 2023 [13][15] - Online retail sales showed a recovery trend, with a year-on-year growth of 15.3%, accounting for 26.5% of total retail sales [13][22] - Specific categories such as food and beverages, household appliances, and automobiles saw varying growth rates, with some categories experiencing a decline in growth [13][15]
电子行业周观点:台积电继续扩大先进封装产能,关注本周英伟达GTC大会
Wanlian Securities· 2024-03-17 16:00
[Table_RightTitle] 证券研究报告|电子 行 [Table_Title] [Table_IndustryRank] 业 台积电继续扩大先进封装产能,关注本周英 强于大市 (维持) 研 究 伟达 GTC 大会 [Table_ReportType] [Table_ReportDate] ——电子行业周观点(03.11-03.17) 2024年03月18日 [行Ta业ble核_S心um观m点ar:y] [行Ta业ble相_C对ha沪rt] 深 300 指数表现 2024年3月11日至3月17日期间,沪深300指数上涨0.71%,申万电子 电子 沪深300 指数上涨0.76%,在31个申万一级行业中排第23,跑赢沪深300指数0.05 15% 10% 个百分点。把握终端复苏和 AI 产业链加速建设的催化下,AIPC 等创新终 5% 行 端、消费电子、存储芯片等领域呈现的结构化投资机会。 0% -5% 业 -10% 投资要点: -15% 周 -20% -25% 观 产业动态:(1)AI PC:在3月13日的荣耀笔记本技术沟通会上,荣耀笔 -30% -35% 点 记本 AIPC 技术正式发布。此次发布的 ...