Workflow
Southwest Securities
icon
Search documents
登康口腔:产品升级+渠道突围,老牌国货迎来成长新动能
Southwest Securities· 2024-08-22 12:10
Investment Rating - The report upgrades the investment rating to "Buy" with a target price of 31.02 CNY, based on a valuation of 33 times the expected earnings for 2024 [3]. Core Views - The oral care industry shows stability and growth potential, with the market size expanding from 38.85 billion CNY in 2017 to 49.15 billion CNY in 2023, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4% [1][28]. - The company, known for its Cold Acid Spirit brand, has seen revenue and net profit grow at CAGRs of 9.9% and 22.3% respectively from 2019 to 2023, while increasing its market share [1][11]. - The company has significantly invested in e-commerce channels, achieving a CAGR of 53.2% from 2020 to 2023, while maintaining a broad offline channel presence [1][15]. Company Overview - The company specializes in sensitive toothpaste and has a strong brand presence, with a product matrix covering adult and children's oral care, oral medical and beauty care products, and electric oral care products [5][7]. - Revenue increased from 0.94 billion CNY in 2019 to 1.38 billion CNY in 2023, with a stable growth trajectory supported by product structure optimization [11][13]. Industry Analysis - The toothpaste market is stable with a size of 30.22 billion CNY in 2023, growing at a CAGR of approximately 2.1% from 2017 to 2023 [2][31]. - The market share is concentrated, with the top brands like Yunnan Baiyao and Cold Acid Spirit gaining ground, while foreign brands are losing market share [2][44]. Company Analysis - The company is focusing on optimizing its product structure, with a significant push towards high-end products, which are expected to enhance profitability [3][17]. - The e-commerce channel has become a major growth driver, with the gross margin for this channel improving from 32% in 2021 to 45.9% in 2023 [17][20]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company is projected to achieve a net profit CAGR of 18% from 2024 to 2026, with expected earnings per share (EPS) of 0.94 CNY, 1.13 CNY, and 1.33 CNY for the respective years [3][11].
欧普康视:角塑镜业绩承压,框架镜快速增长
Southwest Securities· 2024-08-22 12:00
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Hold" rating for the company [3][4]. Core Views - The company is experiencing pressure on its performance, with a focus on waiting for a turning point in its business [4]. - The revenue for H1 2024 reached 880 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 13.2%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 320 million yuan, up 4.4% year-on-year [4]. - The company is expanding its optical service terminals, with over 470 locations, aiming to enhance product and service revenue [4]. Summary by Relevant Sections Earnings Forecast and Investment Suggestions - EPS is projected to be 0.91 yuan for 2024, 1.06 yuan for 2025, and 1.23 yuan for 2026 [2][5]. Financial Data - Total shares outstanding: 899.7 million - Market capitalization: 12.479 billion yuan - Total assets: 5.561 billion yuan - Net asset per share: 4.98 yuan [2]. Performance Summary - H1 2024 revenue breakdown: - Rigid contact lens revenue: 370 million yuan (down 2.7%) - Care product revenue: 120 million yuan (down 3.8%) - Ordinary frame glasses and other revenue: 160 million yuan (up 44.3%) [4]. - H1 2024 gross margin: 73.8% (down 1.8 percentage points year-on-year) [4]. Expense Analysis - Sales expense ratio: 24.8% (up 3.4 percentage points year-on-year) - Management expense ratio: 4.5% (down 1.3 percentage points year-on-year) - R&D expense ratio: 2.3% (down 0.1 percentage points year-on-year) [4]. Market Position and Growth Potential - The company is actively expanding its optical service terminals, indicating potential for future growth in both product and service revenues [4].
诺力股份:大车战略效果初显,系统集成业务资源整合顺利
Southwest Securities· 2024-08-22 12:00
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1][2]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 3.47 billion yuan for the first half of 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 3.6%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 240 million yuan, up 8.3% year-on-year. In the second quarter, revenue was 1.72 billion yuan, also growing by 3.6% year-on-year, but down 1.8% quarter-on-quarter. The net profit for the second quarter was 130 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 6.2% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 8.2% [1]. - The domestic forklift demand remained stable, while overseas demand improved. The company's large vehicle segment continued to show high growth, and the three categories of vehicles saw significant year-on-year improvements, with the forklift segment driving steady revenue growth [1]. - The company effectively managed costs, resulting in a stable increase in net profit margin. The overall gross margin for the first half of 2024 was 21.8%, a decrease of 0.6 percentage points year-on-year. The net profit margin was 6.8%, an increase of 0.2 percentage points year-on-year. The decrease in gross margin was mainly due to changes in product structure and an increase in the revenue share of secondary vehicles [1]. - The electrification rate of large vehicles has significantly improved, with sales of first, second, and third category forklifts increasing by 19.0%, 22.6%, and 25.6% year-on-year, respectively. The overall industry electrification rate reached 70.8%, up 2.9 percentage points from the end of 2023, while the electrification rate for large vehicles reached 32.0%, an increase of 0.8 percentage points [1]. - The company's French subsidiary is empowering the integration of resources, with successful integration of the system integration business. The company has strengthened control over its domestic and overseas subsidiaries, enhancing technical upgrades and adjusting business structures [1]. Financial Forecasts - The company is expected to achieve net profits attributable to shareholders of 530 million yuan, 610 million yuan, and 720 million yuan for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively. The compound annual growth rate of net profit over the next three years is projected to be 16.5% [2][5]. - Revenue forecasts for the years 2024 to 2026 are 6.96 billion yuan, 7.58 billion yuan, and 8.40 billion yuan, with growth rates of 8.89%, 10.82%, and 12.76%, respectively [5]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 1.78 yuan, 2.04 yuan, 2.37 yuan, and 2.81 yuan for the years 2024 to 2026 [5]. - The return on equity (ROE) is expected to remain stable at around 17.20% to 17.83% over the forecast period [5].
诺诚健华:业绩超预期,建立血液瘤领域的领导地位
Southwest Securities· 2024-08-22 10:03
[ T able_StockInfo] 2024 年 08 月 21 日 证券研究报告•2024 年半年报点评 当前价:4.48 港元 诺诚健华(9969.HK)医疗保健 目标价:——港元 业绩超预期,建立血液瘤领域的领导地位 [Table_Summary 事件:8月 20 ]日,诺诚健华公布 2024年中期业绩,2024年上半年营业收入为 4.2亿元(+11.2%),其中奥布替尼实现强劲增长,销售额为 4.2亿元(+30%), 业绩超预期。 奥布替尼销售强劲增长,血液瘤和自身免疫病推进顺利。奥布替尼上半年销售 额为 4.2亿元(+30%),其中 Q2同比增长 48.8%。奥布替尼是中国首个且唯一 获批针对 MZL的 BTK 抑制剂。奥布替尼在美国针对复发或难治性 MCL的注册 性Ⅱ期临床试验已完成患者招募,美国 NDA 的提交计划正在讨论中。自免适应 症上,ITP 处于临床Ⅲ期,预计 2024 年末或 2025 年初完成患者招募。系统性 红斑狼疮(SLE)Ⅱb 期临床试验正在进行中,截至 2024 年 8 月 20 日患者招 募已接近完成。 TYK2抑制剂国内研发第一梯队,两款产品研发进展顺利。公司拥有两款 ...
招商南油:营收及资产处置收益增加,业绩稳步增长
Southwest Securities· 2024-08-22 10:03
[ T able_StockInfo] 2024 年 08 月 20 日 证券研究报告•2024 年半年报点评 当前价:3.02 元 招商南油(601975)交通运输 目标价:——元(6 个月) 营收及资产处置收益增加,业绩稳步增长 [Table_Summary 事件:招商南油公告 ] 2024 年半年报,2024 年上半年公司实现营业收入 35.28 亿元,同比增长 11.78%,归母净利润 12.20 亿元,同比增长 44.76%,归母净 利率为 34.59%。其中,第二季度实现营业收入 16.89亿元,同比增加 9.80%, 归母净利润 5.49 亿元,同比增加 25.66%,实现业绩稳步增长。 加快现有船队运力的优化和更新,提高船队竞争力。公司第十届董事会第二十 四次会议审议通过了《关于处置四艘 MR 船舶的议案》,授权经营层择机以不 低于评估值对外处置四艘老旧成品油 MR 船舶。公司将"CSC BRAVE"轮以 1895万美元的价格转让给Asian Express Shipping (Hong Kong) Limited;将"长 航发现"轮以 14280 万元的价格转让给山东港航油运有限公司;将"C ...
华阳集团:2024年半年报点评:汽车电子不断开拓,产能扩张持续推进
Southwest Securities· 2024-08-22 10:00
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Huayang Group (002906) [1][2] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 4.193 billion yuan in H1 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 46.2%, and a net profit of 287 million yuan, up 57.9% year-on-year, aligning with previous performance forecasts [1] - The automotive electronics segment is expanding significantly, with H1 2024 revenue reaching 3.07 billion yuan, a 65.4% increase year-on-year, accounting for 73% of total revenue [1][2] - The company is increasing its R&D investment, with 373 million yuan spent in H1 2024, a 25.6% increase year-on-year, representing 8.9% of total revenue [2] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q2 2024, the company reported revenue of 2.2 billion yuan, a 41.9% increase year-on-year and a 10.6% increase quarter-on-quarter [1] - The gross margin for H1 2024 was 21.8%, down 0.5 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 6.9%, up 0.5 percentage points year-on-year [1] Business Segments - The automotive electronics business is seeing robust growth, with significant orders and new product lines entering mass production, including cockpit domain controllers and digital acoustics [1] - The precision die-casting business also showed steady growth, with revenue of 910 million yuan in H1 2024, a 23.6% increase year-on-year [2] Future Outlook - The company forecasts EPS of 1.20, 1.47, and 1.81 yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, with a projected CAGR of 26.9% for net profit [2][3] - The report indicates ongoing capacity expansion, with new facilities in Huizhou and Zhejiang expected to contribute to future growth [2]
戈碧迦:2024年半年报点评:短期业绩有所承压,新客户开拓及技术研发持续推进
Southwest Securities· 2024-08-22 10:00
[Table_StockInfo] 2024 年 08 月 16 日 证券研究报告•2024 年半年报点评 持有 (首次) 当前价:12.93 元 戈 碧 迦(835438)电子 目标价:——元(6 个月) 短期业绩有所承压,新客户开拓及技术研发持续推进 [Table_Summary 事件:公司发布] 2024年半年报,上半年实现收入 3.2亿元,同比-13.2%,实现 归母净利润 4788.6万元,同比-0.6%,实现扣非归母净利润 4752.1万元,同比 +2.6%;其中单 Q2实现收入 1.4亿元,同比-36.7%,环比-27.1%,实现归母净 利润 1510.8万元,同比-53.5%,环比-53.9%,实现扣非归母净利润 1306.6万 元,同比-57.7%,环比-62.1%。因与纳米微晶玻璃产品重要客户重庆鑫景的订 单于四月履行完毕,Q2公司业绩明显下滑。公司 5月已披露 2023年鑫景相关 订单已完成并未收到新订单的公告,因此 H1 业绩符合市场预期。 大客户订单履约结束导致业绩短期承压,公司积极推动新客户认证。纳米微晶 玻璃产品重要客户重庆鑫景的订单于四月履行完毕,因此鑫景相关收入下降 54.7 ...
华东医药:Q2业绩超预期,创新转型持续兑现
Southwest Securities· 2024-08-22 05:31
[ T able_StockInfo] 2024 年 08 月 20 日 证券研究报告•2024年半年报点评 买入 (维持) 当前价:30.23 元 华东医药(000963)医药生物 目标价:——元(6 个月) Q2 业绩超预期,创新转型持续兑现 [Table_Summary 事件:公司发布] 2024 年半年报,2024 年上半年公司实现营收 209.7 亿元,同 比增长 2.8%;归母净利润 17亿元,同比增长 18.3%;扣非归母净利润 16.3亿 元,同比增长 13.9%;24Q2 公司实现收入 105.5 亿元,同比增长 2.8%;归母 净利润 8.3亿元,同比增长 22.9%;扣非归母净利润 7.9亿元,同比增长 17.5%。 医药工业:保持稳健增长,产品管线持续丰富。2023年核心子公司中美华东实 现营收 67亿元(含 CSO业务,+10.6%);归母净利润 13.9亿元(+11.5%); 净资产收益率 12.3%。工业微生物板块实现销售收入 2.9亿元(+27.4%)。公 司专注于内分泌、自免和肿瘤三大领域,实行"自研+引进"战略,加速创新项 目和外部并购,扩充产品管线。截至 2024H1公司 ...
雪天盐业:2024年半年报点评:Q2业绩同比增长,海内外市场同步拓展
Southwest Securities· 2024-08-22 05:31
[Table_StockInfo] 2024 年 08 月 20 日 证券研究报告•2024 年半年报点评 持有 (维持) 当前价:5.23 元 雪天盐业(600929)基础化工 目标价:——元(6 个月) Q2 业绩同比增长,海内外市场同步拓展 [Table_Summary 事件:公司发布] 2024年半年报,24年 H1实现营业收入 30.18亿元,同比增长 2.71%;归属于上市公司股东的净利润 3.29 亿元,同比下降 1.30%;其中 Q2 实现营业收入 14.62 亿元,同比增长 1.75%,实现归属于上市公司股东的净利 润 1.42 亿元,同比增长 12.16%。 产业结构优化,未来盈利中枢有望持续上移。从业绩来看,24 年上半年同比有 所改善。分产品来看,公司各类盐实现营收 11.6亿元,同比+0.78%;烧碱类营 收 2.8亿元,同比+6.74%;纯碱营收 7.4亿元,同比-11.45%;氯化铵营收 5.1 亿元,同比 73.67%。单 Q2 看,营收同比持续改善。Q2 分产品看,各类盐实 现营收 5.6 亿元,同比-4.9%;烧碱类营收 1.4 亿元,同比+6.03%;纯碱营收 3.9亿元 ...
无锡振华:2024年中报点评:前期布局迎花开,内外兼修助成长
Southwest Securities· 2024-08-22 05:31
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company with a target price of 18.46 CNY over the next six months [1][19]. Core Views - The company has successfully entered the new energy vehicle sector, optimizing its customer structure and increasing sales in this area. It is expected that sales from new energy vehicles will exceed 50% of total sales in 2024 [1][12]. - The electroplating business has shown significant growth, with revenue increasing by 52.1% year-on-year in the first half of 2024, and is expected to continue contributing positively to the company's performance [1][15]. - The company has effectively controlled costs, achieving a net profit margin of 14.2% in the first half of 2024, which is an increase of 4.8 percentage points year-on-year [2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2024, the company achieved revenue of 1.12 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 15.3%, and a net profit of 160 million CNY, up 74.9% year-on-year. The second quarter alone saw revenue of 630 million CNY, a 14.9% increase year-on-year and a 27.9% increase quarter-on-quarter [1][7]. - The company's revenue from stamping parts remains stable, contributing 54.2% of total revenue in the first half of 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 13.8% [9][13]. Business Segments - The stamping parts business is the core segment, with a consistent revenue contribution of over 50% from 2016 to 2023. The company has also expanded into the electroplating business, which is expected to drive new growth [9][12]. - The company has established stable partnerships with major automotive manufacturers, including SAIC Volkswagen and Tesla, enhancing its competitive position in the market [6][12]. Growth Prospects - The company anticipates a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 24.2% for net profit over the next three years, supported by the expansion of its new energy vehicle segment and the growth of its electroplating business [2][19]. - The recent government policies promoting vehicle replacement and upgrades are expected to stimulate demand in the automotive sector, providing further growth opportunities for the company [13][12].