Core Viewpoint - UBS reports that the average daily gross gaming revenue (GGR) in Macau for the first nine days of November is approximately 711 million MOP, which is roughly in line with the average of 715 million MOP during the National Day Golden Week, indicating a strong demand environment [1] Industry Summary - The average daily GGR for the first nine days reflects a seasonal increase of about 1% compared to the post-National Day period, suggesting robust demand [1] - In terms of market segments, the average daily mass gaming revenue has decreased by approximately 7% to 9% compared to the previous month, while VIP betting amounts have declined by about 4% to 6% [1] - The VIP win rate is estimated to be between 3.2% and 3.5% [1] - Market consensus anticipates an average daily GGR of around 673 million MOP for November, implying that the remaining 21 days will average about 657 million MOP [1] - The current industry valuation is approximately 8.6 times the expected enterprise value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) for 2026, which is 0.7 standard deviations below the two-year average [1] Company Preferences - The industry’s preferred stocks include Galaxy Entertainment (00027), MGM China (02282), and Wynn Macau (01128) [1]

Core Viewpoint - UBS reports that Macau's average daily gross gaming revenue (GGR) for the first nine days of November is approximately 711 million MOP, which is roughly in line with the average of 715 million MOP observed after the National Day Golden Week, indicating a strong demand environment [1] Industry Summary - The average daily GGR for the first nine days of November reflects a seasonal increase of about 1% compared to the average after the National Day Golden Week [1] - The average daily GGR for the mass market has decreased by approximately 7% to 9% compared to the previous month, while VIP betting amounts have declined by about 4% to 6% [1] - The VIP win rate is estimated to be between 3.2% and 3.5% [1] - Market consensus anticipates an average daily GGR of around 673 million MOP for November, suggesting that the remaining 21 days of the month will see an average daily GGR of approximately 657 million MOP [1] - The current industry valuation is equivalent to an expected enterprise value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) multiple of 8.6 times for 2026, which is 0.7 standard deviations below the two-year average [1] Company Preferences - The industry’s preferred stocks include Galaxy Entertainment (00027), MGM China (02282), and Wynn Macau (01128) [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights a positive trend in the Hong Kong gaming stocks, with significant increases in share prices for major companies such as Melco International Development and Galaxy Entertainment, driven by encouraging data on Macau's gaming revenue [1] - Citigroup's research report indicates that Macau's gaming revenue for the first nine days of November is approximately 6.4 billion MOP, resulting in an average daily revenue of about 711 million MOP, which is seen as a positive sign given the transitional month between October's Golden Week and December's holidays [1] - The report conservatively maintains a forecast of 20.5 billion MOP for November's total gaming revenue, suggesting an expected average daily revenue of around 671 million MOP for the remaining days of the month [1] Group 2 - The Macau Statistics and Census Service reported that non-gaming consumption by tourists reached 20.38 billion MOP in Q3 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 10.7%, with overnight and non-overnight visitors contributing to the growth [1] - Spending by overnight visitors totaled 16.76 billion MOP, up 7.6%, while spending by non-overnight visitors surged by 27.6% to 3.62 billion MOP [1]

Core Viewpoint - UBS report indicates that the average daily gross gaming revenue (GGR) in Macau for the first nine days of November is approximately 711 million MOP, which is roughly in line with the average of 715 million MOP during the National Day Golden Week, reflecting a strong demand environment [1] Industry Summary - The average daily GGR for November is expected to be around 673 million MOP, suggesting that the remaining 21 days of November will see an average daily GGR of approximately 657 million MOP [1] - The current industry valuation is at 8.6 times the expected enterprise value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) for 2026, which is 0.7 standard deviations below the two-year average [1] Company Preferences - The industry’s preferred companies are Galaxy Entertainment, MGM China, and Wynn Macau [1]

Core Insights - The article highlights the top short-selling ratios and amounts for various companies, indicating significant market sentiment against these stocks [1][2]. Short-Selling Ratios - Lenovo Group-R (80992) has the highest short-selling ratio at 89.80% with a short-selling amount of 194.85 thousand [2]. - JD Group-SWR (89618) follows with a short-selling ratio of 82.03% and an amount of 18.12 thousand [2]. - Xiaomi Group-WR (81810) ranks third with a short-selling ratio of 69.31% and a short-selling amount of 150.53 thousand [2]. Short-Selling Amounts - Tencent Holdings (00700) leads in short-selling amount with 1.774 billion, representing a short-selling ratio of 18.90% [2]. - Alibaba-SW (09988) is second with a short-selling amount of 1.675 billion and a ratio of 17.89% [2]. - Pop Mart (09992) ranks third with a short-selling amount of 869 million and a ratio of 15.69% [2]. Deviation Values - Xiaomi Group-WR (81810) has the highest deviation value at 37.71%, indicating a significant difference from its past average short-selling ratio [2]. - Wynn Macau (01128) follows with a deviation value of 30.40% [2]. - Midea Group (N23078) ranks third with a deviation value of 23.49% [2].

Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs has adjusted its EBITDA forecasts for Wynn Macau (01128) for 2025 to 2027, with a decrease of 4% to an increase of 1%, and has slightly lowered the target price from HKD 7.5 to HKD 7.4, maintaining a "Neutral" rating [1] Financial Performance - Wynn Macau's Q3 property EBITDA was USD 308 million, benefiting from an increase in VIP win rate to 4.26%, compared to 2.97% in the previous quarter [1] - If the VIP win rate is adjusted to the theoretical value of 3.4%, the property EBITDA would be USD 285 million, representing a quarter-on-quarter growth of 7% and a year-on-year growth of 9%, aligning with market expectations [1] - The market share of gaming revenue increased by 1.1 percentage points quarter-on-quarter to 13.1% [1] Management Outlook - The management of Wynn Macau remains optimistic about the prospects of the Macau gaming industry and the company's business, highlighting strong performance in the high-end market, which supported a double-digit year-on-year growth in gaming volume for October [1] - However, due to the low actual win rate in the mass market, the total gaming revenue growth for October may lag behind industry levels, with an estimated market share of approximately 12% for the month [1] Future Projections - Goldman Sachs assumes a market share of 12.6% for Wynn Macau, and anticipates additional costs due to more events being held at the end of the year, projecting Q4 property EBITDA to be USD 280 million and total property EBITDA for the year to be USD 1.1 billion [1] - The expected decline in market share for October and higher costs in Q4 are likely to limit EBITDA and stock price upside potential [1]

Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs reports that Wynn Macau's Q3 property EBITDA is $308 million, benefiting from an increase in VIP win rate to 4.26% compared to 2.97% in the previous quarter [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The adjusted property EBITDA, assuming a theoretical VIP win rate of 3.4%, would be $285 million, reflecting a quarterly growth of 7% and an annual growth of 9%, aligning with market expectations [1] - The market share of gaming revenue increased by 1.1 percentage points to 13.1% quarter-over-quarter [1] Group 2: Management Outlook - Management remains optimistic about the Macau gaming industry and the company's business prospects, highlighting strong performance in the high-end market, which supports a double-digit year-on-year growth in gaming volume for October [1] Group 3: Future Projections - Goldman Sachs assumes a market share of 12.6% and anticipates additional costs due to more events at year-end, projecting Q4 property EBITDA to be $280 million, with an annual EBITDA forecast of $1.1 billion [1] - The firm has adjusted EBITDA forecasts for 2025 to 2027 down by 4% to an increase of 1%, with a slight decrease in target price from HKD 7.5 to HKD 7.4, maintaining a "Neutral" rating due to expected market share decline in October and higher costs in Q4 limiting EBITDA and stock price upside [1]

Core Viewpoint - The report from CICC indicates that the performance of Wynn Macau (01128) is primarily attributed to a low base effect, with the market share of total gaming revenue increasing from 11.8% in Q2 2025 to 13% in Q3 2025 [1] Financial Performance - Wynn Macau reported a net income of $1.001 billion for Q3 2025, representing a 15% increase year-on-year and a 13% increase quarter-on-quarter, recovering to 93% of the level seen in Q3 2019 [1] - Adjusted property EBITDA reached $308 million, up 17% year-on-year and 22% quarter-on-quarter, recovering to 102% of the Q3 2019 level, slightly exceeding market expectations of $301 million [1] Valuation and Ratings - CICC maintains its forecast for adjusted EBITDA for 2025 and 2026, with the stock currently trading at a 2026 expected EV/EBITDA multiple of 7.6 times [1] - The target price has been raised by 4% to HKD 7.9, implying a 2025 expected EV/EBITDA of 8.4 times, with a rating of "outperform" relative to the industry [1]

Core Viewpoint - The report from CICC indicates that the performance of Wynn Macau (01128) is primarily attributed to a low base effect, with the market share of total gaming revenue increasing from 11.8% in Q2 2025 to 13% in Q3 2025 [1] Financial Performance - Wynn Macau reported a net revenue of $1.001 billion for Q3 2025, representing a 15% increase year-on-year and a 13% increase quarter-on-quarter, recovering to 93% of the level seen in Q3 2019 [1] - Adjusted property EBITDA reached $308 million, up 17% year-on-year and 22% quarter-on-quarter, recovering to 102% of the level in Q3 2019, slightly exceeding market expectations of $301 million [1] Valuation and Ratings - CICC maintains its forecast for adjusted EBITDA for 2025 and 2026, with the stock currently trading at a 2026 expected EV/EBITDA multiple of 7.6 times [1] - The rating is maintained at "outperform" with a target price adjustment of 4% to HKD 7.9, implying a 2025 expected EV/EBITDA of 8.4 times [1]

Core Viewpoint - Wynn Macau reported a net revenue of $1.001 billion for Q3 2025, reflecting a 15% year-over-year increase and a 13% quarter-over-quarter increase, recovering to 93% of the Q3 2019 level [1] Financial Performance - Adjusted property EBITDA reached $308 million, up 17% year-over-year and 22% quarter-over-quarter, recovering to 102% of the Q3 2019 level, slightly exceeding market expectations of $301 million [1] - The market share of total gaming revenue increased from 11.8% in Q2 to 13% in Q3 [1] Valuation and Ratings - The company maintains its EBITDA forecasts for 2025 and 2026, with the stock currently trading at an EV/EBITDA multiple of 7.6 times based on 2026 projections [1] - The target price has been raised by 4% to HKD 7.9, with a maintained "outperform" rating [1]