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先惠技术:业绩符合预期,固态电池业务即将进入收获期-20250513
Southwest Securities· 2025-05-13 07:25
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 54.40 CNY over the next six months [1][7][8]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 2.464 billion CNY in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 0.6%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 223 million CNY, which represents a significant increase of 458.2% [1][2]. - The solid-state battery business is expected to enter a harvest phase, with the company having established a framework agreement with Qingtao Energy for long-term cooperation in the development and industrialization of core equipment for solid-state batteries [7][8]. - The company’s overseas orders are increasing, with 68.03% of new orders coming from international projects, which is expected to enhance profit margins [7][8]. Financial Performance Summary - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 521 million CNY, a year-on-year increase of 6.5%, and a net profit of 58 million CNY, up 20.5% year-on-year [1][2]. - The gross profit margin for 2024 was 25.3%, with a net profit margin of 12.7%, showing improvements in profitability [7]. - The forecast for 2025-2027 indicates revenues of 3.17 billion CNY, 3.97 billion CNY, and 4.7 billion CNY respectively, with corresponding EPS of 2.72 CNY, 3.87 CNY, and 4.86 CNY [2][8]. Business Segment Analysis - The revenue from the new energy vehicle automation equipment is projected to grow significantly, with expected revenues of 1.4 billion CNY in 2025, 2.1 billion CNY in 2026, and 2.73 billion CNY in 2027, alongside an increase in gross margin to 35% [8]. - The company’s market share in power battery structural components is expected to remain stable, with revenues projected at 1.7 billion CNY in 2025 [8]. Valuation Metrics - The report estimates a dynamic PE ratio of 16 for 2025, 11 for 2026, and 9 for 2027, indicating a favorable valuation compared to industry peers [2][8]. - The company’s total market capitalization is approximately 5.332 billion CNY, with a total asset value of 5.482 billion CNY [5].
北交所上市公司一季报披露完毕,天工股份上市在即
Southwest Securities· 2025-05-13 05:50
Market Performance - The North Exchange (北交所) had a strong overall performance, with a closing market value of 778.17 billion yuan on May 9, 2025, and 226 out of 265 stocks rising during the period[5][17] - The North Exchange 50 Index increased by 6.1% from April 28 to May 9, outperforming the ChiNext Index by approximately 2.8 percentage points and the CSI 300 Index by about 4.5 percentage points[5][17] Trading Data - The total market capitalization of the North Exchange is 778.17 billion yuan, with an average market capitalization of 2.936 billion yuan per company[3][12] - The trading volume for the North Exchange during the period was 313.73 billion yuan, with an average trading amount of 71.3 million yuan per stock and a turnover rate of 51.2%[12][13] Stock Performance - Among the 265 stocks, 226 stocks increased, while 39 stocks decreased, with the top gainers being Qifeng Precision (七丰精工) at 81.8% and Springlight Intelligent (春光智能) at 65.0%[19][23] - The average price-to-earnings (PE) ratio for the North Exchange stocks is 50.3 times, indicating a historically high valuation level[12][13] Upcoming IPOs - Tian Gong Co., Ltd. (天工股份) is set to list next week, with projected revenues of 800 million yuan and a net profit of 174.5 million yuan for 2024, at an issue price of 3.94 yuan per share and a post-issue PE ratio of 15.0 times[29][30] Risk Factors - The report highlights potential risks including policy risks, liquidity risks, and the risk of corporate earnings not meeting expectations[5]
4月乘用车批发创当月历史新高,2025中国智能汽车技术展举行
Southwest Securities· 2025-05-12 13:30
[Table_IndustryInfo] 2025 年 05 月 11 日 强于大市(维持) 证券研究报告•行业研究•汽车 汽车行业周报(5.6-5.9) 4 月乘用车批发创当月历史新高, 2025 中国智能汽车技术展举行 智能汽车:5月 8日,由中国汽车工业协会、重庆市电源学会联合主办的"2025 中国智能汽车技术展"开幕,展会以"启新潮、驭未来"为主题,围绕汽车产业前 瞻研究、趋势战略、产业瓶颈、技术突破等焦点问题展开深入探讨,推动汽车 产业链技术共享、资源互通,将高质量科技创新成果转换成新质生产力。建议 关注在智能驾驶算法、传感器、智能座舱等核心领域有技术积累和创新的企业, 以及与科技企业深度合作、积极布局智能汽车领域的传统车企。主要标的:1) 整车:比亚迪(002594)、吉利汽车(0175.HK)、上汽集团(600104);2) 零部件:德赛西威(002920)、华阳集团(002906)、科博达(603786)、 投资要点 西南证券研究院 [Table_QuotePic] 行业相对指数表现 | 基础数据 | | | --- | --- | | [Table_BaseData] 股票家数 | 268 ...
业绩表现靓丽,产品矩阵持续丰富
Southwest Securities· 2025-05-12 13:30
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Hold" rating for the company, Zhejiang Natural [1] Core Views - The company has shown strong performance with a continuous expansion of its product matrix, achieving a revenue of 1 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 21.7%, and a net profit of 190 million yuan, up 41.7% year-on-year [6][17] - The company is actively expanding its market share and optimizing its product structure, with significant growth in overseas production capacity [6][30] - The outdoor equipment market is expected to grow steadily, providing ample opportunities for the company [16] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for 2024A, 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E are 1002.35 million yuan, 1380.00 million yuan, 2009.16 million yuan, and 2439.80 million yuan respectively, with growth rates of 21.75%, 37.68%, 45.59%, and 21.43% [2] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to be 185.13 million yuan in 2024A, increasing to 471.49 million yuan by 2027E, with growth rates of 41.67%, 51.24%, 37.55%, and 22.43% [2] - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to rise from 1.31 yuan in 2024A to 3.33 yuan in 2027E [2] Product and Market Insights - The company has a diverse product matrix, with significant revenue contributions from inflatable mattresses, outdoor bags, and other main businesses, achieving respective revenue growth rates of 13.9%, 30.9%, and 48.0% in 2024 [6][27] - The company has established long-term stable partnerships with over 200 global brands, including Decathlon and REI, enhancing its market presence [7][18] - The overseas sales accounted for 79.8% of total revenue in 2024, reflecting the company's strong international market position [18] Growth Strategy and Outlook - The company is focusing on expanding its overseas production capacity, particularly in Cambodia and Vietnam, which is expected to contribute significantly to revenue and profit in the coming years [29][30] - The outdoor equipment market is projected to grow from approximately 26.29 billion USD in 2024 to 34.9 billion USD by 2029, indicating a favorable market environment for the company [16][19] - The company aims to maintain high growth rates in its key product categories, with expectations of continued revenue and profit increases driven by its global expansion strategy [30][47]
ETF周观察第77期(5.5-5.9)
Southwest Securities· 2025-05-12 10:33
2[Table_ReportInfo] 2025 年 05 月 12 日 证券研究报告• ETF 研究系列 ETF 周观察第 77 期(5.5-5.9) ETF 与指数产品周观察 [Table_Summary] ETF 与指数产品关注热点 央行降准降息刺激金融板块,ETF整体出现资金分化与行业轮动。政策面上, 央行于 5 月 7 日宣布降准并下调政策利率,释放长期流动性支持市场。证券 ETF(159841)当日高开高走,金融科技 ETF(516860)上涨 2.79%,反 映市场对流动性宽松的积极响应。股票 ETF整体资金净流出,但宽基与行业 主题 ETF表现分化。上证 50、科创板 50等宽基 ETF 资金净流入居于前列, 而创业板、红利低波等 ETF净流出较多。军工、通信设备、黄金等板块资金 逆势流入,显示市场结构性偏好。 ETF 规模变动与成交情况 上周非货币 ETF 规模增加 552.99 亿元,净流入-73.13 亿元。分类型来看, 股票型 ETF 规模增加 393.99 亿元,净流入-108.79 亿元;商品型 ETF 规模 增加 30.38亿元,净流入 20.25亿元;债券型 ETF规模增加 4 ...
2025年4月贸易数据点评:“抢转口”支撑出口韧性
Southwest Securities· 2025-05-12 05:55
Trade Data Overview - In April 2025, China's total goods trade (imports and exports) increased by 4.6% year-on-year, with exports growing by 8.1% and imports declining by 0.2%[3] - The trade surplus reached $96.18 billion, expanding by $24.19 billion compared to the same period last year[3] Export Dynamics - Export growth slowed significantly, particularly to the U.S., where exports fell by 21% in April compared to a 9.1% increase in March[3] - Exports to ASEAN countries surged, with a growth rate of 20.8%, up 9.3 percentage points from March[3] Import Trends - Imports from ASEAN, EU, and the U.S. saw declines of 7.3%, 8.9%, and 4.4% respectively, while imports from Japan and South Korea increased by 2.5% and 7.3%[3] - The overall import growth is expected to be supported by domestic demand policies despite the slowdown in exports[3] Sector-Specific Insights - Labor-intensive products, mobile phones, and home appliances experienced significant export declines, with mobile phone exports dropping by 21.4%[4] - Conversely, integrated circuits and ship exports saw substantial increases, with growth rates of 20.2% and 36.1% respectively[4] Agricultural Imports - Agricultural imports showed mixed trends, with grain imports down by 41.2% and soybean imports down by 28.2% in the first four months of 2025[5] - The increase in tariffs on U.S. goods is expected to impact agricultural imports, but diversification strategies have reduced reliance on U.S. soybeans[5] Future Outlook - The ongoing trade discussions between Chinese and U.S. officials may lead to marginal adjustments in tariff policies, potentially affecting future trade dynamics[3] - The overall trade environment remains sensitive to external factors, including global manufacturing PMI trends, which stood at 49.1% in April, indicating contraction[3]
科伦药业:创新药核心品种获批,业绩短期承压-20250512
Southwest Securities· 2025-05-12 05:45
[Table_StockInfo] 2025 年 05 月 11 日 证券研究报告•2024 年报&2025 年一季报点评 当前价:34.14 元 科伦药业(002422)医药生物 目标价:——元(6 个月) 创新药核心品种获批,业绩短期承压 | [Table_MainProfit ] 指标/年度 | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入(百万元) | 21812.41 | 23601.63 | 25728.94 | 28732.85 | | 增长率 | 1.67% | 8.20% | 9.01% | 11.68% | | 归属母公司净利润(百万元) | 2935.89 | 2998.31 | 3376.55 | 3878.83 | | 增长率 | 19.53% | 2.13% | 12.62% | 14.88% | | 每股收益 EPS(元) | 1.84 | 1.88 | 2.11 | 2.43 | | 净资产收益率 ROE | 12.57% | 11.65% | 11.81% | 12.17% | | ...
海创药业:在研管线持续推进-20250512
Southwest Securities· 2025-05-12 05:45
[ T able_StockInfo] 2025 年 05 月 11 日 证券研究报告•2024 年报&2025 年一季报点评 当前价:48.00 元 海创药业(688302)医药生物 目标价:——元(6 个月) 在研管线持续推进 | [Table_MainProfit] 指标/年度 | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入(百万元) | 0.37 | 159.00 | 379.70 | 580.00 | | 增长率 | — | 43243.59% | 138.81% | 52.75% | | 归属母公司净利润(百万元) | -199.50 | -150.64 | -90.58 | 5.37 | | 增长率 | 32.18% | 24.49% | 39.87% | 105.93% | | 每股收益 EPS(元) | -2.01 | -1.52 | -0.91 | 0.05 | | 净资产收益率 ROE | -16.73% | -14.46% | -9.52% | 0.56% | | PE | -24 | - ...
2025年5月第二周创新药周报-20250511
Southwest Securities· 2025-05-11 12:43
[Table_IndustryInfo] 2025 年 05 月 11 日 强于大市(维持) 证券研究报告•行业研究•医药生物 医药行业创新药周报(5.5-5.9) 2025 年 5 月第二周创新药周报 A 股和港股创新药板块及 XBI 指数本周走势 西南证券研究院 [Table_Summary] 2025 年 5月第二周,陆港两地创新药板块共计 39个股上涨,67个股下跌。其中 涨幅前三为海创药业-U(22.76%)、长春高新(8.99%)、众生药业(8.98%)。 跌幅前三为复宏汉霖(-12.64%)、康诺亚-B(-12.40%)、博安生物(-11.77%)。 本周 A 股创新药板块上涨 2.33%,跑赢沪深 300 指数 0.33pp,生物医药上涨 0.75%。近 6 个月 A 股创新药累计上涨 5.43%,跑赢沪深 300 指数 9.13pp, 生物医药累计下跌 10.55%。 本周港股创新药板块下跌 2.14%,跑输恒生指数 3.75pp,恒生医疗保健下跌 3.75%。近 6 个月港股创新药累计上涨 22.08%,跑赢恒生指数 4.47pp,恒生医 疗保健累计上涨 18.10%。 本周 XBI 指数 ...
低空经济行业双周报(0428-0511):“陆地航母”PC申请获局方受理,大规模eVTOL意向订单纷至沓来
Southwest Securities· 2025-05-11 06:23
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the low-altitude economy industry [1] Core Insights - The low-altitude economy sector has gained significant attention from the national level, with various policies and initiatives being introduced to support its development [6][23][24] - The low-altitude economy index increased by 5.33% during the reporting period, outperforming major indices such as the Shanghai Composite and CSI 300 [6][16] - Key players in the eVTOL market are receiving substantial orders, indicating strong market demand and growth potential [6][26][28] Summary by Sections Market Review - The low-altitude economy index rose by 5.33%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite by 3.90 percentage points and the CSI 300 by 3.77 percentage points [6][16] - The National General Aviation Index increased by 5.95%, also outperforming major indices [6] Policy Dynamics - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology released guidelines for the standardization of new automotive technologies, including flying cars [23] - Financial regulatory authorities are pushing for the development of insurance products for low-altitude flying vehicles [23] - Local governments are implementing measures to stimulate the low-altitude economy, including financial incentives and infrastructure development [24][25] Industry Developments - Xiaopeng's "Land Aircraft Carrier" received approval for its production license, marking a significant milestone in the domestic flying car market [26] - Fengfei Aviation secured a strategic partnership with CITIC and a 100-unit order for eVTOL aircraft, indicating strong market interest [28] - Wofei Changkong signed a financial agreement with China Construction Bank for a total of 6 billion RMB, the highest financing lease credit in the eVTOL sector [32] - The first intelligent customs clearance model for low-altitude transport was launched in Guangzhou, enhancing logistics efficiency [34] - A 1 billion RMB investment fund for low-altitude industry development was established in Hunan, focusing on various sectors within the low-altitude economy [38] - The AS700 manned airship successfully completed its first flight, showcasing significant advancements in energy efficiency and operational cost reduction [40]