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IP大年多项目料将陆续定档,AIGC助力增长
Southwest Securities· 2024-04-25 03:32
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - 2024 is expected to be a significant year for the company with multiple IP projects scheduled for release, including films, TV series, and games, which may enhance the company's visibility and performance [2][13] - The acquisition of Tencent Animation assets is anticipated to strengthen the company's IP operation across various media [25][26] - Continuous investment in AIGC (Artificial Intelligence Generated Content) is expected to improve efficiency and enhance the content ecosystem [31][32] Summary by Sections 1. 2024 Film and TV Lineup - The company is set to release several major projects in 2024, including the film "Hot and Spicy" which has already grossed 3.46 billion RMB, and the anticipated second season of "Qing Yu Nian" with over 13.39 million reservations on Tencent Video [2][13][15] - The lineup includes multiple adaptations of popular IPs, indicating a strong focus on leveraging existing fan bases [15][16] 2. Tencent Animation Acquisition - The company has signed an agreement to acquire Tencent Animation assets for 600 million RMB, which includes various IPs and platforms, enhancing its ability to manage and monetize its content [25][26] - This acquisition is expected to create a comprehensive IP ecosystem encompassing novels, animations, games, and films [26][27] 3. Investment in AIGC - The company plans to invest 100-200 million RMB in AIGC in 2024, focusing on improving existing products and exploring new applications [31] - Current AI products include a writer's assistant and an interactive chat platform, which have shown promising user engagement and efficiency improvements [32][36] 4. Financial Forecasts - The company is projected to achieve Non-IFRS net profits of 1.399 billion RMB, 1.47 billion RMB, and 1.55 billion RMB for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, reflecting a positive growth outlook [3][38] - Revenue is expected to grow from 7.012 billion RMB in 2023 to 7.827 billion RMB in 2024, indicating a recovery and growth trajectory [38]
受益于船舶和海洋油气行业高景气,23年业绩实现高增长
Southwest Securities· 2024-04-25 03:30
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Hold" rating for the company, indicating a projected relative performance between 10% and 20% over the next six months [10][16]. Core Insights - The company benefited from a high growth in the shipbuilding and offshore oil and gas industries, achieving a revenue of 1.93 billion yuan in 2023, a year-on-year increase of 27.3%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 236.51 million yuan, up 58.7% year-on-year [10][11]. - The company is a global leader in anchor chains, with a significant increase in orders and revenue driven by the recovery in the shipbuilding sector and high demand in offshore oil and gas exploration [10][11]. - The report forecasts a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 26% for net profit from 2024 to 2026, with projected net profits of 293.69 million yuan, 375.52 million yuan, and 475.27 million yuan for the respective years [10][11]. Financial Performance Summary - **Revenue and Growth Rates**: - 2023 Revenue: 1,931.11 million yuan, with a growth rate of 27.34% - 2024E Revenue: 2,399.57 million yuan, with a growth rate of 24.26% - 2025E Revenue: 2,984.48 million yuan, with a growth rate of 24.38% - 2026E Revenue: 3,653.91 million yuan, with a growth rate of 22.43% [2][10][24]. - **Net Profit and Growth Rates**: - 2023 Net Profit: 236.51 million yuan, with a growth rate of 58.71% - 2024E Net Profit: 293.69 million yuan, with a growth rate of 24.18% - 2025E Net Profit: 375.52 million yuan, with a growth rate of 27.86% - 2026E Net Profit: 475.27 million yuan, with a growth rate of 26.56% [2][10][24]. - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: - 2023 EPS: 0.25 yuan - 2024E EPS: 0.31 yuan - 2025E EPS: 0.39 yuan - 2026E EPS: 0.50 yuan [2][10][24]. - **Return on Equity (ROE)**: - 2023 ROE: 6.49% - 2024E ROE: 7.65% - 2025E ROE: 9.04% - 2026E ROE: 10.43% [2][10][24]. - **Price-to-Earnings (PE) Ratio**: - 2024E PE: 28 - 2025E PE: 22 - 2026E PE: 17 [2][10][24]. Business Outlook - The company is expected to maintain stable growth in its ship chain business, with order growth rates projected at 24%, 22%, and 18% for 2024-2026, respectively [6][23]. - The report highlights the potential for significant growth in the high-strength mining chain market, as approximately 80% of large-scale high-strength round mining chains in China are currently imported [10][11]. - The offshore wind power mooring chain segment is anticipated to become a new growth driver, with global floating offshore wind capacity expected to exceed 1 GW annually by 2026 [10][11].
2023年年报点评:深度变革积聚势能,拐点向上趋势延续
Southwest Securities· 2024-04-24 12:30
深度变革积聚势能,拐点向上趋势延续 经营势能持续向好,经营质量显著提升。1、受益于百元以上价位产品动销持续 向好,营收占比提升显著,毛利率同比增 1.0个百分点至 63.0%。2、费用方面, 费用合计增加 18.2%至 4.4亿元,受益于营收规模高增,规模效应下费用率同比 下降 1.7个百分点至 36.7%。3、2023年末合同负债 0.81亿元,同比+39.6%, 蓄水池进一步扩容;2023年经营现金流净额 1.0亿元,同比+3214%,经营质量 显著提升。 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |----------------------------------|--------|-------------------------|--------|--------| | [Table_MainProfit] 指标 / 年度 | 2023A | 2024E | 2025E | 2026E | | | | | | | | 营业收入(亿元) | | 12.10 14.83 17.62 20.59 | | | | 增长率 | 23.50% | 22.58% | 18.78% | 16 ...
Q1业绩超预期,新产品新客户逐渐放量
Southwest Securities· 2024-04-24 12:30
[Table_StockInfo] 买入 2024年 04月 23日 (维持) 证券研究报告•2023年报及24年一季报点评 当前价: 66.50元 科 博 达(603786) 汽车 目标价: ——元(6个月) Q1 业绩超预期,新产品新客户逐渐放量 投资要点 西南证券研究发展中心 [T ab事le件_S:u公m司ma发ry布] 2023年报及24年一季报,23全年实现营收 46.25亿元,同比 [分Ta析bl师e_:Au郑th连or声] +36.7%;归母净利润 6.09亿元,同比+35.3%;毛利率 29.6%,同比-3.3pp, 执业证号:S1250522040001 净利率14.1%,同比-0.7pp。24Q1实现营收14.17亿元,同比+55.2%,环比-1%; 电话:010-57758531 归母净利润2.19亿元,同比+66.2%,环比+42.5%,超出预期。 邮箱:zlans@swsc.com.cn 季度营收创新高,费用控制有效:23年公司主要客户销量实现增长,其中主要 联系人:冯安琪 客户大众集团全球销量866万辆(Marklines),同比+9.5%,23Q4公司营收首 电话:021 ...
2024年一季报点评:省内夯实省外拓展,经营势能持续释放
Southwest Securities· 2024-04-24 12:30
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for the next six months [1][2]. Core Insights - The company reported a total revenue of 1.08 billion yuan for Q1 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 20.4%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 220 million yuan, up 21.6%, aligning with market expectations [1]. - The product structure continues to improve, with significant revenue growth in high-priced products, and the company is actively expanding its market presence outside its home province [1]. - The company aims for a revenue target of 3 billion yuan and a net profit of 400 million yuan for 2024, alongside plans to repurchase shares worth 100 to 200 million yuan to implement employee stock ownership plans [1][2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Q1 2024 revenue breakdown: products priced above 300 yuan generated 190 million yuan (+86.5%), products priced between 100-300 yuan generated 550 million yuan (+24.1%), and products below 100 yuan generated 320 million yuan (-4.2%) [1]. - Revenue from the domestic market reached 850 million yuan (+22.6%), while revenue from outside the province was 220 million yuan (+13.2%) [1]. - The company’s gross margin improved by 0.43 percentage points to 65.4%, with a slight increase in net profit margin to 20.4% [1]. Market Strategy - The company is focusing on a strategy of "national layout, deepening in the northwest, and key breakthroughs," enhancing brand influence and market share [1]. - The company is also advancing its user engagement strategy, which has significantly boosted brand recognition [1]. Earnings Forecast - Expected EPS for 2024-2026 are 0.87 yuan, 1.15 yuan, and 1.48 yuan, with corresponding PE ratios of 22, 17, and 13 [2][3]. - The company is projected to benefit from national expansion and consumption upgrades, indicating strong long-term growth potential [2].
23年年报及24年一季报点评:收入稳健增长,Q1盈利能力同比改善
Southwest Securities· 2024-04-24 12:30
收入稳健增长,Q1 盈利能力同比改善 假设 3:产品结构有所优化,遮光面料毛利率稳步提升,2024-2026 年分别为 41%、41.5%、 表 1:分业务收入及毛利率 公司评级 卖出:未来 6 个月内,个股相对同期相关证券市场代表性指数涨幅在-20%以下 [ T able_StockInfo] 2024 年 04 月 23 日 证券研究报告•23年年报及 24年一季报点评 持有 (维持) 当前价:12.30 元 玉马遮阳(300993)轻工制造 目标价:——元(6 个月) 基础数据 [Table_BaseData] 总股本(亿股) 3.08 流通 A 股(亿股) 0.99 52 周内股价区间(元) 8.39-14.1 总市值(亿元) 37.90 总资产(亿元) 14.57 每股净资产(元) 4.45 [Table_Summary 业绩摘要:公司发布 ] 2023年年报及 2024年一季报,2023年公司实现营收 6.6 亿元(同比+21.3%);实现归母净利润 1.7 亿元(同比+5.4%);实现扣非净 利润 1.6亿元(同比+5.6%)。单季度来看,2023Q4公司实现营收 1.9亿元(同 比+28.2% ...
高增势能延续,业绩弹性十足
Southwest Securities· 2024-04-24 11:30
[ T able_StockInfo] 2024 年 04 月 23 日 证券研究报告•2024 年一季度业绩预告点评 买入 (维持) 当前价:10.62 元 天佑德酒(002646)食品饮料 目标价:——元(6 个月) [Table_Summary 事件:公司发布] 2024年一季度业绩预告,一季度实现营业总收入 5.2-5.3亿元, 同比增长 31.31%-33.84%;实现归母净利润 1.05-1.10 亿元,同比增长 36.1%-42.6%,业绩符合预期。 省外积极开拓,成长空间广阔。1、全国化布局更加清晰,不断夯实青海大本营 市场,甘肃市场基地市场化;省外聚焦晋、陕、豫等战略核心市场,积极布局无 锡,福州、南宁、张家口等点状市场,为深度全国化打下坚实基础,成长空间持 续拓宽。 2、阿拉嘉宝在西藏区域聚焦高端,作为当地的名优酒企,极具品牌力 和产品力,经过多年运作在当地具有较为深厚的资源基础,当前已具备放量条件; 此外,公司积极布局青藏高原酒旅融合项目,差异化丰富营销内容,有利于公司 整体品牌力的提升。 盈利预测与投资建议。预计 2024-2026 年 EPS 分别为 0.34 元、0.48 元、0. ...
2023年年报点评:超算云业务强劲,亏损同比收窄
Southwest Securities· 2024-04-24 11:00
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Hold" investment rating to the company, with a target price of 49.43 CNY based on a 4x PS valuation for 2024 [2]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 500 million CNY in 2023, representing a year-on-year growth of 58.5%, primarily driven by the growth in industry cloud and AI cloud revenues [1][9]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2023 was -80.5 million CNY, a 29.5% improvement compared to -114.5 million CNY in 2022, indicating a narrowing of losses [1][9]. - The company is positioned as a leading player in the domestic supercomputing cloud sector, benefiting from experience, technology, and first-mover advantages [2]. Revenue Growth - From 2019 to 2023, the company's total revenue increased from 120 million CNY to 500 million CNY, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 43.6% [16]. - The supercomputing cloud service has become the core revenue source, with its revenue growing from 98.25 million CNY in 2020 to 410 million CNY in 2023, maintaining an 80% revenue share [17]. Profitability and Cost Management - The company's gross margin decreased from 43.0% in 2020 to 25.6% in 2023, primarily due to increased depreciation costs from fixed asset investments [10][18]. - The operating expense ratio improved to 42.6% in 2023, down 21.2 percentage points from 2022, attributed to high revenue growth and scale effects [10][35]. Future Projections - The forecasted net profits for 2024-2026 are -35.7 million CNY, 38.4 million CNY, and 111.9 million CNY, respectively, with corresponding PS ratios of 3, 2, and 2 [2][11]. - Revenue growth rates for the supercomputing cloud services are expected to be approximately 13.1% for general cloud, 60.5% for industry cloud, and 107.0% for AI cloud from 2024 to 2026 [21]. Market Position - The company is recognized as the largest independent supercomputing service provider in China, with a significant market share and a strong technological service capability [30].
2023年年报点评:主业稳健发力,棉籽业务承压
Southwest Securities· 2024-04-24 11:00
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 11.2 yuan, based on a 2024 PE multiple of 16x [2] Core Views - The company is a leader in the plant extract industry, with its main products showing steady growth and secondary products rapidly expanding, forming a second growth curve [2] - The company's plant extract business achieved revenue of 2.89 billion yuan in 2023, a year-on-year increase of 8.9% [9] - The cottonseed business faced pressure due to market competition and price fluctuations, with revenue of 3.55 billion yuan in 2023, up 5.1% year-on-year, but gross margin declined by 1.0pp to 3.7% [10] - The healthcare and traditional Chinese medicine businesses showed strong growth, with healthcare product revenue exceeding 150 million yuan, up 80% year-on-year [10] Financial Performance - In 2023, the company achieved total revenue of 6.87 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.1%, and net profit attributable to shareholders of 480 million yuan, up 10.5% year-on-year [8] - The gross margin in 2023 was 11.6%, down 2.3pp year-on-year, mainly due to the increased proportion of low-margin cottonseed business [11] - The net profit margin in 2023 was 7.0%, up 0.1pp year-on-year, while the net profit margin in Q4 2023 was 4.8%, down 1.7pp year-on-year [11] Business Segments - The natural pigment/spice/nutritional and medicinal products segment achieved revenue of 2.89 billion yuan in 2023, with a gross margin of 19.9% [3] - The cottonseed products segment achieved revenue of 3.55 billion yuan in 2023, with a gross margin of 3.7% [3] - The other products segment (including healthcare OEM) achieved revenue of 4.33 billion yuan in 2023, with a gross margin of 21.3% [3] Future Projections - The report forecasts revenue growth for other products (healthcare OEM, etc.) of 65%, 50%, and 40% for 2024-2026, with gross margins of 15%, 10%, and 10% respectively [1] - The natural pigment/spice/nutritional and medicinal products segment is expected to grow at 20%, 15%, and 12% for 2024-2026, with gross margins of 20%, 21%, and 22% [20] - The cottonseed products segment is expected to grow at -10%, 1%, and 3% for 2024-2026, with gross margins of -2%, 1%, and 2% [20] Valuation and Profit Forecast - The report forecasts net profit attributable to shareholders of 374 million yuan, 569 million yuan, and 744 million yuan for 2024-2026, with EPS of 0.70 yuan, 1.07 yuan, and 1.40 yuan respectively [15] - The ROE is expected to be 9.75%, 13.10%, and 14.94% for 2024-2026 [16]
2023年年报点评:业绩符合预期,800G产品推动高增长
Southwest Securities· 2024-04-24 11:00
Investment Rating - Buy (Upgraded) with a target price of 208.00 RMB for the next 6 months [1] Core Views - The company's performance met expectations, driven by strong growth in 800G products [2] - High-end optical modules contributed significantly to revenue growth, with 800G/400G products increasing their share [2] - The company's gross margin improved due to higher sales of high-end products, but Q1 2024 saw slight pressure on profitability [3] - The company is focusing on expanding its delivery capacity for 800G and 400G products, aiming to strengthen its market position and international strategy [3] - The company is accelerating the market introduction of 1.6T optical modules, targeting mass production by 2025 [3] Financial Performance - 2023 revenue reached 10.725 billion RMB, up 11.23% YoY, with net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.181 billion RMB, up 78.19% YoY [2] - Q4 2023 revenue was 3.695 billion RMB, up 33.06% YoY, with net profit of 885 million RMB, up 138.54% YoY [2] - Q1 2024 revenue surged to 4.843 billion RMB, up 163.59% YoY, with net profit of 1.009 billion RMB, up 303.84% YoY [2] - High-speed optical module revenue reached 9.8 billion RMB in 2023, up 12% YoY, with ASP increasing by 27.1% to 1,798 RMB per unit [2] Business Segments - Optical communication transceiver modules accounted for 95% of total revenue, generating 10.18 billion RMB in 2023 [2] - Optical component and automotive optoelectronics businesses contributed 200 million RMB and 330 million RMB, respectively [2] Profitability and Cost Control - 2023 gross margin improved to 33%, up 3.4 percentage points YoY, driven by higher sales of high-end products [3] - Q1 2024 gross margin was 32.8%, up 3.2 percentage points YoY but down 2.6 percentage points QoQ due to product price reductions [3] - Sales and management expense ratios were well controlled, with Q1 2024 ratios at 0.9% and 2.7%, respectively [3] Future Outlook - The company expects EPS of 6.5 RMB, 8.76 RMB, and 10.88 RMB for 2024-2026, with a 59% CAGR in net profit [3] - High-speed optical module sales are expected to grow significantly, with 800G modules projected to account for over 50% of sales by 2026 [7] - The company is pre-researching next-generation optical module technologies to maintain its competitive edge [3] Valuation - The company's 2024 PE ratio is 24x, below the industry average of 32x, indicating potential undervaluation [8] - The target price of 208 RMB is based on a 32x PE multiple for 2024 [3] Industry Comparison - The company's valuation is lower than peers such as Xinyisheng (36.56x PE) and Accelink (38.36x PE) [9] - The company's growth prospects are supported by its leadership in high-speed optical modules and strong market demand [7]