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改革动因、路径与行业影响探究:消费税改革渐近
Southwest Securities· 2024-08-29 02:31
able_ReportInfo] 2024 年 08 月 26 日 证券研究报告•宏观专题报告 宏观专题 消费税改革渐近 ——改革动因、路径与行业影响探究 | --- | --- | |----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ...
中远海运国际:船舶涂料量价齐升,业绩新高维持100%派息
Southwest Securities· 2024-08-29 02:20
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to COSCO SHIPPING International (0517.HK) with a target price of HKD 5.20, based on a 10x PE ratio for 2025 [1][3]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of HKD 1.75 billion for the first half of 2024, representing an 8% year-on-year growth, with a net profit of HKD 390 million, up 15.5% year-on-year [2][3]. - The shipping market's activity level is crucial for the development of the company's shipping services, with significant growth in ship trading agency services and insurance consulting services [2][3]. - The demand for ship coatings is supported by a robust new shipbuilding market, with the company achieving a sales volume of 78,795 tons in ship coatings for the first half of 2024 [2][3]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - COSCO SHIPPING International is a leading comprehensive shipping service company, providing a full lifecycle of services for ships and focusing on green and digital transformation [10][12]. 2. Green and Low-Carbon Shipping Transformation - The company is accelerating its green low-carbon transformation, responding to market trends and increasing demand for environmentally friendly fuels [25][27]. - A joint venture for renewable fuel investment has been established to promote the transition to green energy in the shipping industry [31][32]. 3. Revenue and Profitability - The company expects steady growth in its shipping services, with projected revenues of HKD 3.65 billion, HKD 3.66 billion, and HKD 3.73 billion for 2024-2026 [3][4]. - The main revenue sources include ship equipment supply and coatings, contributing significantly to the overall profitability [10][11]. 4. Market Dynamics - The global shipbuilding market remains active, with China maintaining its position as the world's largest shipbuilding country, capturing over 50% of the market share in various metrics [21][22]. - The demand for ship coatings is expected to rise due to the growth in both new ship deliveries and repair services [23][24].
燕京啤酒:2024年中报点评:高端化势能强劲,利润端改善明显
Southwest Securities· 2024-08-29 02:00
[ T able_StockInfo] 2024 年 08 月 23 日 证券研究报告•2024 年中报点评 买入 (首次) 当前价:9.46 元 燕京啤酒(000729)食品饮料 目标价:11.61 元(6 个月) 高端化势能强劲,利润端改善明显 [Table_Summary 事件:公司发布] 2024年中报,上半年实现收入 80.5亿元,同比+5.5%,实现归 母净利润 7.6亿元,同比+47.5%;其中 24Q2实现收入 44.6亿元,同比+8.8%, 实现归母净利润 6.6 亿元,同比+46%。 高端化升级势能强劲,H1 吨价表现出色。量方面,24H1 公司实现销量 230.5 万吨,同比增长 0.6%;在二季度主销区雨水偏多以及整体啤酒需求疲软的大环 境下,上半年销量实现正增长表现已优于行业。分档次看,24H1 中高档/普通产 品分别实现收入 50.6/23.2亿元,同比增速分别为+10.6%/-6.4%,其中大单品 U8 预计 Q2增速约 30%,带动高档啤酒延续高增态势。价方面,随着整体产品结构 持续提升,24H1公司吨价同比+4%至 3205元/吨水平。分渠道看,上半年传统 渠 道 /KA 渠 ...
华润万象生活:2024年中报点评:业绩稳健增长,商管保持领先

Southwest Securities· 2024-08-29 01:40
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for China Resources Mixc Lifestyle Services (1209.HK) [1] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 7.96 billion RMB in the first half of 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 17.1%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.91 billion RMB, up 36.0% year-on-year [2] - The property management segment continues to grow, with a total managed area of 398 million square meters, an increase of 7.5% compared to the end of 2023 [2] - The company is actively expanding its urban space operations, with a managed urban space area growing by 18.2% to 123 million square meters [2] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company reported a core net profit of 1.77 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 24.2% [2] - The overall gross margin slightly decreased by 1.2 percentage points to 18.9% due to a decline in non-owner value-added service revenue [2] - The commercial segment's revenue increased by 23.4% to 2.85 billion RMB, with a gross margin improvement of 2.4 percentage points to 60.9% [2] Business Growth - The company has a total of 108 operating projects with a managed area of 11.85 million square meters [3] - The average occupancy rate of shopping centers remains high at 96.7%, an increase of 0.6 percentage points from the end of 2023 [3] - The retail sales for the first half of the year grew by 19.7% to 100.7 billion RMB, with 46 projects ranking first in local market sales [3] Future Outlook - The company is expected to achieve a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 20.2% in net profit from 2024 to 2026 [3] - The report emphasizes the company's steady growth in management scale and its status as a rare listed commercial management company [3]
华润啤酒:2024年中报点评:啤酒业务短期承压,不改长期高端化趋势

Southwest Securities· 2024-08-29 01:14
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for China Resources Beer (0291.HK) with a target price of HKD 28.37, based on a current price of HKD 23.05 [1]. Core Insights - The beer business is under short-term pressure but continues its long-term trend towards premiumization. In the first half of 2024, the company reported revenue of CNY 23.74 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 0.5%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of CNY 4.71 billion, a year-on-year increase of 1.2% [2]. - Despite external factors impacting sales, the company’s premiumization strategy is driving an increase in unit price, with beer sales volume down 3.4% year-on-year to 6.348 million tons. However, premium and above products maintained double-digit growth [2]. - The overall gross margin improved to 46.9%, up 0.9 percentage points year-on-year, with the beer segment's gross margin at 45.8%, an increase of 0.6 percentage points [2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Revenue for the first half of 2024 was CNY 23.74 billion, down 0.5% year-on-year. The net profit attributable to shareholders was CNY 4.71 billion, up 1.2% year-on-year [2]. - Beer sales volume decreased by 3.4% to 6.348 million tons, while the average price per ton increased by 2% to CNY 3,554 [2]. - The white liquor segment saw revenue of CNY 1.18 billion, a year-on-year increase of 20.6% [2]. Profitability - The overall gross margin improved to 46.9%, with the beer segment's gross margin at 45.8% [2]. - The EBITDA margin for the beer business increased by 1.1 percentage points to 28.2%, while the overall net profit margin rose by 0.3 percentage points to 20.9% [2]. Future Outlook - The company expects steady revenue growth in the second half of 2024, driven by a low base effect and active cost control [2]. - The long-term strategy focuses on the dual empowerment of beer and white liquor, with expectations for continued growth in premium products [2]. - Earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for 2024-2026 are CNY 1.62, CNY 1.76, and CNY 1.90, respectively, with corresponding dynamic P/E ratios of 14, 13, and 12 [2].
中航高科:2024年半年报点评:稳步向上,军机+商飞+商发支撑长期成长
Southwest Securities· 2024-08-29 01:11
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 22.41 CNY over the next six months [1][7]. Core Insights - The company has shown steady growth, with a 5.6% year-on-year increase in revenue to 2.547 billion CNY and a 9.5% increase in net profit to 600 million CNY in the first half of 2024, aligning with expectations [2]. - The aerospace new materials business has experienced a 6.1% increase in revenue, reaching 2.52 billion CNY, and a 10.3% increase in net profit to 630 million CNY [2]. - The company maintains a strong position in the industry, being a leading supplier of prepreg materials for the aviation industry, backed by the Aviation Industry Corporation of China [2][10]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2024, the company achieved a gross margin of 37.3%, with a net profit margin increase of 0.8 percentage points to 23.7% [2]. - The company’s revenue and profit targets for 2024 are set at 5 billion CNY and 1.282 billion CNY, respectively, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 4.6% and 5.7% [18]. Business Segments - The aerospace new materials segment is the primary revenue driver, contributing 94.3% of total revenue in H1 2024 [12]. - The company has established a joint venture with China Aviation Engine Corporation to develop composite materials for aircraft engines, indicating a strategic expansion into high-potential areas [3][13]. Market Outlook - The demand for composite materials in military aircraft is expected to rise as the usage rate of composites in new generation military aircraft increases [21]. - The C919 aircraft program is projected to significantly boost domestic demand for composite materials, with an estimated annual requirement of 430 tons as production ramps up [30][34]. Earnings Forecast - The company forecasts EPS of 0.83 CNY, 0.97 CNY, and 1.13 CNY for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with corresponding dynamic PE ratios of 22x, 19x, and 16x [7][40]. - The expected revenue growth rates for 2024-2026 are 7.8%, 19.4%, and 19.5%, respectively, driven by the aerospace new materials segment [40].
富瑞特装:2024年半年报点评:盈利能力大幅提升,24H1归母净利润+367%
Southwest Securities· 2024-08-29 01:10
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 7.54 CNY over the next six months [1][2]. Core Insights - The company reported a significant increase in profitability, with a 367% year-on-year growth in net profit attributable to shareholders for the first half of 2024 [1]. - The LNG heavy truck market is experiencing high demand, leading to a notable improvement in the gross margin of equipment-related businesses [1]. - The company is actively seizing opportunities in the LNG sector and is also expanding into the hydrogen energy industry [1][2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 1.61 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 17.3%, and a net profit of 80 million CNY, up 367% [1]. - For Q2 2024, operating revenue reached 960 million CNY, reflecting a 57% year-on-year growth, with net profit increasing by 319.4% to 60 million CNY [1]. - The gross margin and net margin for H1 2024 were 21.1% and 6.5%, respectively, showing improvements of 7.6 percentage points and 4.7 percentage points year-on-year [1]. Business Segments - The revenue from low-temperature storage and transportation equipment was 700 million CNY, up 21.9% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 21.2%, an increase of 11.5 percentage points [1]. - Heavy equipment revenue was 450 million CNY, a 5% increase year-on-year, with a gross margin of 24.5%, up 11.3 percentage points [1]. - Revenue from LNG sales and operation services was 410 million CNY, a 19.1% increase year-on-year, with a gross margin of 15.1%, down 1.1 percentage points [1]. Future Outlook - The company forecasts net profits of 170 million CNY, 240 million CNY, and 300 million CNY for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with a compound annual growth rate of 27% [2][6]. - The company is expected to maintain a strong growth trajectory in the LNG sector while also expanding its hydrogen energy business [2][6].
新大陆:2024年半年报点评:成本端改善明显,持续开拓出海业务
Southwest Securities· 2024-08-29 01:10
Investment Rating - Buy (Maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's cost structure has improved significantly, with a notable increase in gross margin for merchant value-added services [2][3] - Overseas hardware business is expanding steadily, with a focus on localization in key regions such as Latin America, Asia-Pacific, and Europe [3] - The company is increasing investments in merchant SaaS services and overseas localization, which are expected to drive future growth [3] Financial Performance - Revenue for H1 2024 was RMB 3.64 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 5.3% [2] - Net profit attributable to the parent company was RMB 530 million, down 6.2% YoY, but adjusted net profit (excluding equity investment impacts) increased by 21.4% YoY to RMB 650 million [2] - Q2 2024 revenue was RMB 1.9 billion, down 2.2% YoY, while net profit attributable to the parent company increased by 6.0% YoY to RMB 280 million [2] Business Segments - Merchant value-added and operation services revenue decreased by 7.3% YoY to RMB 1.67 billion, but gross margin improved by 4.17 percentage points to 45.3% [3] - Payment product and information recognition product revenue was RMB 1.52 billion, down 0.8% YoY, with strong growth in Latin America (+18% YoY) [3] - The company serves over 3.2 million active merchants, with an ARPU of RMB 167 per user in H1 2024 [3] Cost and Expense Analysis - Overall gross margin for H1 2024 was 43.4%, up 1.62 percentage points YoY [3] - Sales/management/R&D expense ratios increased by 0.37/0.68/1.32 percentage points YoY to 4.8%/6.6%/8.6% respectively [3] Profit Forecast and Valuation - EPS for 2024-2026 is forecasted at RMB 1.13/1.33/1.53, with corresponding P/E ratios of 11/9/8 [3] - Revenue growth is expected to be 2.85%/9.19%/10.84% for 2024-2026 [4] - Net profit growth is projected at 16.68%/16.97%/15.38% for 2024-2026 [4] Overseas Expansion - The company is transitioning from an agency model to a localized direct operation model in Asia-Pacific and Europe [3] - Middle East and Africa region achieved stable revenue of RMB 160 million in H1 2024, with continued bulk supply to key clients [3] Domestic Market - The company strengthened cooperation with major banks, with bank customer revenue increasing by over 37% in H1 2024 [3] - The company successfully entered the top six banks in China [3]
中信博:2024年中报点评:存货高增预示下半年业绩确定性提升
Southwest Securities· 2024-08-29 01:00
[ T able_StockInfo] 2024 年 08 月 28 日 证券研究报告•2024 年中报点评 买入(维持) 当前价:55.74 元 中 信 博(688408)电力设备 目标价:——元(6 个月) 存货高增预示下半年业绩确定性提升 [Table_Summary 事件:公司 2024 ] 年上半年实现营业收入 33.76 亿元,同比增长 75.73%;实现 归母净利润 2.31亿元,同比增长 135.86%。2024Q2实现营业收入 15.62亿元, 同比增长 41.26%;实现归母净利润0.77 亿元,同比增长 30.40%。 航运因素影响海外订单交付进度,跟踪支架出货低于预期。2024H1公司实现营 业收入 33.76亿元,支架业务模块实现营收 32.68亿元(其中境外项目收入 27.17 亿元,境内项目收入 5.51亿元)。按照支架产品分类,跟踪支架交付约 5.89GW, 固定支架交付约 2.08GW。2024Q2,红海冲突给全球航运带来了巨大的挑战, 公司海外部分订单交付速度及运输成本也受到了一定程度的影响。2024Q2单季 度实现营业收入 15.62 亿元,环比下降 13.90%。 出货 ...
药明生物:非新冠收入保持增长,全球运营持续赋能

Southwest Securities· 2024-08-28 13:48
Investment Rating - The report does not specify a clear investment rating for WuXi Biologics (2269.HK) [1] Core Insights - WuXi Biologics reported a revenue of 85.7 billion RMB for H1 2024, a slight increase of 1% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 33.9% to 15 billion RMB [2] - Non-COVID related revenue grew by 7.7% year-on-year, with clinical stage revenues showing resilience despite a high base from the previous year [2] - The company added 61 new non-COVID projects in H1 2024, indicating a recovery in project additions after a slowdown in Q1 2023 [2] - The total backlog of uncompleted orders reached approximately 20.1 billion USD, with a significant portion expected to contribute to future revenue growth [2] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For H1 2024, WuXi Biologics achieved a revenue of 85.7 billion RMB, with a year-on-year growth of 1%. The adjusted net profit was 25.4 billion RMB, down 13% year-on-year [2] - The company expects net profits for 2024, 2025, and 2026 to be 34.8 billion RMB, 40.1 billion RMB, and 48.2 billion RMB respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.84, 0.97, and 1.16 RMB [3] Project Development - The number of new projects added in H1 2024 was 61, compared to 46 in H1 2023, reflecting a recovery in project activity [2] - The company has a strong pipeline with 56 clinical stage projects and 16 non-COVID commercialization projects, which are expected to drive future revenue [2] Capacity Expansion - WuXi Biologics is expanding its manufacturing capabilities with new facilities in Singapore and Ireland, aiming for significant production capacity by 2025 [3] - The company operates a global network of drug discovery and development centers, enhancing its ability to support partners [3]