Investment Rating - The report assigns an "In-Line" industry view for North American REITs [4] Core Insights - Apartment REITs are experiencing fundamental tailwinds with declining deliveries and solid job growth, although there are concerns about potential peaking of new lease rates [2] - Senior housing has shown strong demand, with companies like WELL and AHR actively pursuing acquisitions [6][10] - Industrial fundamentals are better than expected, with a notable slowdown in construction starts, which may serve as a tailwind [11] - Retail leasing remains robust, with capital deployment being a key differentiator among companies [6][39] - The healthcare sector is seeing strong demand in senior housing, with significant acquisition activity reported [10][57] Apartment REITs - AvalonBay Communities reported a +2.3% year-over-year effective rent change for April and May, with occupancy improving to 96.3% [21] - Camden Property Trust is actively recycling capital and has made recent acquisitions [21] - Essex Property Trust noted that job postings are near historical averages, indicating growth potential [22] Senior Housing - Senior housing demand is robust, with occupancy growth exceeding expectations [10][57] - WELL announced $6.2 billion in acquisitions and loan funding through April [57] Industrial - Prologis and EastGroup Properties reported better-than-expected fundamentals, with a focus on occupancy over pricing [11][48] - Construction starts have decreased by 50% from pre-COVID levels, which may benefit the sector [11] Retail - Simon Property Group noted solid leasing activity despite tariff uncertainties [39] - Kimco Realty reported strong leasing activity and has raised guidance due to better-than-expected bad debt collection [39] Healthcare - The healthcare sector is seeing strong demand in senior housing, with AHR acquiring a 187-unit property for $65 million [57] - Ventas raised its 2025 normalized FFO per share guidance by 7% year-over-year [57] Single Family Rentals - American Homes 4 Rent reported a 4.3% growth in new leases for May, with a strong development pipeline [30] - Invitation Homes launched a developer lending program expected to generate $200-300 million annually [31] Storage - Public Storage and Extra Space Storage are experiencing mixed results, with occupancy gains but soft rental rates [32][34] - National Storage Affiliates is targeting positive same-store revenue growth by year-end [36] Office - Highwoods Properties is on track to meet leasing targets, with a strong pipeline of new and renewal prospects [61] - Paramount Group is exploring joint venture opportunities to enhance its portfolio [62] Triple Net REITs - Agree Realty is focusing on recession-resistant retailers and has implemented AI to streamline operations [64] - Realty Income maintains a strong balance sheet and is expanding its European presence [69]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Overweight" rating to OMA, indicating that the stock's total return is expected to exceed the total return of the relevant country MSCI Index over the next 12-18 months [6][33]. Core Insights - OMA's total passenger traffic increased by 6.9% year-over-year (Y/Y) in May, outperforming competitors GAP (+2.9%) and ASUR (-3.0%) in Mexico. Quarter-to-date (QTD) traffic is up 12.7% [2][4]. - International traffic saw a significant increase of 19.5% Y/Y, while domestic traffic grew by 5.1% Y/Y. Notably, Monterrey traffic increased by 17.8% Y/Y [2][10]. - The expected traffic growth for 2Q25 is projected to be around 11% Y/Y, slightly above consensus estimates [3]. Summary by Sections Traffic Performance - In May 2025, Monterrey recorded 1,302,000 passengers, a 17.8% increase from May 2024, while other airports saw a decrease of 4.1% Y/Y [4]. - Total passenger traffic for OMA in May 2025 was 2,354,000, up from 2,202,000 in May 2024 [4]. Market Position - OMA's market capitalization is currently M$95,610 million, with a price target set at US$105.00, compared to a closing price of US$103.21 on June 5, 2025 [6][11]. Valuation Methodology - The price target is based on a discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation using an 8.5% weighted average cost of capital (WACC) and assumes all Mexican airport concessions expire in 2048 with no terminal value [11].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Overweight" rating to Novonesis with a price target of DKK 577.00, indicating a positive outlook for the stock [6]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes that Novonesis is well-positioned to capture structural growth drivers, which could lead to an EBITDA margin expansion of 120 basis points from 2026 to 2028 [1]. - Concerns regarding the company's sensitivity to oil price volatility and mid-term growth expectations are addressed, with the report suggesting that operational gearing and unique offerings can mitigate these concerns [1][2]. - The report discusses the potential for Novonesis to exceed consensus expectations, particularly in EBITDA margins, driven by conservative volume drop-through assumptions and pricing growth [2][10]. Summary by Sections Growth Expectations - The report highlights a debate on whether Novonesis can surpass consensus expectations, with a focus on margin uplift forecasts for 2025 to 2027 [8]. - It is noted that the company is guiding for a 1% pricing growth, which is crucial for achieving higher margins [9]. Market Dynamics - The report interprets Nielsen data differently, suggesting that technology and innovation are favoring Novonesis in developed markets, while emerging markets are expected to grow at higher rates due to increased penetration and effective market strategies [3][17]. - The growth in bio-energy is discussed, indicating that recent trends show a decoupling from oil price dependence, with corn-ethanol economics being a significant factor for continued growth [4][22]. Financial Projections - Financial projections for Novonesis include expected sales growth from €3,946 million in 2024 to €4,889 million by 2027, with EBITDA increasing from €1,072 million to €1,963 million in the same period [6]. - The report anticipates a net debt of €2,619 million by the end of 2025, with a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 1.6 [6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for Tongcheng Travel (00780) [1] Core Insights - Morgan Stanley has raised the target price for Tongcheng Travel by 8%, from HKD 26 to HKD 28, based on the latest foreign exchange forecasts, while keeping profit forecasts and other key predictions unchanged [1] - The firm anticipates that China's tourism demand will remain strong this year, with consumer spending shifting from shopping to travel or experiences [1] - Tongcheng Travel is expected to continue expanding its market share driven by growth in lower-tier cities, cross-selling opportunities, new business initiatives, and international expansion [1]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Overweight" rating to Kunlun Energy (00135) [1] Core Views - Morgan Stanley slightly lowered the target price for Kunlun Energy by 2.2%, from HKD 9.1 to HKD 8.9 [1] - The update includes a new model incorporating 2024 performance and introduces forecasts for 2027 [1] - The earnings forecast for the company has been reduced to reflect a more conservative outlook on overall industry growth and a decrease in natural gas sales volume growth [1] - Given the increasing concerns about the macro environment, the market is expected to place more emphasis on the stock's defensive characteristics, leading to a slight premium in valuation [1]

May 23, 2025 06:24 AM GMT Amorepacific | Asia Pacific China business bottoming out Key Takeaways In 1Q25, AP turned around China OP. We expect China OP to improve from a W96bn loss in 2024 to a W4bn profit in 2025. M Update Morgan Stanley & Co. International plc, Seoul Branch+ Kelly H Kim, CFA Equity Analyst Kelly.Kim@morganstanley.com +82 2 399-4837 Jenna Lee Equity Analyst Jenna.Lee@morganstanley.com +82 2 399-4938 Amorepacific (090430.KS, 090430 KP) S. Korea Consumer | S. Korea | Stock Rating | | | Overw ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Overweight" rating to Asahi Group Holdings [6] Core Views - The report suggests that the recent share price adjustment presents a buying opportunity due to strong earnings progress in the first quarter [1][2] - Asahi plans to increase soft drink prices in October, affecting approximately 70% of its products, which is expected to boost annual earnings by ¥5-8 billion [2] - Management remains committed to aggressive shareholder returns and share buyback programs despite potential M&A activities [3] Financial Overview - The price target for Asahi Group Holdings is set at ¥2,400, with the current share price at ¥1,869 [6] - Projected revenues for fiscal years ending December 2024 to December 2027 are ¥2,939.4 billion, ¥2,948.1 billion, ¥3,008.6 billion, and ¥3,077.1 billion respectively [6] - Operating profit estimates are ¥269.1 billion for FY 12/24, increasing to ¥334.2 billion by FY 12/27 [6] - Net income is projected to rise from ¥192.1 billion in FY 12/24 to ¥243.4 billion in FY 12/27 [6] Market Context - The beverage industry is viewed as "Attractive" by the report, indicating positive expectations for performance relative to the broader market [6] - The report highlights a steady recovery in on-premise sales in Australia, with expectations for improved sales channel mix as Asahi moves towards a premium product lineup [4]

Investment Rating - The industry view is rated as Attractive [7] Core Insights - The report highlights over 70 oral presentations from Chinese scholars at the 2025 ASCO, including 11 late-breaking abstracts, showcasing advancements in various pharmaceutical developments [1] - Sino Biopharma's combination of Benmelstobart (PD-L1) with anlotinib showed superior efficacy in first-line squamous non-small cell lung cancer (sq-NSCLC) with a median progression-free survival (mPFS) of 10.12 months compared to 7.79 months for tislelizumab [2] - CSPC's SYS6010 (EGFR ADC) demonstrated preliminary efficacy in advanced gastrointestinal cancers with mPFS of 5.8 months in gastric cancer patients [3] - Kelun Pharma's sac-TMT (TROP2 ADC) achieved a confirmed overall response rate (ORR) of 59.3% in first-line non-squamous NSCLC [4] - Fosun Pharma's HLX43 (PD-L1 ADC) showed an ORR of 31.3% in late-line solid tumors, with competitive results in NSCLC patients [5] Company Summaries Sino Biopharma - The combination therapy of Benmelstobart and anlotinib is expected to release Phase 3 data for first-line NSCLC and maintenance treatment after radiochemotherapy soon [2] - TQB2102 (HER2 bsAbADC) achieved an ORR of 53.4% in late-line HER2 low-expressing breast cancer [2] CSPC - SYS6010 in combination with SYH2051 showed preliminary efficacy for second-line advanced gastrointestinal cancers, with a G3+ treatment-related adverse event (TRAE) rate of 48% [3] - ALMB-0168 (Cx43 agonist) for relapsed/refractory osteosarcoma showed an ORR of 20% and a disease control rate (DCR) of 90% [10] Kelun Pharma - Sac-TMT demonstrated a 70.7% ORR and a mPFS of 13.4 months in first-line triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) [11] - In the third-line EGFR-mutant NSCLC setting, sac-TMT achieved a PFS of 6.9 months compared to 2.8 months for docetaxel [11] Fosun Pharma - HLX43's competitive ORR of 38.1% in NSCLC patients during the dose-expansion phase indicates potential for further development [5]

Results week of: 2nd June - 6th June Ferguson (Overweight, PT $195, GBp 15,000) 3Q25 Results, Tuesday 3rd June Exhibit 1: Business Services: Earnings and Events Calendar May 23, 2025 03:00 AM GMT Business Services | Europe Previews: 2nd June - 6th June | Due | Company | Event | | --- | --- | --- | | 03-Jun-25 | Ferguson | 3Q25 Results | | 17-Jun-25 | Ashtead | FY25 Results | Source: Company Data, Morgan Stanley Research | M | | | | --- | --- | --- | | | | Update | | May 23, 2025 03:00 AM GMT | | | | Busines ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is Attractive [7] Core Insights - The report highlights several promising clinical trial results for various biotech companies, indicating potential best-in-class therapies in oncology and other therapeutic areas [2][3][4][5][6] - The report emphasizes the competitive landscape in the biotech sector, particularly in the context of EGFRm+ NSCLC, where DB-1310 faces significant competition [3] - The report provides a detailed analysis of multiple abstracts presented at ASCO, showcasing the efficacy and safety of various drug candidates [6][10] Summary by Relevant Sections Clinical Trial Results - DB-1311 in 3L CRPC shows a median rPFS of 8.3 months, indicating best-in-class potential [2] - DB-1310 in pre-treated EGFRm+ NSCLC demonstrates a uORR of 35.7% and mPFS of 7.0 months, competitive against peer HER3-ADCs [3] - Surufatinib + KN046 in 1L PDAC shows better response and safety, with mPFS competitive against SoC [4] - IBI363 in MSS/pMMR CRC shows consistent ORR and potential best-in-class mDoR of 7.5 months [4] Abstract Reactions - The report includes reactions to select abstracts from ASCO, indicating meaningful upside for DB-1311 and modest upside for DB-1310 [6][10] - IBI363 shows consistent results in immunotherapy-treated acral/mucosal melanoma with a DoR of 14 months [5] - ZL-1310 in r/r ES-SCLC shows an ORR of 68%, demonstrating best-in-class potential [5] Company Ratings - The report provides ratings for various companies in the healthcare sector, with notable mentions including: - 3SBio rated as ++ - Adicon Holdings rated as Overweight - Alibaba Health rated as Overweight [61]